data & analytics … and the finance function part 1 of 2 · profitable than their...
TRANSCRIPT
November 2017
Data & Analytics
… and the finance function
Confidential information for the sole benefit and use of PwC’s client.
James Larmer
Part 1 of 2
PwC Data & Analytics
Today
1. Change: Mega trends and technology
2. Decision Making: The new competitive frontier
3. How can Analytics Support decision making?
4. Analytics @ Work
Internal Audit
Intelligent Automation
5. Artificial Intelligence
6. Creating a Data-Driven Enterprise
7. Q&A
PwC | Analytics Forum 2016 | page 3
Digitization of everythingDigitization is transforming how people discover, engage and transact
with business and with each other
Mobile Internet Users by 2020
3.8 BillionInternet Users by 2020
5 Billion Photos uploaded and shared
each day
1.8 BillionSensors and devices in use by
2020
50 Billion
Big Data - New sources of data…
…structured, unstructured, audio, image, video, sensors, and social
Volume, Variety, Velocity, and Veracity of Data is driving the ‘Big Data’ Revolution
Big Data Technologies - New emerging technologies
…distributed stream processing, GPU’s, NoSQL databases
Cloud computing, open-source software, multi-core processors, are fuelling big data technologies
Big Data Analytics - New Analytic Techniques…
…backward & forward looking, statistical & computational, art & science
Graph Networks
System Dynamics
Descriptive, Diagnostic, Predictive, and Prescriptive Analytics are enhancing the value of Data
PwC
An Accelerating Pace of Change
Are we in a Second Machine Age?
Acceleration Laws Apply to Analytics & Data
1900 1960 2000 20201980
“Computers and other digital advances are
doing for mental power … what the steam
engine did for muscle power”
- Andrew McAfee -- Erik Brynjolfsson -
PwC
Computing power doubles every 18 months
- Gordon Moore -Co-Founder of Intel
Exponential impact on:- Transistors / Chip- Gigabytes per $- Internet speed
- Energy efficiency- Supercompter Speed
Moore’sLaw
The Impact of Moore’s Law
ASCI Red Sony Playstation 3
Introduced in 1996Cost: US$55 millionSize: 100 Cabinets, 1,600 Sq. Ft.
1997: 1.8 teraflops of speed
Introduced in 2006Cost: ~US$500Size: 1/10th of a sq. meter
2006: 1.8 teraflops of speed
Technology is seen by CxO’s as increasingly disruptive
GLOBAL
Source: PwC, 1st Annual Global CEO Survey and 20th CEO Survey. Base: All respondents (1998=377; 2017=1,379)Q: To what extent do you think technology will change competition in your industry over the next 5 years?
20th CEO Survey
1%8%
20%
30%
59%33%
20%27%
1998 2017
No impact
Moderate impact
Significant impact
Complete reshape industry
CEOs’ predictions of the impact of technology were pretty accurate 20 years ago. Today, an even larger proportion expect their industries to be reshaped by it.
Five “Megatrends” are resonating across sectors, organisations and even Finance functions
Industry
Finance
Organisation
Volatility Innovation ResilienceChanging Business Models
Challenges and Opportunities
I. Role of Finance
II. Insight, Efficiency, Control
III. Enablers: People, Technology & Systems
Shift in global economic power
Technologicalbreakthroughs
Accelerating urbanization
Demographicshifts
Climate change & resource scarcity
#1Performance enhancer
#2Enterprise transformer
MASSIVECFO
opportunity
#3Brilliant steward
11
DATA & ANLAYTICS and TECHNOLOGY
THESILVERBULLET?
….analytics, cloud, social, robotics
13
Decision Making:The New Competitive
Frontier
PwC | Analytics Forum 2016 | page 14
Business value from data and analytics
“Companies in the top third of their industry in the use of data-driven decision making were, on average, 5% more productive and 6% more
profitable than their competitors” - Big Data: The Management Revolution, HBR, Andrew
McAfee and Erik Brynjolfsson, October 2012.
Of CEO’s place a high value on Data & Analytics
85%
Zettabytes per year of IP traffic by 2016
1.1
Was VC funded in pure play AI companies
$700m
Relied on data and analytics to make Big Decisions
38%
Is there a better way to combine Art & Science in Decision Making?
Science:
Analytics & Data
“We are now able to get responses back from the technologies in a fraction of the time, and over a large dataset.”
