egypt under the realm of military in the post-arab spring
TRANSCRIPT
Egypt under the military rule
after the Arab SpringMahboob Thaha
Research scholar
Centre for West Asian Studies
Jamia Millia Islamia
Main aspects of the paper
Constitution
Referendum
Salafist’s stand
Freedom of press in Egypt
Muslim Brotherhood
Constitution - 2013
Amr Mousa lead the draft committee
Members of the draft committee –
even actors and directors
SCAF has been given more authority
to control the government
Term of defense minister – 8 years
No one has access to military budget
including the president
Referendum of Jan 14th & 15th
2014 Government’s advocacy of majority
votes
98.1% majority, 38.6% said yes and
1.9% no
Analysis of the referendum present
another picture of the referendum
Leading dailies and international
agencies and observers opine that the
referendum happened in a situation
where free and fair elections cannot
take place
Referendum during Morsi’s term – almost whole
nation participated
But the recently held referendum – boycott from
different corners. Then from where did the 98.1%
majority come from?
‘Observatory of Arab Rights and Freedom’ -
11.3% & ‘The Egyptian Center for Media and
Public Opinion’- 8% participated in the
referendum.
‘National Democratic Institute’ and ‘International
Republic Institute’ who were observers in the
2012 referendum were expelled from the country
during this referendum.
Al – Nour party and the Salafist
dilemma Called its followers to vote for the
referendum, but the response was
cold
Trying to fill the gap left by the Muslim
Brotherhood and become their heir
Dilemma of participating in the political
process of Egypt
Relations with the civil society,
compromise on the ideology etc.
haunts the party
Freedom of press
Media and channels trying to expose the true face of Egypt have come under the scanner of the military regime.
Typical example is the case of Al Jazeera
Many of its staff are in jail
Peter Greste, correspondent of Al Jazeeraarrested on Dec 29 said in a letter from prison “The state will not tolerate hearing from the Muslim Brotherhood or any other critical voices. The prisons are overflowing with anyone who opposes or challenges the government.”
Muslim Brotherhood
Designation of terrorist organization using the statement
of ‘Ansar Bayt al Maqdis’ on the bomb blasts in
Mansura.
“Media guided by the security forces insist on
portraying the protests against the military coup
and the interim government as “a struggle between
the people and the Muslim Brotherhood”, as if
those protesting against tyranny are protesting
against the popular will” – Azmi Bishara
Article 86 of the Penal code: “the punishments
legally prescribed for terrorism will apply to
anyone involved in the Brotherhood activities
or who promotes the group verbally or anyone
funding the group’s activities”.
Two main consequences of tagging the
Muslim Brotherhood as a terrorist group:
1. Closure of doors of dialogue and
reconciliation with the military regime
2. Chances of Muslim Brotherhood activists
taking up arms and indulging in violence
Algerian example
The military regime is trying to create
an Algeria in Egypt.
Islamists who lost their confidence in
democracy resorted to violence and
this gave the military an opportunity to
suppress them totally
Two lakh people died in the conflict
Muslim Brotherhood leadership in jail and their contact with their followers is less
The military is waiting for this chance of provocation.
But the history of Muslim Brotherhood depicts a different story, they have the example of Algeria, Conflict will never resolve the issue – MB knows it, it will lose its support if it resorts to violence
Strategy now – to face the arrests and detention calmly and quietly
Thank You