global views on immigration and the refugee crisis · ipsos immigration and refugees poll would you...

1 ©2017 Ipsos1

Global Views on Immigration and the Refugee Crisis

2017

©2017 Ipsos All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.

2 ©2017 Ipsos

Contents

1

2

3

Overall attitudes to immigration

Impact of immigration

Attitudes to refugee crisis

OVERALL ATTITUDES TO IMMIGRATION

©2017 Ipsos3

4 ©2017 Ipsos

Global attitudes toward immigration: general belief it is increasing, with negative consequences

IPSOS IMMIGRATION AND REFUGEES POLL

Base: 17,903 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru, New Zealand, July 2017

75%

20%6%

INCREASED

STAYED THE SAME

DECREASED

Over the last 5 years, in your opinion has the amount of migrants in your country…

21%

34%

42%

3%POSITIVENEUTRALNEGATIVEDON'T KNOW

Would you say that immigration has generally had a positive or negative impact on your country?

44%

28%

24%4%

AGREENEITHERDISAGREEDON'T KNOW

“Immigration is causing my country to change in ways that I don’t like”

48%

27%

21%5%

AGREENEITHERDISAGREEDON'T KNOW

“There are too many immigrants in our country”

Base: 12361/17903 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru, July 2017

5 ©2017 Ipsos

July 2016 Oct 2015 July 2015 2014 2013 2011

78% 82% 81% 78% 80% 80%

94% 95% 88% 77% 79% 66%

96% 97% 97% 92% 92% 81%

87% 92% 94% 90% 87% 93%

85% 86% 86% 88% 88% 83%

91% 94% 93% 88% 95% 91%

89% 92% 84% 85% 86% 94%

87% 88% 86% 77% 79% 79%

93% 94% 87% 84% 73% 63%

81% 90% 90% 93% 97% 90%

78% 74% 70% 76% 78% 78%

78% 78% 83% 79% 85% 83%

77% 82% 87% 85% 90% 89%

77% 78% 81% 82% 81% 83%

80% 79% 80% 82% 81% 85%

85% 88% 91% 81% 84% 81%

72% 73% 73% 74% 82% 81%

74% 76% 69% 65% 72% 77%

50% 60% 58% 56% 63% 85%

77% 80% 81% 77% 79% 77%

69% 69% 77% 63% 75% 65%

46% 68% 60% 52% 46% 56%

61% 73% 62% 70% 73% 75%

In nearly all countries, most think immigration in their country has increased in last five years – it is the case in the US, but to a somewhat lesser extent than in 2016


45%

58%

66%

78%

74%

51%

61%

58%

58%

58%

65%

52%

51%

48%

43%

29%

40%

28%

38%

37%

35%

21%

27%

9%

10%

30%

33%

25%

12%

14%

35%

24%

28%

27%

27%

20%

28%

30%

31%

31%

43%

31%

41%

30%

28%

27%

40%

26%

41%

38%

75%

91%

90%

90%

88%

86%

85%

85%

85%

85%

85%

81%

80%

79%

74%

72%

71%

69%

68%

64%

61%

61%

54%

50%

49%

Total

Peru

Sweden

Turkey

Italy

Brazil

South Africa

Belgium

France

Serbia

Germany

Russia

Canada

Mexico

Argentina

India

Great Britain

Hungary

Australia

United States

Spain

Poland

Saudi Arabia

Japan

South Korea

Increased a lot Increased a littleJuly 2017

Over the last 5 years, in your opinion has the amount of migrants in your country decreased or increased?Base: 17,903 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru, July 2017

6 ©2017 Ipsos

Since 2011, the perception that immigration is on the rise has gained ground most in Sweden and Germany and ebbed most in South Korea and Spain; it is down 13 points in the US


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2011 2013 2014 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Jul-17

Sweden Germany Spain South Korea United States

Over the last 5 years, in your opinion has the amount of migrants in your country decreased or increased?