Art: Experience & Advice
“… Another part is management intuition based on market insight, feet on the street, which the data may not tell you.”
The Art & Science
of
Decision Making
ExecutiveWestern UnionPwC Big Decisions Survey
PwC Data & Analytics 16
Relative to their current capabilities, data-driven companies sense they have a high hill to climb in both speed & sophistication
Global - Current Global – Need to be in 2020
Rarely data-driven
Somewhat data-driven
Highly data-driven
Current decision making capabilities are diverse in terms of Speed & Sophistication
Respondents anticipate significant future improvement in Speed & Sophistication
Source: PwC Big Decisions Survey 2016; pwc.com/bigdecisions
PwC Data & Analytics
Decision making processes are most effective when you consider how data & analytics can help you make faster and more sophisticated decisions
Accelerated Agility
Master the Chess Moves
Intelligence in the Moment
Cover the Basics
Low High
Sophistication
Speed
Low
Hig
h
Decision Archetypes
Data-driven decisions trump intuition
Hindsight & foresight with all available data
• Intuition based decisions – little analysis
• Descriptive reporting with internal data
• Low frequency data and model refresh
• Reporting structures link decisions to actions
Cover the Basics
Data & intuition drive decisions
Hindsight & foresight with all available data
Master the Chess Moves
• Data-driven decisions trump intuition
• Hindsight & foresight with all available data
• Slow consensus driven & analytic decisions
• Finanical metrics tied to perational metrics
Accelerated Agility
• Speedy decisions trump analysis /consensus
• Descriptive reporting with internal data
• Rapid analyse-decide-act feedback loop
• Operational metrics focused on efficiencies
Intelligence in the Moment
• Data & intuition drive decisions
• Hindsight & foresight with all available data
• Advanced analytics with feedback loop
• Adaptive & linked financial & operational metrics
Specifying the Value and Differentiation of the Opportunities
PwC Data & Analytics
The challenge for Finance leaders is to look beyond the often quoted clichés of adding value to the business, business partnering and efficient operating models…
PwC Data & Analytics
Many processes can be made more efficient, leaving more time for driving insight
PwC Data & Analytics
Finding new ways of orchestrating better performance, offering more diverse and rewarding communication, enhancing resilience and providing a more connected and cohesive Finance offering
The evolving role of the finance function
PwC Data & Analytics
The evolving role of the finance function
The technology revolution has moved us to a world of digital, data and devices… Finance is expected to change significantly in response to data revolution…
22
How Can Analytics Support
Decision Making?
“The goal of forecasting is not to predict the future but to tell you what you need to know to take meaningful action in the present”
– Paul Saffo, HBR, 2007
PwC | Analytics Forum 2016 | page 23
Data and Analytics help solve business challenges
PwC | Analytics Forum 2016 | page 24
Data & Analytics Scope
1. Business Value Chains
Strategy & GrowthMarketing & Customer Exp
Sales & Distribution
Products & Pricing
OperationsSupply Chain Management
Finance, Risk & Compliance
2. Data Access, Visualization & Distribution
Adhoc Data Analysis
Search & Discovery
Data Export APIReporting &Dashboards
Custom / Interactive Visualization
Website Front-end
Real-time Alerts
3. Analytical Processes
Discovery Descriptive Diagnostic Predictive Prescriptive Autonomous
7. Data Ingestion & Integration
Data Integration Data Acquisition Data Quality Data Architecture
4. Data Repositories
Relational Database Distributed Systems In-Memory NoSQL Operational Data Storage
6. Execution / Data Processing
Execution / Data processing Resource Management
5. Data Sources
Public Data Client Data 3rd Party
8. Infrastructure
Servers Storage Build / Deploy Operations On Premise Co-LocationManaged Services
Cloud
9. Governance & Security
Identity & Access Management
Data Governance
Security & Monitoring
Infrastructure Services
Data Storage Services
Analytics Services
Business Services
Data Sources & Processing
Services
PwC | Analytics Forum 2016 | page 25
Descriptive Analytics
PwC | Analytics Forum 2016 | page 26
Predictive Analytics
Customer Insights Platform
PwC | Analytics Forum 2016 | page 27
Optimization and Prescriptive Analytics
Alternative Fuel Vehicle AdoptionSimulation Model
PwC | Analytics Forum 2016 | page 28
There are a number products across the areas of data management, analytics and visualisation.
