1,648 Likely General Election Voters Sampling Margin of Error +/-2.4% September 26-28, 2012

Who would you vote for in the race for U.S. Senate—Congresswoman Mazie Hirono, or Former Governor Linda Lingle? [name order randomized]

Senate

  Hirono 55%Lingle 39%Unsure 6%Total 100%

Do you have children who are in Hawaii public schools now, or who attended public schools within the last 10 years?

Kids_in_School

  Yes 32%No 67%Unsure 1%Total 100%

In your mind, how good an education do Hawaii's public school students receive—excellent, good, fair, or poor?

Educ_Quality

  Excellent 5%Good 34%Fair 44%Poor 14%Unsure 3%Total 100%

1

How much of a negative impact did Furlough Fridays, which closed public schools twice each month from 2009 to 2011, have on the quality of education in Hawaii?

Furloughs

  Major Negative 40%Minor Negative 32%Not Negative 15%Unsure 13%Total 100%

How much of a negative impact does the unresolved contract dispute—still ongoing after teachers rejected an offer from the state earlier this year—have on the quality of education in Hawaii?

Teacher_Contract

Major Negative 29%Minor Negative 34%Not Negative 13%Unsure 24%Total 100%

How do you currently feel about the country’s economy?

Economy  

  Positive 57%Negative 40%Unsure 3%Total 100%

2

Demographics:

Gender

  Male 44%Female 56%Total 100%

Age

  18-29 5%30-39 7%40-49 10%50-64 34%65+ 43%Total 100%

Race_Ethnicity

  Caucasian 40%Japanese 36%Filipino 7%Hawaiian 3%Chinese 10%Hispanic/Latino 1%Other/Mixed 3%Total 100%

Politics

  Liberal/Progressive 27%Moderate 37%Conservative 22%Unsure 14%Total 100%

Party_ID

  Democrat 54%Republican 17%Independent 24%Unsure 4%Total 100%

3

Education

  No degree 2%High School Degree 28%College Degree 43%Graduate Degree 27%Total 100%

Military_Family

  Yes 12%No 88%Total 100%

Income

  Less than $50,000 37%$50,000-$100,000 39%$100,000 or more 24%Total 100%

CD  

  1 54%2 46%Total 100%

Island  

  Oahu 76%Neighbor 24%Total 100%

4

Crosstabs:

Senate * Kids_in_School Crosstabulation% within Kids_in_School

Kids_in_SchoolYes No Unsure

Senate Hirono 48% 59% 58%Lingle 45% 36% 11%Unsure 7% 5% 32%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Kids_in_School * Senate Crosstabulation% within Senate

SenateHirono Lingle Unsure

Kids_in_School

Yes 27% 37% 36%No 71% 62% 57%Unsure 1% 0% 7%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Senate * Educ_Quality Crosstabulation% within Educ_Quality

Educ_QualityExcellent Good Fair Poor Unsure

Senate Hirono 63% 66% 56% 33% 35%Lingle 31% 27% 40% 63% 40%Unsure 6% 7% 4% 4% 26%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Educ_Quality * Senate Crosstabulation% within Senate

SenateHirono Lingle Unsure

Educ_Quality Excellent 5% 4% 4%Good 41% 24% 42%Fair 44% 46% 31%Poor 9% 24% 11%Unsure 2% 3% 12%

Total 100% 100% 100%

5

Senate * Furloughs Crosstabulation% within Furloughs

Furloughs

Major Negative

Minor Negative

Not Negative Unsure

Senate Hirono 75% 51% 14% 55%Lingle 18% 47% 82% 31%Unsure 7% 2% 4% 14%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

Furloughs * Senate Crosstabulation% within Senate

SenateHirono Lingle Unsure

Furloughs Major Negative 54% 19% 47%Minor Negative 29% 39% 12%Not Negative 4% 32% 10%Unsure 13% 10% 31%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Senate * Teacher_Contract Crosstabulation% within Teacher_Contract

Teacher_Contract

Major Negative

Minor Negative

Not Negative Unsure

Senate Hirono 57% 62% 42% 53%Lingle 39% 34% 55% 36%Unsure 4% 5% 3% 11%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

