cross-border mergers and branding strategies of the multinational firms toshihiro ichida waseda...

37
Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Upload: helen-hopkins

Post on 27-Dec-2015

217 views

Category:

Documents


2 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms

Toshihiro IchidaWaseda University

MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Page 2: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Motivation

• More than two-thirds of MNE's FDI flow is accounted for by the Cross-Border M&A.

• In buying the local firm, MNE faces choices in its branding strategy: to keep both brands or to integrate brand names into one

• Examples: Air France & KLM Royal Dutch Airlines, IHG (InterContinental Hotel Group) & ANA Hotels in Japan, and Nordea (European Bank)

Page 3: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Related Literature

• Long and Vousden (1995 RIE)• Horn and Persson (2001 JIE)• Qiu and Zhou (2006 JIE)• Neary (2007 RES)• Lommerud, Straume, and Sorgard (2006 Rand)

Page 4: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Basic Model• 2 regions (N and S)• 3 firms (0 in N, 1 and 2 in S)• We consider the consumer market in S.• Assumption: entry is restricted because of

firm-specific ownership advantages by 0,1,2• N is advanced (cost advantage for firm 0)• Cross-Border Trade is costly (firm 0 needs to

pay t to ship to firms in S)• Differentiated-Product Cournot Competition

Page 5: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Initial SetupFirm 0

Firm 1 Firm 2

Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = 0

MC = c MC = c

Trade Cost = t

Page 6: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Model

• Consumers in Region S: linear demand for each brand i given outputs of other brands

where b is an inverse measure of the degree of product differentiation.

jijiqbqapj jii and 2,1,0,

Page 7: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Merger Formation

1. No merger: M0 = {0,1,2}

2. One Cross-Border merger: MCB1 = {01,2}

3. One Cross-Border merger: MCB2 = {02,1}

4. One National merger: MN = {0,12}

• If N firm merges with a firm in S, then the merged firm can save on trade cost.

• If N firm merges with a firm in S, then the merged firm can reduce production cost.

Page 8: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

No merger: M0 = {0,1,2}Firm 0

Firm 1 Firm 2

Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = 0

MC = c MC = c

Trade Cost = t

jijiqbqapj jii and 2,1,0,

Page 9: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

One Cross-Border merger: MCB1 = {01,2}

Firm 0

Firm 1Firm 2

Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = 0

MC = cMC = c

Trade Cost = t

Page 10: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

One Cross-Border merger: MCB1 = {01,2}

Firm 2

Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = cL < cMC = c

jijiqbqapj jii and 2},01{,

Firm 01

Page 11: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

One Cross-Border merger: MCB2 = {02,1}

Firm 1

Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = c

jijiqbqapj jii and 1},02{,

Firm 02

Symmetric!

MC = cL < c

Page 12: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

One National merger: MN = {0,12}

Firm 0

Firm 1 Firm 2

Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = 0

MC = c MC = c

Trade Cost = t

Page 13: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

One National merger: MN = {0,12}

Firm 0

Firm 1 Firm 2

Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = 0

MC = c MC = c

Trade Cost = t

Page 14: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

One National merger: MN = {0,12}

Firm 0 Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = 0

MC = c

Trade Cost = t

jijiqbqapj jii and }12{,0,

Firm {12}

Page 15: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

The sequence of moves: stage

1. The firm owner decides whether to merge, who to merge with, etc.

2. If there is a merged firm, it decides whether to keep 2 brand names or to integrate into one brand name.

3. The firms simultaneously and independently set quantities.

Page 16: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Brand Strategy of the Merged Firm

• In the homogeneous product oligopoly model, the horizontal merger gives the merged firm a scale merit. (and there is no choice of brand)

• In the differentiated product oligopoly model, the merged firm faces a following choice in its branding strategy:

1.Brand Integration2.Brand Separation

Page 17: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Brand Strategy of the Merged Firm

1. Brand Integration• The merged firm will integrate (formerly

separated) 2 brand names into one.2. Brand Separation• The merged firm decides to keep the original

2 brand names.• The merged firm will maximize joint profit

from the 2 brands.

Page 18: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

One Cross-Border merger: MCB1 = {01,2}

Firm 0

Firm 1Firm 2

Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = 0

MC = c MC = c

Trade Cost = t

Brand 2Brand 1

Brand 0

Firm 0 and Firm 1 will merge

Page 19: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

One Cross-Border merger: MCB1 = {01,2} + Brand Integration

Firm 2

Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = cL

MC = c

jijiqbqapj jii and 2},01{,

Firm {01}

Brand {01}Brand 2

Page 20: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

One Cross-Border merger: MCB1 = {01,2} + Brand Separation

Firm 2

Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = cL

MC = c

jijiqbqapj jii and 2,1,0,

Firm {01}

Brand 1 Brand 2Brand 0

Merged firm maintains 2 brand lines

Output coordination

Page 21: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

One National merger: MN = {0,12}

Firm 0

Firm 1 Firm 2

Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = 0

MC = c MC = c

Trade Cost = t

Brand 0 Brand 1 Brand 2

Firm 1 and Firm 2 will merge

Page 22: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

One National merger: MN = {0,12} + Brand Integration

Firm 0 Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = 0

MC = c

Trade Cost = t

jijiqbqapj jii and }12{,0,

Firm {12}

Brand {12}Brand 0

Page 23: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

One National merger: MN = {0,12}

+ Brand Separation Firm 0 Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = 0