7 ©2017 Ipsos

Globally, few think immigration has had a positive impact, but more do in the US and in other English-speaking countries than elsewhere

July 2016 Oct 2015 July 2015 2014 2013 2011

20% 21% 21% 21% 20% 21%48% 50% 52% 30% 33% 38%

45% 42% 49% 41% 41% 43%

35% 31% 28% 26% 25% 19%

36% 38% 37% 33% 31% 39%

33% 42% 36% 32% 30% 31%

35% 28% 25% 25% 22% 18%

24% 29% 31% 39% 38% 37%17% 21% 23% 35% 29% 30%

20% 19% 21% 21% 21% 19%

14% 17% 19% 25% 23% 27%

18% 15% 20% 16% 12% 10%

18% 21% 20% 15% 17% 16%

14% 14% 15% 20% 22% 22%

11% 13% 11% 12% 11% 14%

11% 10% 12% 10% 8% 9%

9% 15% 13% 13% 13% 17%

10% 13% 16% 14% 14% 17%

12% 17% 15% 17% 12% 15%

10% 9% 5% 9% 12% 14%

8% 7% 11% 8% 8% 10%

6% 6% 2% 7% 7% 6%

6% 9% 6% 8% 6% 8%


Would you say that immigration has generally had a positive or negative impact on your country?Base: 17,903 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru, July 2017

21%

45%

44%

40%

38%

38%

35%

25%

22%

20%

18%

18%

18%

17%

15%

14%

11%

11%

10%

10%

10%

9%

9%

6%

5%

Total

Saudi Arabia

India

Great Britain

Canada

Australia

United States

Sweden

Brazil

Spain

South Korea

South Africa

Germany

Peru

Poland

France

Belgium

Japan

Mexico

Argentina

Italy

Russia

Turkey

Serbia

Hungary

July 2017- Very positive/Fairly positive

8 ©2017 Ipsos

Since 2011, Britain and the US show the largest increase in opinions that immigration has had a positive impact while Sweden shows the steepest drop


10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2011 2013 2014 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Jul-17

Great Britain United States Sweden

Would you say that immigration has generally had a positive or negative impact on your country?

9 ©2017 Ipsos

Countries surveyed with highest proportion of foreign-born population have more positive views about immigration than nearly all other countries; while all have a similar share of immigrants, Britain and the US show more positive opinions than Sweden, Spain, Germany, Belgium and France


Would you say that immigration has generally had a positive or negative impact on your country?Base: 17,903 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru, July 2017

* Foreign born population figures: United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. 2015.

Argentina

Australia

Belgium

Brazil

Canada

France

Germany

Great Britain

Hungary

India

ItalyJapanMexico

Peru Poland

Russia

Saudi Arabia

Serbia

South AfricaSouth Korea

Spain

Sweden

Turkey

United States

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%% of foreign born population

% s

ayin

g im

mig

rati

on

has

bee

n V

ery/

Fair

ly p

osi

tive

10 ©2017 Ipsos

July 2016 Oct 2015 July 2015 2014 2013 2011

49% 46% 50% 48% 51% 52%

85% 82% 92% 83% 76% 51%

65% 61% 71% 67% 65% 67%

64% 63% 69% 73% 83% 77%

65% 65% 62% 61% 75% 66%

60% 60% 61% 63% 70% 72%

56% 56% 59% 65% 69% 58%

54% 50% 57% 57% 58% 61%

57% 51% 60% 58% 57% 52%

56% 49% 61% 56% 56% 60%

50% 48% 43% 51% 47% 53%

43% 41% 43% 37% 33% 46%

51% 47% 49% 48% 53% 59%

40% 44% 48% 48% 56% 67%

55% 50% 54% 46% 50% 50%

49% 53% 60% 60% 64% 71%

44% 42% 44% 43% 52% 52%

43% 28% 35% 44% 44% 37%

41% 38% 39% 40% 45% 42%

35% 30% 36% 42% 45% 41%

31% 31% 33% 30% 29% 24%

33% 35% 32% 24% 28% 29%

12% 14% 13% 16% 17% 15%

Globally, and in the US, nearly half believe “there are too many immigrants in our country”IPSOS IMMIGRATION AND REFUGEES POLL

48%

83%

66%

62%

62%

61%

56%

56%

54%

54%

53%

53%

50%

48%

48%

47%

46%

45%

44%

43%

39%

35%

35%

31%

30%

15%

Total

Turkey

Italy

Russia

South Africa

Belgium

Serbia

Peru

Saudi Arabia

Argentina

France

India

Germany

Sweden

United States

Spain

Hungary

Great Britain

New Zealand

Australia

Mexico

Canada

Brazil

South Korea

Poland

Japan

Jul 2017 - Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree

Please tell whether you agree or disagree with the following statement – “There are too many immigrants in our country”Base: 17,903 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru, New Zealand, July 2017

