econometría modelo keynesiano de consumo colombia 2000 2014

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CONCEPTO PIB Consumo total xi(PIB) 2000* I 70,991 59,835 -23,303 II 71,005 60,082 -23,289 II 71,407 60,329 -22,887 IV 71,358 60,718 -22,936 2001* I 71,852 60,917 -22,442 II 72,011 61,119 -22,283 II 72,626 61,210 -21,668 IV 73,050 61,754 -21,244 2002* I 72,393 61,523 -21,901 II 74,876 61,921 -19,418 II 74,653 62,858 -19,641 IV 74,867 62,401 -19,427 2003* I 75,460 62,639 -18,834 II 76,730 63,519 -17,564 II 77,614 64,328 -16,680 IV 78,614 65,015 -15,680 2004* I 80,133 66,097 -14,161 II 80,097 66,048 -14,197 II 81,031 66,455 -13,263 IV 83,605 67,962 -10,689 2005* I 83,441 67,908 -10,853 II 84,902 69,192 -9,392 II 85,409 69,672 -8,885 IV 86,404 71,181 -7,890 2006* I 87,977 73,626 -6,317 II 89,871 75,756 -4,423 II 91,951 77,319 -2,343 IV 93,139 68,669 -1,155 2007* I 94,962 78,274 668 II 95,517 78,357 1,223 II 97,566 79,627 3,272 IV 99,938 79,847 5,644 2008* I 99,716 81,006 5,422 II 100,585 81,430 6,291 II 101,122 82,108 6,828 IV 100,321 82,467 6,027 2009* I 100,812 82,359 6,518 II 101,795 82,873 7,501 III 102,462 83,131 8,168 IV 103,310 83,912 9,016 2010* I 104,481 85,568 10,187 II 105,391 86,586 11,097 III 105,940 88,033 11,646 IV 108,787 89,116 14,493

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Modelo EconometrícoPIBConsumoColombia2000-2014