MC = c

Trade Cost = t

jijiqbqapj jii and 2,1,0,

Firm {12}

Brand 2Brand 0 Brand 1

Output coordination

Merged firm maintains 2 brand lines: 1 & 2

Page 24: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Export or Not

• For M0 (No merger) case and MN (National merger) case, firm 0 (of region N) may or may not serve the consumer market in region S.

• Firm 0 must export its outputs by paying trade cost t. The govt. can control part of t.

• The government of region S may be able to foreclose its market from foreign firm 0 by setting the tariff level if it is beneficial.

Page 25: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

No merger: M0 = {0,1,2}Firm 0

Firm 1 Firm 2

Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = 0

MC = c MC = c

Trade Cost = t

jijiqbqapj jii and 2,1,0,

b

cabat

2

)(2Foreclosure condition

Page 26: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

One National merger: MN = {0,12} + Brand Integration

Firm 0 Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = 0

MC = c

Trade Cost = t

jijiqbqapj jii and }12{,0,

Firm {12}

Brand {12}Brand 0

2

)( cabat

Foreclosure condition

Page 27: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

One National merger: MN = {0,12}

+ Brand Separation Firm 0 Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = 0

MC = c

Trade Cost = t

jijiqbqapj jii and 2,1,0,

Firm {12}

Brand 2Brand 0 Brand 1

Output coordination

b

bcat

1

Foreclosure condition

Page 28: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Foreclosure or import from N

An inverse measure of the degree of product differentiation b0 1

a

More differentiated

Identical

Page 29: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Foreclosure or import from N

An inverse measure of the degree of product differentiation b0 1

a

No merger case

3

2ca

Foreclosure

Allow import by 0

Page 30: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Foreclosure or import from N

An inverse measure of the degree of product differentiation b0 1

a

3

2ca

Foreclosure

Allow import by 0

2

ca

One national merger with Brand Separation

Output coordination effect → higher priceswith the same number of brand lines

Page 31: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Foreclosure or import from N

An inverse measure of the degree of product differentiation b0 1

a

One national merger with Brand Integration

3

2ca

Foreclosure

Allow import by 0

2

ca

Reduction of brand lines

Page 32: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Cross-Border Merger case• Firm 0 of region N will merge with one of the

firms in region S (firm 1 or 2).• WLOG, we look at the case of MCB1 = {01,2}.

• The merged firm {01} will compete with firm 2 in the consumer market in region S.

• The merged firm {01} locates now in S, so it need not pay trade cost t anymore.

• The merged firm {01} has lower production cost cL < c.

Page 33: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Cross-Border Merger case

• The merged firm {01} will compete with firm 2 in the consumer market in region S.

• The branding strategy of the firm {01}:1.Brand Integration: brand {01} vs. brand 22.Brand Separation: brand 0 and 1 vs. brand 2

(where firm {01} will control output levels of two brand lines jointly.)

Page 34: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

One Cross-Border merger: MCB1 = {01,2} + Brand Integration

Firm 2

Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = cL

MC = c

jijiqbqapj jii and 2},01{,

Firm {01}

Brand {01}Brand 2

Page 35: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

One Cross-Border merger: MCB1 = {01,2} + Brand Separation

Firm 2

Region N

Region S

Consumers in Region S

MC = cL

MC = c

jijiqbqapj jii and 2,1,0,

Firm {01}

Brand 1 Brand 2Brand 0

Merged firm maintains 2 brand lines

Output coordination

Page 36: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Optimal Brand Strategy in MCB1

Proposition 3 (after cross-border merger)There exist a threshold value b* which does not depend on the parameters of the model (such as a, c, & cL) such that

for b ≥ b* ↔ πBI{01} ≥ πBS

{01}.

and for b < b* ↔ πBI

{01} < πBS{01}. And

b* ≈ 0.72082.

Page 37: Cross-Border Mergers and Branding Strategies of the Multinational Firms Toshihiro Ichida Waseda University MWIEG 2009 Penn State

Conclusion• The paper looked at merger incentives and

brand strategy after the merger.• The analysis is still preliminary. I did not

conduct global comparison of different merger types yet.

• Need to look at comparison of welfare (vary t)• Trade cost is composed of t = tU + τ where tU is

uncontrollable part of trade cost and τ is tariff level.