civil beat poll january 2016 merger survey
TRANSCRIPT
! 1922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
A current issue is the proposed merger between the Florida-based energy company, NextEra, and Hawaii Electric--often referred to as “HECO”--which supplies power everywhere in the state except Kauai. First, do you generally support or oppose the NextEra-HECO merger, or does it not matter to you much either way?
Percent
Support 16
Oppose 52
Doesn’t Matter 33
Merger * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
Male Female
Merger Support 17% 15%
Oppose 54% 49%
Doesn't Matter 29% 36%
Total 100% 100%
Merger * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese HispanicOther/Mixed
Merger Support 13% 19% 11% 20% 18% 18% 12%
Oppose 53% 53% 32% 51% 63% 46% 51%
Doesn't Matter 34% 28% 58% 30% 18% 36% 37%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Merger * Age_Group Crosstabulation
% within Age_Group
! 2922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
Age_Group
Under 5050 or older
Merger Support 19% 14%
Oppose 41% 56%
Doesn't Matter 40% 30%
Total 100% 100%
! 3922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
Merger * County_CD Crosstabulation
% within County_CD
County_CD
Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai
Merger Support 17% 14% 17% 15% 6%
Oppose 54% 54% 52% 46% 35%
Doesn't Matter 29% 32% 31% 40% 59%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Merger * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Liberal ModerateConservative Unsure
Merger Support 9% 21% 19% 10%
Oppose 62% 45% 50% 48%
Doesn't Matter 29% 34% 31% 42%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Merger * Party Crosstabulation
% within Party
Party
DemocratRepublican
Independent Unsure
Merger Support 13% 23% 17% 12%
Oppose 55% 44% 53% 39%
Doesn't Matter 33% 34% 30% 49%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Merger * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
! 4922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
Income
Less than $50,000
$50,000-$100,000
More than $100,000 Refused
Merger Support 14% 17% 19% 11%
Oppose 51% 49% 57% 49%
Doesn't Matter 34% 35% 25% 41%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
! 5922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
--The state’s Pubic Utilities Commission (often referred to as the PUC) will ultimately decide whether or not the merger will take place. When the PUC decides whether or not to approve the merger, do you think they will ultimately put the best interests of Hawaii’s residents first, or will they make their decision as the result of pressure from politicians and business interests?
Percent
Public Interest 21
Pressure 62
Both Equally 5
Unsure 13
MergerPUC * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
Male Female
MergerPUC Public Interest 20% 20%
Pressure 66% 60%
Both Equally 5% 4%
Unsure 9% 16%
Total 100% 100%
MergerPUC * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic
Other/Mixed
MergerPUC Public Interest 15% 29% 18% 21% 16% 9% 18%
Pressure 70% 61% 40% 67% 55% 82% 64%
Both Equally 5% 4% 8% 3% 4% 4%
Unsure 10% 6% 34% 10% 25% 9% 15%
! 6922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
MergerPUC * Age_Group Crosstabulation
% within Age_Group
Age_Group
Under 5050 or older
MergerPUC Public Interest 14% 22%
Pressure 67% 62%
Both Equally 4% 5%
Unsure 16% 10%
Total 100% 100%
! 7922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
MergerPUC * County_CD Crosstabulation
% within County_CD
County_CD
Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai
MergerPUC Public Interest 21% 25% 17% 19% 19%
Pressure 61% 62% 66% 64% 59%
Both Equally 5% 3% 7% 3% 2%
Unsure 13% 11% 10% 15% 20%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
MergerPUC * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Liberal ModerateConservative Unsure
MergerPUC Public Interest 22% 24% 14% 18%
Pressure 67% 59% 74% 50%
Both Equally 4% 5% 5% 5%
Unsure 6% 12% 8% 27%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
MergerPUC * Party Crosstabulation
% within Party
Party
DemocratRepublican
Independent Unsure
MergerPUC Public Interest 25% 16% 13% 10%
Pressure 60% 64% 72% 52%
Both Equally 5% 5% 4% 2%
Unsure 9% 15% 10% 35%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
! 8922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
MergerPUC * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
Income
Less than $50,000
$50,000-$100,000
More than $100,000 Refused
MergerPUCPublic Interest 26% 18% 17% 19%
Pressure 57% 66% 76% 52%
Both Equally 3% 6% 5% 7%
Unsure 13% 10% 3% 23%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
! 9922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
--Do you think that your electricity will cost more or less ten years from now if the NextEra-HECO merger goes through than it would otherwise, or will rates most likely be about the same either way?....Even if you’re not sure, please just make your best guess.