11 ©2017 Ipsos

Since 2011, views that there are “too many immigrants” have most declined in Britain, Spain and the US and most increased in Turkey


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2011 2013 2014 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Jul-17

Turkey United States Spain Great Britain

Please tell whether you agree or disagree with the following statement – “There are too many immigrants in our country”

12 ©2017 Ipsos

Nearly half globally and in the US are uncomfortable with changes brought on by immigration, but unease ebbed slightly vs. 2016


44%

77%

63%

57%

56%54%

52%

49%

49%

46%

46%

46%

45%

45%

44%

43%

42%

41%

40%

38%38%

34%

32%

27%

24%

23%

Total

Turkey

Italy

Russia

Belgium

Hungary

South Africa

France

India

Spain

United States

Argentina

Germany

Australia

Sweden

Great Britain

Serbia

Poland

Canada

Saudi Arabia

New Zealand

Peru

Mexico

Japan

South Korea

Brazil

2017 – Strongly agree/ tend to agree

46%74%

63%

60%

55%56%

49%54%

52%41%

52%43%

44%

49%41%

47%

43%44%

38%

30%

24%

30%

23%

2016 – Strongly agree/ tend to agree

Please tell whether you agree or disagree with the following statement – “Immigration is causing my country to change in ways that I don’t like”.Base: 17,903 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru, New Zealand, July 2017

IMPACT OF IMMIGRATION

©2017 Ipsos13

14 ©2017 Ipsos

Globally, attitudes are split on the impact of immigration, but most concerns are over pressure on public services and jobs/economy


Immigrants make your country a more interesting place to live

Immigration has placed too much pressure on public services in your country

Immigrants in your country have made it more difficult for people of your nationality to get jobs

Priority should be given to immigrants with higher education and qualifications who can fill shortages among certain professions in your country

8% 20% 31% 16% 20% 5%

Immigration is good for the economy of your country

11% 20% 29% 15% 20% 5%

23% 26% 27% 11% 8% 5%

19% 22% 27% 15% 12% 4%

14% 26% 29% 13% 14% 5%

STRONGLY AGREE

TEND TO AGREE

NEITHER AGREE NOR DISAGREE

TEND TO DISAGREE

STRONGLY DISAGREE

DON’T KNOW

Base: 17,903 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru, New Zealand, July 2017

15 ©2017 Ipsos

July 2016 Oct 2015 July 2015 2014 2013 2011

50% 50% 50% 49% 52% 51%

72% 72% 81% 72% 66% 45%

62% 62% 59% 61% 74% 63%

59% 58% 67% 63% 59% 56%

59% 64% 68% 68% 72% 76%

58% 63% 56% 63% 68% 68%

55% 48% 45% 37% 36% 40%

60% 59% 58% 58% 65% 66%

57% 51% 61% 59% 58% 58%

60% 64% 60% 61% 63% 56%

57% 62% 53% 53% 58% 59%

50% 51% 52% 56% 59% 70%

55% 48% 53% 53% 55% 62%

52% 53% 47% 52% 50% 58%

53% 52% 52% 56% 59% 64%

51% 47% 45% 51% 56% 56%

45% 49% 43% 48% 52% 43%

45% 42% 49% 59% 54% 44%

34% 42% 34% 30% 30% 27%

35% 39% 31% 34% 36% 25%

36% 32% 37% 35% 43% 37%

32% 27% 34% 34% 38% 33%

21% 25% 21% 25% 29% 28%

Citizens from most countries, including the US, are concerned about immigration placing pressure on public servicesIPSOS IMMIGRATION AND REFUGEES POLL

49%

73%

65%

61%

58%

57%

56%

56%

55%

55%

53%

53%

53%

52%

51%

51%

51%

50%

45%

36%

36%

35%

35%

33%

32%

26%

Total

Turkey

South Africa

Italy

Great Britain

Belgium

Sweden

United States

India

France

Hungary

Spain

New Zealand

Argentina

Serbia

Germany

Australia

Canada

Russia

Peru

Saudi Arabia

Poland

South Korea

Brazil

Mexico

Japan

July 2017 - Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree

Please tell whether you agree or disagree with the following statement – “Immigration has placed too much pressure on public services in your country”Base: 17,903 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru, New Zealand, July 2017

