german coal industry sites saar coalfield ruhr coalfield
TRANSCRIPT
3
German coal industry sites
Saar coalfield
Saar- brueckenSaar
Ensdorf
Osnabrueck
Ibbenbueren2
RAG sitesHerne: RAG RAG Deutsche Steinkohle RAG Mining Solutions RAG Ruhranalytics RAG Sales GVSt head officeEssen: RAG Montan ImmobilienRecklinghausen: RAG internal auditingEnsdorf: Saar regional admin. centre
Bergwerke1 Prosper-Haniel 2 Ibbenbueren Auguste Victoria (Mine closure to 01.01.2016)
Hamm
1
Duisburg
DortmundHerneEssen
Bottrop
RhineRuhr
Ruhr coalfield
Marl
Recklinghausen
LippeKamp- Lintfort
Development history of RAG
Graphics: RAG, 2016
Ruhrkohle AG established
1968
Reorganised as the diversified RAG
Group
1997
Core business – mining German coal
2007
End of subsidised coal production
2018
RAG now to focus on post-mining activities
2019
4
The current STEAG Strategy House
The MissionSTEAGEfficient and reliable energy production at
national and international level
Develop a sustainable business in Germany
Optimise existing power plants
•extendruntimes
•increasecostefficiency
•consolidateanddevelopexpertise
•improvetechnicaland organisational flexibility
Achieve targeted growth in Germany
•increasedecentralisedproduction, develop CHP and district heat
•expandonshorewindand use opportunities in the conventional energy sector
•establishpartnershipswith public utilities
Run high-yield international projects as an IPP•developprojectsinfocus
countries and be opportunity driven as appropriate*
•developtheEuropeanonshorewind portfolio
•buildinternationalmarketintelligence
•increaseprojectdevelopmenteffectiveness
Promote trade
•developB&Oas a commodity trading house
•internationaliseB&O
Achieve high-yield growth abroad
Significantly expand the renewables sector
Expand services
•growbydevelopingservices at home and abroad
•expandtherangeofmunicipal and industri-al services
•developtherangeofinternal services wi-thin the STEAG Group
TARG
ETS
EMPH
ASI
S/IN
ITIA
TIVE
Graphics from the STEAG Company Report, 3/2016 *commercialprojectsinnon-focuscountries
Closure aid for the German coal industry authorised under EU law
million €
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
62 %
2017
76 %
2019**
41 %
51 % 48 %54 %
* according to Council Decision 2010/787/EU ** As from 2019 depreciations resulting from the closure of the last mines and additional costs for closed production units may be distributed over several years. Estimate for 2019.
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
Article 3*: closure aid (reduction of current production) Article4*:aidtocoverexceptionalcosts (not related to current production, inherited liabilities)
2018
74 %
100 %
36 %
5
Kapitel 1 Rahmenbedingungen
Abandoned RAG mines
Source: RAG
RhineRuhr
Lippe
Saar
Ruhr coalfield
Saar coalfield
Ibbenbueren
Adaptation in the German coal industry
manpower (in thousand) production (mtce)
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
01990
130.3
71.0
2000 2010 2015
9.6 6.4
58.1
24.234.3
13.2
Number of RAG coal-mining easements Area covered
728 5,283 km2
Number of RAG non-coal easements Area covered
51138 km2
Mine openings within the remit of RAG 7,348
Area covered by shallow and near-surface mine workings
285 km2
Remediation and securement sites as at 2015 52
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Trends in unemployment rates for the Ruhr area compared with NRW and Germany overall
Source: RVR, 2016
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
Ruhr areaNRW
1991 2001 20111993 20031995 20051997 20071999 2009 20152013
Germany
Unemployment rates (BfA), on a September basis
percent
6
Source: IT.NRW 2016 (regionalised GDP figures for the Ruhr area only available to 2014); own calculations
Nominal GDP growth rates for the given period
percent
Development in GDP growth in the Ruhr area set against that of NRW and Germany overall
1998/1991 2005/1998 2014/2005
