internet broadband: a new source of growth · internet broadband: a new source of growth . ......
TRANSCRIPT
Olivier Anstett, Director of Multimedia & Value-Added Services INTERNET BROADBAND: A NEW SOURCE OF GROWTH
Agenda
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3
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HTS opening new horizons
Eutelsat’s Broadband activity
Eutelsat internet broadband strategy
Conclusions
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HTS: a step change, opening the Broadband market to satellite
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(1) Based on capacity of c.3 Gbps for a regular capacity satellite and 90 Gbps for KA-SAT (2) Price per unit of capacity sold (3) Based on a peak download throughput of c.5Mbps for a regular satellite and C. 50Mbps for KA-SAT profressional offers
Significant improvement in economics for KA-SAT versus regular capacity
Further improvement to come with future generations of HTS satellites
x30 Much higher capacity1
/8 Significantly reduced price2
x10 Improved peak throughput3
for users with small terminals
/10 Cost of terminals
Ongoing rise in global internet traffic…
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(1) Source: eMarketer, Nov. 2014 (2) Source: internetsociety.org- Global Internet Report 2014
(3) Source: Cisco VNI, May 2015
Growing internet penetration
INTERNET USERS WORLDWIDE1 (Bn)
TRAFFIC PER FIXED BROADBAND CONNECTION2 (GB/month)
Rising consumption per user
GLOBAL CONSUMER INTERNET TRAFFIC3 (Pb/months)
Rapid growth in internet traffic
2.9 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.6
40% 42%
44% 46%
48%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
34 41 52
67 87
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
% of population
Internet users
Sub-Saharan Africa Latin America and Caribbean Developed Asia-Pacific North America
Middle East and North Africa Emerging Asia-Pacific Central and Eastern Europe Western Europe Global
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 0
20
…but needs are unaddressed in many areas
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► Increasing consumer usage and public policy leading to new market standards • Download speed of >30 Mbps, ie Very High Broadband (VHB)
► Telco capex and public initiatives will improve the quality of the networks, but the addressable market will remain significant in remote areas • High marginal cost of rolling-out terrestrial networks • Limited footprint and risk of saturation of 4G
► Internet access is a now a ‘must have’ everywhere
► Many fast-growing markets massively underserved with inadequate infrastructures
Opportunity for satellite in areas under-served or un-served by terrestrial networks
Agenda
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2
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HTS opening new horizons
Eutelsat’s Broadband activity
Eutelsat internet broadband strategy
Conclusions
1
Broadband Internet: a new business for Eutelsat with strong growth potential
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A NEW BUSINESS WITH DIFFERENT DRIVERS… …WHERE EUTELSAT HAS FIRST MOVER ADVANTAGE
► Providing Internet access to individuals and corporates in underserved areas
► Bandwidth-hungry at peak time
► More ground infrastructure to support role as network operator
► Regional markets with different specificities
► Different business model than regular capacity
► 2000s: broadband service launched in Ku-Band building on VSAT technologies
► 2011: KA-SAT, Europe’s first HTS satellite
► 2014: Eutelsat 3B with dedicated broadband payload
Eutelsat track record and first mover advantage to seize this significant opportunity
Broadband: a different economic model to regular capacity
8 1Provisioning for forward capacity
► Subscriber acquisition cost c.4-12x monthly ARPU
► Terminal cost of c.$300 for Tooway, lower in the future for emerging markets
• Generally purchased directly by large distributors /corporates • Might be bought and resold by ETL to smaller distributors and in emerging markets
► Progressive ramp-up of EBITDA margin to up to > 60% at run-rate
CAPEX
REVENUES
OPEX
► B-to-B-to-C business model • Higher capacity and revenues on a single satellite than regular capacity • Slower ramp-up than regular capacity: c. 6/7 years to reach 90% fill rate • ARPU shared with distributors dependent on region/end-user • Provisioning of c. 40-80 Kbps1 dependent on region, and will increase over time
► Lower capex per Gbps compared with regular capacity • KA-SAT: c.€4m per Gbps including ground segment • Economics to improve further with future generations of HTS satellites
