lecture 2- british economy after ww1
TRANSCRIPT
The British Economy after WW I
The British Economy after WW I Intro: Britain as Winner of WW I Economic Sectors & the Economic
CrisisBankingShippingCoal MiningTextiles Industry
Trade Unions in the 1920s, The General Strike
Government Action & Inaction Summary
Britain as ‘winner’ of WW ILargest expansion of the Empire due to gains
from German colonies & territories from the Ottoman Empire
Main competitor (Germany) off the market for some time
War-time controls abolished in 1919 Post- conflict economic boom 1919-21From 1921 onward: large & long-term
unemployment
- BankingInvestment/merchant banks most obvious
loser of the war: had facilitated government borrowing
(= debt) abroadHuge deficit first time since 1815=> City lost role as ‘banker of the world’
Consequence: US interest rates 0.5-1.5% lower
=> loss of earnings => increased strain on balance of
payments (Trade balance long since
negative)
Division of Banking sector:
’big 5’ commercial banks (Barclays, Lloyds, Midlands, National Provincial, Westminster) controlling 2/3 of the market, rest are local banks.
Providing short-term credit for industryMerchant/Investment banks: raising money
for government & foreign investors, little connection to domestic industry
Claim that German ‘universal banks’ better in supplying loans to industry
= ‘big 3’ (Deutsche, Dresdner, Commerz) dealing mainly with big business & sitting on supervisory boards of companies influencing decisions
British commercial banks with little influence over businesses to make them merge and ‘R’ationalise (J.Wilson)
Some limited success by Bank of England to facilitate mergers
BoE = private bank allowed to act (with others) as central bank (issuing bank notes)
BoE blunder: advised government to return to gold standard in 1925
Investment banking during 1920 only able to maintain foreign assets (after sell off of ¼ pre-war assets), no expansion => no longer fit for purpose
Impact on balance of paymentsOpinion now that banks NOT responsible for
poor industrial performanceServed economy (esp. new industries) at
least sufficiently
Shipping IndustryPre WW I: Britain has largest merchant fleet
& biggest production capacityTechnological advantages in iron steam ship
production2/3 of production at Tees, Tyne & Wear (coal
shipping) & ClydeLiverpool: liners; Belfast & Barrow i.F. navy
ships (Vickers-Armstrong)20% of launches for export
Sever war losses of shipping (U-boats) => expectation for new orders
1909-13 average annual launch of 1.5 mio tons, in 1913 record 1.9 mio tons
1920: just over 2 mio tons1923: > 650,000 tons1924: 1.4 mio tons1926: 640,000 tons1929: 1.5 mio tons
Reason for bad performance:No navy contracts after 1918 => navy
yards competing in civilian sectorExpanded launch capacity (world-wide
doubling between 1913-21 => overcapacity
Foreign competition in new sectors; decline of old sectors; inability to adapt to new trend & demands (diesel engine); foreign subsidies & overvalued pound
Modern ships are more efficient carriersDecline in world trade & shipping
By 1920 capacity for 4 mio tons merchant vessels => overcapacity => high unemployment rate
Contributing factors: TU rivalryYard owners slow to adapt to new technologiesOutdated & unsuitable yards; from late 1920s
onward slow reduction of capacity
Coal MiningKey sector for industrialisationHighest ever output in 1913: 287 mio tonsBy 1918 down to 231 mio tons
Reasons:Lack of manpowerCollapse of exports (1/3 of 1913 production: 98
m tons, down to less than 50 m tons)
Further export losses after re-introduction of Gold Standard in 1925
Colliers’ reaction: wage cuts => 1926General Strike
Reasons for bad performance:Lower productivityLack of mechanisationStructural weakness of the sector
Caused by:Management unwillingness to moderniseLack of management trainingConfrontational style towards miners
Textile IndustryCotton textiles to spark industrial revolutionBy 1880 80% of cotton textiles export from GBEconomic & psychological impactEffect on machine tool manufacturingPre WW I largest manufacturing sector with
620,000 employeesBy 1913 still 55% of world cotton textile export
in value termsBiggest market: India (taking 45% of exports)
=> overreliance & complacency
Traditional (full) functional division of sectorNo economy of scale: specialised, small batch
low quality production for (mainly) exports
By 1914 USA leading with ring spindle & automatic looms & vertically integrated production
Little war impact (except reduced cotton imports)
Post war boom: credit-financed expansion,but not modernisation => high debts when boom ended
Massive reduction of exports
Reasons for export decline:New cotton mills in IndiaFrom 1923 onward 11% Indian import tariff Japanese competition
=> By mid 1930s GB overtaken as biggest textile exporter
Response: Very slowMergers & rationalisation only from late
1920s onwardIntervention by BoE, fearing for loan
providing banks1929 biggest merger: 96 firms (109 mills)
forming Lancaster Cotton Co-operation
Counterclaim: British market not large enough to adopt US production methods
10 min BREAK
Trade UnionsOrigins: ‘old’ and ‘new’ UnionsMembership:
1900: 1.9 m1914: 4 m1918: 6 m1920: 8.3 m
After 1917/18 little radicalisation but move to the left (1918 Labour Party manifesto)
Strikes often directed against war-time profiteering or in self-defence against wage cuts
1921 Triple Alliance: Railway Union, Transport Union, Miners Union
1925 Miners threatened with wage cuts => 1926 TUC forced to call General Strike
Result: after of the General strike, near collapse of union militancy;
Shift in union power from miners union to TUC & TGWU (Bevin)
Tougher TU legislationFalling union membership:
1926: 5.2. m1932: 4.4 m (partly because prices falling
faster than wages)
Government1850-1900: laissez-faire governmentChanges with 1906 Liberal Government (D.
Lloyd-George, W. Churchill) in wake of Boer War
WW I seen huge government intervention to keep war effort goingTaking over running of coal mines & railwaysSetting up government (armaments) factories
=> becoming major employerSetting higher standards for
working conditions & payIntervening directly into labour
disputesAbandons gold standard in 1914
Politically unstable decade
Agreement by all 3 parties in power: return to Gold Standard necessary for
economic recovery => Deflationary policy
1925 Re-introduction of GS at pre-war parity 1£ = $ 4.86
2 Problem: GS not cause, but result, of pre WW I
economic stabilityPre-war exchange rate at least 10%
overvalued=> loss of export competitivenessLess revenue & rising unemploymentIncreased gvmt spendingIncreased deflationary policy to avoid
speculation against £
1931 GS abandoned and £ floated,
=> improving internat. competitiveness,
but by now impact of Wall Street crash
Summary
1920s a decade exposing structural problems
Problems blamed on:Banks and managementExternal factorsTUsGovernment