Foresight in Latvia : first experiences

Forsaits Latvijā: sākumposma pieredze

Foresight in Latvia : first experiences

Forsaits Latvijā: sākumposma pieredze

FORESIGHT – A NEW VISION BUILDING PROCESS FOR DEVELOPMENT OF KNOWLEDGE – BASED SOCIETY IN THE EUROPEAN UNION, Conference in Riga, November 1, 2004

• Presentation by Dr Arturs Puga• Forward Studies Unit

Nākotnes studiju darba grupa

http://nsdg.blogspot.com

It's probably best to get started as soon as possible, laying out the problem in all its complexity and mapping out some strategies for tackling it.

Teresa Amabile

System thinking

Outline

• Structures and projects

• Research findings

• KM - a key component

• Conclusions

The recent publication of the Handbook of Knowledge Society Foresight adds a powerful guidance for foresight exercises in Europe. The establishment of the Foresight Unit has been emphasised in the book as one of subjects serving as a possible repository of knowledge and agent for training and advice. It may organise small-scale foresight exercises and provide training activities for particular sets of users. The Unit can support network activities, organise meetings of stakeholders, "to maintain Foresight activities in a given community" in the long run. (37) 

A.Puga. Social challenges facing Latvia: problems of identification. Foresight research outputs.2003.

The recent publication of the Handbook of Knowledge Society Foresight adds a powerful guidance for foresight exercises in Europe. The establishment of the Foresight Unit has been emphasised in the book as one of subjects serving as a possible repository of knowledge and agent for training and advice. It may organise small-scale foresight exercises and provide training activities for particular sets of users. The Unit can support network activities, organise meetings of stakeholders, "to maintain Foresight activities in a given community" in the long run. (37)  The paper, included in this collection of articles on Latvia's future, provides insight into activities performed by the Forward Studies Unit (38)  affiliated to the Latvian Union of Scientists. In February 2003, the Board of the LUS adopted the programme proposal of its members to establish the Forward Studies Unit, to start futures studies and foresight activities and to become involved in European research. Since its beginning, the Forward Studies Unit, LUS has been, in fact, a community of practice conducting studies, publications, and dissemination of information free of charge.http://www.geocities.com/forwardstudies/projects3/foresight.html

A.Puga. Social challenges facing Latvia: problems of identification. Foresight research outputs.2003.

Collection of articlesPublished in Latvian and English

Riga, 2004

BCSS LAS

Latvia in Europe: visions of the future

HANDBOOK OF KNOWLEDGESOCIETY FORESIGHT

Prepared by PREST and FFRC for theEuropean Foundation for the Improvement of Living andWorking ConditionsOctober 2002

PREST authors: Ian Miles & Michael KeenanFFRC authors: Jari Kaivo-Oja

HANDBOOK OF KNOWLEDGESOCIETY FORESIGHT

Prepared by PREST and FFRC for theEuropean Foundation for the Improvement of Living andWorking ConditionsOctober 2002

PREST authors: Ian Miles & Michael KeenanFFRC authors: Jari Kaivo-Oja

http://les.man.ac.uk/PREST/euforia/handbook.htm

http://les.man.ac.uk/PREST/euforia/documents/EFL_Handbook_April_2003.pdf

Collection of articlesPublished in Latvian and English

Riga, 2004

BCSS LAS

Latvia in Europe: visions of the future

In first time, a discussion (2003-2004) in scientific publications about Foresight terminology in Latvian

Collection of articlesPublished in Latvian and English

Riga, 2004

BCSS LAS

Latvia in Europe: visions of the future

In first time, a discussion (2003-2004) in scientific publications about Foresight terminology in Latvian

Forsaits vaiNākotnes “paredzēšanas” joma

November, 2003Related to the Congress of the Latvian Union of Scientists

E - žurnāls "Forsaits Latvijā" (2003) http://www.geocities.com/forwardstudies/lat/home.html

Latvia Background Paper (2000)Latvian foresight and forecasting before accession to the European Union

New foresight culture is on agenda in Europe challenging the industrial society

Foresight in the Enlargement Countries - Meeting in Nicosia – Position-papers - LATVIA

Maz izredžu realizēt Lisabonas stratēģiju, ja tas darbs tiks atstāts tikai Valdību ziņā Norises pasaulē rāda, ka daudzviet un t.sk. mūsu kaimiņzemē Somijā,

"foresight" metode ir palīdzējusi iesaistīt, mobilizēt institūcijas, intelektuālo kapacitāti un resursus. Tas ir tas, kas Latvijai patlaban visvairāk ir vajadzīgs.