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0Ruhr area NRW
(excl.Ruhrarea)Germany (excl.NRW)
7
Kapitel 1 Rahmenbedingungen
Consumption structure of the German coal market 2015
Total coal sales: 57,7 mtce
of which from indigenous production: 6,4 mtce (= 11 %)
steel industry:17.5 mtce
67.4 %30.3 %
2.3 %
heat market:1.3 mtce
power stations:38.9 mtce
Primary energy consumption in Germany 2015
mtce
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Total: 454 mtce, incl. electricity exchange balance of approx. − 6 mtce resp. − 1.4 % of PEC
oil gas coal lignite renewables nuclear others*
Source: AGEB, 3/2016
1.8 %8
* esp. non-biogenic waste
34
7.5 %
57
12.5 %
54
11.8 %
58
12.7 %
96
21.1 %
154
33.9 %
8
Market shares of indigenous and imported coal in Germany
mtce
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
imported coal indigenous coal
2000
69
46 %
54 %
2005
62
58 %
42 %
2015
58
11 %
2010
59
77 %
23 %
89 %
Germany‘s reliance on energy imports 2015
100 %
98 %
90 %
89 %
69 %
2 %
0 %
uranium
oil
gas
coal
renewables
lignite
PEC total
Sources: AGEB, 3/2016; own calculations
German coal market: consumption of indigenous and imported coal
9
Kapitel 1 Rahmenbedingungen
capacity production
photovoltaics
wind
others*
gas
coal
biomass and hydro
lignite
nuclear
610 TWh(net)
202 GW(net)
Power station capacity and electricity production in Germany 2015
8 %
14 %
14 %
7 %
10 %
5 %
5 %
10 %
18 %
11 %
24 %
14 %
6 %
12 %20 %
22 %
Sources: BDEW, 4/2016 and 8/2016 (preliminary)
* oil, non-biogenic waste, landfill/sewage/mine gas, pumped storage etc.
10
The German Energy Plan: targets and timeframes
The German Energy Plan: New “target architecture”/systematic approach for the target system
Reduction of GHG emissions compared to 1990
Reduction of PEC compared to 2008
competitiveness
security of supply
Reduction of electricity consumptioncompared to 2008
40 % 18 %
35 %
2,1 %/a
18 %
14 %k. A.
35 %
55 % 30 %
50 %
70 % 45 %
65 %
80 %
40 %55 %
70 %80 %
60 %
80 %
20 %
10 %
50 %
25 %
28 % 14 %
33 %8 %
100 %
3 %
Sources: Energy Transition Progress Report, 12/2014; UBA, 2/2016; AGEB, 3/2016
Own graph based on the Energy Transition Progress Report, 12/2014
*specific target for traffic: 1 mill. e-cars by 2020
reduction by increase in
2020203020402050
10 %20 %
10 %
20 %=>
renewables‘ share of gross
final energy consumption
2015 (preliminary)2020203020402050
renewables‘ share of gross
electricity consumption
phase-out nuclear until 2022
reduction greenhouse gas emissionscompared to 1990
energy policy objectives(identical importance)
climative objectives extension renewable energies
energy efficiency increase/energy consumption reduction
• electricity consumption from RE • heat from RE • RE in the traffic area = extension of RE share in total energy consumption to
• electricity consumption • heat• traffic energy productivity PEC
core objectives with sectoral control objectives(with concrete targets until 2020)
11
Kapitel 1 Rahmenbedingungen
Sources: BP 6/2016; own calculations GVSt
Global CO2-emissions
CO2-emissions 2015: 33.5 bn t CO2
Increase since 1990 (reference year for Kyoto Agreement): 53.9 %, annual average: 1.7 %
31.3 %27.3 %
16.4 %
4.4 %
8.2 %6.6 % 3.6 %
2.2 %
China
USA
Russia IndiaJapan
Germany
EUexcl.Germany
rest ofworld
Scenario settings developed by transmission system operators for domestic power generation capacities in 2030
GW
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Source: Federal Network Agency, 2016
Reference year 2014
Scenario A 2030
Scenario B 2030
Scenario C 2030
89.0
147.0157.4
171.9
11.014.723.2
26.1
conventional (total) of which coal renewables
64.869.078.5
105.7
Installed generation capacity in Germany 2014 and future outlook (scenarios)
12
Sources: * Federal Statistical Office (2013); ** based on SOEPv.29 gender pay gap
Pay equity – factors underlying the wage gap between men and women
25
20
15
10
5
0
25
20
15
10
5
