engineering economics sp06

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  • 8/3/2019 Engineering Economics Sp06

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    Engineering Economics

    .

    Rajeev Bansal

    February 1, 2006

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    Engineering Economics

    Why is it important?

    Value and Interest

    Cash Flow Diagrams and Patterns Equivalence of Cash Flow Patterns

    Evaluating Alternatives

    Break-Even Analysis

    Income Tax and Depreciation

    Inflation

    Conclusion

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    Why do we care about

    Engineering Economics? Engineering designs are intended to produce good

    results.

    They are accompanied by undesirables (costs). If outcomes are evaluated in dollars, and good is

    defined as profit, then decisions will be guided by

    engineering economics.

    This process maximizes goodness only if all

    outcomes are anticipated and can be monetized.

    $

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    Value and Interest

    The value of money depends on the

    amount and when it is received or spent.

    1 2

    $1000

    $1166

    Example: What amount must be paid to settle a current debt of $1000 in

    two years at an interest rate of 8% ?

    Solution: $1000 (1 + 0.08) (1 + 0.08) = $1166

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    Cash Flow Diagrams

    P-Pattern1 2 3 n

    present

    F-Pattern1 2 3 n

    future

    A-Pattern1 2 3 n

    annual

    G-Pattern1 2 3 n

    gradient

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    Equivalence of Cash Flow

    PatternsTo Find Given Multiply By Formula

    F P

    P F

    A P

    A G

    n

    iPF )/(

    n

    iFP )/(

    n

    iPA

    )/(

    n

    iGA )/(

    ni)1(

    +

    ni)1(

    1

    +

    1)1(

    )1(

    +

    +n

    n

    i

    ii

    1)1(

    1

    +

    ni

    n

    i

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    Example: A new circuit board component insertion tool will

    save $50,000 in production costs each year and will have a

    life of seven years. What is the highest price that can be

    justified for the tool using a 12% interest rate?

    Solution:

    1 2 3 74 5 6

    P

    50k 50k 50k 50k 50k 50k 50k

    k

    Aii

    iAAPP

    n

    n

    228$000,50$56.4

    000,50$)12.01(12.0

    1)12.01(

    )1(

    1)1()/(

    7

    7

    %127

    ==+

    +=

    ++

    ==

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    Evaluating Alternatives

    Annual Equivalent Cost Comparisons

    Present Equivalent Cost Comparisons

    Incremental Approach

    Rate of Return Comparisons

    Benefit/Cost Comparisons

    Minimum Attractive Rate of Return (MARR): The lowest rate of return

    that the organization will accept.

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    Annual Equivalent Cost

    Comparison Incomes are converted to an A-pattern.

    Costs are converted to an A-pattern.

    The costs are subtracted from the incomes todetermine the ANEV.

    Mutually Exclusive Alternatives choose the one

    with highest ANEV Independent Alternatives choose all with positive

    ANEV

    ANEV: Annual Net Equivalent Value

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    Example: A new circuit board component insertion tool is

    needed. Which should you buy?

    Solution: The ANEV is calculated for each:

    kkkk

    kFAkkPAANEV

    9.539.1208.35

    30)/(20220)/( %1010%10

    10

    =+=+=

    Model Price Annual Maintenance Salvage Value Life

    JACO $220k $20k $30k 10 years

    Cheepo $100k $35k 0 5 years

    JACO:

    k

    kkPAANEV

    4.61$

    35100)/( %105

    ==Cheepo:

    JACO

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    Present Equivalent Cost

    Comparison Incomes and costs are converted to P-patterns.

    The costs are subtracted from the incomes to

    determine the PNEV. Mutually Exclusive Alternatives choose the one

    with highest PNEV

    Independent Alternatives choose all with positivePNEV

    PNEV: Present Net Equivalent Value, also called life cycle cost,

    present worth, capital cost, and venture worth.

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    Incremental Approach

    For a set of mutually exclusive alternatives, only

    the differences in amounts need to be considered.

    kkkkk

    kFPkFPkAPkPNEV

    9.45$6.111.622.92120

    30)/(100)/(15)/(120 %1010%10

    5%10

    10

    =+++=+++=

    Model Price Annual Maintenance Salvage Value Life

    JACO $220k $20k $30k 10 years

    Cheepo $100k $35k 0 5 years

    JACO- Cheepo:

    JACO

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    Rate of Return Method

    ANEV or PNEV is formulated

    From this, we solve for the interest rate that will

    give zero ANEV or PNEV This interest rate is the ROR of the alternative

    For mutually exclusive alternatives, the one with

    the highest ROR is chosen For independent alternatives, all with a ROR

    greater than MARR are accepted

    ROR: Rate of Return on Investment

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    Benefit/Cost Comparisons

    The benefit/cost ratio is determined from

    For mutually exclusive alternatives, the one

    with the highest B/C is chosen.

    For independent alternatives, all with B/C >

    1 are accepted.

    The MARR is used to determine the denominator (cost).

    costinitialofequivalentannual

    benefitsannualnetuniform=C

    B

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    Break-Even Analysis

    Break-even point: the value of an independentvariable such that two alternatives are equallyattractive.

    For values above the break-even point, onealternative is preferred.

    For values below the break-even point, the other is

    preferred. Break-even analysis is useful when dealing with a

    changing variable (such as MARR).

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    Income Tax and Depreciation

    Businesses pay the IRS a tax:

    Depreciation: method of charging the initial cost ofan asset against more than one year.

    An asset is depreciable if :

    It is used to produce income,

    Has a life greater than one year, but

    Decays, wears out, becomes obsolete, or gets used up.

    =ondepreciati-paidinterest-

    costsoperating-revenuegrossRTAX

    ACRS: Accelerated Cost Recovery System, used by IRS since 1980.

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    Inflation

    The buying power of money changes with time.

    Inflation, if anticipated, can be put to good use by

    fixing costs and allowing income to rise by Entering long-term contracts for materials or wages

    Purchasing materials long before they are needed

    Stockpiling product for sale later.

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    Conclusion

    For-profit enterprises exist to make money.

    Non-profit entities also make decisions to

    maximize the goodness of outcomes byassigning dollar values.

    Your engineering decisions will be shaped

    by economics.

    $