16 ©2017 Ipsos

Turkey and Sweden have become more worried about pressure from immigration on public services since 2011 while Britain, Australia, and the US have become less concerned


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2011 2013 2014 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Jul-17

Turkey Great Britain Sweden Australia United StatesPlease tell whether you agree or disagree with the following statement – “Immigration has placed too much pressure on public services in your country”

17 ©2017 Ipsos

July 2016 Oct 2015 July 2015 2014 2013 2011

44% 43% 45% 46% 49% 48%

78% 80% 85% 72% 70% 61%

69% 65% 68% 71% 77% 75%

56% 60% 54% 58% 69% 64%

51% 49% 55% 52% 52% 51%

50% 43% 56% 57% 54% 61%

49% 51% 54% 57% 58% 52%

49% 46% 48% 51% 56% 60%

45% 45% 46% 51% 53% 50%

45% 49% 52% 50% 54% 46%

43% 37% 47% 57% 53% 52%

41% 45% 41% 45% 51% 52%

41% 39% 40% 53% 62% 54%

43% 41% 39% 47% 44% 41%

41% 42% 48% 46% 50% 41%

40% 41% 46% 36% 44% 35%

38% 43% 48% 51% 53% 62%

35% 40% 32% 38% 39% 30%

34% 31% 36% 39% 42% 38%

28% 30% 30% 35% 34% 37%

29% 32% 29% 32% 40% 35%

26% 28% 24% 29% 35% 38%

25% 24% 25% 18% 21% 23%

Over 4 in 10 globally (and in the US) blame immigration for nationals’ difficulty to get jobs, but trend is slightly downIPSOS IMMIGRATION AND REFUGEES POLL

41%

78%

64%

58%

56%

49%

47%

45%

44%

44%

43%

42%

41%

41%

40%

40%

37%

37%

34%

34%

33%

30%

29%

26%

21%

21%

Total

Turkey

Russia

South Africa

India

Argentina

Italy

United States

New Zealand

Australia

Belgium

Peru

Saudi Arabia

Spain

Hungary

Canada

France

Poland

Great Britain

South Korea

Brazil

Germany

Mexico

Japan

Serbia

Sweden


Please tell whether you agree or disagree with the following statement – “Immigrants in your country have made it more difficult for people of your nationality to get jobs”Base: 17,903 0 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru, New Zealand, July 2017

18 ©2017 Ipsos

July 2016 Oct 2015 July 2015 2014 2013 2011

28% 28% 28% 27% 26% 28%

51% 47% 52% 44% 43% 41%

45% 38% 38% 32% 31% 27%

46% 43% 48% 40% 45% 45%

42% 43% 43% 40% 40% 43%

36% 33% 30% 28% 26% 23%

40% 46% 41% 37% 34% 36%

33% 35% 38% 37% 34% 28%

30% 25% 36% 27% 21% 18%

27% 32% 33% 37% 40% 47%

26% 28% 27% 23% 24% 23%

30% 29% 26% 27% 27% 29%

23% 16% 17% 24% 26% 28%

22% 21% 23% 26% 23% 30%

27% 31% 22% 23% 25% 27%

20% 26% 20% 23% 22% 26%

19% 23% 20% 25% 20% 22%

19% 19% 19% 16% 13% 18%

16% 23% 15% 19% 21% 24%

15% 20% 14% 18% 23% 30%

15% 11% 14% 11% 17% 14%

15% 16% 13% 14% 13% 13%

12% 8% 13% 12% 12% 15%

Globally, less than 3 in 10 view the economic impact of immigration positively, but proportions are greater in the US and other English speaking countries; more Americans say it’s good for the country than at any time since 2011


28%

50%

47%

47%

46%

43%

42%

41%

34%

31%

28%

27%

27%

26%

26%

23%

20%

19%

19%

18%

16%

15%

11%

9%

9%

8%

Total

Saudi Arabia

Great Britain

New Zealand

India

Canada

United States

Australia

Peru

Sweden

South Africa

Brazil

Germany

Spain

Poland

South Korea

Mexico

Japan

Argentina

Belgium

France

Italy

Turkey

Hungary

Russia

Serbia

Jul 2017 - Strongly agree/Tend to agree

Please tell whether you agree or disagree with the following statement – “Immigration is good for the economy of your country”Base: 17,903 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru, New Zealand, July 2017