The Gartner Magic Quadrant
29
Analytics @ Work
PwC | Analytics Forum 2016 | page 30
Unlocking the value in data and analytics starts from business outcomes…
Discovery Insights Actions Outcomes
Insight Driven Organization
Find value in your internal and external data
Apply new techniques on existing and new data for
tailored, value creating insights
Make decisions, deliver analytics & data quick wins
and operational capabilities
Unlock value, build talent and improve
financial, market and risk metrics
PwC | Analytics Forum 2016 | page 31
Reduction in crashes
from accident
prevention technologies
which in turn lower
claims costs
20-35%1
Reduced Loss Adjusted
Expenses through 2018
using data from car
sensors
40%2
Savings yield from Automatic ERS,
ACN, and hence FNOL initiation
5-15%1
Savings realized from telematics data
enabled technologies to reduce fraud and
theft
30-80%1
Driver Needs
Using Google Maps to
navigate their trip using the fastest route
Sources: 1. Cisco IBSG estimates, 2011; 2. PwC research and analysis, Celent forecast
Telematics digitizes ‘ride behavior’ providing insurers with a new way to engage customers, while also supporting the claims process
Insurance
PwC | Analytics Forum 2016 | page 32
The Insurer’s capability to assess Risk or to access a Loss will depend on two key factors:
• Ability to capture complete and accurate data in any required format
• Ability to perform a deep analysis of available multi-format data
Data Capture
Companies such as Airware provide all the technology required to get to the “Risk” location and use onboard sensors to capture all relevant data (Video and images, temperature, humidity …)
Data Analysis
Companies such as Airphrame are specializing in 2D and 3D imaging, providing capabilities relevant Risk and Loss assessment
Source: CalIT2, USCD
Drone technology with onboard cameras and sensors to capture Risk information, with impact on efficiency and effectiveness (specially around big structures)
Ability to convert captured data into a digital representation of the Risk for deep analysis and accurate assessment (even comparing pre and post CAT images)
Real time remote access to Risk allows best talent to be directly involved
Aerial and satellite images digitize physical assets enabling new ways of risk and loss assessments for insurers
Insurance
PwC
Effective segmentation has been used to massively reduce money laundering
activity
E.g. Proposed segmentation model
defines 13 new segments instead of the 21 segments used in the
current model
Analytics @ Work
Banking
0.07
0.12
0.10
0.05
0.06
0.03
0.06
0.20
1.39
1.30
1.42
0.10
0.07
0 1 1 2
Advance: High
Advance: Medium
Advance: Low
Commercial: High
Commercial: Medium
Commercial:…
Commercial: Low
Mass Market: High
Mass Market:…
Mass Market: Medium
Mass Market: Low
Premier: High
Premier: Low
Millions
< 0.010.28
< 0.01< 0.01< 0.010.080.03
4.320.12
000< 0.01< 0.01< 0.01< 0.010.18
< 0.01< 0.01< 0.01< 0.01
0 2 4
Advance: Sole ProprietaryAdvance: Individuals
Advance: OrganizationsCommercial Banking: Sole…
Commercial Banking: IndividualsCommercial Banking: Organizations
Mass Market: Sole ProprietaryMass Market: Individuals
Mass Market: OrganizationsTrusts: Sole Proprietary
Trusts: IndividualsTrusts: Organizations
Global Banking: Sole ProprietaryGlobal Banking: Individuals
Global Banking: OrganizationsPremier: Sole Proprietary
Premier: IndividualsPremier: Organizations
Private Banking: Sole ProprietaryPrivate Banking: Individuals
Private Banking: Organizations
Millions
Current Segments Proposed Segments
Mass Market Clustering
Cluster # of Accounts % of Accounts Mean Median 90th Percentile
CYD1 Xxx 33% $ 3,245 $ 3,131 $ 6,500
CYD2 Xxx 30% $ 10,707 $ 10,383 $ 15,288
CYD3 Xxx 32% $ 62,504 $ 30,724 $ 96,118
CYD4 Xxx 5% $ 159,178 $ 67,080 $ 277,241
Nature of Business DistributionsProfessional
Services
Heat Map of key Cluster s
D15 D27 D35 D85 D87
PwC 34
Man-Machine combination to create
unique advantage
Large teams of people watched and tagged
movies and shows (36 page manual)
Created 76,897 micro-genres
35
Internal AuditAnalytics @ Work
36
Applying data & analytics to Internal Audit
Internal Audit organizations that are transforming in pace with the business are more advanced in their use of data analytics, including its wider application:
RiskIdentification
Audit Planning
ContinuousAuditing
ContinuousMonitoring
82% of Chief Account Executives reported
they use analytics in some audits for audit execution but
only 48% use analytics for making
scoping decisions and only 43% use
analytics to complete their risk assessments.