02010* 2011**
unexplained
other factors
managementrole/jobdemands
occupation/sector
volume of employment
education/experience
unexplained
other factors
position held
company size
sector
occupation
volume of employment
experience
education
Wage differential in percent – analysis of changing trends
2.3
6.75
Source: Federal Health Ministry , 2016
Transition from level of care to degrees of care
OldCare levels based
on time factor
NewDegrees of care based
on the degree of independence
When classifying persons with physical restrictions the ground rule “+1” applies
When classifying persons with restricted daily living skills the ground rule “+2”
+1
+2
Significant impairment of independence or faculties2
Severe impairment of independence or faculties3
Most serious impairment of independence or faculties4
Most serious impairment of independence or faculties with special requirements placed on nursing care
5
1 Degree of care 1 only applies to newly assessed persons0
1
2
3
13
Kapitel 2 Recht, soziale Sicherung und Umweltfragen
Accident trendsaccidents (total per million hours worked)
Total for coal industry: down 81.85 % since 2001
Sources: DGUV; RAG
Sources: DRV KBS; Bundesanzeiger 2015
* total of the contributions to pension, health, unemployment and long-term care insurance (sharesofemployersandemployees)inpercentofthesalarysubjecttosocialinsurancecontributions
Development of the total social insurance contribution*
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
02011
19.9
15.5
3.02.0
2005
19.5
14.2
6.5
1.8
2012
19.6
15.5
3.02.0
2013
18.9
15.5
3.02.1
2014
18.9
15.5
3.02.1
2016
18.7
15.7
3.02.35
2015
18.7
15.4
3.02.35
1 only units under mining-authority supervision
2001
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
underground
trade and industry total
coal industry total1
2015
pension insurance
unemployment insurance
health insurance (average)
long-term care insurance (average)
14
Mercury levels in air, water bodies and foodstuffs
Air concentration levels
Water bodies, suspended matter
Air quality standard set by the World Health Organisation (WHO)/benchmark for assessing the health impact of long-terminhalativeexposure,asdefinedbytheFederal/Land Working Group on Immission Protection (LAI)
50 ng/m3 air
Maximumallowableconcentration(MAC)0,07 µg/l
Nationwide background measurements taken by the Federal Environment Agency (UBA)
1 to 2 ng/m3 air
Water-body sampling pointsMAC levels met
Deposition (mercury in dust precipitation)
Foodstuffs and fish
Water bodies, bream
TA Luft Air Quality Value
1 µg/(m2 · d)
Commission Regulation EC 1881/2006 Fish products in general
0,5 mg/kg fish (wet weight)
When assessing water quality an EQS is applied in the case of mercury
20 µg/kg fish (wet weight)
Measurements taken by the Land Agency for Nature, Environment and Consumer Protection of North Rhine-Westphalia (LANUV)
0,03 µg/(m2 · d)
Foodstuffs control tests
met
Water-body sampling points ExceedsEQS
Certain predatory fish1,0 mg/kg fish (wet weight) met
15
Kapitel 2 Recht, soziale Sicherung und Umweltfragen
Germany recorded a total mercury deposition of 6 t in 2013 (0.09% from the median)
Global mercury emissions in 2013
t
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
anthropogenic Hg emissions natural and historical Hg emissions
lower value median upper value
Sources: UNEP Global Mercury Assessment, 2013; own calculations
fluctuation range
Electricity generation from mine gas
GWh
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
02002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20152014
NRWSaar
16
Price trends: Brent crude (IPE) and crude OPEC basket
Sources: IPE; OPEC
US$/bbl
150
120
90
60
30
02000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2015 2016 2013 2014
Brent crude price (IPE)OPEC basket price
Price trends: steam coal free north-west Europe and free German border