Dr. Phys. Arnolds Ūbelis, Head of EC 6th Framework Program National Contact Point System of Latvia

Izglītība Kultūra 22.01.2004.

“LATVIA TOWARDS KNOWLEDGE SOCIETIES OF EUROPE:

new options for entrepreneurship and employment achieving the goals of the Lisbon strategy”

“LATVIA TOWARDS KNOWLEDGE SOCIETIES OF EUROPE:

new options for entrepreneurship and employment achieving the goals of the Lisbon strategy”

Project 04.1096The Latvian Council of Science

Organization: The Forward Studies Unit

Foresight exercise lengths: May 2003 –

Project leader Arturs Puga

Research objectives, activities, outputs

• http://www.geocities.com/forwardstudies/merki2.pps

• http://www.geocities.com/forwardstudies/fostering.ppt

• http://www.geocities.com/forwardstudies/FSsitemap2004.html

WHAT ARE KEY FEATURES, DRIVING FORCES, CHALLENGES OF THE PROCESS ?

Platform for understanding and research

WHAT ARE KEY FEATURES, DRIVING FORCES, CHALLENGES OF THE PROCESS ?

Platform for understanding and research

Findings in project panels

ENTREPRENEURSHIPFORESIGHT- European- national- corporate - personalKNOWLEDGE SOCIETYFUTURES STUDIESLISBON PROCESS in Member StatesVALUES- individual- corporate- human universalKNOWLEDGE ECONOMYINNOVATIONFORESIGHT CULTURESUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENTKNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENTPOLITICAL LEADERSHIP ROLEINNOVATIVE LEARNING SOCIETYLANGUAGE CHALLENGE: English / national

The used methods Environmental scanningBackground intelligence gatheringLiterature analysisPersonal interviewsStakeholders' mappingConferences/WorkshopsBrainstormingDelphiEuropean foresight best practice learning

LATVIA TOWARDS KNOWLEDGE SOCIETIES OF EUROPE:

The used methods   in: FOR-RIS  

Environmental scanningBackground intelligence gatheringLiterature analysisPersonal interviewsStakeholders' mapping: Latvian experienceConferences/WorkshopsBrainstormingDelphiEuropean foresight best practice learning

RIS Latvia foresighting

Entrepreneurial Foresight Basics for Lisbon strategy and process,

bottom-top approach - a learning citizen

Knowledge economy Knowledge society

Futures studies

InnovationLanguage challenge

Foresight

Political leadership

role

Entrepre-neurship

Innovative learning society

Foresight culture

Values

Lisbon process in Member States

Sustainable

development

Knowledge managemen

t

Entrepreneurial Foresight Basics for Lisbon strategy and process,

bottom-top approach - a learning citizen

Knowledge economy Knowledge society

Futures studies

InnovationLanguage challenge

Foresight

Political leadership

role

Entrepre-neurship

Innovative learning society

Foresight culture

Values

Lisbon process in Member States

Sustainable

development

Knowledge managemen

t

to guide decision making related to the entrepreneurial mindset development, innovative learning and entrepreneurial actions

Reflection on interrelated trends and issues (we are within their intersection) can help

to manage knowledge

Knowledge is a fluid mix of framed expertise, values, contextual information and expert insight that provides a framework for evaluating and incorporating new experiences and information.

It originates from and is applied in the minds of knowers. In organisations it often becomes embedded not only in documents or repositories but also in organisational routines, processes, practices and norms.

Knowledge is a fluid mix of framed expertise, values, contextual information and expert insight that provides a framework for evaluating and incorporating new experiences and information.

