enrollment & demographic analysis 1999-00 through 2009-10 1
TRANSCRIPT
Enrollment & DemographicAnalysis
1999-00 Through 2009-10
1
Texas Public SchoolsEnrollment by Ethnicity
1999
-00
2000
-01
2001
-02
2002
-03
2003
-04
2004
-05
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
14.4% 14.4% 14.3% 14.3% 14.2% 14.2% 14.7% 14.4% 14.3% 14.1%
39.5% 40.5%
41.7% 42.7% 43.8% 44.7% 45.3% 46.3% 47.2% 47.9%
43.2% 42.1%
40.9% 39.8% 38.7% 37.7% 36.5% 35.7% 34.8% 34.0%
2.6% 2.7% 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 3.3% 3.4% 3.6%
African American Hispanic White Native American Asian/Pacific Islander
2
Texas Public School Enrollment Growth by Ethnicity
Tot
al S
tud
ents
Wh
ite
His
pan
ic
Afr
ican
Am
eric
an
Asi
an/P
acif
ic I
slan
der
Nat
ive
Am
eric
an
Low
In
com
e
LEP
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
21%
-6%
49%
18%
74%69%
46% 47%
Texas Education Agency Statistics1999-00 to 2009-10
3
Texas Public School Enrollment Growth by Ethnicity
1999-00 2009-10 Difference PercentTotal Students 3,991,783 4,847,844 856,061 21%White 1,721,969 1,615,459 (106,510) -6%Hispanic 1,578,967 2,354,042 775,075 49%African American 576,083 679,351 103,268 18%Asian/Pacific Islander 103,499 180,008 76,509 74%Native American 11,265 18,984 7,719 69%Low Income 1,955,012 2,848,067 893,055 46%LEP 555,334 815,998 260,664 47%
4
Hispanic children make up 91% of school enrollment growthSource: Houston Chronicle, Texas Politics
• Hispanic children represent 91% of the public school enrollment increase over the past decade, according to Texas Education Agency statistics.
• The current school year shows an overall enrollment of 856,061 students from the 1999-2000 school year. The number of Hispanic students has increased by 775,075.
• The number of white children has declined by 106,510 during the past decade – about the same number as the increase in African American children.
5
• Perhaps the most stunning statistic when it comes to school enrollment is the number of children from low income families. The number has increased by 893,055 over the past 10 years – exceeding the overall student enrollment growth.
• The number of white children attending public schools is declining all across Texas. White children now make up less than 8 percent of the total enrollment in the Houston ISD and less than 5 percent of the Dallas ISD enrollment.
6
Rockwall ISD Enrollment1999-00 Through 2009-10
1999
-00
2000
-01
2001
-02
2002
-03
2003
-04
2004
-05
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
14,000
15,000
7,700
8,3598,810
9,4889,984
10,545
11,519
12,46813,027
13,372
13,843
7
Enrollment Annual Change (%)Rockwall ISD vs Texas
1999
-00
2000
-01
2001
-02
2002
-03
2003
-04
2004
-05
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
6.2%
8.6%
5.4%
7.7%
5.2%5.6%
9.2%
8.2%
4.5%
2.6%
3.5%
1.2%1.7%
2.2% 2.3%1.7% 1.7%
2.7%
1.6% 1.7%1.7%
Rockwall ISD Texas
8
Rockwall ISD Enrollment Projections*
*Projections based on Rockwall ISD’s Average Annual Change for the Past 10-YRs , 5-YRs, and 3-YRs
9
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
12,000
13,000
14,000
15,000
16,000
17,000
18,000
19,000
20,000
21,000
22,000
23,000
24,000
25,000
26,000
14,684
15,576
16,523
17,526
18,591
19,721
20,919
22,190
23,538
24,968
17,231
18,200
19,224
20,306
21,448
22,655
23,929
13,84314,335
14,84415,371
15,91716,482
17,06717,673
18,30118,951
19,624
10-Year Change (6.1%) 5-Year Change (5.6%) 3-Year Change (3.6%)
Rockwall ISDEnrollment by Ethnicity
1999
-00
2000
-01
2001
-02
2002
-03
2003
-04
2004
-05
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
3.7% 3.7% 4.3% 4.8% 5.7% 6.2% 6.6% 7.2% 7.4% 7.4% 7.5%9.6% 10.8% 11.4% 12.8% 14.0% 15.3% 16.0% 17.3% 17.4% 17.6% 18.4%
84.9% 83.8% 82.4% 80.2% 78.1% 76.1% 74.6% 72.4% 72.0% 71.6% 70.6%
0.4%3.1%
African American Hispanic White Native American Asian/Pacific Islander
10
Enrollment by Ethnicity 2019-20 Projection
2009-
10
2019-
20
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