Teacher_Contract * Senate Crosstabulation% within Senate

SenateHirono Lingle Unsure

Teacher_Contract

Major Negative 30% 30% 19%Minor Negative 38% 30% 28%Not Negative 9% 18% 7%Unsure 23% 23% 46%

Total 100% 100% 100%

6

Senate * Economy Crosstabulation% within Economy_Condensed

Economy_CondensedPositive Negative Unsure

Senate Hirono 78% 25% 35%Lingle 17% 72% 9%Unsure 6% 4% 56%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Economy * Senate Crosstabulation% within Senate

SenateHirono Lingle Unsure

Economy Positive 81% 25% 53%Negative 18% 74% 23%Unsure 2% 1% 24%

Total 100% 100% 100%

7

Senate * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender

GenderMale Female

Senate Hirono 52% 59%Lingle 42% 35%Unsure 6% 6%

Total 100% 100%

Senate * Age Crosstabulation% within Age

Age18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+

Senate Hirono 49% 51% 54% 56% 57%Lingle 40% 25% 42% 40% 39%Unsure 11% 24% 3% 4% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Senate * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation% within Race_Ethnicity

Race_Ethnicity

Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian ChineseHispanic/

Latino Other/MixedSenate Hirono 51% 67% 46% 54% 43% 58% 52%

Lingle 46% 29% 38% 42% 44% 42% 38%Unsure 4% 4% 17% 4% 13%   10%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Senate * Politics Crosstabulation% within Politics

Politics

Liberal/Progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure

Senate Hirono 88% 59% 16% 47%Lingle 7% 37% 81% 36%Unsure 5% 4% 3% 16%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

8

Senate * Party_ID Crosstabulation% within Party_ID

Party_ID

Democrat RepublicanIndependen

t UnsureSenate Hirono 85% 5% 34% 16%

Lingle 11% 92% 60% 40%Unsure 5% 2% 6% 44%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

Senate * Education Crosstabulation% within Education

Education

No degree

High School Degree

College Degree

Graduate Degree

Senate Hirono 58% 55% 54% 61%Lingle 33% 40% 40% 34%Unsure 9% 5% 6% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

Senate * Military_Family Crosstabulation% within Military_Family

Military_FamilyYes No

Senate Hirono 58% 56%Lingle 36% 38%Unsure 6% 6%

Total 100% 100%

Senate * Income Crosstabulation% within Income

Income

Less than

$50,000$50,000-$100,000

$100,000 or

moreSenate Hirono 61% 54% 55%

Lingle 33% 42% 40%Unsure 7% 5% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100%

9

Kids_in_School * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender

GenderMale Female

Kids_in_School

Yes 33% 31%No 66% 68%Unsure 1% 1%

Total 100% 100%

Kids_in_School * Age Crosstabulation% within Age

Age18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+

Kids_in_School

Yes 48% 26% 43% 41% 21%No 52% 68% 57% 58% 77%Unsure   6%   1% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Kids_in_School * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation% within Race_Ethnicity

Race_Ethnicity

Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian ChineseHispanic/

Latino Other/MixedKids_in_School

Yes 31% 29% 50% 45% 24% 42% 43%No 68% 70% 46% 53% 75% 58% 55%Unsure 1% 1% 4% 2% 1%   2%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Kids_in_School * Politics Crosstabulation% within Politics

Politics

Liberal/Progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure

Kids_in_School

Yes 28% 34% 32% 34%No 70% 66% 68% 62%Unsure 2% 1%   4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

10

Kids_in_School * Party_ID Crosstabulation% within Party_ID

Party_ID

Democrat RepublicanIndependen

t UnsureKids_in_School

Yes 30% 30% 36% 38%No 69% 70% 63% 50%Unsure 1%   1% 12%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

Kids_in_School * Education Crosstabulation% within Education

Education

No degree

High School Degree

College Degree

Graduate Degree

Kids_in_School

Yes 31% 33% 32% 31%No 64% 65% 67% 68%Unsure 6% 1% 1% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

