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Developing Infrastructure and Operating Models for Intermodal Shift - DIOMIS http://www.uic.org/diomis Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007 Geneva 12&13 October 2009

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Page 1: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

Developing Infrastructure and Operating

Models for Intermodal Shift - DIOMIS

http://www.uic.org/diomis

Intermodal Rail/Road Transport

In Europe 2007

Geneva 12&13 October 2009

Page 2: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

� To deliver evidence of the importance of the intermodal

industry in Europe to economic and political stakeholders:

“Only what you can count has relevance”

� To provide market data for the intermodal industry itself to be

used for internal and political purposes

� To establish a time series on the evolution of the intermodal

industry (2nd edition after the pioneering 2005 report)

Main objectives

Page 3: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

Schedule of presentation

� Intermodal market data 2007

� Intermodal traffic 2007

� Outlook for intermodal traffic 2008/2009

Page 4: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

Intermodal market data

Page 5: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

RO

BG

HU

SL

SK

CZ

PL

LT

DE

DK

BE

LU

FR

ES IT

AT

FI

LV

IE

EE

CH MD

NO

UA

BY

RU

RU

AL

MK

BA

HR

CSPT

UK

SE

GR

NL

TR

Countries covered by 2007 survey

Page 6: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

Providers of unaccompanied intermodal services

Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007, Paris 2009

� Min. 105 intermodal service providers

� Generalist (classical) intermodal operators: ca. 40%

� Railway undertakings in operator role: ca. 30%

� Logistic service providers in operator role: ca. 30%

Intermodal market data 2007

Page 7: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

Revenues from intermodal rail/road services

Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007, Paris 2009

Intermodal market data 2007

€ 5.205 bn

Intermodal revenues 2007

database: number of CT operators recorded: 55

Page 8: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

Employment in intermodal rail/road industry

Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007, Paris 2009

Intermodal market data 2007

Reported figures

Estimated additional

Total

6,143 2,891 9,034

660 6,554 7,214

- 15,634 15,634

6,803 25,079 31,882

Train operating companies

Infrastructure managers

Staff with

Number of employees

Intermodal service providers

Total

Page 9: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

Intermodal traffic 2007

Page 10: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

Unaccompanied intermodal traffic: goods shipped

Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007

Intermodal traffic 2007

-

20

40

60

80

100

120

Domestic services International services

64.39

31.92

32.80

43.05

Container hinterland services Continental services

Million gross tonnes

97.2 75.0 Total: 172.1m tonnes

Page 11: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

-

2

4

6

8

10

12

Domestic services International services

6.53

3.23

3.36

3.99

Container hinterland services Continental services

Million TEU

Total: 17.1m TEU

Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007

9,9 7,2

Unaccompanied intermodal traffic: TEU carried

Intermodal traffic 2007

Page 12: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007

Importance of international freight (according to TEU)

Intermodal traffic 2007

Domestic container

hinterland

(38.2%)

Total international

(42.2%)

Domestic continental

(19.6%)

Page 13: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

2,732,000

1,575,000

1,272,000

600,000

590,000

550,000

520,000

425,000

413,000

248,000

177,000

160,000

120,000

116,000

92,000

76,000

227,500

- 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000

Germany

Italy

United kingdom

Belgium

France

Austria

Sweden

Norway

Spain

Romania

Poland

Switzerland

Netherlands

Portugal

Finland

Czech Republic

Other countries

Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007

Domestic unaccompanied traffic by country 2007 (in TEU)

Intermodal traffic 2007

Page 14: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007

Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried

Intermodal traffic 2007

2005 2007

Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7%

International services 5.38 7.22 34.2%

Total volume 12.67 17.11 35.0%

Intermodal market segment

Traffic volume (million TEU) 2007/2005

% change

Page 15: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007

Accompanied intermodal rail/road traffic 2007

Intermodal traffic 2007

Market segment Gross tonnesShipments

(n° of trucks)TEU

Domestic services 4,592,000 127,628 297,373

International services 9,018,000 282,255 657,654

Total services 13,610,000 409,883 955,027

Page 16: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007

Total intermodal rail/road traffic 2007: TEU carried

Intermodal traffic 2007

Unaccompanied traffic

Accompanied traffic

Total intermodal traffic

Domestic services 9,893,566 297,373 10,190,939

International services 7,219,254 657,654 7,876,908

Total intermodal services 17,112,820 955,027 18,067,847

Intermodal market segment

TEU

Page 17: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007

Total intermodal rail/road traffic 2005-2007: TEU carri ed

Intermodal traffic 2007

2005 2007

Domestic services 7.39 10.19 37.9%

International services 6.03 7.88 30.7%

Total services 13.42 18.07 34.6%

Intermodal market segment

Traffic volume (million TEU) 2007/2005

% change

Page 18: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007

Intermodal traffic 2007

Major international intermodal trade lanes involving CEE countries: 2007

Page 19: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

Outlook for intermodal traffic

2008/2009

Page 20: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

Forecast unaccompanied intermodal traffic: 2007-2009(mill tonnes)

Outlook for intermodal traffic 2008/2009

172.4

185.5

207.2

0

50

100

150

200

250

2007 2008 2009

Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007 ; 47 companies

2008/2007: + 7.6%2009/2008: + 11.7%

Page 21: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

DIOMIS: Projected evolutions of CT volumes 2005-201 5

125,35

172,16177,32

141,86

268,59

206,37

258,50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2005:DIOMIS

SituationReport 2005

2007:DIOMIS

SituationReport 2007

Estimate2008

Forecast2009

2015 :ForecastAgenda

2015(January

2008)

2015:Revisedforecast

(Impact ofthe

recession!)

2018

Mill

ions

Ton

s

+36,5% achieved in 2007/2005 !!

+113% 2015/2005 projected by DIOMIS Agenda 2015 (January 2008)

+3% 2008/2007, including the impact of the recession starting in the Summer 2008

-20% in 2009, estimate of the overall impact on CT of the recession through 2009

Revised forecast based on the assumption of a recovery starting end 2010 and a return to the structural growth rate of CT from 2011 (+7,8% p.a. domestic CT, +8,4% international CT)

The initial forecast of Agenda 2015 w ill be reached during the first half of 2019, instead of end 2015

But, well before that time, capacity shortages will have appeared on the network, the terminals and in the wagon field

Page 22: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

> 173

Rate of employment

N°of trains per day and direction on a double tracked electrified line

145 - 173

121 – 144

< 120

70 – 84 %

85 – 100 %

> 100 %

< 70 %

> 173

Rate of employment

N°of trains per day and direction on a double tracked electrified line

145 - 173

121 – 144

< 120

70 – 84 %

85 – 100 %

> 100 %

< 70 %

> 173

Rate of employment

N°of trains per day and direction on a double tracked electrified line

145 - 173

121 – 144

< 120

70 – 84 %

85 – 100 %

> 100 %

< 70 %

> 173

Rate of employment

N°of trains per day and direction on a double tracked electrified line

145 - 173

121 – 144

< 120

70 – 84 %

85 – 100 %

> 100 %

< 70 %

Rail network load 2015 (all ongoing & planned investments implemented)

Page 23: Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007€¦ · Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 – 2007: TEU carried Intermodal traffic 2007 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION

Sandra [email protected]