37
Applying data & analytics to Internal Audit
When fully integrated, the data analytics initiative is not a program; rather, the techniques are fully embedded into all elements of the audit lifecycle.
Deliver solutions.. not problems
Risk AssessmentAudit Planning Fieldwork
and Execution Reporting
• Project level risk assessment• Audit scoping and planning• Risk attribute sampling
• Enterprise risk management• Annual risk assessment• Risk monitoring• Business unit or site level profiling
• Audit reports• Executive and AC reports• Issue quantifications• Compliance metrics
Embedded and sustainable analytics
• Multi-unit auditing• Data-driven testing• 100% coverage• Process / control validation (end to end testing)• Root cause identification
38
Internal Audit Analytics in Action
Profiling Sampling Testing Monitoring
Profiling: Analyze transactional activity and develop a baseline understanding which can be used to identify outliers.
“Intelligent” sample selection: Identify specific anomalous, unusual, or higher-risk transactions for follow-up and investigation.
Exception testing: Identify transactions that specifically violate company policies or represent internal control breakdowns.
Analytic
Monitoring: Operationalizing analytics created in prior phases and test risk areas in a sustainable and repeatable way.
Understand data completeness and quality Set standard benchmark to evaluate totals.
Test 100% of all transactions that exceed Company's policy limits or activity thresholds.
Create continuous monitoring solution around a specific use case providing access to Audit and Compliance as well as business stakeholders.
Outcome
39
Intelligent AutomationAnalytics @ Work
40
Why the demand for Intelligent Automation?
Market View
90% cheaper than the average wage of a full time staff member in
Australia
50% cheaper than the average wage of a full
time staff member in Philippines
34% cheaper than the average wage of a full time staff member in
India
• The global RPA market size alone is expected to reach US$5 billion by 2020 growing at a CAGR of 61.3%
• RPA comes with the promise of up to 45% automation of work activities and US $2 trillion savings in global workforce cost
AI and Automation will contribute to
$15.7 trillion (14%) of global economy by 2030
The impact in ASEAN countries could be up to 44% of the workforce
~40% ~24%Insurance Asset Management
& Wealth
Different industries vary widely for the opportunity
~50%Shared Services
What our clients are saying
Digital Agenda
Scale and Efficiency Legacy Platforms
New Ways of Working
We have a heavy reliance on a complicated landscape of legacy systems and process
that does not support our plan
We must meet our demand to improve efficiency and operational excellence to support scale and speed
We must rapidly introduce new products, services, with a focus on fast experience that demands front-
to-back STP with automation
Disruption to traditional operating models – we must work more with more agility
and intelligently
* STP = Straight through processing
41
Robotic Process Automation (RPA – known as ‘automation or robotics’) is a category of software configured “robots” that sit on top of existing systems to perform tasks normally performed by a human
Creates a virtual digital workforce able to mimic human execution
Undertakes structured, repeatable and computer based tasks
Interacts non-invasively with existing applications and systems
Captures all details of the process and stores it for potential auditing
Uses workflow enabled interaction with people.