70.6%
56.3%
18.4%
27.2%
7.5%11.4%
3.1% 4.5%
White Hispanic African American Asian/Pacific Islander Native American
11
Rockwall ISDMinority Population Trend
1999
-00
2000
-01
2001
-02
2002
-03
2003
-04
2004
-05
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
84.9% 83.8% 82.4% 80.2% 78.1% 76.1% 74.6% 72.4% 72.0% 71.6% 70.6%
15.1% 16.2% 17.6% 19.8% 21.9% 23.9% 25.4% 27.6% 28.0% 28.4% 29.4%
White Non White
12
Economically Disadvantaged EnrollmentRockwall ISD vs Texas
1999
-00
2000
-01
2001
-02
2002
-03
2003
-04
2004
-05
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
55.0%
60.0%
65.0%
70.0%
11.9% 13.5% 14.7% 13.2%15.4%
17.4% 17.4%19.6% 19.9% 20.8%
23.4%
48.9% 49.2% 50.4% 51.8% 52.7% 54.5% 55.5% 55.4% 55.2% 56.6%
Rockwall ISD Texas
13
Rockwall ISDEconomically Disadvantaged Trend
1999
-00
2000
-01
2001
-02
2002
-03
2003
-04
2004
-05
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
88.1% 86.5% 85.3% 86.8% 84.6% 82.6% 82.6% 80.4% 80.1% 79.2% 76.6%
11.9% 13.5% 14.7% 13.2% 15.4% 17.4% 17.4% 19.6% 19.9% 20.8% 23.4%
Non Economically Disadvantaged Economically Disadvantaged
14
Limited English Proficient (LEP) EnrollmentRockwall ISD vs Texas
1999
-00
2000
-01
2001
-02
2002
-03
2003
-04
2004
-05
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
3.4%4.0% 4.1%
5.0% 5.4% 5.9%6.5% 6.8% 6.7% 6.5% 6.6%
13.9% 14.0% 14.5% 14.8% 15.3% 15.5% 15.7% 15.9%16.6% 16.9%
Rockwall ISD Texas
15
Feeder Information
• Rockwall ISD is divided into two Feeders:– Rockwall High School (RHS) Feeder– Rockwall-Heath High School (RHHS) Feeder
• Feeder Enrollment includes Elementary, Middle School, and High School students by their designated campus attendance zone and enrollment path.
16
RHS Feeder
Secondary Schools• Rockwall High School• Williams Middle School• Utley Middle School
Elementary Schools• Reinhardt Elementary • Dobbs Elementary • Cullins-Lake Pointe
Elementary• Nebbie Williams
Elementary• Hartman Elementary• Hays Elementary *
* Portion of students will attend either Utley MS or Williams MS
17
RHHS Feeder
Secondary Schools• Rockwall-Heath High
School• Cain Middle School• Utley Middle School
Elementary Schools• Rochell Elementary *• Amy Parks-Heath
Elementary• Pullen Elementary• Jones Elementary *• Springer Elementary• Shannon Elementary *
* Portion of students will attend either Utley MS or Cain MS
18
RHS FeederEnrollment by Ethnicity (%)
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
7.3%
11.3% 12.6% 13.0% 12.9% 13.8%
80.1%77.6% 76.6% 76.4% 75.4%
0.3%3.1%
African American Hispanic White Native American Asian/Pacific Islander
19
RHHS FeederEnrollment by Ethnicity (%)
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
7.6% 7.8% 7.8% 7.4% 7.7%
22.1% 22.4% 21.7% 22.3% 23.0%
67.5% 66.7% 67.4% 66.7% 65.7%
0.4%3.1%
African American Hispanic White Native American Asian/Pacific Islander
20
RHS FeederMinority Population Trend (%)
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
80.1% 77.6% 76.6% 76.4% 75.4%
19.9% 22.4% 23.4% 23.6% 24.6%
White Non White
21
RHHS FeederMinority Population Trend (%)
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
67.5% 66.7% 67.4% 66.7% 65.7%
32.5% 33.3% 32.6% 33.3% 34.3%
White Non White
22
RHS FeederEconomically Disadvantaged Trend (%)
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
12.1% 14.4% 15.6% 15.9%18.6%
87.9% 85.6% 84.4% 84.1%81.4%
Economically Disadvantaged NON Economically Disadvantaged
23
RHHS FeederEconomically Disadvantaged Trend (%)
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
24.3% 25.3% 24.3% 25.8% 28.3%
75.7% 74.7% 75.7% 74.2% 71.7%
Economically Disadvantaged NON Economically Disadvantaged
24
RHS FeederLimited English Proficient (LEP) Trend (%)
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
2.7% 3.8% 3.6% 3.3% 3.5%
97.3% 96.2% 96.4% 96.7% 96.5%
LEP NON LEP
25
RHHS FeederLimited English Proficient (LEP) Trend (%)
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
11.2% 10.3% 9.8% 9.7% 9.8%
