lecture 2- british economy after ww1

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The British Economy after WW I

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Page 1: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

The British Economy after WW I

Page 2: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

The British Economy after WW I Intro: Britain as Winner of WW I Economic Sectors & the Economic

CrisisBankingShippingCoal MiningTextiles Industry

Trade Unions in the 1920s, The General Strike

Government Action & Inaction Summary

Page 3: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Britain as ‘winner’ of WW ILargest expansion of the Empire due to gains

from German colonies & territories from the Ottoman Empire

Main competitor (Germany) off the market for some time

War-time controls abolished in 1919 Post- conflict economic boom 1919-21From 1921 onward: large & long-term

unemployment

Page 4: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1
Page 5: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

- BankingInvestment/merchant banks most obvious

loser of the war: had facilitated government borrowing

(= debt) abroadHuge deficit first time since 1815=> City lost role as ‘banker of the world’

Page 6: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1
Page 7: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Consequence: US interest rates 0.5-1.5% lower

=> loss of earnings => increased strain on balance of

payments (Trade balance long since

negative)

Page 8: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Division of Banking sector:

’big 5’ commercial banks (Barclays, Lloyds, Midlands, National Provincial, Westminster) controlling 2/3 of the market, rest are local banks.

Providing short-term credit for industryMerchant/Investment banks: raising money

for government & foreign investors, little connection to domestic industry

Page 9: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Claim that German ‘universal banks’ better in supplying loans to industry

= ‘big 3’ (Deutsche, Dresdner, Commerz) dealing mainly with big business & sitting on supervisory boards of companies influencing decisions

Page 10: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

British commercial banks with little influence over businesses to make them merge and ‘R’ationalise (J.Wilson)

Some limited success by Bank of England to facilitate mergers

BoE = private bank allowed to act (with others) as central bank (issuing bank notes)

BoE blunder: advised government to return to gold standard in 1925

Page 11: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Investment banking during 1920 only able to maintain foreign assets (after sell off of ¼ pre-war assets), no expansion => no longer fit for purpose

Impact on balance of paymentsOpinion now that banks NOT responsible for

poor industrial performanceServed economy (esp. new industries) at

least sufficiently

Page 12: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Shipping IndustryPre WW I: Britain has largest merchant fleet

& biggest production capacityTechnological advantages in iron steam ship

production2/3 of production at Tees, Tyne & Wear (coal

shipping) & ClydeLiverpool: liners; Belfast & Barrow i.F. navy

ships (Vickers-Armstrong)20% of launches for export

Page 13: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Sever war losses of shipping (U-boats) => expectation for new orders

1909-13 average annual launch of 1.5 mio tons, in 1913 record 1.9 mio tons

1920: just over 2 mio tons1923: > 650,000 tons1924: 1.4 mio tons1926: 640,000 tons1929: 1.5 mio tons

Page 14: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Reason for bad performance:No navy contracts after 1918 => navy

yards competing in civilian sectorExpanded launch capacity (world-wide

doubling between 1913-21 => overcapacity

Foreign competition in new sectors; decline of old sectors; inability to adapt to new trend & demands (diesel engine); foreign subsidies & overvalued pound

Modern ships are more efficient carriersDecline in world trade & shipping

Page 15: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1
Page 16: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

By 1920 capacity for 4 mio tons merchant vessels => overcapacity => high unemployment rate

Contributing factors: TU rivalryYard owners slow to adapt to new technologiesOutdated & unsuitable yards; from late 1920s

onward slow reduction of capacity

Page 17: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Coal MiningKey sector for industrialisationHighest ever output in 1913: 287 mio tonsBy 1918 down to 231 mio tons

Reasons:Lack of manpowerCollapse of exports (1/3 of 1913 production: 98

m tons, down to less than 50 m tons)

Page 18: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Further export losses after re-introduction of Gold Standard in 1925

Colliers’ reaction: wage cuts => 1926General Strike

Page 19: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Reasons for bad performance:Lower productivityLack of mechanisationStructural weakness of the sector

Caused by:Management unwillingness to moderniseLack of management trainingConfrontational style towards miners

Page 20: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Textile IndustryCotton textiles to spark industrial revolutionBy 1880 80% of cotton textiles export from GBEconomic & psychological impactEffect on machine tool manufacturingPre WW I largest manufacturing sector with

620,000 employeesBy 1913 still 55% of world cotton textile export

in value termsBiggest market: India (taking 45% of exports)

=> overreliance & complacency

Page 21: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Traditional (full) functional division of sectorNo economy of scale: specialised, small batch

low quality production for (mainly) exports

By 1914 USA leading with ring spindle & automatic looms & vertically integrated production

Page 22: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Little war impact (except reduced cotton imports)

Post war boom: credit-financed expansion,but not modernisation => high debts when boom ended

Massive reduction of exports

Page 23: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Reasons for export decline:New cotton mills in IndiaFrom 1923 onward 11% Indian import tariff Japanese competition

=> By mid 1930s GB overtaken as biggest textile exporter

Page 24: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Response: Very slowMergers & rationalisation only from late

1920s onwardIntervention by BoE, fearing for loan

providing banks1929 biggest merger: 96 firms (109 mills)

forming Lancaster Cotton Co-operation

Counterclaim: British market not large enough to adopt US production methods

Page 25: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

10 min BREAK

Page 26: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Trade UnionsOrigins: ‘old’ and ‘new’ UnionsMembership:

1900: 1.9 m1914: 4 m1918: 6 m1920: 8.3 m

After 1917/18 little radicalisation but move to the left (1918 Labour Party manifesto)

Page 27: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1
Page 28: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1
Page 29: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Strikes often directed against war-time profiteering or in self-defence against wage cuts

1921 Triple Alliance: Railway Union, Transport Union, Miners Union

1925 Miners threatened with wage cuts => 1926 TUC forced to call General Strike

Page 30: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Result: after of the General strike, near collapse of union militancy;

Shift in union power from miners union to TUC & TGWU (Bevin)

Tougher TU legislationFalling union membership:

1926: 5.2. m1932: 4.4 m (partly because prices falling

faster than wages)

Page 31: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Government1850-1900: laissez-faire governmentChanges with 1906 Liberal Government (D.

Lloyd-George, W. Churchill) in wake of Boer War

WW I seen huge government intervention to keep war effort goingTaking over running of coal mines & railwaysSetting up government (armaments) factories

Page 32: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1
Page 33: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

=> becoming major employerSetting higher standards for

working conditions & payIntervening directly into labour

disputesAbandons gold standard in 1914

Page 34: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Politically unstable decade

Agreement by all 3 parties in power: return to Gold Standard necessary for

economic recovery => Deflationary policy

1925 Re-introduction of GS at pre-war parity 1£ = $ 4.86

Page 35: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

2 Problem: GS not cause, but result, of pre WW I

economic stabilityPre-war exchange rate at least 10%

overvalued=> loss of export competitivenessLess revenue & rising unemploymentIncreased gvmt spendingIncreased deflationary policy to avoid

speculation against £

Page 36: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

1931 GS abandoned and £ floated,

=> improving internat. competitiveness,

but by now impact of Wall Street crash

Page 37: Lecture 2- British Economy After WW1

Summary

1920s a decade exposing structural problems

Problems blamed on:Banks and managementExternal factorsTUsGovernment