► On-ground capex representing c.25-35% of total programme
Strong growth of broadband revenues
9 Figures based on FY 15 revenues.
AS A SHARE OF GROUP TOTAL EVOLUTION OF BROADBAND REVENUES (KU + KA BAND, in €m)
95%
5%
Other revenues Broadband
28 33 45
63 77
FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
X 2.7
Currently the smallest contributor to revenues… … but our fastest growing business
Agenda
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2
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4
HTS opening new horizons
Eutelsat’s Broadband activity
Eutelsat internet broadband strategy
Conclusions
1
WESTERN EUROPE: ESTIMATED MARKET FOR SATELLITE BROADBAND IN 2025 (M households)
Europe: significant addressable market
12 Source: Analysys Mason
Total residential and business premises in Europe
Core market • Available download speeds <8 Mpbs • 4G networks capacity-constrained
196m
14m
4m
‘Broader’ market • Available download
speeds < 30 Mpbs
Based on 12 European markets : UK, Ireland , France, Belgium,Netherlands, Luxembourg, Switzerland, Germany, Austria, Italy, Spain and Portugal Estimated market taking into account Governments and Operators announcements
Significant addressable market long-term, even larger today
KA-SAT: addressing European broadband market
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► First HTS satellite over Europe
► Operational since mid-2011 covering Europe and the Mediterranean Basin
► Addressing internet broadband markets in areas with limited or no internet service
► Total throughput of 90 Gbps
► Network of ten ground stations
► B-to-B-to-C business model with network of distribution partners
KA-SAT FOOTPRINT
Successful ramp-up of customer base
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► 190,000 subscribers • 90% consumers
► 82k terminals added in the last 2 years
► Strong dynamic from professionals and corporates with higher ARPU
► Estimated capacity for broadband of ~ 300-400,000 subscribers
KA-SAT TERMINALS ACTIVATED (000 UNITS) KA-SAT TERMINALS ACTIVATED BY GEOGRAPHY
► Two thirds of customers in five main western European countries
► High loading of certain beams notably France, UK, Ireland
► Potential remaining in Eastern Europe, Spain, Germany, Italy
62 73
91 108
124 140
154 166 175 180 185 190
Dec'12 Mar'13 Jun'13 Sep'13 Dec'13 Mar'14 Jun'14 Sep'14 Dec'14 Mar'15 Jun'15 Sep'15
Spain
France
UK
Italy
Others
Germany
25%
14%
12% 9%
8%
32%
Tooway: proven Broadband product
15 Source: Degrouptest survey – February 2014
► A viable alternative to DSL
► True high-speed Internet anywhere • Up to 22Mbit/s download • Up to 6Mbit/s upload
► Easy to operate and to install • No telephone line required • No additional software required • Easy installation
► Optional services • VOIP • IPTV • Multicasting capability and
DTH TV reception from KA-SAT neighbourhood
TOOWAY VS DSL PERFORMANCE
0 10
5
0 4
2
DSL average Tooway
► Average Download speed
► Average Upload speed
A wide range of consumer bundles
16 1Indicative retail Price
22/6Mbps 10/2Mbps 22/6Mbps
10GB 25GB 40GB 40 + 60GB Web & email
Uncapped 8GB 16GB 2GB 5GB 15GB
Free Night Zones (12am – 6am)
€29.90 €44.90 €64.90 €89.90 €79.90 €19.90 €29.90 €18.00 €30.00 €60.00
Tooway B2C Line-up Eastern Europe Pay-as-You-Go
VNO-like offers
TOOWAY PACKAGED OFFER
► Distributor defines all product characteristics according to marketing strategy and target market
1
Examples of KA-SAT corporate solutions
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Video surveillance of remote sites
Broadband communication for trucks
Backhauling and back-up for PMR infrastructure
Redundancy for terrestrial infrastructure
Temporary broadband communication for disaster recovery
Connection for remote sensor Networks
Broadband in Europe: conclusions
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Structural growth drivers with millions of underserved households
Proven internet Broadband product
Ramp-up of customer base
Ongoing strengthening of distribution network
Second generation KA-SAT under consideration
Capitalizing on KA-SAT experience to expand into other markets
The satellite broadband opportunity in fast-growing markets
21 Sources: United Nations - www.internetlivestats.com/