88.8% 89.7% 90.2% 90.3% 90.2%
LEP NON LEP
26
Proportion of African American StudentsRHS Feeder vs RHHS Feeder
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
370437 458 493 510
383
458502
494527
RHS Feeder RHHS Feeder
27
Proportion of Hispanic StudentsRHS Feeder vs RHHS Feeder
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
2,000
2,250
2,500
2,750
729 830 850 863 962
1,110
1,311 1,402 1,4811,579
RHS Feeder RHHS Feeder
28
Proportion of White StudentsRHS Feeder vs RHHS Feeder
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
5,164 5,090 4,990 5,099 5,238
3,387 3,894 4,350 4,434 4,511
RHS Feeder RHHS Feeder
29
Proportion of Native American StudentsRHS Feeder vs RHHS Feeder
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
3429 27
22 24
12
14 1824
30
RHS Feeder RHHS Feeder
30
Proportion of Asian/Pacific Islander StudentsRHS Feeder vs RHHS Feeder
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
151176 190 198 214
128
164182
210215
RHS Feeder RHHS Feeder
31
Proportion of Limited English Proficient (LEP) StudentsRHS Feeder vs RHHS Feeder
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
176252 235 220 244
564
600 634 644671
RHS Feeder RHHS Feeder
32
Proportion of Economically Disadvantaged StudentsRHS Feeder vs RHHS Feeder
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
2,000
2,250
2,500
2,750
3,000
3,250
780943 1,018 1,059
1,293
1,218
1,4751,566
1,715
1,941
RHS Feeder RHHS Feeder
33
Percentage of Area School
Districts’ Students in
Low-Income Families in
2009-10Source: Texas Education Agency
Highland Park 0%Carroll 2%Coppell 10%Frisco 13%Allen 16%Grapevine-Colleyville 18%Plano 23%Rockwall 23%Lewisville 25%McKinney 27%Richardson 55%Garland 57%Carrollton-Farmers Branch 59%Arlington 60%Mesquite 62%DeSoto 63%Duncanville 70%Grand Prairie 70%Irving 78%Lancaster 79%Dallas 87%
34
Rockwall ISD EthnicityElementary Enrollment & Gifted/Talented (K-6)
As of June 3, 2010
35
Elementary Enrollment (K-6) Ethnicity Gifted/Talented Qty % Qty %Native American 24 0.3% 2 0.4%Asian/Pacific Islander 244 3.4% 24 5.0%African American 513 7.2% 13 2.7%Hispanic 1,338 18.7% 39 8.1%White 5,025 70.3% 403 83.8%TOTAL 7,144 481 6.7%
240%
2443% 513
7%
133819%
5025
70%
Native AmericanAsian/Pacific Is-landerAfrican AmericanHispanicWhite
20%
245%
133% 39
8%
40384%
Native AmericanAsian/Pacific Is-landerAfrican AmericanHispanicWhite
Rockwall ISD EthnicityMiddle School Enrollment & Advanced Courses (7-8)
As of June 3, 2010
36
Middle School Enrollment (7-8) Ethnicity Advanced Courses Qty % Qty %Native American 10 0.5% 2 0.4%Asian/Pacific Islander 53 2.5% 26 5.6%African American 175 8.1% 20 4.3%Hispanic 400 18.5% 31 6.7%White 1,522 70.5% 382 82.9%TOTAL 2,160 461 21.3%
100%
532%
1758%
40019%
1522
70%
Native AmericanAsian/Pacific Is-landerAfrican AmericanHispanicWhite
20%
266%
204%
317%
382
83%
Native AmericanAsian/Pacific Is-landerAfrican AmericanHispanicWhite
Rockwall ISD EthnicityHigh School Enrollment & AP/Dual Credit (9-12)
As of June 3, 2010
37
High School Enrollment (9-12) Ethnicity AP & Dual Credit Qty % Qty %Native American 19 0.5% 8 0.5%Asian/Pacific Islander 120 3.1% 66 4.2%African American 290 7.5% 83 5.3%Hispanic 594 15.3% 162 10.3%White 2,865 73.7% 1,254 79.7%TOTAL 3,888 1,573 40.5%
190%
1203%
290
7%
59415%
286574%
Native AmericanAsian/Pacific Is-landerAfrican AmericanHispanicWhite
81%
664%
835%
162
10%
125480%
Native AmericanAsian/Pacific Is-landerAfrican AmericanHispanicWhite
Rockwall ISD EthnicityTotal Enrollment & Special Education (K-12)
As of June 3, 2010
38
530%
4173% 978
7%
233218%
9412
71%
Native AmericanAsian/Pacific Is-landerAfrican AmericanHispanicWhite
50%
71%
15714%
21420%
70365%
Native AmericanAsian/Pacific Is-landerAfrican AmericanHispanicWhite
Total Enrollment (K-12) Ethnicity Special Education Qty % Qty %Native American 53 0.4% 5 0.5%Asian/Pacific Islander 417 3.2% 7 0.6%African American 978 7.4% 157 14.5%Hispanic 2,332 17.7% 214 19.7%White 9,412 71.3% 703 64.7%TOTAL 13,192 1,086 8.2%