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Hoja1CONCEPTOPIBConsumo total xi(PIB)yi(Consumo)xiyixi^2Y^UiUi^2X^22000*I70,99159,835-23,303-17,622410649942.712527543,023,26859292.7128560914542294,0755,039,722,081II71,00560,082-23,289-17,375404650882.203755542,370,98459303.6258598721778605,8665,041,710,025II71,40760,329-22,887-17,128392012957.975685523,808,34559616.9849684338712506,9655,098,959,649IV71,35860,718-22,936-16,739383930195.186211526,053,65859578.78945520121,1391,297,8015,091,964,1642001*I71,85260,917-22,442-16,540371195051.782702503,637,06559963.8625886079953908,4715,162,709,904II72,01161,119-22,283-16,338364064006.712527496,525,83460087.80313154651,0311,063,3675,185,584,121II72,62661,210-21,668-16,247352044178.063404469,496,14260567.1957976297643413,1975,274,535,876IV73,05061,754-21,244-15,703333598663.958141451,301,57360897.7039121326856733,2435,336,302,5002002*I72,39361,523-21,901-15,934348974829.484457479,647,65360385.57223470711,1371,293,7425,240,746,449II74,87661,921-19,418-15,536301681658.800246377,053,27362321.0714052513-400160,0575,606,415,376II74,65362,858-19,641-14,599286742767.81779385,763,36862147.2428450293711505,1765,573,070,409IV74,86762,401-19,427-15,056292496592.852878377,402,87662314.0559028208877,5595,605,067,6892003*I75,46062,639-18,834-14,818279085749.396737354,714,26962776.2995629629-13718,8515,694,211,600II76,73063,519-17,564-13,938244810314.13358308,489,16663766.2649059315-24761,1405,887,492,900II77,61464,328-16,680-13,129218994852.028316278,217,71864455.3431446593-12716,2166,023,932,996IV78,61465,015-15,680-12,442195093490.203755245,857,99965234.8434147133-22048,3316,180,160,9962004*I80,13366,097-14,161-11,360160871589.028316200,529,94666418.9043249254-322103,6226,421,297,689II80,09766,048-14,197-11,409161976205.887966201,550,82466390.8423152035-343117,5416,415,529,409II81,03166,455-13,263-11,002145921937.449369175,903,44667118.8955674339-664440,7576,566,022,961IV83,60567,962-10,689-9,495101493910.27393114,251,72169125.329262553-1,1631,353,3356,989,796,0252005*I83,44167,908-10,853-9,549103637193.607264117,784,56368997.4912182642-1,0891,186,9916,962,400,481II84,90269,192-9,392-8,26577626521.08094888,207,02870136.3411128131-944891,7807,208,349,604II85,40969,672-8,885-7,78569171282.238842778,940,73170531.5477497305-860738,8227,294,697,281IV86,40471,181-7,890-6,27649519112.273930462,249,88571307.1505184343-12615,9147,465,651,2162006*I87,97773,626-6,317-3,83124201773.291474339,902,71672533.30444322931,0931,193,9847,739,952,529II89,87175,756-4,423-1,7017524603.3616497219,561,68774009.67795471171,7463,049,6418,076,796,641II91,95177,319-2,343-138324013.3791935885,488,99175631.03851642411,6882,849,2148,454,986,401IV93,13968,669-1,155-8,78810149251.02831641,333,70176557.0848372483-7,88862,221,8828,674,873,3212007*I94,96278,274668817545671.396737459446,41277978.113829556829687,5499,017,781,444II95,51778,3571,2239001100461.519544481,496,07278410.7364794368-542,8889,123,497,289II97,56679,6273,2722,1707099568.6598953610,706,90280007.9325327775-381145,1109,519,124,356IV99,93879,8475,6442,39013487812.098491931,856,32081856.9071733457-2,0104,039,7279,987,603,8442008*I99,71681,0065,4223,54919241558.975684829,399,60681683.8581133937-678459,4929,943,280,656II100,58581,4306,2913,97324992824.309018239,578,44782361.2438480707-931867,21510,117,342,225II101,12282,1086,8284,65131755644.309018246,623,50182779.8354930897-672451,36310,225,658,884IV100,32182,4676,0275,01030194175.589719936,326,42182155.455776776431297,06010,064,303,0412009*I100,81282,3596,5184,90231949979.993228742,486,15482538.190409373-17932,10910,163,059,344II101,79582,8737,5015,41640623938.95814156,267,10783304.4391748361-431186,14010,362,222,025III102,46283,1318,1685,67446343592.238842766,718,51783824.3658549621-693480,75610,498,461,444IV103,31083,9129,0166,45558196496.940597181,290,78784485.382083968-573328,76710,672,956,1002010*I104,48185,56810,1878,11182624857.1160357103,777,82985398.176900201217028,84010,916,279,361II105,39186,58611,0979,129101302484.58972123,146,52486107.5221459504478228,94111,107,262,881III105,94088,03311,64610,576123166106.940597135,632,58586535.46779421011,4982,242,60311,223,283,600IV108,78789,11614,49311,659168971200.835334210,051,11788754.7050630539361130,53411,834,611,3692011*I110,38689,85516,09212,398199505556.659895258,956,98190001.1259948704-14621,35312,185,068,996II112,05092,00517,75614,548258311034.13358315,280,52091298.2144442403707499,54612,555,202,500III114,37492,82720,08015,370308625768.379194403,212,03793109.7730718459-28379,96113,081,411,876IV115,76893,71221,47416,255349055746.835334461,138,70494196.3964483012-484234,64013,402,229,8242012*I116,99294,76922,69817,312392943436.13358515,205,57595150.5047788474-382145,54613,687,128,064II117,75395,71123,45918,254428216151.379194550,331,26695743.7044843585-331,07013,865,769,009III117,27796,86722,98319,410446095899.58972528,224,74095372.66235581281,4942,233,04513,753,894,729IV118,88198,29424,58720,837512314910.484457604,527,47196622.98078897941,6712,792,30514,132,692,1612013*I120,44398,37426,14920,917546953769.852878683,777,54197840.5602108039533284,55814,506,516,249II123,13099,98928,83622,532649727314.13358831,522,99099935.0774364391542,90815,160,996,900III124,120101,31929,82623,862711702465.537088889,598,648100706.782703793612374,81015,405,774,400IV125,239102,75530,94525,298782840931.344106957,601,711101579.0435059831,1761,382,87415,684,807,1212014*I128,165103,84233,87126,385893679936.2388431,147,254,149103859.861296161-1831916,426,267,22513354012821.38617131505060.8772099,959,567523,937,427,210PIB (X)CONSUMO (Y)MEDIA94,29477,457B10.7795002701Bo3955.2091846848Var modelo 1817446.67916948EE1348.1271005248Var (Bo)975148.432198966Var (Bo)987.4960416118Var (b1)0.000106088Var (b1)0.0102999017