19 ©2017 Ipsos

July 2016 Oct 2015 July 2015 2014 2013 2011

40% 42% 41% 42% 42% 45%

55% 51% 55% 56% 57% 58%

61% 57% 54% 59% 59% 58%

56% 52% 60% 55% 55% 56%

52% 50% 46% 44% 51% 61%

50% 53% 49% 57% 56% 62%

50% 50% 55% 48% 52% 51%

49% 57% 50% 55% 55% 57%

38% 38% 35% 33% 34% 33%

48% 43% 42% 39% 30% 38%

37% 43% 43% 47% 41% 42%

43% 44% 44% 43% 43% 49%

33% 37% 31% 27% 30% 35%

39% 34% 34% 36% 36% 34%

31% 33% 31% 36% 39% 36%

32% 42% 37% 46% 48% 42%

28% 27% 40% 32% 30% 34%

29% 28% 31% 29% 29% 36%

26% 36% 26% 28% 28% 34%

33% 38% 34% 33% 33% 41%

33% 33% 40% 45% 44% 45%

27% 26% 30% 39% 36% 35%

26% 27% 24% 26% 34% 36%

40%

58%

56%

55%

54%

51%

51%

50%

46%

43%

42%

42%

39%

38%

36%

35%

33%

33%

32%

31%

29%

28%

27%

25%

24%

20%

Total

New Zealand

Saudi Arabia

Great Britain

South Africa

Australia

Canada

India

Russia

United States

Sweden

Germany

Turkey

Peru

Poland

Argentina

Spain

France

Mexico

South Korea

Japan

Hungary

Belgium

Brazil

Italy

Serbia


Opinions vary widely across countries about giving priority to high-skilled immigrants to fill shortages; a growing proportion of Americans and majorities in all other English-speaking countries support it


Please tell whether you agree or disagree with the following statement – “Priority should be given to immigrants with higher education and qualifications who can fill shortages among certain professions in your country”Base: 17,903 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru, New Zealand, July 2017

20 ©2017 Ipsos

July 2016 Oct 2015 July 2015 2014 2013 2011

29% 29% 30% 30% 30% 31%

45% 39% 40% 38% 39% 33%

49% 50% 47% 45% 43% 46%

44% 44% 47% 46% 42% 48%

44% 44% 46% 44% 42% 46%

42% 42% 41% 37% 37% 36%

45% 40% 42% 40% 47% 40%

39% 37% 46% 44% 45% 44%

36% 32% 38% 31% 29% 26%

32% 36% 33% 35% 34% 35%

33% 37% 34% 39% 43% 49%

25% 20% 28% 23% 27% 30%

21% 22% 20% 19% 18% 18%

23% 23% 23% 25% 20% 22%

23% 19% 23% 31% 33% 39%

17% 24% 20% 23% 25% 28%

17% 20% 20% 20% 16% 19%

27% 26% 22% 18% 24% 22%

17% 16% 19% 19% 19% 22%

14% 16% 13% 16% 16% 18%

14% 18% 14% 16% 16% 18%

13% 15% 18% 20% 25% 23%

9% 6% 9% 8% 10% 12%

Americans and nationals from other English-speaking countries are far more likely than others to say immigrants make their country a more interesting place to live


31%

49%

49%

48%

48%

48%

47%

46%

44%

36%

34%

32%

32%

27%

25%

24%

23%

22%

22%

21%

18%

13%

13%

10%

10%

8%

Total

Great Britain

New Zealand

Australia

Canada

India

United States

Saudi Arabia

Peru

Sweden

South Africa

Germany

Brazil

Turkey

Spain

Argentina

Poland

France

Belgium

Mexico

South Korea

Italy

Japan

Hungary

Russia

Serbia

July 2017

Please tell whether you agree or disagree with the following statement – “Immigrants make your country a more interesting place to live”Base: 17,903 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru, New Zealand, July 2017

ATTITUDES TO REFUGEE CRISIS

©2017 Ipsos21

22 ©2017 Ipsos

Globally, only two in five want to close borders to refugees, but majorities have concerns about their motives and the risk of terrorism; less than half think they will successfully integrate


12%

31%

26%

19%

12% AGREE VERY MUCH

AGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE VERY MUCH

DON'T KNOW

“I’m confident that most refugees who come to my

country will successfully integrate into their new society”