Percent
More 66
Less 17
Same 14
Unsure 4
MergerRates * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
Male Female
MergerRates More 68% 64%
Less 14% 19%
Same 15% 14%
Unsure 3% 4%
Total 100% 100%
MergerRates * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese HispanicOther/Mixed
MergerRates More 65% 60% 63% 72% 74% 91% 68%
Less 17% 19% 18% 16% 12% 16%
Same 12% 19% 16% 10% 14% 9% 13%
Unsure 6% 2% 3% 2% 4%
! 10922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
MergerRates * Age_Group Crosstabulation
% within Age_Group
Age_Group
Under 5050 or older
MergerRates More 60% 68%
Less 22% 14%
Same 12% 16%
Unsure 6% 2%
Total 100% 100%
! 11922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
MergerRates * County_CD Crosstabulation
% within County_CD
County_CD
Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai
MergerRates More 68% 67% 61% 61% 61%
Less 16% 19% 18% 16% 14%
Same 14% 11% 18% 15% 14%
Unsure 2% 3% 4% 8% 11%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
MergerRates * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Liberal ModerateConservative Unsure
MergerRates More 67% 61% 69% 67%
Less 21% 20% 15% 7%
Same 9% 16% 14% 21%
Unsure 3% 3% 2% 5%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
MergerRates * Party Crosstabulation
% within Party
Party
DemocratRepublican
Independent Unsure
MergerRates More 66% 58% 69% 71%
Less 17% 22% 13% 10%
Same 15% 16% 14% 10%
Unsure 2% 4% 4% 8%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
! 12922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
MergerRates * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
Income
Less than $50,000$50,000-$100,000
More than $100,000 Refused
MergerRates More 68% 62% 64% 68%
Less 19% 17% 17% 12%
Same 11% 18% 13% 18%
Unsure 3% 3% 6% 3%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
! 13922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
--Do you think Hawaii’s movement toward 100% renewable energy by 2045, as is required by state law, will happen more quickly if the merger goes through, more slowly if it goes through, or will it happen at about the same speed either way?....Even if you’re not sure, please just make your best guess.
Percent
Faster 21
Slower 39
Same 35
Unsure 5
MergerRenewable * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
Male Female
MergerRenewable Faster 21% 21%
Slower 40% 39%
Same 35% 36%
Unsure 5% 4%
Total 100% 100%
MergerRenewable * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
CaucasianJapanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic
Other/Mixed
MergerRenewable Faster 13% 26% 32% 24% 22% 18% 22%
Slower 47% 35% 25% 39% 37% 27% 36%
Same 34% 37% 36% 32% 41% 46% 35%
Unsure 6% 2% 8% 5% 9% 7%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
! 14922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
MergerRenewable * Age_Group Crosstabulation
% within Age_Group
Age_Group
Under 5050 or older
MergerRenewable Faster 31% 17%
Slower 34% 42%
Same 25% 39%
Unsure 10% 2%
Total 100% 100%
! 15922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
MergerRenewable * County_CD Crosstabulation
% within County_CD
County_CD
Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai
MergerRenewable Faster 21% 15% 18% 30% 16%
Slower 39% 42% 42% 35% 36%
Same 37% 39% 32% 27% 36%
Unsure 3% 4% 8% 9% 13%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
MergerRenewable * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Liberal ModerateConservative Unsure
MergerRenewable Faster 18% 24% 20% 20%
Slower 54% 35% 34% 33%
Same 24% 37% 42% 40%
Unsure 4% 4% 4% 7%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
MergerRenewable * Party Crosstabulation
% within Party
Party
DemocratRepublican
Independent Unsure
MergerRenewable Faster 22% 21% 19% 21%
Slower 44% 31% 36% 40%
Same 30% 42% 44% 21%
Unsure 4% 6% 2% 17%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
! 16922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
MergerRenewable * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
Income
Less than $50,000
$50,000-$100,000
More than $100,000 Refused
MergerRenewable Faster 26% 15% 23% 20%
Slower 39% 37% 39% 42%
Same 32% 43% 33% 33%
Unsure 3% 5% 6% 5%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
! 17922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
--Does it concern you that NextEra is based in Florida, or are you not concerned about that?
Percent
Concerned 61
Not concerned 26
Unsure 13
MergerFlorida * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
Male Female
MergerFlorida Concerned 60% 62%
Not concerned 28% 24%
Unsure 13% 14%
Total 100% 100%
MergerFlorida * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic
Other/Mixed
MergerFlorida Concerned 59% 65% 58% 64% 60% 55% 65%
Not concerned 31% 22% 18% 25% 20% 46% 22%
Unsure 10% 12% 25% 11% 20% 13%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
MergerFlorida * Age_Group Crosstabulation
% within Age_Group
! 18922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
Age_Group
Under 5050 or older
MergerFlorida Concerned 55% 65%
Not concerned 34% 22%
Unsure 12% 13%
Total 100% 100%
MergerFlorida * County_CD Crosstabulation
% within County_CD
County_CD
Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai
MergerFlorida Concerned 59% 63% 62% 68% 55%
Not concerned 26% 23% 30% 21% 27%
Unsure 14% 14% 8% 11% 18%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
! 19922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
MergerFlorida * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Liberal ModerateConservative Unsure
MergerFlorida Concerned 73% 60% 54% 59%
Not concerned 22% 28% 32% 17%
Unsure 4% 12% 14% 24%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
MergerFlorida * Party Crosstabulation
% within Party
Party
DemocratRepublican
Independent Unsure
MergerFlorida Concerned 68% 51% 56% 60%
Not concerned 22% 33% 32% 15%
Unsure 11% 16% 12% 25%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
MergerFlorida * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
Income
Less than $50,000
$50,000-$100,000
More than $100,000 Refused
MergerFlorida Concerned 67% 62% 61% 54%
Not concerned 23% 26% 34% 20%
Unsure 11% 12% 6% 26%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
! 20922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
Demographics
Gender
Age Group
Race/Ethnicity
Percent
Male 48
Female 52
Percent
Under 50 27
50 or older 73
Percent
Caucasian 37
Japanese 28
Filipino 9
Hawaiian 10
Chinese 6
Hispanic 1
Other/Mixed 10
! 21922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)70% Landlines, 30% CellphonesJanuary 26-29, 2016
Political Ideology
Party I.D.
Household Income
Percent
Liberal 25
Moderate 34
Conservative 25
Unsure 17
Percent
Democrat 52
Republican 21
Independent 22
Unsure 6
Percent
Less than $50,000 27
$50,000-$100,000 33
More than $100,000 22
Refused 19