immigration trends in minnesota barbara j. ronningen state demographic center june 8, 2002
TRANSCRIPT
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Immigration Trends in
MinnesotaBarbara J. Ronningen
State Demographic Center
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Who Immigrates?
Young people - most immigrants are young working-age adults
About half are female and half male About 30% of immigrants return home EXCEPT for
refugees Refugees must prove that their lives are in danger
in their homeland In 2000, 69% of immigrants came to join family
(family preference) In 2000, 13% of immigrants came to work
(employment preference) In 2000, 8% of immigrants came as refugees
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What Data is Available?INS Statistical Yearbook
MN Dept. of Health Refugee Data
MN Dept. of Health Birth Certificates
MN DCFL Language Spoken at Home Data
MN DCFL Ethnicity and Race Data
US Census Data on Race, Ethnicity, Ancestry, Foreign Born and Language
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Immigration to U.S. Reflects Law Changes
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
1400000
1600000
1800000
2000000
1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000
Source: Immigration and Naturalization Service
IRCA passed in 1986
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Total immigrants - 849,807 1 to 100 100 to 500 500 to 1,000 1,000 to 5,000 5,000 to 100,000 173,919 to 173,919 Missing
Immigration to the U.S.2000
Source: INS
173,919
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18201830
18401850
18601870
18801890
19001910
19201930
19401950
19601970
19801990
20000%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
AfricaSouth America
North America Asia Europe
Half of All Immigrants Come from North America 25% from Mexico
U.S. 1820 through 2000
Source: Immigration and Naturalization Service
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We're Number 1!Largest population of Somali immigrantsHighest proportion of refugeesSecond highest population of HmongHighest number coming for the winter
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0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000
Source: Immigration and Naturalization Service
Recent Immigration Trends in Minnesota Reflect Refugee
Numbers
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Total immigrants - 8,671 0 to 25 25 to 100 100 to 200 200 to 500 500 to 604 Missing
Immigration to the Minnesota2000
Source: INS
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15%13%
8% 6% 8%
12%14% 15% 16%
14% 14%
8% 7%
46%
34%
39% 40% 41%
34%36%
42%45%
42%39%
24%
14%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999
U.S. MinnesotaSource: Immigration and Naturalization Service
Refugees Flock to Minnesota % of All Immigrants Who Are Refugees
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Or Do They?
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999
Percent
Un
ited
Sta
tes
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
Min
nes
ota
Source: Immigration and Naturalization Service
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Minnesota's Share of U.S. Immigration is Small But Proportion of Refugees is
Higher
Detailed data on refugees for 2000 is not yet available.Source: Immigration and Naturalization Service
0.9%
0.7%
0.5%0.4% 0.4%
0.7%0.8% 0.9%
1.1%1.0% 1.0% 1.1%
0.9%1.0%
2.8%
2.0%
2.7% 2.7%
2.2%2.0%
2.1%
2.5%
3.2%
2.9%2.9%
3.2%
2.0%
1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 19990.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
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Politics Likely Cause of Change in Origin of Orphans
18,120
6,911
8,639
1,890
452 217
14,867
5,457
7,393
1,344497 171
8,200
2,371
3,684
847 1,20583
TotalEurope
AsiaNo. America
So. AmericaAfrica
0
5
10
15
20
Tho
usan
ds 1994
1998
2000
Source: Immigration and Naturalization Service
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Minority Growth Accounts for Much of Population Growth in Rural Areas
1
24
5
17
9
12
3
5
1
24
7
21
12 12
56
Pop & Min. lossPop loss Min. gain
Up to 10%10 - 25%
25% - 50%50 - 100%
100 - 200%More than 200%
All counties Rural counties
Rural counties exclude 7 Twin Cities counties, Stearns, Sherburne, Benton, St. Louis and Olmsted
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26.2%24.3%
37.5% 37.8% 37.5% 38.2%
TotalWhite
African AmericanAsian & P.I.
