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Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA 3 RD STAKEHOLDER MEETING OCTOBER 26, 2018 NORMAND GOULET NVRC

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Page 1: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Chesapeake Bay TMDLPhase III WIP

Northern Virginia LA

3RD STAKEHOLDER MEETING

OCTOBER 26, 2018

NORMAND GOULET

NVRC

Page 2: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Input Deck Development Process

• CAST Progress Run DATA

• Graph 2009 – 2017 Implementation Progress Results

• Project 2025 Implementation Based on Regression

• CAST Scoping Runs @ 2025

• DEQ WIP II (Land-River Segments) Aggregated to PDC Boundary

• Development BMPs

• Development BMPs + Natural BMPs

• Development BMPs + Natural BMPs + Septic BMPs

• Development BMPs + Natural BMPs + Septic BMPs + WIP II BMPs

Page 3: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Development BMPs

y = 12.74x - 25313

R² = 0.89

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Acres Treated - Bioretention/Raingardens - A/B soils, underdrain

Page 4: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Development BMPs

y = 14.281x - 28611R² = 0.96

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Acres Treated - Bioretention/Raingardens - C/D soils, underdrain

Page 5: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Development BMPs

y = 6.4868x - 13024R² = 0.75

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Acres Treated - Bioswale

Page 6: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Development BMPs

y = 98.617x - 186029R² = 0.85

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

11,000

12,000

13,000

14,000

15,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Acres Treated - Dry Detention Ponds and Hydrodynamic Structures

Page 7: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Development BMPs

y = 268.23x - 523384R² = 0.98

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Acres Treated - Dry Extended Detention Ponds

Page 8: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Development BMPs

y = 22.543x - 45205R² = 0.92

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Acres Treated - Filtering Practices

Page 9: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Development BMPs

y = -24.2x + 49325R² = 0.10

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Acres Treated - Forest Harvesting Practices

Page 10: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Development BMPs

y = 2.4x - 4823.2R² = 0.09

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Impervious Surface Reduction

Page 11: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Development BMPs

y = 37.95x - 74866R² = 0.91

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Acres Treated - Infiltration Practices w/ Sand, Veg. - A/B soils, no underdrain

Page 12: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Development BMPs

y = 3.9414x - 7835.4R² = 0.94

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Acres Treated - Infiltration Practices w/o Sand, Veg. - A/B soils, no underdrain

Page 13: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Development BMPs

y = 441.45x - 879271R² = 0.03

-5,000

5,000

15,000

25,000

35,000

45,000

55,000

65,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Acres Treated - Nutrient Management Plan

Page 14: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Development BMPs

y = 0.1667x - 335.06R² = 0.75

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

20

20

20

21

20

22

20

23

20

24

20

25

Permeable Pavement w/ Sand, Veg. - A/B soils, no

underdrain

y = 0.4158x - 828.69R² = 0.85

02468

10121416

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

20

20

20

21

20

22

20

23

20

24

20

25

Permeable Pavement w/ Sand, Veg. - C/D soils,

underdrain

y = 0.3838x - 770.15R² = 0.88

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Permeable Pavement w/o Sand, Veg. - C/D soils, underdrain

WIP II – 10 acresWIP III – 24 acres

Page 15: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Development BMPs

y = 23.888x - 47588R² = 0.90

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Acres Treated - Stormwater Performance Standard - Runoff Reduction

Page 16: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Development BMPs

y = 280.9x - 549220R² = 0.77

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Acres Treated - Stormwater Performance Standard - Stormwater Treatment

Page 17: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Development BMPs

y = 0.1167x - 234.63R² = 0.53

0

0.4

0.8

1.2

1.6

2

Vegetated Open Channels - A/B soils, no underdrain

y = 0.2167x - 430.37R² = 0.21

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Vegetated Open Channels - C/D soils, no underdrain

Page 18: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Development BMPs

y = 343.3x - 673924R² = 0.93

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Wet Ponds and Wetlands

Page 19: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Natural BMPs

y = 22.988x - 42319R² = 0.01

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Feet of Urban Stream Restoration

Page 20: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Natural BMPs

y = 209.02x - 391971R² = 0.03

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Feet of Non Urban Stream Restoration

Page 21: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Septic BMPs

y = 30x - 60339R² = 0.7517

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Number of Septic Connection

Page 22: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Septic BMPs

y = 7.3001x2 - 29349x + 3E+07R² = 0.99

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Number of Systems - Septic Denitrification - Conventional