23%

30%22%

14%

12%AGREE VERY MUCH

AGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE VERY MUCH

DON'T KNOW

29%

30%19%

10%

13% AGREE VERY MUCH

AGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE VERY MUCH

DON'T KNOW

“There are terrorists pretending to be refugees who will enter my country to cause violence and destruction”

18%

21%

26%

25%

10% AGREE VERY MUCH

AGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE VERY MUCH

DON'T KNOW

“We must close our borders to refugees entirely—we can’t accept any at this time

“Most foreigners who want to get into my country as a refugee really aren’t refugees. They just want to come here for economic

reasons, or to take advantage of our welfare services”


Base: 11861/17401 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru, July 2017


23 ©2017 Ipsos

Closing borders to refugees is most popular in Turkey, Hungary and India; while still a minority hold this view in the US, support for it is up sharply


*Trends from 2016 calculated by repercentaging 2017 figures to exclude don’t knows

41%

40%

29%

28%

19%

23%

25%

22%

23%

18%

16%

24%

13%

14%

14%

15%

10%

5%

11%

11%

10%

9%

6%

8%

22%

21%

31%

22%

29%

22%

20%

22%

20%

22%

25%

16%

25%

21%

18%

18%

21%

23%

15%

14%

15%

15%

16%

13%

20%

15%

22%

22%

27%

24%

23%

23%

20%

27%

29%

21%

28%

29%

27%

27%

25%

41%

24%

26%

32%

28%

25%

37%

13%

15%

13%

18%

16%

20%

21%

24%

31%

25%

25%

25%

31%

28%

32%

32%

30%

22%

38%

34%

34%

39%

45%

14%

4%

10%

5%

10%

10%

11%

11%

9%

7%

7%

6%

13%

4%

9%

9%

9%

14%

9%

12%

16%

10%

8%

8%

28%

T u r k e y

H u n g a r y

I n d i a

I t a l y

R u s s i a

P o l a n d

B e l g i u m

G e r m a n y

S w e d e n

U n i t e d S t a t e s

S o u t h A f r i c a

F r a n c e

S e r b i a

A u s t r a l i a

G r e a t B r i t a i n

A r g e n t i n a

S p a i n

S o u t h K o r e a

S a u d i A r a b i a

B r a z i l

C a n a d a

P e r u

M e x i c o

J a p a n

Agree very much Agree somewhat Disagree somewhat Disagree very much Don't know

Total Agree

2017 excl. DK

Change

since

2016*

Please tell whether you agree or disagree with the following statement – “We must close our borders to refugees entirely - we can’t accept any at this time”Base: 17,903 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru, July 2017

66%

67%

63%

55%

53%

51%

50%

49%

46%

43%

43%

46%

39%

38%

35%

35%

36%

30%

30%

30%

27%

27%

24%

29%

+1

-5

+2

-3

0

-3

-8

0

+1

+11

-2

+6

-

+2

-1

-3

-8

+10

-3

+1

+6

-

-3

+5

24 ©2017 Ipsos

Majority in most countries, including the US, believe there are terrorists pretending to be refugees



63%

48%

39%

42%

51%

40%

35%

35%

35%

29%

24%

30%

29%

12%

29%

20%

17%

20%

22%

21%

18%

3%

6%

19%

34%

40%

34%

25%

30%

30%

29%

29%

34%

37%

28%

28%

44%

26%

32%

35%

30%

28%

25%

24%

32%

13%

10%

9%

11%

13%

9%

14%

14%

16%

13%

14%

16%

18%

26%

32%

21%

19%

18%

23%

27%

22%

20%

26%

29%

3%

4%

5%

3%

7%

7%

10%

8%

9%

9%

9%

11%

6%

7%

13%

13%

3%

12%

9%

10%

17%

34%

34%

5%

6%

5%

7%

9%

10%

10%

12%

15%

14%

14%

13%

11%

6%

12%

16%

28%

15%

15%

22%

21%

6%

17%

T u r k e y

R u s s i a

I n d i a

G e r m a n y

H u n g a r y

I t a l y


P o l a n d

F r a n c e


A u s t r a l i a

P e r u

S w e d e n

S o u t h K o r e a

B e l g i u m

C a n a d a

J a p a n

M e x i c o


B r a z i l

A r g e n t i n a

S e r b i a

S p a i n


Total Agree

2017 excl. DK

Change

since

2016*

Please tell whether you agree or disagree with the following statement – “There are terrorists pretending to be refugees who will enter my country to cause violence and destruction”Base: 17,903 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru, July 2017

