Metode Siklis Untuk Harga Jual SIR 3 CV
Bulan Tahun x y k h hk
April 2011 1 5.8211 1.2585166667 -5.5 -6.92184167
Mei 2011 2 5.3939 0.8313166667 -4.5 -3.740925
Juni 2011 3 5.2625 0.6999166667 -3.5 -2.44970833
Juli 2011 4 5.0289 0.4663166667 -2.5 -1.16579167
Agustus 2011 5 4.9344 0.3718166667 -1.5 -0.557725
September 2011 6 4.7285 0.1659166667 -0.5 -0.08295833
Oktober 2011 7 4.4579 -0.1046833333 0.5 -0.05234167
Nopember 2011 8 3.7584 -0.8041833333 1.5 -1.206275
desember 2011 9 3.5202 -1.0423833333 2.5 -2.60595833
Januari 2012 10 3.6304 -0.9321833333 3.5 -3.26264167
Februari 2012 11 4.0763 -0.4862833333 4.5 -2.188275
Maret 2012 12 4.1385 -0.4240833333 5.5 -2.33245833
Sum 78 54.751 -1.065814E-14 0 -26.5669
Average 6.5 4.5625833 0
Matrik
k' 1 cos 2πx/N sin 2πx/N
∑ k n 0 0 = 0
∑ k cos 2πx/N 0 n/2 0
∑ k sin 2πx/N 0 0 n/2
12 0 0 0 0
k' 0 6.5 0 -1 1.37531179165 6.5
0 0 6.5 5.74175697458 0
k' 507 -1 0 cos πx/6,5 -107.274319748 -sin πx/6,5
-0.21158642948
dikalikan (-1) -1 0.21158642948 -1
k' (507) - cos πx/6,5 (107,2743197) - sin πx/6,5 (447,857044) = 0
k' = cos πx/6,5 (0,211586429) + sin πx/6,5 (0,883347227)
Y = 4,562583 + cos πx/6,5 (0,211586429) + sin πx/6,5 (0,883347227)
n x y y' y-y' (y-y')2
1 1 5.8211 4.5300316 1.291068425 1.66685767816
2 2 5.3939 4.5951351 0.7987649083 0.63802537871
3 3 5.2625 4.5300316 0.732468425 0.53650999369
4 4 5.0289 4.5951351 0.4337649083 0.18815199566
5 5 4.9344 4.5300316 0.404368425 0.16351382318
6 6 4.7285 4.5951351 0.1333649083 0.01778619876
7 7 4.4579 4.5300316 -0.072131575 0.0052029641
8 8 3.7584 4.5951351 -0.8367350917 0.70012561371
9 9 3.5202 4.5300316 -1.009831575 1.01975980977
10 10 3.6304 4.5951351 -0.9647350917 0.93071379719
11 11 4.0763 4.5300316 -0.453731575 0.20587234211
12 12 4.1385 4.5951351 -0.4566350917 0.20851560699
∑ 78 54.751 54.751 -9.769963E-15 6.28
sin(2pix/12) cos(2pi/12) kcos(pix/6,5) ksin(pix/6,5)
0.5 -0.995616002 1.1143611659 0.5848618574
0.8660254038 -0.950064681 0.4722416917 0.6841602041
1 -0.926364384 0.0843656315 0.6948134861
0.8660254038 -0.873491969 -0.165358169 0.4360136576
0.5 -0.848343927 -0.278308771 0.2465600564
1.224647E-16 -0.78645016 -0.16109543 0.0397064573
-0.5 -0.691349139 0.1016414259 0.0250523615
-0.866025404 -0.386743152 0.6019398685 0.5332721897
-1 -0.269020681 0.3696342242 0.9746453478
-0.866025404 -0.324115559 -0.112362284 0.9253866673
-0.5 -0.534190061 -0.276240419 0.4002033376
-2.44929E-16 -0.561433617 -0.375507143 0.1970813519
-6.69535E-17 -8.147183332 1.3753117916 5.7417569746
0 0 12 0 0 12
0 cos πx/6,5 1.3753117916 0 0 -sin πx/6,5 1.3753118 0
