insights from the economic data city of stonnington

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HoustonKemp.com Insights from the economic data – City of Stonnington Economic Recovery Committee Greg Houston 27 August 2020

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HoustonKemp.com

Insights from the economic data – City of Stonnington

Economic Recovery Committee

Greg Houston

27 August 2020

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Victorian retail trade – strongly diverse effects

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Source: ABS, 8501.0 – Retail trade, Australia, June 2020, 4 August 2020; ABS, 8501.0.55.008 – Retail trade, Australia, Preliminary, July 2020, 21 August 2020.

Data indexed to pre-Covidlevels

Food and household goods expenditure is above baseline levels

Cafes/restaurants and clothing stores have seen the largest falls in expenditure

Preliminary July data show 2 per cent decline from June. All other states show increases.

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Nationwide step-change towards online trade

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Source: ABS, 8501.0 – Retail trade, Australia, June 2020, 4 August 2020

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Online step-change includes multi-channel retailers

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Source: ABS, 8501.0 – Retail trade, Australia, June 2020, 4 August 2020

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Victoria, NSW and WA mobility data compared

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Source: Google, COVID-19 community mobility reports

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Vic, NSW, WA – time spent at residences

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Source: Google, COVID-19 community mobility reports

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Vic, NSW, WA – visits to retail and recreation venues

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Source: Google, COVID-19 community mobility reports

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Vic, NSW, WA – visits to grocery and pharmacy stores

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Source: Google, COVID-19 community mobility reports

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Vic, NSW, WA – time spent at work locations

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Source: Google, COVID-19 community mobility reports

Queen’s Birthday

School holidays

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Vic, NSW, WA – CBD vs inner LGA mobility data

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Source: Google, COVID-19 community mobility reports

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NSW, Vic, WA – CBD v inner LGA grocery/pharmacy

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Source: Google, COVID-19 community mobility reports

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NSW, Vic, WA – CBD v inner LGA, retail/recreation

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Source: Google, COVID-19 community mobility reports

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Retail lease vacancies across Stonnington precincts

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Chapel Street activity count, pre- and post lockdown

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Vehicles

Pedestrians

Cyclists

Level over previous weeks

Source: City of Stonnington

Reductions in movement as restrictions increased

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Data ‘Levers’ to support the Stonnington recovery

• Monitoring of ‘direct’ economic stimulus business support initiatives

• ‘Indirect’, medium term levers:› Review status of each precinct, by reference to an

‘increasingly local’ theme.

› Precinct analysis supported by

existing data sources – especially PTV and camera-based counters

wider data gathering initiatives – covering more precincts.

› Data to inform planning process, eg, trading hours and regulatory hurdles to changed operation.

› Data to inform business groups directly, eg, effect of retail promotions.

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