It originates from and is applied in the minds of knowers. In organisations it often becomes embedded not only in documents or repositories but also in organisational routines, processes, practices and norms.

Davenport T. & Prusak L, 1998: Working Knowledge: Harvard Business School Press

On a such foundation as EFB, developing KSF outputs, activities and targets,

we create the new virtual entity • process of interaction between individuals,

organizations, enterprises;• opportunities to develop communities of practice;• innovative application of the Basics framework for

thinking, knowledge (tacit and explicit) sharing, knowledge fusion and management aiming at possible futures for policies and strategies at all levels.

Tuesday, June 1, 2004The Latvian Parliament

Priekšlasījums: Forsaits un zināšanu vadīšana Lisabonas procesā Saeimas Nākotnes attīstības apakškomisijā

http://www.geocities.com/forwardstudies/saeima.pps

July , 2004

About the blog objectives

The Network (EFN) idea comes from knowledge sharing with European friends and colleagues in the EU conference

"FORESIGHT FOR INNOVATION - THINKING AND DEBATING THE FUTURE; SHAPING AND ALIGNING POLICIES" (Dublin, June 14-15, 2004)

and from research on LATVIA TOWARDS KNOWLEDGE SOCIETIES OF EUROPE: NEW OPTIONS FOR ENTREPRENEURSHIP

AND EMPLOYMENT ACHIEVING THE GOALS OF THE LISBON STRATEGY

(Forward Studies Unit (Riga), Foresight project,2003-http://uk.geocities.com/arturspuga/EFN/augsa.html).

http://arturspuga.blogspot.com/2004/07/blog-discourse-framework.html the blog discourse framework

http://arturspuga.blogspot.com/2004/07/about-blog-objectives.html about the blog objectives

http://arturspuga.blogspot.com/

KS, knowledge management & foresight conference

• Knowledge Society and Implementation of the

Lisbon Strategy in Europe and Latvia October 14 -

15 2004, Riga

• Conference organized by the Banking Institution of Higher Education (Latvia) in cooperation with the UNDP Latvia, the Municipality of Riga, SPACE International Association - Network for Language and Business Studies, the Forward Studies Unit (Latvia), "Consort Ltd." (Latvia)

• Foresight methods and activities in the Lisbon process

http://www.knowledgeboard.com/cgi-bin/item.cgi?ap=1&id=130717&d=pnd&dateform

http://www.lba.lv/conference2004/index.php?page=resources&lang=en

Workshop : main findings – KM is an imperative for foresight activities

"From “what a knowledge society is and why it is necessary”, towards how “how to become a knowledge society”, knowledge management is the foundation.

What should be included in the KM “to do” list:- To develop a vision and a strategy for a knowledge - based organization is a must.

- The mindset needs to be changed from managing information in the traditional way to the modern way which leads to effective knowledge management systems, namely, IT supported systems.

- It is pivotal to develop incentives and personal development opportunities for information management in an organization.

- To manage knowledge via networking."

http://unpan1.un.org/intradoc/groups/public/documents/apcity/unpan016893.pdf

Workshop : main findings – KM is an imperative for foresight activities

Conclusions

• Foresight = creativity, innovation

New knowledge creation for individuals and societal future

Knowledge discovery process

We need

To start consultation with all levels of government, businesses, academia, local communities to involve the interested stakeholders and to draw on their collective knowledge of the problems to be addressed to foresight exercises

We need

To develop

Multi-Stakeholder Partnership

for foresight research and activities

in Latvia

We need

To develop

Personal Knowledge Management,

Organizational Knowledge Management

processes

in Latvia

We need

To identify, understand and

minimize

impediments to

launch foresight programs and research

We need

To identify, understand and minimize impediments to launch foresight programs and research and to apply their outputs in strategies and decision-making in Latvia

The Three Components of CreativityThe Three Components of CreativityDr. Teresa M. Amabile

Professor of Business AdministrationHarvard Business School

Expertise/Knowledge Creative

Thinking Skill

MotivationCreativity/Innovation

Thanks for attention