6.5 5.7417569746 0 6.5 5.741757 0
447.85704402
0.8833472269
-0.883347227
k' (507) - cos πx/6,5 (107,2743197) - sin πx/6,5 (447,857044) = 0
Y = 4,562583 + cos πx/6,5 (0,211586429) + sin πx/6,5 (0,883347227)
Derajat Bebas 2
SEE
0.7925298229
0 = 0
6.5
0
Metode Konstan Untuk Harga Jual SIR 3 CV
Bulan Tahun x y n x y y' y-y'
April 2011 1 5.8211 1 1 5.8211 4.5625833 1.2585167
Mei 2011 2 5.3939 2 2 5.3939 4.5625833 0.8313167
Juni 2011 3 5.2625 3 3 5.2625 4.5625833 0.6999167
Juli 2011 4 5.0289 4 4 5.0289 4.5625833 0.4663167
Agustus 2011 5 4.9344 5 5 4.9344 4.5625833 0.3718167
September 2011 6 4.7285 6 6 4.7285 4.5625833 0.1659167
Oktober 2011 7 4.4579 7 7 4.4579 4.5625833 -0.1046833
Nopember 2011 8 3.7584 8 8 3.7584 4.5625833 -0.8041833
desember 2011 9 3.5202 9 9 3.5202 4.5625833 -1.0423833
Januari 2012 10 3.6304 10 10 3.6304 4.5625833 -0.9321833
Februari 2012 11 4.0763 11 11 4.0763 4.5625833 -0.4862833
Maret 2012 12 4.1385 12 12 4.1385 4.5625833 -0.4240833
∑ 78 54.751 ∑ 78 54.751 54.751 -1.066E-14
α Derajat Bebas 1
4.562583
Y = 4,562583333
SEE
0.7494
(y-y')2
1.5838642
0.6910874
0.4898833
0.2174512
0.1382476
0.0275283
0.0109586
0.6467108
1.086563
0.8689658
0.2364715
0.1798467
6.18
Metode Linier Untuk Harga Jual SIR 3 CV
Bulan Tahun x y xy x^2 n x y
April 2011 1 5.8211 5.8211 1 1 1 5.8211
Mei 2011 2 5.3939 10.7878 4 2 2 5.3939
Juni 2011 3 5.2625 15.7875 9 3 3 5.2625
Juli 2011 4 5.0289 20.1156 16 4 4 5.0289
Agustus 2011 5 4.9344 24.672 25 5 5 4.9344
September 2011 6 4.7285 28.371 36 6 6 4.7285
Oktober 2011 7 4.4579 31.2053 49 7 7 4.4579
Nopember 2011 8 3.7584 30.0672 64 8 8 3.7584
desember 2011 9 3.5202 31.6818 81 9 9 3.5202
Januari 2012 10 3.6304 36.304 100 10 10 3.6304
Februari 2012 11 4.0763 44.8393 121 11 11 4.0763
Maret 2012 12 4.1385 49.662 144 12 12 4.1385
∑ 78 54.751 329.3146 650 ∑ 78 54.751
b
-0.1857825
a5.7701697
Y = 5,77017 - 0,18578X
y' y-y' (y-y')2
5.5843872 0.2367128 0.056033
5.3986047 -0.0047047 2.213E-05
5.2128221 0.0496779 0.0024679
5.0270396 0.0018604 3.461E-06
4.8412571 0.0931429 0.0086756
4.6554746 0.0730254 0.0053327
4.4696921 -0.0117921 0.0001391
4.2839096 -0.5255096 0.2761603
4.098127 -0.577927 0.3339997
3.9123445 -0.2819445 0.0794927
3.726562 0.349738 0.1223167
3.5407795 0.5977205 0.3572698
54.751 -7.55E-15 1.24
Derajat bebas 2
SEE
0.3524079
Metode Kuadratis Untuk Harga Jual SIR 3 CV
Bulan Tahun x y xy x^2 X^3 X^4 X^2Y
April 2011 1 5.8211 5.8211 1 1 1 5.8211
Mei 2011 2 5.3939 10.7878 4 8 16 21.5756
Juni 2011 3 5.2625 15.7875 9 27 81 47.3625
