GPPSS Student Enrollment Presentation

Grosse Pointe Public School System April 10, 2017

• To provide the Board of Education and the community data regarding actual and projected enrollment changes in GPPSS

• Inform the 2017-18 budget development process

Purpose of Presentation :

4/10/2017 2

• All data from the 2005-06 school year through the 2016-17 school year is taken from the Fall Student Count

• All projections are from the report provided by Plante Moran Cresa dated 3/22/17

Data Sources:

4/10/2017 3

• Elementary Enrollment Data

• Middle School Enrollment Data

• High School Enrollment Data

• District Enrollment Data

• Statewide and Private/Parochial Data

Report Structure:

4/10/2017 4

ELEMENTARY SCHOOL ENROLLMENT

4/10/2017 5

2600

2700

2800

2900

3000

3100

3200

3300

3400

3500

3600

2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17

S

t

u

d

e

n

t

s

Total Elementary District Enrollment

GPPSS

2016-17 Includes Young Fives

4/10/2017 6

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17

S

t

u

d

e

n

t

s

Elementary Building Enrollment

Defer

Ferry

Kerby

Maire

Mason

Monteith

Poupard

Richard

Trombly

2016-17 Excludes

Young Fives

4/10/2017 7

Elementary Building Enrollment Percentage Change

Building 2005-06 2016-17* Percentage Change Defer 459 288 -37% Ferry 425 334 -22% Kerby 357 346 -3% Maire 341 311 -9% Mason 246 264 7%

Monteith 580 433 -25% Poupard 338 279 -17% Richard 431 347 -20% Trombly 280 262 -6%

Total 3456 2863 -17% *Excludes Young Fives

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2500

2700

2900

3100

3300

3500

S

t

u

d

e

n

t

s

Projected GPPSS Elementary Enrollment Including Young Fives

GPPSS

* = Plante Moran Cresa

Projections

4/10/2017 9

MIDDLE SCHOOL ENROLLMENT

4/10/2017 10

1600

1650

1700

1750

1800

1850

1900

1950

2000

2050

2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17

S

t

u

d

e

n

t

s

Total Middle School Enrollment

GPPSS

4/10/2017 11

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17

S

t

u

d

e

n

t

s

Middle School Building Enrollment

Brownell

Parcells

Pierce

4/10/2017 12

Middle School Building Enrollment Percentage Change

Building 2005-06 2016-17 Percentage Change

Brownell 689 604 -12%

Parcells 724 641 -11%

Pierce 597 513 -14%

Total 2010 1758 -13%

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1500

1600

1700

1800

1900

2000

2100

S

t

u

d

e

n

t

s

Projected Total GPPSS Middle School Enrollment

GPPSS

* = Plante Moran Cresa Projections

4/10/2017 14

HIGH SCHOOL ENROLLMENT

4/10/2017 15

2750

2800

2850

2900

2950

3000

3050

3100

3150

3200

2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17

S

t

u

d

e

n

t

s

Total High School Enrollment

GPPSS

4/10/2017 16

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17

S

t

u

d

e

n

t

s

High School Building Enrollment

North

South

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2400

2450

2500

2550

2600

2650

2700

2750

2800

2850

2900

2950

3000

3050

3100

3150

3200

S

t

u

d

e

n

t

s

Projected Total High School Enrollment

GPPSS

* = Plante Moran Cresa

Projections

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TOTAL DISTRICT ENROLLMENT

4/10/2017 19

7000

7200

7400

7600

7800

8000

8200

8400

8600

8800

2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17

S

t

u

d

e

n

t

s

GPPSS Total District Enrollment

GPPSS

4/10/2017 20

6000

6500

7000

7500

8000

8500

9000

S

t

u

d

e

n

t

s

Projected Total GPPSS Enrollment

GPPSS

* = Plante Moran Cresa

Projections

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4/10/2017 22

1st Grade Historical Enrollment

Year Total Students in 1st Grade for

Given School Year 2016-17 Grade of that 1st

Grade Class 2005-06 594 12th 2006-07 557 11th 2007-08 583 10th 2008-09 553 9th 2009-10 510 8th 2010-11 495 7th 2011-12 503 6th 2012-13 489 5th 2013-14 474 4th 2014-15 472 3rd 2015-16 437 2nd 2016-17 427 1st

STATEWIDE AND PRIVATE/PAROCHIAL ENROLLMENT

4/10/2017 23

4/10/2017 24

1350000

1400000

1450000

1500000

1550000

1600000

1650000

1700000

2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16

Michigan Public K-12 Enrollment

Statewide Enrollment

12% reduction in student

population from 2005-06 through

2015-16

12% reduction in student

population from 2005-06 through

2015-16

12% reduction in student

population from 2005-06 through

2015-16

12% reduction in student

population from 2005-06 through

2015-16

12% reduction in student

population from 2005-06 through

2015-16

12% reduction in student

population from 2005-06 through

2015-16

12% reduction in student

population from 2005-06 through

2015-16

12% reduction in student

population from 2005-06 through

2015-16

12% reduction in student

population from 2005-06 through

2015-16

12% reduction in student

population from 2005-06 through

2015-16

12% reduction in student

population from 2005-06 through

2015-16

Data retrieved from

MISchoolData.org

4/10/2017 25

Local Private/Parochial Enrollment

School 2009-10 2014-15 Percentage

Change Grosse Pointe Academy 225 195 -13%

St. Clare 182 96 -47% St. Joan 525 446 -15% St. Paul 454 324 -29%

Star of the Sea 336 246 -27%

Data retrieved from MISchoolData.org

4/10/2017 26

University Liggett School Enrollment Distribution

Data retrieved from www.privateschoolreview.com