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DOCUMENT RESUME
ED 341 419 JC 920 075
AUTHOR Slark, Julie; Nguyen, HuongTITLE Preliminary RSCCD Population Trends from the 1990
Census. Research, Planning, Resource DevelopmentReport.
INSTITUTION Rancho Santiago Community Coll., Santa Ana, Calif.PUB DATE Sep 91NOTE 16p.
PUB TYPE Reports - Research/Technical (143) -- StatisticalData (110)
EDRS PRICE MF01/PC01 Plus Posta4e.DESCRTPTORS *Census Figures; College Planning; Community
Colleges; Enrollment; Enrollment Influences;Enr'llment Projections; *Enrollment Trends;*Population Growth; *Pcpulation Trends; ResidentialPatterns; Schorl Demography; Student Characteristics;Trend Analysis; Two Year Colleges
IDENTIFIERS Rancho Santiago Community College District CA
ABSTRACTDrawing from 1990 U.S. Censes data, a study was
conducted of population trends in the Rancho Santiago CommunityCollege (California) District (RSCCD). Study findings included thefollowing: (1) the population of the RSCCD increased by 32% from 1980to 1990, larger than the statewide increase of 26%; (2) the 1990RSCCD population was 482,224 and is projected to be 578,700 by theyear 2000; (3) the city of Santa Ana comprises 61% of the populationof the RSCCD; (4) 72% of the district population is over 18 years ofage, compared with 74% for the state of California, making thedistrict's population younger than that of the state's; (5) 1980 to1990 enrollment trends of the RSCCD parallel those of communitycolleges statewide; (6) Hispanics comprised 48% of the RSCCD in 1990,up from 15% in 1970, and projected to reach 61% in the year 2000,while Hispanic community college enrollment statewide grew from 15%in 1970 to 26% in 1990; (7) the population of Santa Ana is 65%Hispanic, while Orange and Garden Grove are predominantly White; (8)
Garden Grove has th largest percentage of Asians in the RSCCD (20%);(9) the Hispanic Population within the RSCCD has grown by 107% from1980 to 1990, while the White population has declined by 11%; (10)
the percentage of college "eligibles" (individuals over the age of18) is growing for all areas of the state examined, indicating anaging ropulation; and (11) in comparison with their representation inthe district population, Hispanics are underrepresented in RanchoSantiago College's fall 1990 enrollment (22%) and in the fi-oulty(6%). Detailed data tables, charts, and bar graphs are included.(PAA)
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Preliminaty RSCCD Population Trendsfrom the 1990 Census
Julie SlarkHuong NguyenSeptember 1991
-PERMISSION TO REPRODUCE THIS
- MATERIAL HAS BEEN GRANTED BY
J. Slark
TO THE EDUCATIONAL RESOURCES
INFORMATION CENTER (ERIC)" 2-
U 5 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATIONOffice of E chic ahonal ResearcE, and Irnwoverneni
EDUCATIONAL RESOURCES INFORMATIONCENTER (ERIC)
Eh.s document has been reproduced larecanved from the perSon or organuallonor,g,nahng
AMnor changes have been Made to improvereprOduchon Qualify
.
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Summary of Preliminary RSCCD Population Trendsfrom the 1990 Census
The population of the Rancho Santiago Community College District increased
32% from 1980 to 1990. This represents a larger increase than for all of
California (26%) and all of Orange County (25%). The 1990 Rancho Santiago
Community College District population was 482,224, and it is projected to be
578,700 in the year 2000. (Graphs 1 and la)
Santa Ma is the largest city in the Rancho Santiago Community College District
with 293,742 people in 1990 and comprising 61% of the population of the Rancho
Santiago Community College District. Orange comprises 23% of the district's
population, Garden Grove 16%, and Villa Park 1%. Not only is Santa Ma
increasing its population at a larger rate than the other cities in the district, it is
increasing its proportion of the population of the district. (Graph 2)
While 72% of the population of Rancho Santiago Community College District is
over 18 years of age, 76% of Orange County's populatir,n and 74% of California's
population is over 18. In other wirds, Rancho Santiago Community College
District's population is "younger" than that of California or of Orange County.
