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Page 1: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base
Page 2: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base
Page 3: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base

Smart Energy Partner, KEPCO

1-1 Power System in Korea

Power System Characteristics

▪ Isolated Power Grid

> No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection

▪ Long Distance Transmission

> 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area

> Base load Power plants located near to the coast

> High generation cost in metropolitan area

▪ Demand Growth

> 1980s: 10.8%

> 1990s: 9.5%

> 2000s: 5.6%

> 2010s: 3.1%

Power Demand

Smart Energy Creator, KEPCO

Nations Increase('01-'07)

USA 1.30%

Japan 1.60%

Germany 1.10%

France 1.30%

England 0.50%

China 11.7% (‘05-’08)

Saudi 5.8% (‘05-’08)

Page 4: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base

Smart Energy Partner, KEPCO

1-2 Energy Policy in Korea

▪ Phasing our of nuclear power plants

> Cancelation of 6 planned units (8.5GW), Service life expansion not allowed

▪ Early shut-down of the aged coal-fired power plants

> Early shut-down of 10 Units (3.3GW), 6 existing units will be converted to LNG

Power Demand

Smart Energy Creator, KEPCO

▪ Outlook of Power Source Mix(Installed capacity)

22.5

(19.3%)

36.9

(31.6%)

37.4

(26.7%)

4.2

(3.5%)

4.7

(4.0%)

11.3

(9.7%)

Nuclear

Coal

LNG

Oil

Hydro

RE

Unit : GW

Total : 117GW

20.4

(11.7%)39.9

(23.0%)

47.5

(27.3%)

1.4

(0.8%)

6.1

(3.5%)

58.5

(33.7%)Nuclear

Coal

LNG

Oil

Pump

RE

Unit : GW

Total : 173.7GW

Government Policy on Nuclear & Coal

Page 5: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base

Smart Energy Partner, KEPCO

1-3 Challenge for Renewable Energy

Renewable Energy Vision 3020

▪ Renewable Energy Expansion

> 20% of power generated by Renewable Energy

> Waste, Bio-mass centered ⇒ Solar, Wind centered

Smart Energy Creator, KEPCO

Installed Capacity(MW)

7th Basic Plan (2015-2029)

8th Basic Plan (2017-2031)

Page 6: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base

Smart Energy Partner, KEPCO

2-1 Paradox: Renewable Energy Resources

Renewable Energy Resources vs Demand

▪ Unevenly distributed renewable energy resources

> The area rich in renewable energy resources is remote from demand areas

”MORE renewable energy resources, LESS demand”

Power Demand

Smart Energy Creator, KEPCO

Page 7: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base

Smart Energy Partner, KEPCO

Paradigm Shift on Supergrid

New paradigm

▪ To overcome power shortage

▪ To enhance the stability of power

system securing power reserve

▪ To integrate diverse energy

sources

▪ To make effective use of electric

power through power trading

2-2

Smart Energy Creator, KEPCO

Page 8: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base

Smart Energy Partner, KEPCO

KEPCO’s Vision of NEA Supergrid

Vision

▪ Joint development and utilization of renewable energy in NEA

⇒ Joint strategy for global climate change & environmental pollution

KEPCO’s NEA Supergrid Concept

3-1

Smart Energy Creator, KEPCO

Page 9: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base

Smart Energy Partner, KEPCO

KEPCO’s Progress (1)

Major Progress / China-Korea-Japan

MOU on Joint Promotion of Power Grid Interconnection

between SGCC(China)-KEPCO-SoftBank(Japan)-Rosseti(Russia)‘16.03

Joint Pre-F/S on Mongolia-China-Korea-Japan Power Grid

Interconnection between SGCC-KEPCO-SoftBank

‘16.06~

‘17.03

3-2

Smart Energy Creator, KEPCO

Page 10: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base

Smart Energy Partner, KEPCO

KEPCO’s Progress (2)

Major Progress / Russia-Korea

Feasibility Study for Korea-Russia Power Grid Interconnection

▶ KEPCO, KEEI, Korea University, Yulchon LLC

‘12.10~

14.09

President of Korea proposed NEA Supergrid Establishment

▶ Eastern Economic Forum in Vladivostok, Russia ’17.09

3-2

Smart Energy Creator, KEPCO

Page 11: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base

Smart Energy Partner, KEPCO

Joint Project Development MOA

Major contents

C-K Power Grid Interconnection (1)3-3

Page 12: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base

Smart Energy Partner, KEPCO

Inter-Governmental Cooperation MOU

Major contents

C-K Power Grid Interconnection (2)3-3

Page 13: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base

Smart Energy Partner, KEPCO

Formulation Policy on NEA Supergrid

8th Basic Plan for Long-term Electricity Supply and Demand

3-4

Smart Energy Creator, KEPCO

▪ Government Policy : Implementation of NEA Supergrid

> Jointly utilize clean energy sources in NEA

Page 14: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base

Smart Energy Partner, KEPCOSmart Energy Creator, KEPCO

Potential Risks in Supergrid Project

Factors Rank Risk Index(%)

▪ Policy

▪ Financial

▪ Planning & Consenting

▪ Political

▪ Infrastructure

▪ Operational

▪ Technical

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

87.8

85.6

83.1

76.3

66.0

64.3

50.0

Risk Factors

Policy, Financial, Planning & Consenting, Political Risks

are much bigger than Technical and Operational Issues

Source : Dr. McKinstray, the European Supergrid – Messiah or Pariah, 2013

4-1

Page 15: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base

Smart Energy Partner, KEPCO 5/8Smart Energy Creator, KEPCO

Key Factors

▪ European Commission forms regulatory frameworks for supergrid

▪ Cross-border transmission operator(ENTSO-E) has been introduced

▪ Trans-European Energy Network

- Framework for cross-border development

on interconnection, Inter-operability, etc.

▪ The Third Energy Package 2009

- Common Rules and Regulations for

cross-border grid interconnection

▪ Established in Dec 2008

▪ 42 TSOs from 34 countries in EU

▪ Major roles of ENTSO-E

- Integration of renewable energy

sources(RES)

- Technical cooperation between TSOs, etc.

Inter-governmental

Cooperation required

Cooperation between the

Parties(or TSOs) required

Key Success Factor in Europe4-2

Page 16: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base

Smart Energy Partner, KEPCOSmart Energy Creator, KEPCO

Governance Establishment

▪ Joint declaration of NEA Supergrid Promotion

- Mitigate Policy/Political Risks

- Less uncertainty & More comfort to the shareholders

▪ Principles & Foundation for mutual cooperation

▪ How to develop and implement NEA Supergrid

- Mitigate Financial/Planning & Consenting Risks

▪ Define: Business model, Roles of each Party,

Project development schedule, Financing plan, etc.

Interaction

AddressingInter-

GovernmentalAgenda

4-3

Page 17: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base

Smart Energy Partner, KEPCOSmart Energy Creator, KEPCO

Challenges in the Future

BusinessModel

Taxation

RegulatoryFramework

Cooperation Field

Feasible

BankablePowerTrading

Mechanism

4-4

Page 18: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base

Smart Energy Partner, KEPCO

Towards One Asia4-5

Smart Energy Creator, KEPCO

ONE

ASIA

Page 19: Isolated Power Grid2018/03/08  · Isolated Power Grid > No Cross-border Power Grid Interconnection Long Distance Transmission > 40% of loads concentrated in metropolitan area > Base