► Insufficient scale of terrestrial broadband networks • Fixed line infrastructure less developed • Mobile networks for broadband less deployed
and often congested • Roll-out of terrestrial networks takes time and
money
► High cost, limited performance and low reliability services where they exist
► Internet access a necessity for growth and development
3.2bn Connected
4.1bn Offline of which 95% in emerging countries
7.3bn Total world population 2015
Areas with under-developped infrastructure favour satellite
Strong potential regions including LATAM, Russia and Sub-Saharan Africa
22 Source: McKinsey – offline and falling behind, 2014
SIZE OF OFFLINE POPULATION (2013, in million)
USA 50m
Mexico 69m
Brazil 97m
Russia 55m
China 736m
Vietnam 50m
Philippines 62m
Indonesia 210m
Turkey 40m
Egypt 41m
Nigeria 108m
Congo DR 64m
Bangladesh 146m
India 1,063m
Tanzania 47m Myanmar
53m
Ethiopia 92m Thailand
48m
Iran 53m
Pakistan 162m
0 1,200
LATAM: Service since 2014, follow up in 2016
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► EUTELSAT 3B • KA-band HTS payload of five steerable beams • Flexible coverage: EMEA / LATAM • Capacity: ~4 Gbps • In service since July 2014
► EUTELSAT 65 West A • KA-band HTS payload of up to 24 spotbeams • Coverage: LATAM with focus on Brazil • Capacity: ~37.5 Gbps • Entire HTS payload already presold • To be launched in Q1 2016
Russia: Commercial service in Q2 2016
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► EUTELSAT 36C: unique in-orbit resource over Russia • 18 spotbeams • Capacity: ~11.6 Gbps • Launch in Q4 2015
► Operating at key Russian geostationary position (36° East)
► Leveraging on Eutelsat’s historical relationship with Russian partners • RSCC to provide Ground infrastructure
► Capacity will be operated by Eutelsat Networks (51% owned), local JV in charge of commercialization
► 2 distribution models • VNO (VSAT and telecom operators) will buy bandwidth, design offers to end-users and sell services under their brands • Resellers (Regional telecom services distributors) will distribute end-user offers designed by Eutelsat Networks • Potential partners identified and several MoUs signed
► Commercial service in Q2 2016
Africa: Two initiatives for timely access to the market
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► Multi-year lease of Amos-6 HTS Ka-band payload • 18 HTS Ka-band spot beams • ~18 Gbps o/w c. 50% for Eutelsat
► Facebook secured as an anchor partner
► Service expected to start end-2016
► Timely investment opportunity
AMOS 6 FOLLOW-ON SATELLITE
► Procurement of a a new-generation HTS satellite from TAS • All-electric satellite • New Spacebus Neo platform • Unprecedented flexibility • Baseline mission: 65 spotbeams,
~75 Gbps with option to double capacity
► Quasi-complete coverage of SSA
► Launch expected in 2019
African broadband strategy
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► Focus on premium consumer and professional segments
► Indirect distribution model (B-to-B-to-C) • Telecom operators, MNOs • Internet Service Providers • VSAT operators, Integrators • Energy providers, IT resellers, individual entrepreneurs
► Ground network owned and operated by Eutelsat to provide services adapted to customer needs • Raw capacity over selected beams (Mhz) • Dedicated IP bandwidth over selected beams (Mbps) • Packaged user services over selected beams
► Ground segment procurement underway
► Commercial prospection started
COVERAGE OF AFRICAN BROADBAND STANDALONE SATELLITE
30 COUNTRIES COVERED OVER SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
EUTELSAT’S NEW GENERATION HTS SATELLITE
SETTING NEW STANDARDS FOR BROADBAND IN AFRICA
Agenda
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2
3
4
HTS opening new horizons
Eutelsat’s Broadband activity
Eutelsat internet broadband strategy
Conclusions
1
To sum up
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4.3
4.4
Internet broadband via satellite a new growth driver for Eutelsat
Ka-band HTS already delivering DSL-like quality today and fiber-like quality tomorrow
Significant future demand both in mature and fast growing markets
Ongoing development of KA-SAT; consideration of second generation
Launch of African broadband strategy; dedicated payloads for LATAM and Russia; other opportunities under consideration