Kids_in_School * Military_Family Crosstabulation% within Military_Family

Military_FamilyYes No

Kids_in_School

Yes 46% 30%No 53% 69%Unsure 1% 1%

Total 100% 100%

Kids_in_School * Income Crosstabulation% within Income

Income

Less than

$50,000$50,000-$100,000

$100,000 or

moreKids_in_School

Yes 30% 38% 28%No 70% 61% 71%Unsure 1% 1% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100%

11

Educ_Quality * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender

GenderMale Female

Educ_Quality Excellent 5% 5%Good 31% 36%Fair 44% 43%Poor 18% 12%Unsure 2% 4%

Total 100% 100%

Educ_Quality * Age Crosstabulation% within Age

Age18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+

Educ_Quality Excellent   7% 5% 4% 6%Good 21% 28% 28% 30% 42%Fair 49% 50% 49% 47% 37%Poor 29% 11% 17% 17% 10%Unsure   3% 1% 2% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Educ_Quality * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation% within Race_Ethnicity

Race_Ethnicity

Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian ChineseHispanic/

Latino Other/MixedEduc_Quality Excellent 3% 6% 13% 4% 4%   6%

Good 26% 42% 34% 33% 43% 38% 25%Fair 47% 40% 39% 38% 44% 54% 45%Poor 22% 8% 9% 22% 5% 8% 20%Unsure 1% 4% 5% 4% 4%   4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Educ_Quality * Politics Crosstabulation% within Politics

Politics

Liberal/Progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure

Educ_Quality Excellent 6% 3% 6% 6%Good 33% 36% 27% 41%Fair 45% 46% 43% 37%Poor 14% 14% 21% 6%Unsure 1% 1% 3% 10%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

12

Educ_Quality * Party_ID Crosstabulation% within Party_ID

Party_ID

Democrat RepublicanIndependen

t UnsureEduc_Quality Excellent 5% 4% 4% 9%

Good 40% 26% 27% 24%Fair 43% 45% 43% 50%Poor 9% 21% 23% 3%Unsure 2% 4% 3% 14%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

Educ_Quality * Education Crosstabulation% within Education

Education

No degree

High School Degree

College Degree

Graduate Degree

Educ_Quality Excellent 6% 7% 5% 3%Good 51% 34% 32% 34%Fair 23% 44% 45% 44%Poor 11% 10% 16% 17%Unsure 9% 4% 2% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

Educ_Quality * Military_Family Crosstabulation% within Military_Family

Military_FamilyYes No

Educ_Quality Excellent 12% 4%Good 33% 34%Fair 28% 46%Poor 25% 13%Unsure 2% 3%

Educ_Quality * Income Crosstabulation% within Income

Income

Less than

$50,000$50,000-$100,000

$100,000 or

moreEduc_Quality Excellent 6% 5% 3%

Good 34% 33% 31%Fair 44% 46% 45%Poor 13% 15% 18%Unsure 3% 1% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100%

13

Furloughs * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender

GenderMale Female

Furloughs Major Negative 37% 42%Minor Negative 34% 31%Not Negative 20% 12%Unsure 9% 16%

Total 100% 100%

Furloughs * Age Crosstabulation% within Age

Age18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+

Furloughs Major Negative 32% 56% 50% 40% 36%Minor Negative 28% 19% 29% 35% 33%Not Negative 19% 18% 17% 15% 15%Unsure 21% 8% 4% 10% 17%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Furloughs * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation% within Race_Ethnicity

Race_Ethnicity

Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian ChineseHispanic/

Latino Other/MixedFurloughs Major

Negative40% 42% 40% 46% 31% 54% 39%

Minor Negative

34% 31% 23% 28% 36% 23% 29%

Not Negative

16% 13% 17% 15% 19% 8% 18%

Unsure 10% 15% 19% 11% 14% 15% 14%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Furloughs * Politics Crosstabulation% within Politics