87%

87%

83%

83%

83%

77%

73%

73%

75%

74%

71%

66%

64%

59%

62%

62%

72%

59%

58%

58%

53%

36%

23%

-1

0

+2

+3

+1

0

-4

-3

-4

+2

-4

-

-3

-9

+2

+2

-1

+9

-11

-6

-8

-

+2

25 ©2017 Ipsos

Many, including a majority of Americans, doubt most refugees really are refugeesIPSOS IMMIGRATION AND REFUGEES POLL


Please tell whether you agree or disagree with the following statement – “Most foreigners who want to get into my country as a refugee really aren’t refugees. They just want to come here for economic reasons, or to take advantage of our welfare services”

27%

38%

33%

39%

29%

32%

31%

36%

29%

26%

29%

21%

19%

13%

21%

19%

21%

15%

8%

14%

17%

15%

13%

12%

44%

33%

34%

28%

35%

29%

30%

25%

29%

29%

24%

30%

30%

36%

27%

29%

25%

27%

33%

27%

22%

23%

24%

23%

18%

13%

20%

15%

21%

17%

21%

18%

18%

23%

19%

22%

19%

27%

22%

24%

23%

25%

39%

27%

26%

28%

25%

27%

5%

7%

10%

9%

8%

8%

11%

12%

12%

14%

15%

17%

18%

16%

18%

17%

18%

26%

10%

18%

26%

17%

22%

4%

6%

9%

4%

10%

7%

14%

7%

9%

12%

10%

14%

10%

13%

9%

13%

12%

14%

8%

9%

13%

10%

17%

16%

35%

I n d i a

R u s s i a

T u r k e y

H u n g a r y


P o l a n d

P e r u

I t a l y

B e l g i u m

G e r m a n y

F r a n c e


A r g e n t i n a

M e x i c o


A u s t r a l i a


S e r b i a

S o u t h K o r e a

C a n a d a

S w e d e n

B r a z i l

S p a i n

J a p a n


Change

since

2016*

Total Agree

2017 excl. DK

Base: 17,903 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru, July 2017

76%

78%

69%

74%

69%

71%

66%

67%

66%

60%

61%

56%

57%

54%

54%

54%

53%

45%

46%

48%

42%

45%

44%

54%

0

-3

+4

+4

0

-4

-

-1

+5

+3

-2

-8

-3

+6

-4

-6

+1

-

-4

+4

+5

-1

+8

0

26 ©2017 Ipsos

Confidence in refugees’ ability to integrate varies widely across countries, a plurality of Americans are trust refugees will successfully integrate into the US



Please tell whether you agree or disagree with the following statement – “I’m confident that most refugees who come to my country will successfully integrate into their new society”

32%23%22%23%

15%13%14%

17%14%

12%11%

16%10%

12%8%

11%11%

7%7%7%

9%5%

3%3%

38%42%

41%39%

43%41%40%34%

34%34%

34%27%

33%28%

31%26%

26%26%

24%21%17%

21%22%

13%

15%21%

23%16%

23%23%

26%23%

26%27%

26%16%

25%26%

28%25%26%

26%28%

27%27%

32%50%

35%

10%5%

8%9%

13%13%

9%8%

16%19%

19%27%

19%23%

17%29%

19%33%

30%28%

42%31%

14%13%

5%9%

6%14%

7%10%

12%17%

10%8%

11%14%13%

10%17%

10%18%

9%11%

17%4%

12%11%

36%

S e r b i a

P e r u

I n d i a


M e x i c o

C a n a d a

A r g e n t i n a

B r a z i l



A u s t r a l i a

H u n g a r y


R u s s i a

S p a i n

G e r m a n y

P o l a n d

S w e d e n

I t a l y

F r a n c e

T u r k e y

B e l g i u m

S o u t h K o r e a

J a p a n


Change

since 2015*

Total Agree

2017 excl. DK

Base: 17,903 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru, July 2017

73%

71%

67%

71%

61%

60%

61%

62%

53%

51%

51%

50%

49%

45%

46%

41%

44%

36%

35%

34%

28%

29%

28%

25%

-

-

+3

+2

-2

+1

-2

-4

0

-2

0

-1

+3

-2

-7

-2

0

-1

-3

+8

-2

-4

-3

-3

27 ©2017 Ipsos

Most Europeans do not think the EU responded well to the refugee crisis


Base: 7,380 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, Poland, Sweden, Hungary, France, Germany, Great Britain, Italy, Spain and Serbia.