Sources: IHS McCloskey Coal Report, 1/2000 to 7/2016; BAFA, third-country coal prices by quarter
€/t tce
150
100
50
00
50
100
150
200
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2015 2016 2013 2014
BAFA (quarterly) free German borderMCIS €/tce free north-west Europe
17
Kapitel 3 Internationale Energie- und Rohstoffmärkte
Price trends: premium coking coal fob Australia and USA
Sources: IHS McCloskey Coal Report, 4/2010 to 9/2016
US$/t
350
300
250
200
150
100
5050
100
150
200
250
300
350
2010 2011 2012 201620152014 2013
0
5
10
15
20
World primary energy consumption by energy source
Sources: World Energy Council Germany, 2016; BP Statistical Review 2016; DOE-EIA-IEO 2016; own calculations
20
15
10
5
0
bn tce
oil
coal
gas
nuclearhydro
wind/solarbiomass/gas
2000
22 %
14.0
2015
29 %
20.0
2014
29 %
19.7
1980
26 %
10.4
1990
25 %
12.6
2010
27 %
18.2
Australian coking coal (Queensland)US coking coal (east coast)
18
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
World net electricity generation by energy sources
Population trends by region
Sources: World Energy Council Germany, 2016; IEA World Energy Outlook 2015; BP Statistical Review 2016; own calculations
Source: World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, New York, United Nations
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
12
10
8
6
4
2
02050
2015
2100
TWh
bn
20302015
oil
Africa
coal
Asia
Europe
OzeaniaNorth AmericaLatin America
world
gas
nuclear
38 %38 %
57 %
20 %
9 %
7 %
6 %
40 %
59 %
16 %
10 %
41 %
55 %
25 %
41 %
44 %
39 %
41 %
15,250
8,5
24,040
11,2
23,536
8,316
10,804
7,3
21,408
9,7
2000 201419901980 2010
hydro
wind/solar
biomass/gas
19
Kapitel 3 Internationale Energie- und Rohstoffmärkte
0
30
60
90
120
150
Coal production by source country in EU-28
Source: EURACOAL
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
mt
20142010 2015
Czech Republic
UK
Poland
132.9
10 %
6 %2 %
2 %
4 %3 %
1 %1 %9 %
14 %
59 %
7 %8 %
11 %
69 %
7 %8 %9 %
72 %
105.7100.3
RomaniaBulgariaSpain
Germany
20
German coal imports 2014/2015 incl. coke
0
10
20
30
40
50
Source: Federal Statistical Office, survey according to the Energy Statistics Act, 6/2016
50
40
30
20
10
0
mtce
*mainly from Poland2015 2015 2015 20152014
coal, total steam coal coking coal coke
2014 2014 2014
EU*
USA
Canada
South Africa
Russia
Colombia
Australia
others
3.5 2.9
9.110.5
31.432.0
43.446.0
3 %
15 %
3 %
17 %
5 %
32 %
11 %
14 %
21
Kapitel 3 Internationale Energie- und Rohstoffmärkte
World coal production and consumption 2015
others
Sources: VDKi; IEA; BP ; DOE-EIA; WEC; specific national statistics
production: 6,009 mtce consumption: 5,702 mtce
North-America
Central and South America
EU-28Central-Asia
China
Indonesia
Australia
Japan
India
750 682
86 33
Africa
216150
86247
446303
3,039 3,168
579 764
124 93
32269
36129
164
22
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Seaborne steam coal exports by supply countries
Sources: VDKi 2015; DOE-EIA 2015 ; own calculations
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
mt
2010 2015* *estimate2013 2014201220092008 2011
Australia 24 %
USA 3 %South Africa 9 %
Russia 14 %
Colombia 9 %
Indonesia 38 %
others 3 %−42 %
−4.6 %
−6.6 %
−0.5 %
+5.3 %
−2.6 %−24.1 %
+4.5 %
632658
713739
826863 878
838
shares in global market 2015change
Price trends: Capesize-sea freight rates to Europe
Sources: IHS McCloskey Coal Report, 1/2004 to 8/2016
US$/t
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Hampton Roads (USA)
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 201620152013 2014
Puerto Bolivar (Colombia)Richards Bay (South Africa)
23
Kapitel 3 Internationale Energie- und Rohstoffmärkte
German mining machinery production
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
02005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
total production in mill. € ofwhichexportedin2015:94%
2013 20152014
Source: VDMA, 2015; 2015 value is an estimate on first nine months basis