Politics

Liberal/Progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure

Furloughs Major Negative

55% 41% 23% 35%

Minor Negative

29% 33% 39% 25%

Not Negative

6% 16% 29% 11%

Unsure 10% 11% 9% 30%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

14

Furloughs * Party_ID Crosstabulation% within Party_ID

Party_ID

Democrat RepublicanIndependen

t UnsureFurloughs Major

Negative51% 22% 29% 31%

Minor Negative

29% 32% 38% 22%

Not Negative 8% 31% 21% 17%Unsure 12% 15% 12% 29%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

Furloughs * Education Crosstabulation% within Education

Education

No degree

High School Degree

College Degree

Graduate Degree

Furloughs Major Negative 37% 37% 41% 41%Minor Negative 17% 32% 32% 33%Not Negative 26% 16% 15% 14%Unsure 20% 15% 12% 12%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

Furloughs * Military_Family Crosstabulation% within Military_Family

Military_FamilyYes No

Furloughs Major Negative 49% 39%Minor Negative 25% 33%Not Negative 20% 15%Unsure 6% 14%

Total 100% 100%

Furloughs * Income Crosstabulation% within Income

Income

Less than

$50,000$50,000-$100,000

$100,000 or

moreFurloughs Major Negative 40% 40% 42%

Minor Negative 32% 30% 36%Not Negative 14% 18% 14%Unsure 15% 12% 8%

Total 100% 100% 100%

15

Teacher_Contract * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender

GenderMale Female

Teacher_Contract

Major Negative 29% 29%Minor Negative 37% 31%Not Negative 15% 12%Unsure 20% 28%

Total 100% 100%

Teacher_Contract * Age Crosstabulation% within Age

Age18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+

Teacher_Contract

Major Negative 34% 36% 30% 31% 25%Minor Negative 18% 30% 38% 35% 35%Not Negative 7% 11% 15% 12% 14%Unsure 41% 23% 17% 22% 26%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Teacher_Contract * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation% within Race_Ethnicity

Race_Ethnicity

Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian ChineseHispanic/

Latino Other/MixedTeacher_Contract

Major Negative

26% 31% 33% 38% 26% 25% 32%

Minor Negative

37% 30% 27% 31% 43% 33% 26%

Not Negative

16% 11% 7% 13% 12% 8% 12%

Unsure 21% 28% 33% 18% 18% 33% 30%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Teacher_Contract * Politics Crosstabulation% within Politics

Politics

Liberal/Progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure

Teacher_Contract

Major Negative

32% 31% 30% 19%

Minor Negative

40% 35% 29% 25%

Not Negative

10% 14% 18% 8%

Unsure 19% 20% 24% 49%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

16

Teacher_Contract * Party_ID Crosstabulation% within Party_ID

Party_ID

Democrat RepublicanIndependen

t UnsureTeacher_Contract

Major Negative

32% 26% 28% 12%

Minor Negative

36% 31% 33% 17%

Not Negative

11% 16% 16% 7%

Unsure 22% 26% 23% 64%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

Teacher_Contract * Education Crosstabulation% within Education

Education

No degree

High School Degree

College Degree

Graduate Degree

Teacher_Contract

Major Negative 14% 30% 33% 24%Minor Negative 25% 26% 33% 43%Not Negative 22% 9% 13% 16%Unsure 39% 36% 21% 17%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

Teacher_Contract * Military_Family Crosstabulation% within Military_Family

Military_FamilyYes No

Teacher_Contract

Major Negative 37% 28%Minor Negative 28% 34%Not Negative 19% 12%Unsure 16% 26%

Total 100% 100%

Teacher_Contract * Income Crosstabulation% within Income

Income

Less than

$50,000$50,000-$100,000

$100,000 or

moreTeacher_Contract

Major Negative

30% 26% 31%

Minor Negative

31% 36% 37%

Not Negative

9% 14% 17%

Unsure 29% 23% 15%Total 100% 100% 100%

17

Educ_Quality * Kids_in_School Crosstabulation% within Kids_in_School

Kids_in_SchoolYes No Unsure

Educ_Quality Excellent 6% 4% 26%Good 35% 34% 21%Fair 43% 44% 5%Poor 15% 14% 5%Unsure 1% 3% 42%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Kids_in_School * Educ_Quality Crosstabulation% within Educ_Quality