4%

5%

3%

3%

3%

2%

3%

19%

14%

18%

13%

8%

7%

7%

9%

6%

7%

27%

26%

20%

22%

30%

25%

21%

24%

12%

18%

25%

18%

20%

26%

28%

25%

24%

31%

15%

26%

16%

32%

40%

31%

27%

30%

40%

29%

59%

42%

8%

6%

2%

6%

5%

9%

6%

7%

5%

7%

Great Britain

Poland

Serbia

Germany

Spain

France

Hungary

Belgium

Italy

Sweden

Strongly agree Tend to agree Neither agree nor disagree Tend to disagree Strongly disagree Don't know

The European Union has responded well to the refugee crisis.

Total Agree

2017 excl. DK

25%

20%

19%

16%

11%

11%

10%

10%

9%

8%

28 ©2017 Ipsos

Central Europeans tend to have a favorable view of their country’s response to the refugee crisis, Germans are mixed, citizens from other Western European countries tend to be critical


30%

14%

22%

9%

10%

5%

2%

2%

3%

2%

25%

39%

24%

26%

18%

17%

19%

17%

10%

10%

14%

24%

22%

21%

20%

29%

22%

30%

34%

27%

14%

12%

12%

16%

14%

26%

22%

25%

24%

26%

12%

10%

15%

24%

33%

17%

30%

20%

24%

27%

6%

6%

5%

6%

6%

5%

6%

5%

9%

Hungary

Serbia

Poland

Germany

Italy

Great Britain

Sweden

Belgium

Spain

France

Strongly agree Tend to agree Neither agree nor disagree Tend to disagree Strongly disagree Don't know

Country has responded well to the refugee crisis.

Base: 7,380 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, Poland, Sweden, Hungary, France, Germany, Great Britain, Italy, Spain and Serbia.

Total Agree

2017excl. DK

58%

53%

49%

37%

29%

23%

22%

20%

13%

12%

29 ©2017 Ipsos

MethodologyIPSOS IMMIGRATION AND REFUGEES POLL

• These are the findings of the Global @dvisor Immigration tracker 2011-2017. In total 17,903 interviews were conducted between June 24 and July 8, 2017 among adults aged 18-64 in the US and Canada, and adults aged 16-64 in all other countries.

• The survey was conducted in 25 countries around the world via the Ipsos Online Panel system. The countries reporting herein are:Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, United States, Serbia, Peru and New Zealand.

• In each country surveyed, between 500+ and 1000+ individuals participated via the Ipsos Online Panel. The sample was 1000+ in Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, Great Britain, Italy, Japan, Spain and the United Stated of America. In all other countries the sample was 500+. The precision of Ipsos online polls is calculated using a credibility interval with a poll of 1,000 accurate to +/- 3.5 percentage points and of 500 accurate to +/- 5.0 percentage points. For more information on Ipsos’ use of credibility intervals, please visit the Ipsos website.

• In countries where internet penetration is approximately 60% or higher, the data output generally reflects the overall population. Of the 25 countries surveyed online, 17 yield results that are balanced to reflect the general population: Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Japan, Poland, South Korea, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Spain, Sweden, Great Britain and the United States. The 5 remaining countries surveyed – Brazil (58%), India (19%), Mexico (44%), South Africa (49%) and Turkey (51%) - have lower levels of internet connectivity and reflect online populations that tend to be more urban and have higher education/income than the general population.

• Where results do not sum to 100, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses or the exclusion of don't knows or not stated responses.

• Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.

30 ©2017 Ipsos

For more information

Julia ClarkSenior Vice President, Ipsos Public Affairs

[email protected]

+1 312 526 4919

Chris JacksonVice President, Ipsos Public Affairs

[email protected]

+ 1 202 420 2025

Nicolas BoyonSenior Vice President, Ipsos Public Affairs

[email protected]

+ 1 646 309 4879

31 ©2017 Ipsos

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global views on immigration and the refugee crisis · ipsos immigration and refugees poll would you...

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