gps energetic particle data: space weather, climatology
TRANSCRIPT
Slide 1
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS Energetic Particle Data:
Space Weather, Climatology, and Anomaly
Assessment S.K. Morley
With thanks to: J.P. Sullivan, M.R. Carver, R.M. Kippen
and the CXD team
Space Science and Applications
Los Alamos National Laboratory
Slide 2
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
Space weather hazards and effects What do we need to measure?
Internal discharge in transparent
dielectric. Demonstration at
RADECS 2013 by Keith Ryden
(Univ. of Surrey) CC-BY-3.0: Johan Ideström
• Energetic charged particles can affect
spacecraft through:
• Surface discharge
(~keV electrons)
• Internal discharge
(>2 MeV electrons)
• Total dose effects
(>5 MeV protons)
• Single event effects
(>30 MeV protons)
Slide 3
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
• Energetic charged particles can affect
spacecraft through:
• Surface discharge
(~keV electrons)
• Internal discharge
(>2 MeV electrons)
• Total dose effects
(>5 MeV protons)
• Single event effects
(>30 MeV protons)
SE
AE
SR
T fig
ure
from
NO
AA
SW
PC
Model b
y O'B
rien (2
009)
Current Expert Systems assess hazard at GEO GPS provides information for MEO
Slide 4
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
The Global Positioning System
as a Space Environment Monitor
Slide 5
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
More than just timing and navigation GPS carries energetic particle sensors
CXD instrument:
• Electrons
• 120 keV to >6 MeV
• 11 energy channels
• Protons
• 6 MeV to >100 MeV
• 5 energy channels
Photo: LA-UR-09-07377
Fro
m T
usze
wski e
t a
l.,
20
04.
Slide 6
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS measures MEO environment Data valuable for Internal Charging, Total Dose and SEE
Medium Earth Orbit:
• Circular orbit at 4RE
• Inclined at 55°
• Six orbital planes
• 12 hour orbit
Currently 23 GPS carry energetic
particle sensors
Mo
rle
y e
t a
l., S
pa
ce
We
ath
er,
20
16
.
Slide 7
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
"The Next Space Weather Data Revolution" 23 satellites: More than 197 satellite-years of data!
CXD-equipped
Modifie
d f
rom
Morley
et al., S
pace W
eath
er,
2017.
Slide 8
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
Enabling new space weather science Two satellites can't resolve fast changes
From Baker et al., 2016
From Morley et al., 2016
Slide 9
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
From Baker et al., 2016
After Morley et al., 2016
Enabling new space weather science GPS constellation resolves fast dynamics
Slide 10
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
Space Weather Hazards
Slide 11
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
Climatology for space system design Long-term GPS data informs design
Wang e
t al.,
IEE
E T
rans. N
ucl. S
ci., 2018.
• >2MeV electron flux as a function of
time, for 1 solar cycle, from ns54
• Colored lines show >2MeV electron
flux at different percentiles of AE9
climatology model
• AE9 percentiles are consistent with
climatology measured by GPS
• Present version of AE9 has GPS data
from BDDII covering 1990-2004.
Slide 12
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
GPS data to estimate internal charging Charging E-field changes with time
Wang e
t al.,
IEE
E T
rans. N
ucl. S
ci., 2018.
• Charging electric field for satellite
at MEO as function of time
• Derived using GPS data to specify
environment and modeling of
internal charging
• Different colors represent different
dielectric time constants
Slide 13
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
Proton Dynamics: SEE Hazard Major SEP events: Dec 2006 and Jan 2012
• Flux above 20 MeV is
consistent with GOES
• Good quality SEP data
for L>4
Slide 14
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
Space Weather and GPS:
September 2017
Slide 15
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
Space weather hazards occur in different times/places R3 Radio Blackouts: X-class flares from Sept. 5th to 11th
Images fro
m
NA
SA
's S
ola
r D
ynam
ics O
bserv
ato
ry
X2.2 X9.3 X1.3 X8.2
Slide 16
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
Space weather hazards occur in different times/places Geomagnetic storms: High-Kp intervals from Sept. 5th to 11th
Elevated Kp:
G4, G2, then G4
storms
Slide 17
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
Space weather hazards occur in different times/places Internal charging hazard comes late in storm
Elevated >2MeV
electron flux indicates
internal charging
hazard
Slide 18
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UNCLASSIFIED
Different hazards occur at different times A closer look at Sept. 5th to Sept. 9th
Slide 19
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UNCLASSIFIED
Solar energetic protons during Sept 2017 storm Single Event Effects hazard
Slide 20
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
SEP Penetration Varies with Storm Activity Single Event Effects, Astronaut Safety
Slide 21
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
Global Positioning System
Energetic Particle Data
is Publicly Available
Slide 22
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
October 2015:
• National Space Weather
Strategy
• National Space Weather
Action Plan
• OSTP Fact Sheet
January 2016:
• CXD electron cross-
calibration published
• Preliminary release of
data from January 2014
October 2016:
• Executive Order 13744
Slide 23
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
October 2016:
• Executive Order 13744
January 2017:
• Data released from all
CXD and BDD-IIR
instruments, Dec. 2000 –
Dec. 2016
January 2018:
• CXD proton cross-
calibration published
• Data reprocessing
underway
Slide 24
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UNCLASSIFIED
Data is indexed at data.gov Archived by NOAA/NCEI
Slide 25
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
Data is indexed at data.gov Archived by NOAA/NCEI
Slide 26
Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy's NNSA
UNCLASSIFIED
• Nearly 200 satellite-years of energetic particle
data from 23 satellites
• CXD data have been validated against Van Allen
Probes and GOES
• Currently, data through Dec. 2016 indexed at
data.gov