Educ_QualityExcellent Good Fair Poor Unsure

Kids_in_School

Yes 39% 33% 32% 34% 7%No 54% 67% 68% 65% 75%Unsure 6% 1% 0% 0% 18%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Furloughs * Kids_in_School Crosstabulation% within Kids_in_School

Kids_in_SchoolYes No Unsure

Furloughs Major Negative 39% 40% 21%Minor Negative 32% 32% 21%Not Negative 20% 13% 0%Unsure 9% 14% 58%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Kids_in_School * Furloughs Crosstabulation% within Furloughs

Furloughs

Major Negative

Minor Negative

Not Negative Unsure

Kids_in_School

Yes 32% 32% 42% 21%No 68% 67% 58% 74%Unsure 1% 1% 0% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

18

Teacher_Contract * Kids_in_School Crosstabulation% within Kids_in_School

Kids_in_SchoolYes No Unsure

Teacher_Contract

Major Negative 32% 28% 10%Minor Negative 31% 35% 30%Not Negative 15% 12%  Unsure 22% 25% 60%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Kids_in_School * Teacher_Contract Crosstabulation% within Teacher_Contract

Teacher_Contract

Major Negative

Minor Negative

Not Negative Unsure

Kids_in_School

Yes 35% 29% 38% 29%No 65% 70% 62% 68%Unsure 0% 1%   3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

Educ_Quality * Furloughs Crosstabulation% within Furloughs

Furloughs

Major Negative

Minor Negative

Not Negative Unsure

Educ_Quality Excellent 5% 4% 7% 4%Good 35% 36% 24% 41%Fair 45% 46% 42% 35%Poor 13% 13% 26% 9%Unsure 2% 2% 2% 10%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

Furloughs * Educ_Quality Crosstabulation% within Educ_Quality

Educ_QualityExcellent Good Fair Poor Unsure

Furloughs Major Negative 42% 41% 42% 35% 23%Minor Negative 25% 33% 34% 29% 20%Not Negative 22% 10% 14% 28% 9%Unsure 11% 15% 10% 8% 48%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

19

Educ_Quality * Teacher_Contract Crosstabulation% within Teacher_Contract

Teacher_Contract

Major Negative

Minor Negative

Not Negative Unsure

Educ_Quality Excellent 2% 5% 9% 6%Good 29% 43% 31% 30%Fair 49% 40% 37% 45%Poor 19% 9% 23% 12%Unsure 1% 2% 1% 7%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

% within Educ_Quality

Educ_QualityExcellent Good Fair Poor Unsure

Teacher_Contract

Major Negative 14% 24% 33% 38% 11%Minor Negative 35% 43% 31% 22% 22%Not Negative 23% 11% 11% 20% 4%Unsure 28% 22% 25% 20% 62%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Furloughs * Teacher_Contract Crosstabulation% within Teacher_Contract

Teacher_Contract

Major Negative

Minor Negative

Not Negative Unsure

Furloughs Major Negative 63% 40% 18% 24%Minor Negative 25% 44% 30% 24%Not Negative 8% 11% 47% 13%Unsure 4% 5% 6% 39%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

Teacher_Contract * Furloughs Crosstabulation% within Furloughs

Furloughs

Major Negative

Minor Negative

Not Negative Unsure

Teacher_Contract

Major Negative 46% 23% 16% 9%Minor Negative 34% 47% 24% 12%Not Negative 6% 12% 39% 6%Unsure 15% 19% 21% 73%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

Senate * CD Crosstabulation

20

% within CD

CDTotal1 2

Senate Hirono 55% 55% 55%Lingle 39% 38% 39%Unsure 6% 7% 6%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Senate * Island Crosstabulation% within Island

IslandTotalOahu Neighbor

Senate Hirono 53% 64% 55%Lingle 41% 31% 39%Unsure 6% 6% 6%

Total 100% 100% 100%

21