Juli 2011 4 5.0289 20.1156 16 64 256 80.4624
Agustus 2011 5 4.9344 24.672 25 125 625 123.36
September 2011 6 4.7285 28.371 36 216 1296 170.226
Oktober 2011 7 4.4579 31.2053 49 343 2401 218.4371
Nopember 2011 8 3.7584 30.0672 64 512 4096 240.5376
desember 2011 9 3.5202 31.6818 81 729 6561 285.1362
Januari 2012 10 3.6304 36.304 100 1000 10000 363.04
Februari 2012 11 4.0763 44.8393 121 1331 14641 493.2323
Maret 2012 12 4.1385 49.662 144 1728 20736 595.944
∑ 78 54.751 329.3146 650 6084 60710 2645.1348
α β γ δ θ b c a
-22308 -1716 -306020 318.8028 3846.5324 -0.42758771 0.0186 6.3343818
Y = 6,334382 - 0,427587712X + 0,0186X^2
n x y y' y-y' (y-y')2
1 1 5.8211 5.9253945 -0.10429451 0.010877344
2 2 5.3939 5.553608 -0.15970799 0.025506643
3 3 5.2625 5.2190223 0.043477722 0.001890312
4 4 5.0289 4.9216374 0.107262637 0.011505273
5 5 4.9344 4.6614532 0.272946753 0.07449993 Derajat bebas 3
6 6 4.7285 4.4384699 0.29003007 0.084117441 SEE
7 7 4.4579 4.2526874 0.205212587 0.042112206 0.2944207
8 8 3.7584 4.1041057 -0.34570569 0.119512427
9 9 3.5202 3.9927248 -0.47252478 0.223279663
10 10 3.6304 3.9185447 -0.28814466 0.083027342
11 11 4.0763 3.8815653 0.194734665 0.03792159
12 12 4.1385 3.8817868 0.256713187 0.06590166
∑ 78 54.751 54.751 -1.5099E-14 0.78
Metode Eksponensial Untuk Harga Jual SIR 3 CV
Bulan Tahun x y x^2 Ln Y X Ln Y n x
April 2011 1 5.8211 1 1.7614892473 1.7614892 1 1
Mei 2011 2 5.3939 4 1.6852686854 3.3705374 2 2
Juni 2011 3 5.2625 9 1.660606199 4.9818186 3 3
Juli 2011 4 5.0289 16 0 0 4 4
Agustus 2011 5 4.9344 25 1.5962310849 7.9811554 5 5
September 2011 6 4.7285 36 1.5536080275 9.3216482 6 6
Oktober 2011 7 4.4579 49 0 0 7 7
Nopember 2011 8 3.7584 64 1.3239933349 10.591947 8 8
desember 2011 9 3.5202 81 1.2585178062 11.32666 9 9
Januari 2012 10 3.6304 100 1.289342835 12.893428 10 10
Februari 2012 11 4.0763 121 1.4051897142 15.457087 11 11
Maret 2012 12 4.1385 144 1.4203334033 17.044001 12 12
∑ 78 54.751 650 14.954580338 94.729772 ∑ 78
b
-0.01731
a1.35872 Derajat Bebas 2
3.89119 SEE
Y = 3,89119e^(-0.01731X) 1.3209
y y' y-y' (y-y')2
5.8211 3.824422 1.996678 3.9867229
5.3939 3.7587996 1.6351004 2.6735533
5.2625 3.6943032 1.5681968 2.4592412
5.0289 3.6309135 1.3979865 1.9543663
4.9344 3.5686115 1.3657885 1.8653784
4.7285 3.5073784 1.2211216 1.4911379
4.4579 3.4471961 1.0107039 1.0215223
3.7584 3.3880464 0.3703536 0.1371618
3.5202 3.3299117 0.1902883 0.0362096
3.6304 3.2727745 0.3576255 0.127896
4.0763 3.2166177 0.8596823 0.7390537
4.1385 3.1614245 0.9770755 0.9546766
54.751 41.800399 12.950601 17.45
Derajat Bebas 2