interest.co.nz submission to parliamentary inquiry sept2

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Submission to Multi-Party Inquiry into Banking by interest.co.n z Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

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Page 1: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Submission to Multi-Party Inquiry

into Banking by interest.co.nz

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

Page 2: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

Why the problem is not bank profiteering.

The problem is New Zealand’s structural settings favouring

housing investment.

Page 3: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

Who are we to say this?

Page 4: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

NZers care an awful lot about interest rates

Page 5: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

Obviously banks are profiteering…right?

Page 6: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

That’s a big gap. They must be creaming it.

Page 7: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

Wholesale funding costs are up 100 bps

Page 8: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

Local funding costs are up 150 basis points

Page 9: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

Bank net interest margins actually fellBank Net Interest

Margin 09 Net Interest Margin 08

Profit2009NZ$mln

Profit2008NZ$mln

Profit / assets2009

Profit/assets2008

ANZ National

2.19% 2.45% 561 960 0.6% 1.1%

BNZ 2.20% 2.25% -183 597 0.01% 1.35%

ASB 1.78% 1.82% 336 432 0.7% 1.0%Westpac 1.97% 2.13% 186 462 0.5% 1.2%Kiwibank 1.90% 1.90% 52.5 36.8 0.6% 0.6%

Page 10: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

And they’ve been falling for a long while

Page 11: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

The bias to farm and housing lending

worsened in 2009Loans 2009

$bln2008$bln

Change$bln

2009Rate %

2008Rate %

Changebps

Homes 164.8 161.6 +3.2 6.4 10.9 -450

Farms 46.6 43.5 +3.1 9.9 12.2 -230

Business

78.0 81.0 -3.0 9.9 12.2 -230

Page 12: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

And the connection is a foreign debt blowout

Page 13: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

Who in this room has an LAQC or family trust?

Page 14: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

Ever wonder what a loss of sovereignty

might look like

?

Page 15: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

Reserve Bank Governor

Page 16: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

Bank regulator

Page 17: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

Currency

Page 18: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

So what do we do?• Flatter, simpler tax system• More productive investment• Less property speculation• Land tax or Capital Gains Tax• GST on mortgages/rents?• Use capital adequacy rules• Bigger capital ‘top-ups’

Page 19: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

And give this man a knighthood

Page 20: Interest.co.nz submission to Parliamentary Inquiry Sept2

Parliamentary Banking Inquiry- Wellington - Sept 2, 2009

Thank you for your time