@
@
What RPA is What RPA is NOT
Something that can entirely replace humans
Something that replicates human cognitive functions… yet
Purely just another cost play
A humanoid robot
42
What is Intelligent Automation? – digital technologies across an automation spectrum combining to create a ‘digital workforce’
Intelligent Automation is the introduction and layering of digital technologies across an automation spectrum that can replace, augment and enhance a traditional human workforce – it has profound transformational benefits and organisational implications
AugmentedIntelligence
Leveraging Cognitive/AI capabilities to augment core
human-driven processes such as data manipulation, exception management and continuous
STP improvement
+machine learning
Conversational Intelligence
Virtual Agent / Chat Bot technologies for internal employee and external B2B/B2C interactions, enquiries and support
+natural language processing
Unlock Value &Real-time Decisions
DATA-DRIVENINTELLIGENTENTERPRISE
Unlocking the value of data to provide deeper insights enabling real-time decision making
throughout the value chain
+deep learning
Robotic Process Automation
Driving efficiencies across the value chain via RPA for
repetitive manual activities �critical to create operational data and capacity that
traditionally has not existed
ENTERPRISE TODAY
24x7 Workforce & Capacity Release
Scalability; Reduced Cycle
Times
Employee Value Proposition
Service Quality Improvement
B2C/B2B Experience and Time to Market
Compliance & Control
Rapid, Non-Invasive
Implementation
43
Finance & Accounting: Opportunities for Intelligent Automation
F&A : Value Chain View
Transactional Data Management
Accounting & Reconciliation
Consolidation & Ledger Close
Data Capture & Processing
Reporting & Analytics
Top Picks for RPA
• Account Receivable/ Order to Cash cycle – Rule based repetitive steps including Customer master data maintenance, Order management, Manual billing, Cash application
• Record to Report cycle – Rule based repetitive steps including Master data management, Fixed assets, Bank reconciliations, Intercompany, Consolidations, Balance Sheet Reconciliation
• Bridging the gap among non-integrated systems – Number and extent of opportunities depends on enterprise architecture
Low HighMed Virtual Agent/ AI/ML Opportunity
Legend:
Top Picks for Cognitive
• Tax classification of Capex – Application of machine learning to determine appropriate tax classification of capital expenditure (PwC has an offering in this space - Swift.CAPEX)
• Order to Cash Customer Servicing / Account Payable Helpdesk – Virtual Agents and Email Bots to support call centre/chats as well as external emails in natural language
• Exception Handling for RPA use cases – Pattern identification aided by machine learning to resolve exceptions
Systems in F&A Ecosystem
F&A: Key capabilities & processes
Operational Accounting
Master Data Management
Event Data Capture
Manual Journal Entries
Planning & Forecasting
Data AnalyticsManagement Reporting
Financial Reporting
Internal Reporting
Data Transfer
Data Processing/ Audit
Journal Entry Preparation
Journal Entry Processing
Inter-company Transactions
Allocation & Adjustments
Consolidations
Reconciliations Legal Entity Closing
Discrepancy Management
Audits and Approvals
Managerial PlanningFixed Asset Accounting
Billing & Collection Account Receivables
Invoice Matching
Invoice Receipt and Data Entry
Helpdesk & Issue Resolution
T&E Claims Processing
Ledger Closing
Tax Classification of Capital Expenditure
Lines of Business(Data
Sources)
DW/BIReporting Engine
Document Mgmt System
General Ledger System
ERP Solution(s) AP/AR etc.)
Data transfer, integration, validation, ETL
General Accounting
44
Although a digital workforce provides great benefits, it also fundamentally changes the operating paradigm and associated risk profile – Why?
Knowledge Management… what happens when staff leave
their roles?
Up/Down Stream…Will there be an impact
to other processes
Organisational Change…How will this impact my team?
Training…How do we operate the Robots and this new way of working?
Systems Change Management…
Who makes sure the Robots keep working with the systems change?
Business Continuity…how do I continue running my business if the Robots stop?
RPA and Cognitive Science/AI efforts often fail because they do not address specific operating model, governance and change management requirements
Oversight…Who is making sure the Robots are working?BPO/3rd Parties…
Will this impact our contracts/KPIs? Operational Risk…
Will this change my operational risk profile?
CyberSecurity…Are these Robots safe?
A digital workforce fundamentally changes the nature of your operations and touches every part of the organisation –Governance and change management are essential to the success over the long term
45
PwC has identified 100 +criteria in 30 risk areas across 5 risk categories for management’s consideration during an IA implementation
Functional Risk
� Business Process Controls� Business Process Redesign� Functional Requirements� Performance� Methodology
Operational Risk
� Regulatory Compliance� Governance� Operating Effectiveness� Benefits Management � Business Continuity� Disaster Recovery� Control Centre Governance� Monitoring / Quality Control � Audit
Program Management Risk
� Planning� Scope
� Integration Oversight� Decision Making
Executive Risk
� Commitment� Sponsorship� Business Objectives� Organisation Priority� IT Asset Management
Execution Risk
� Methodology� Configuration� Testing� Operational Readiness� Deployment� Legacy System Changes� Information Security� Data and Privacy Security
Leverage PwC’s illustrative Automation controls library
to design controls to effectively mitigate the risk
Applying PwC’s Risk and Controls Framework
Understand and identify inherit Automation risk
using PwC’s Risk Framework
IPA Risk Framework