American IndianHispanic
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
Percent under 18
Minority Populations Much Younger than White Population
Source: 2000 Census
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Minnesota = 11.8% 1.2% to 4.0% 4.0% to 8.0% 8.0% to 11.8% 11.8% to 37.3%
Minority Population in 2000Source: U.S. Census Bureau
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Minnesota = 260,454
29 to 100
100 to 1,000
1,000 to 10,000
10,000 to 20,000
50,000 to 110,487
Foreign Born Residents2000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
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Minnesota = Asia
North America
Asia
Europe
Latin America
Predominant Origin of Foreign Born Residents2000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
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Births to Mothers Born Outside U.S. Continue to Increase
Source: MN Department of Health
5.8%
1.8%
0.3% 0.0%
7.9%
2.0%1.2%
0.1%
10.0%
2.0% 1.9%
0.4%
11.9%
1.8%2.6%
0.9%
13.7%
1.8%
3.3%
1.2%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
All non-U.S. Laos Mexico Somalia
% o
f A
ll B
irth
s
1990 1995 1997 1999 2000
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Minnesota = 13.7%
.0% to .0%
.0% to 2.0%
2.0% to 10.0%
10.0% to 20.0%
20.0% to 29.0%
More Babies Born to Foreign-Born Mothers2000
Source: MN Department of Health
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Minority Student Numbers Increase 1991-92 to 2001-02
7118
4398
12415
9748
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Kindergarten 12th Grade
1991-1992 2001-2002
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11%
8%
21%
11%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Kindergarten 12th Grade
1991-1992 2001-2002
One in Five Kindergarten Students is Minority
Source: Department of Children, Families and Learning
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Minnesota = 69,618
0 to 0
0 to 179
201 to 940
2,760 to 3,977
21,937 to 23,347
Students Who Do NOT Speak English at Home2002
Source: MN Department of Children, Families and Learning
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Minnesota = 22,042
0 to 0
1 to 50
51 to 673
6,476 to 13,745
Students Who Speak Hmong at Home2002
Source: MN Department of Children, Families and Learning
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Minnesota = 20,706
0 to 0
1 to 100
101 to 439
513 to 1,013
3,780 to 6,429
Students Who Speak Spanish at Home2002
Source: MN Department of Children, Families and Learning
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Minnesota = 5,445
0 to 0
1 to 100
101 to 315
701 to 2,946
Students Who Speak Somali at Home2002
Source: MN Department of Children, Families and Learning
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Minnesota = 2,053
0 to 0
1 to 63
118 to 327
812 to 812
Students Who Speak Russian at Home2002
Source: MN Department of Children, Families and Learning
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Illegal Immigrant Numbers Small but Growing in Minnesota
In 1998, 1,800 illegal immigrants were deported from Minnesota, South Dakota and North Dakota.
46% of those arrested in 1990 had committed a crime (other than working in the U.S. without appropriate papers). In 2001, the rate was almost 90% .
INS estimates about 6 to 11 million illegal immigrants resident in the U.S. with about 40% in California.
More than half of all illegal immigrants in U.S. are from Mexico.
41% of illegal immigrants are undocumented "overstays."
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Illegal Immigrant Arrests Focus on Criminal Involvement
405
1198
2052
1474
187
599
14331324
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
1990 1996 1999 2001
Total Arests Criminally Involved
Source: Immigration and Naturalization Service
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Most INS Arrests are Mexican Nationals
St. Paul District
Mexico - 1,105 Guatemala - 39 El Salvador - 39 Ecuador - 28 Honduras - 28 Somalia - 14 Nigeria - 10 Canada - 9 Liberia - 9
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Fewer Immigrants in the Future?
Post-September 11
Minnesota less "welcoming"
Recession and fewer jobs
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For More Data on Immigration Wilder Foundation report on immigration:
http://www.wilder.org/research/reports.html?summary=89
Immigration and Naturalization Service:http://www.ins.usdoj.gov/graphics/aboutins/statistics/index.htm
State Demographic Centerhttp://www.mnplan.state.mn.us/demography/
H.A.C.E.R. (University of Minnesota)http://www.hacer-mn.org/
Chicano Latino Affairs Council (C.L.A.C.) http://www.clac.state.mn.us/chicanos.htm