future of open education scenarios
TRANSCRIPT
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Possible futures of open education
Two scenarios for the University of Mary Washington’s OER Summit-
May 2016
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• Monthly environmental scan report
• Trends identified, tested, projected
Open as part of a trends mapOpen as part of a trends map
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1: Education and its contexts
Changes in international education - macroeconomic indicators - adjunctification - enrollment changes - alternative certification - possible intergenerational tension - demographics. Racial inequality in/and education; campuses and sexual assault controversy; athletic budgets doing well; K-12 and higher education; library changes; alternative degrees; shared academic services; remedial classes; challenges to internships; campuses and sustainability; executive compensation controversy.
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2: Technology3d printing continues to innovate and grow - digitization shifts from physical media to streaming - device ecosystem keeps growing - social media - open source - shopping continues to migrate online - copyright battles continue - automation’s promise.Augmented reality’s steady march; Ebooks; digital security threats expanding; the limits of the Web; cloud computing; a shift in Moore’s Law? crowdfunding growing; onshoring hardware production; Office versus Web office; digital video rising; new interfaces; fragmented internet; Internet of things; new forms of creativity.
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3: Education and technology3: Education and technology
The LMS world - more MOOCs and online learning - social media in education - rise of the net.generation - educational entrepreneurship - open education possibilities - digital humanities develops.Mobile devices in education; gaming in education; big data and data analytics; badges; flipped classroom/blended learning; automation in education; campus digital security threats growing; video and education; crowdfunding in academia; Virtual reality in education; Ebooks in higher education; shared academics; 3d printing across the curriculum; crowdsourcing in academia; faculty criticizing deployment of technology; maker movement. 5
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Trends assessed and tracked Trends assessed and tracked longitudinally longitudinally
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1. Fall of the Silos
(Previous photo: https://www.flickr.com/photos/cogdog/5645508446/ )
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Open…
• Content• Teachin
g
• Access
• Source
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Social changes
• Rise of the sharing mindset
• Gig economy: rapid switching, less employee loyalty
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Good things• Global conversations increase,
filter bubble pops• More access, more information• Lots of creativity• AIs grow based on open content• Content crosses class divides
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Not so good things• Industries collapse• Authorship mysterious• Some low quality tech
(videoconf.)• Hard to solve macro
scholarly problems
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Good things on campus• Information prices drop• Faculty creativity,
flexibility grow• IT “ “ “• Academic content
unleashed on the world
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Not so good things• Some higher costs• More malware + less
privacy• Increased fallibility
of scholarship
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How does this impact campuses?
• Tech challenges• Outsourcing and offshoring• PLE beats LMS• Crowdsourcing faculty work
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How does this impact campuses?
• Crowdsourcing faculty work• Information literacy central• Students as cocreators and
creators
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• Internet has always been open
• Web <> money• Online identity has
always been fictional, playful
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2. Closed and proprietary wins
https://www.flickr.com/photos/quinnanya/3334056228/
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Closed and proprietary…
• Content• Teachin
g
• Access
• Source
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Social changes
• Users as accessors, not owners
• Living with a permanent record
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Good things• High quality content +
software• Authorship durable• Low amounts of cybercrime• “ “ “ abuse• AI projects partner with
content providers
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Good things on campus• Guaranteed information quality• Faculty and staff develop long-
term habits and skills• Scholarly record durable
(ORCID)• Major movements to improve
scholarship, solve science problems
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Not so good things• Prices are high• Remixing is rare• Class divide steep• N-S “ “
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How else does this impact campuses?
• LMSes anchor campus tech• People attached to providers• Libraries are licensors• Students as consumers on
campus• Institutional divide widens
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• Identify with commercial providers
• Stable, long-term digital identity
• See the digital world as a mall
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