(Graph 3)
The enrollment trends of Rancho Santiago College parallel those of all community
colleges, from 1980 to 1990. (Graph 3a)
. In 1990, Hispanics comprised 48% of the Rancho Santiago Community College
District population, up from 31% in 1980 and 15% in 1970. Thirty-nine percent
of the Rancho Santiago Community College District population is white. By 2000,
it is projected that 61% of the Rancho Santiago Community College District will
be Hispanic.
The increase in the Hispanic population is much more rapid in the Rancho
Santiago Community College District than in the entire state of California, where
the proportion has changed from 15% in 1970 to 26% (compared to Rancho
Santiago Community College District's 48%) in 1990. (Graph 4)
Currently, Orange County is 65% white, and California is 57% white. The Asian
and black populations are relatively small, between 2% and 11% in the district,
county, and state. (Graph 6)
Santa Ana's population is 65% Hispanic, 23% white, and 9% Asian. Orange and
Garden Grove are predominantly white, and Garden Grove has the largest
percentage of Asians in the Rancho Santiago Community College District, 20%.
(Graph 5)
4
Put another way, the size of the Hispanic population within the Rancho Santiago
Community College District has grown 107% from 1980 to 1990, and the white
population has declined 11%. Asian population growth throughout the state has
been greater, 87%, than that for Rancho Santiago Community College District,
60%.
Garden Grove and Orange are growing, 16% and 21% respectively, but not as
great as the rates of growth for the state, the county, all of Rancho Santiago
Community College District, or the other cities in the Rancho Santiago
Community College District. The growth rate for "eligibles" (over 18 years of age)
is growing for all areas studied, indicating an "4ng" population, even though this
is not occurring as rapidly for the Rancho Santiago Community College District.
(Graph 7)
In comparing ethnic distributions, it can be seen in Graph 8 that Hispanics are
under-represented in Rancho Santiago College's Fall 1990 enrollment (22%) and
in our faculty (6%) compared to our service area (48%) and to the high school
enrollments in our service area (53%). In the past several years, Rancho Santiago
College has made progress in increasing the ethnic minority enrollment and
faculty, and those efforts need to be maintained and intensified.
P12:A:poptrnd9/6/91
IIIIIIIIIII
III
I
II
I
I
Graph 1California/Orange County/RSCCD Total Population Projection
380-Population (In thousands),0032 000
26 000
20 000-
3 400
2 800
California
2 20.0-
1 600
Orange County
600
400-
200-
RSCCD
I
1980 1990 2000(est.)
1980 1990PercentChange 2000 (eM.)
California 23,667,900 29,760,021 26% 36,259,000
Orange County 1,932,825 2,410,555 25% 2,877,900
RSCCD 364,313 482,224 32% 578,700
6
Graph laRSCCD Total Population Projection
Popu1
ation
600000
550000
500000
450000
400000
350000
300000
_
_
_
_
364,313
_
578,700(est.)
482,224
RSCCD Total Population
I 1 1
1980 1990 2000
7
1
Graph 2RSCCD Population Projection
By City
400000
360000
320000
68%
61%Percentage of
280000 RSCCD TotalPopulation
240000
567a
200000 Santa Ana
160000
120000 23% 20%
25%
80000Orange
17%157
13%
Garden Grove
40000
Villa Park 2% 1% 1%
00001980 1990 2000
(eat.)
1980% of
District 1990% of
DistrictPercentChange 2000(est.)
Santa Ana 203,713 56% 293,742 61% 44% 381,942
Orange 91,788 25% 110,658 23% 21% 115,740
Garden Grove 61,676 17% 71,525 15% 16% 75,231
Villa Park i 7,137 2% 6,299 1% -12% 5,787
TOTAL-,....11-
1 364,313 - 482,224 - 32% 578,700
II Graph 3
California/Orange County/RSCCD Eligible Adult Population
IIIIIII1
IIIII
of
70%Popu1
ati 65%0n
60%
_
_
California
RSCCD #
Orange County
1 1 1 1
1970 1980 1990 2000(est.)
1970 1980 1990 2000(est.)
