derisking a business venture - techaviv - january 2009

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Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved. De-Risking A Business Venture Increasing Value by Decreasing Assumptions Steve Barsh stevebarsh.com blog.stevebarsh.com [email protected] +1.215.888.2101 twitter: sbarsh

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Short presentation on the techniques of "de-risking" a business model / idea. How do you turn assumptions into knowledge with the lowest amount of capital and as quickly as possible? Learn more here. Summary presentation for 15 minute talk with 10 min of Q&A. Presented at the TechAviv meetup in New York City January 7, 2009.

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Page 1: Derisking A Business Venture - TechAviv  - January 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.

De-Risking A Business VentureIncreasing Value by Decreasing

Assumptions

Steve Barshstevebarsh.com [email protected] +1.215.888.2101 twitter: sbarsh

Page 2: Derisking A Business Venture - TechAviv  - January 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.

3 – 7 Key Assumptions

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Page 3: Derisking A Business Venture - TechAviv  - January 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.

Common Assumptions

Demand (huge problem)

Market size Feature set Positioning /

differentiation Product

development Pricing Sales cycle stevebarsh.com3

Competition Team Execution Marketing Financials &

forecasts Capital Exit value

Page 4: Derisking A Business Venture - TechAviv  - January 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.

Stop Waving, Start Pointing!

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Page 5: Derisking A Business Venture - TechAviv  - January 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.

De-Risking

Identify risks & assumptions Before or while

developing product

Before pitching De-risk the risks

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Page 6: Derisking A Business Venture - TechAviv  - January 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.

De-Risking Goals

Convert assumptions into knowledge At the lowest cost As quickly as possible

Consume intellectual capitalbefore venture capital

Decrease assumptionsto increase value

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Page 7: Derisking A Business Venture - TechAviv  - January 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.

Experiment / Test & Research!

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•Hypotheses to prove• Valid experiments toprove or disprove• Release early, measure, learn, iterate• Research• Valid proxies you can use• So, it’s / were just like ____• Be ready to defend

Page 8: Derisking A Business Venture - TechAviv  - January 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.

3 Main Takeaways

1. Key assumptions

2. “Experiments” to test

3. Convert assumptions into knowledge Low capital Increase value

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Page 9: Derisking A Business Venture - TechAviv  - January 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.

See Also

Redeye VC Blog: Failing Cheaper by Josh Kopelman, First Round Capital.

Common Mistakes Made by Entrepreneurs by Mark Henricks.

How To: Raise Money in a Down Economy by Eric Ries at KPCB.

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Page 10: Derisking A Business Venture - TechAviv  - January 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by Steve Barsh. All Rights Reserved.

De-Risking A Business VentureIncreasing Value by Decreasing

Assumptions

Steve Barshstevebarsh.com [email protected] +1.215.888.2101 twitter: sbarsh