intl fcstone, inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained...

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INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved. Análisis del Mercado de Granos Forrajeros SIGAN 2011 Simposio de Inovación Ganadera División América Latina

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Page 1: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Análisis del Mercado de Granos Forrajeros

SIGAN 2011

Simposio de Inovación Ganadera

División América Latina

Page 2: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

OFERTA/DEMANDA MUNDIAL DE MAÍZ, USDA (mtm)- Julio 2011

09/10 10/11 (Est.) 11/12 (Jun) 11/12 (Jul)MTM MTM MTM MTM

Inv. Inicial 147.24 143.63 117.44 120.88Producción 812.98 820.02 866.18 872.39Importaciones 90.29 91.27 90.26 91.66Disponible 1050.51 1054.92 1073.88 1083.53

Forraje 483.51 495.10 514.35 517.30Exportaciones 96.98 90.16 93.20 94.92Uso Total 816.59 842.77 871.74 877.61

Inv. Final 143.63 120.88 111.89 115.66

Inv fin/uso 17.59% 14.34% 12.84% 13.18%

Page 3: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Page 4: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

CALENDARIO AGRICOLA MUNDIALJULIO - CULTIVOS DE VERANO

Page 5: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

CALENDARIO AGRICOLA MUNDIALJULIO - CULTIVOS DE INVIERNO

Page 6: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

OFERTA Y DEMANDA DE MAIZ EN LOS EUA (Julio 2011)

(Millones de-) Acres Has Acres Has Acres HasSup. Sembrada 88.2 35.69 90.7 36.71 92.3 37.35 Sup. Cosechada 81.4 32.94 83.2 33.67 84.9 34.36

Bu/Acre TM/Ha Bu/Acre TM/Ha Bu/Acre TM/Ha152.8 9.59 158.7 9.96 158.7 9.96 Bu MTM Bu MTM Bu MTM

Inventario Inicial 1,708 43.39 730 18.54 880 22.35 Producción 12,447 316.17 13,200 335.30 13,470 342.15 Importaciones 30 0.51 20 0.51 20 0.51 Disponible 14,185 360.06 13,950 354.35 14,370 365.01

Uso Forrajero 5,000 127.01 5,000 127.01 5,050 128.28 Alim/Semilla/Industrial 6,430 163.33 6,455 163.96 6,550 166.38

Etanol 5,050 128.28 5,050 128.28 5,150 130.82

Exportaciones 1,875 47.63 1,800 45.72 1,900 48.26 Uso Total 13,305 337.96 13,255 336.69 13,500 342.92

Inv. Final 880 22.10 695 17.65 870 22.10 Inv fin/uso 6.54% 5.24% 6.44%

11/12 (Jun)

Rendimiento

11/12 (Jul)10/11 (Est.)

Page 7: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

2010 Producción Mundial de Maíz (mtm)

Page 8: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Page 9: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Un rendimiento de 158 Bu/ac dejaría los inventarios de otoño un poco mayores que el año pasado. Los futuros cotizaron el año pasado en un rango de $5.10 a $6.00 hasta el otoño.

Los modelos de precio de FCStone sugieren que necesitaremos un rendimiento de 156 Bu/ac o inferior para mantener los futuros de Diciembre en los niveles actuales hasta la cosecha en Octubre.

Un rendimiento de 153.2 nos dejará con un inventario tan bajo que hará necesaria la racionalización de la demanda

RANGO DE PRECIOS

Page 10: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

COSTO DE PRODUCCION DE MAIZ

El costo de producir maíz en uno de los estados mas representativos productores de los Estados Unidos (Illinois) promedia entre 635 USD/ac. y 739 USD/ac.

Page 11: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Page 12: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Page 13: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

INUNDACION 2011

Page 14: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

ESCENARIO DE SIEMBRA

?

Page 15: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

Ventas de exportación

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

2010EXPORTACIÓN MUNDIAL DE MAÍZ (MMT)

Page 16: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

Oferta y Demanda Mundial Maiz USDA / Julio 2011BRASIL- CHINA- ARGENTINA (Est. 10/11)

10/11 11/12 10/11 11/12 10/11 11/12MTM MTM MTM MTM MTM MTM

Inv. Inicial 9.99 8.69 0.59 1.00 51.31 53.71 Producción 55.00 55.00 22.00 26.00 173.00 178.00

Importaciones 1.00 1.00 0.01 0.01 1.50 2.00 Disponible 65.99 64.69 22.60 27.01 225.81 233.71

Exportaciones 8.50 8.00 14.50 18.00 0.10 0.20 Uso Total 48.80 50.50 7.10 7.50 172.00 182.50

Inv. Final 8.69 6.19 1.00 1.51 53.71 51.01

BRASIL ARGENTINA CHINA

Page 17: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,
Page 18: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,
Page 19: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,
Page 20: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,
Page 21: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,
Page 22: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

USO DE MAIZ (MTM) – CHINA –

Page 23: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

MEXICO

Page 24: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Page 25: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Page 26: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

2010IMPORTACIONES MUNDIALES DE MAIZ

Page 27: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Page 28: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

OFERTA/DEMANDA DE SORGO EN LOS EUA-Julio 2011

(Millones de-) Acres Hectareas Acres Hectareas Acres HectareasSup. Sembrada 5.40 2.19 5.60 2.27 5.30 2.14 Sup. Cosechada 4.80 1.94 4.90 1.98 4.60 1.86