California 67% 73% 74% 73%
Orange County 63% 73% 76% 79%
RSCCD 66% 71% 72% 76%
9
IIIIII1
IIIIIIIIII
Graph 3a
California Community College Credit EnrollmentRancho Santiago College Fall Enrollment/1980-90
45,000
40,000
a 35,000SC
Enro 30,0001
1
ment 25,000
20,000
IIIM.I
IIMMI
All Colleges
0II
f
ll fI
1 . .-1%
,,,, RSC Credit &,, ,0I Non-Credit,
..,.4
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
AMY
MR
11.
OM.
1,500,000
1,300,000
1,100,000
900,000
80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 .
RSC Credit ---+ All Colleges
-1 RSC Cr & Non-Cr
AII
C0mmuP1
tY
C0IIege
EnroIIment
IIIIIIIII
IIIIIIIII
1
Graph 4California & RSCCD Ethnicity
80%
70%
of
40%
10%
0%
...
...
OWN
-
^
-
_
1
e
"SCCD Hispanics
allfornia Whites
Cal tfornia Hispanics
e1 \
ele ,..
.0/ \e 1011SCCD Whites
oRSCCD Asians
....... so........ alifornia AsiansCalifornia Blacks
4,t
sitscco Blarikst I
1970 1980 1990 2000 (est.) .
I 1970 1980 1990_
2000(el) jCalifornia n=19,877 600 n=23,667,900 n= 29,760,021 ii= 36,259,000
Wh Is 74% 67% 57% 42%Hispanic 15% 19% 26% 34%Asian & other 5% 7% 9% 11%Black 7% 8% 7%
._7% .
RSCCD n=240,000,
n=364,313.
n=482,224 n=568,734
Whlte 76% 58% 39% 23%Hispanic 15% 31% 48% 61%Asian & other 7% 9% 11% 12%Black 2% I 2% 2% 2%
11
Graph 5RSCCD Ethnicity
By City - 1990
200000
50000
0000Whits Slack Indian Asian Other Hispanic
Racial & Ethnic Groups
-
-
23%67,897
4.
Santa Ana
2%6,454
720
9%26,867
421
65%191,383
PoPuI
ati
on
2000C1 r-
150000
100000
50000 55%39,091
Garden Grove
969 305
24%20% 16,78914,269
1020000
Whits Black Indian Asian Othsi hispanic
Racial & Ethnic Groups
200000
150000
_
PoPuI
al00000 -
t 68%75,033
0
50000
1%
1,367
0000 -"".White Slack
Orange
23%25,278
8%8,477
gs 414
Indian Asian Other Hispanic
Racial & Ethnic Groups
'24
1990Total Population
4MIMORMIi.._
Santa Ma 293,742
Orange 110,658
Garden Grove 71,525
OM NM IIII1 OM MI 11. NM UM MI MB MN MO ME MI MO
Graph 6
Ethnic Distributions of California,Orange County, and RSCCD 1990
White Hispanic Asian Black
13 14
Graph 7Percent Change In Population
1980 - 1990Percent Change in Population
by Ethnicity
% Change120%i
100% L
80%
80%
40%
20%
0%
-20%
8%
69
107%
87%
Whila Hispanic Aa:An
Ethnicity
IIII California X 1:18CCD
Black
1980 - 1990Percent Change in Population
Calif.Calif. Elig.
Orange Co.
O.C. Elig.
R8CCO
MCC Eng.Sant& Ana
Orange
Garden Grove
Villa Park
28%
27%
28%
29%
21%
18%
32%
34%
441
-2014-10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Change
2 18 yrs of art
15
1.111111,
1
Graph 8A COMPARISON OF ETHNIC DISTRIBUTIONS
1White I Hispanic Asian Black Other
1
RSC Service AreaFall 1990 39% 48% 11% 2% -
RSC EnrollmentFall 1990 55 22 16 3 4
RSC CED EnrollmentFall 1990 18 64 10 1 7
RSCCD High SchoolEnrollmentFall 1990
29 53 15 2 1
RSC Graduates (AA's)89-90 53 11 11
,
2 23
RSC Transfer StudentsFall 1989 49 13 19 4 15
RSC Full-Time FacultyFall 1990 86 6 4 2 2
Non-White Population Percentages50
75
50
45
30
15
0*are. Asea CEO &Hirst H.*. ffiradus!es Transfers
RISC Enrollment
Faculty
1 6
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