classical vs. keynesian economists which model best describes our economy?
TRANSCRIPT
Classical vs.
Keynesian Economists
Which model best describes our economy?
Keynesian vs. Classical Approach
Stock Market suddenly falls 25%
AD1
LRAS1PriceLevel
RealGDP
SRAS1What Now?
Tax Cuts?Gov’t Spending?New Incentives?Self-Regulation?
AD2
---------------P1
Y1
E1
--------
---------P2
Y2
E2
PriceLevel
Real GDP
Keynesian Range
Intermediate Range
AS
Classical Range
AD
Economy is at Full Employment when AS turns Vertical
Economic Schools of Thought
1900 1929
Classical Economics |----------------------------|
Keynesian Economics |----------------------------|
NeoClassical Economics |--------------------------------|
1936 1979 1980 2008
Great Depression?
Prices were not flexible!What Now?
Keynesian Economics did not help here!
CLASSICAL VIEW
1. Markets are naturally self regulating
2. No government intervention necessary
3. Recessions are temporary
4. Wages & prices are flexible
5. against minimum wages, welfare, government assistance
6. Real Variables do not depend on nominal variables
7. Great Depression challenged Classical View
Classical View9-2b
FIGURE 9-1Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand in Classical Economics
LRAS1PriceLevel
RealGDP
AD1
Classical Model Failure: The Great Depression
AD2
Real GDP ↓ 27%
Unemployment 3% → 25%
Price Levels fell
However,Wages did not adjust
KEYNSIAN VIEW
1. Economy is inherently unstable• not self regulating
2. Recessions can be long & permanent
3. Major government intervention necessary
4. Wages and prices are sticky/fixed• AS curve is very flat or upward sloping
5. Support welfare and government assistance
6. Stagflation challenged Keynesian view
Keynesian Failure: “Oil Shock”
Quantity ofOutput
PriceLevel
0
AD
3. . . . and Price level ↑ .
2. . . . causes R-GDP to fall . . .
1. An adverse shift in the SRAS
SRAS1
LRAS
Y
AP
SRAS2
B
Y2
P2
Shifting AD would make
inflation worse!
Reconciling 2-Views
• Most economists believe classical theory describes world in the long run but not short run
• Prices, Wages & interest rates are at least somewhat sticky in the short run
• Keynesian economics focuses on AD and failed to explain the Stagflation of the late 1970’s
Adverse Shifts in SRAS
• Consider an adverse shift in short run aggregate supply: • curve shifts to the left
• Output falls below natural rate of employment
• BOTH unemployment & price level rise
Stagflation
• A period of recession and inflation.– Output falls and price level rises– Example: late 1970’s in USA (oil crisis)
• Challenge: Policymakers who can influence aggregate demand cannot offset both simultaneously
Classical Recovery
Quantity ofOutput
PriceLevel
0
SRASLRAS
AD1
AP
Y
AD2
SRAS2
1. A decrease inaggregate demand . . .
2. . . . causes output to fall in the short run . . .
3. . . . but over time, the short-runaggregate-supplycurve shifts . . .
4. . . . and output returnsto its natural rate.
CP3
BP2
Y2
Alphabet Recovery Part 2
• http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/business/july-dec11/makingsense_10-07.html