Bu/Acre TM/Ha Bu/Acre TM/Ha Bu/Acre TM/Ha71.80 4.51 65.30 4.10 65.40 4.10 Bu MTM Bu MTM Bu MTM

Inv. Inicial 41 1.04 32 0.81 27 0.69 Producción 345 8.76 320 8.13 300 7.62 Importaciones - - - - - - Disponible 387 9.83 352 8.94 327 8.31

Forraje 125 3.18 90 2.29 80 2.03 Industrial 95 2.41 95 2.41 90 2.29 Exportaciones 140 3.56 135 3.43 130 3.30 Uso Total 360 9.14 320 8.13 300 7.62

Inv. Final 27 0.69 32 0.81 27 0.69 Inv fin/uso 7.50% 10.00% 9.00%

10/11 (Est.) 11/12 (Jun)

Rendimiento

11/12 (Jul)

Page 29: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Page 30: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

PLANTAS DE ETANOL EN LOS EUA

Page 31: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Mientras la trayectoria del consumo de maíz para etanol ha aumentado de manera estable en los últimos cinco años, el hecho que ahora haya superado oficialmente la industria de forraje animal en el país, marca la primera vez que la mayoría del cultivo de maíz de EUA será consumida por el uso industrial en lugar que la industria alimenticia.

Page 32: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

CLIMA

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EUA - HUMEDAD EN EL SUBSUELO Mayo 2011

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PRONOSTICO 30 DIAS

Clima «aparentemente benigno» para la zona productora de maíz en los EUA

Page 35: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

PRONOSTICO 6-10 DIAS

Muy altas temperaturas y baja precipitación en la región central de los EUA, mantendrá a los especuladores muy

activos en el mercado

Page 36: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

COMPORTAMIENTO DEL MERCADO DE MAIZ CONTINUO

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CZ1

Page 38: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

PRECIOS DEL MAÍZ EN EL CBOT DE LOS ULTIMOS 5 AÑOS

Page 39: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

ESTACIONALIDAD MAĺZ

Page 40: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Análisis del Mercado de la Leche

SIGAN 2011

Simposio de Inovación Ganadera

División América Latina

Page 41: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

Consumo Mundial de Leche

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

El consumo de leche en México continúa siendoUno de los más bajos del Mundo y brindando unaOportunidad importante

La producción mundial de leche es muy similar a la de consumo

Page 42: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

Producción de Leche en USA

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Millones de libras mensuales

La producción se ha incrementado este año a pesar del costo de alimentación

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Producción Mensual por Vaca

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Libras de leche mensuales

725

748

771

793

816

839

861

864

Kilogramos de leche mensuales

La genética sigue siendo el factor más importante en el incremento de la producción por vaca

Page 44: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

Precio Continuo de la Leche

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

$/cwt

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Contrato de Leche de Septiembre 2011

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Page 46: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

Precio de la leche

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Precio de la leche Vs. Índice Dow Jones

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Leche Fluida Clase III

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Page 48: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

Producción USA

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Población de Vacas al Mes de Junioen 23 estados de USA

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Producción USA

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Número de Vacas en Producciónen 23 estados

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Producción USA

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Reemplazos de Vaquillas +500 lbs

+3.7%

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Producción USA

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Establos Lecheros del 2001 al 2010En USA

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Producción USA

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Producción de leche, 2001 al 2010En 23 estados

Page 53: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

Producción USA

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Producción por vaca, 2001 a 2010

Page 54: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

Condiciones del Mercado de la Leche

• Alcistas:– Incremento de la demanda en países deficitarios– Altas temperaturas en las zonas de producción– Baja eficiencia alimenticia– Raciones de menor contenido nutricional

• Bajistas:– Situación económica mundial– Elevada población de vaquillas en ranchos– Incremento en la producción mundial de leche

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Page 55: INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures,

INTL FCStone, Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of this information contained and expresses no solicitation to buy or sell futures, options on futures contracts, or OTC products. Commodity trading involves risks and past financial results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Any hypothetical examples given are exactly that and no representation is being made that any person will or is likely to achieve profits or losses based on those examples. Reference to and discussion of OTC products are made solely on behalf of INTL Hanley, LLC. Reproduction without authorization is forbidden. All rights reserved.

Seminario Práctico en Administración de RiesgoSeminario Práctico en Administración de Riesgo

6 - 9 de Septiembre, 2011

Mercado de Futuros - Bases y Diferenciales – Volatilidad (¿Qué es? ¿Cómo medirla? ¿Cómo interpretarla? ¿Cómo afecta a nuestra operación?) - Cobertura de Riesgo Utilizando Opciones (Conceptos básicos en opciones, La importancia del Valor Tiempo en el precio de las opciones, Valuación de primas. Las letras griegas. Delta, ¿Cómo reducir el costo de cobertura en compra simple de opciones?) - Valuación de primas (Las letras griegas. Gamma, Theta y Vega, Estrategias Avanzadas con Opciones, Ejercicios) - Mercados OTC (Over The Counter). – (Opciones con Fecha de Expiración Arbitraria, Opciones y swaps de precio promedio, Acumuladores Productor, Acumuladores Consumidor)

Hotel SedeUnion League Club of Chicago Hotel

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