Page 23: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Septic BMPs

y = 4.0287x2 - 16208x + 2E+07R² = 0.87

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Number of Systems - Septic Denitrification - Enhanced

Page 24: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Septic BMPs

y = -21.55x + 43445R² = 0.93

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Number of Systems - Septic Effluent - Enhanced

Page 25: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Septic BMPs

y = -55.679x + 113706R² = 0.32

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Number of Systems - Septic Secondary Treatment - Conventional

Page 26: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Septic BMPs

y = 1.8357x - 3663R² = 0.31

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Number of Systems - Septic Secondary Treatment - Enhanced

Page 27: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Septic BMPs

y = -674.19x + 1E+06R² = 0.48

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Septic Pumping 7,754 9,747 11,226 10,200 5878 7,115 5903 2,573 6,455

Number of Systems - Septic Pumping

Page 28: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Development BMPs

Sector LAPG BMPs (grey background are Annual BMPs) Unit 2,017 WIP 22025

Available WIP 3Developed Bioretention/raingardens - A/B soils acres 405 4,971 200,698 500Developed Bioretention/raingardens - C/D soils acres 185 0 200,698 300Developed Bioswale acres 71 0 200,606 115Developed Dirt & Gravel Road Erosion & Sediment Control feet 0 104 33,568Developed Dirt & Gravel Road Erosion & Sediment Control - Outlets feet 0 254 16,784Developed Dry Detention Ponds and Hydrodynamic Structures acres 13,393 9,593 200,698 13,600Developed Dry Extended Detention Ponds acres 17,120 18,399 200,698 20,000Developed Filtering Practices acres 240 10,286 200,698 450Developed Forest Buffer acres 0 448 94,875Developed Forest Planting acres 6 111 94,875 100Developed Impervious Surface Reduction acres 80 4,409 69,073 100Developed Infiltration acres 1,861 9,721 200,698 2,140Developed Nutrient Management Plan acres 2,747 65,211 134,044 15,000Developed Permeable Pavement acres 15 10 200,698 24Developed Storm Drain Cleaning pounds 0 0 N/ADeveloped Stormwater Performance Standard-Runoff Reduction acres 631 0 200,688 800

Developed Stormwater Performance Standard-Stormwater Treatment acres 16,165 0 200,698 20,000Developed Street Cleaning acres 0 1,203 25,693Developed Tree Planting - Canopy acres 0 0 91,536Developed Vegetated Open Channels - A/B acres 1 242 200,698 1Developed Vegetated Open Channels - C/D soils acres 7 0 192,552 10Developed Wet Ponds and Wetlands acres 18,289 18,727 200,698 21,000

Page 29: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Natural and Septic BMPs

Sector LAPG BMPs (grey background are Annual BMPs) Unit 2,017 WIP 22025

Available WIP 3Natural Algal Flow-way Non-Tidal acres 0 0 200,698Natural Algal Flow-way Tidal acres 0 0 200,698Natural Algal Flow-way Tidal Monitored pounds 0 0 N/ANatural Urban Shoreline Management feet 103 0 643,810 150

Non-Urban Stream Restoration feet 31,000Natural Urban Stream Restoration feet 4,259 8,112 8,844,467 8,000Natural Wetland Enhancement acres 0 0 21,174Natural Wetland Rehabilitation acres 0 0 21,174

Septic Septic Connection systems 142 5,576 42,167 400Septic Septic Denitrification-Conventional systems 365 9,900 38,255 1,600Septic Septic Denitrification-Enhanced systems 130 0 38,078 700Septic Septic Effluent - Enhanced systems 1 0 24,849 1Septic Septic Pumping systems 6,647 8,314 38,255 8,300Septic Septic Secondary Treatment Conventional systems 1,091 0 38,255 1,800Septic Septic Secondary Treatment Enhanced systems 49 0 38,255 50

Page 30: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Questions, Comments

• Is the Region comfortable with the Methodology - ??

Page 31: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Input Deck Development Process

• CAST Progress Run DATA

• Graph 2009 – 2017 Implementation Progress Results

• Project 2025 Implementation Based on Regression

• CAST Scoping Runs @ 2025

• DEQ WIP II (Land-River Segments) Aggregated to PDC Boundary

• Development BMPs

• Development BMPs + Natural BMPs

• Development BMPs + Natural BMPs + Septic BMPs

• Development BMPs + Natural BMPs + Septic BMPs + WIP II BMPs

Page 32: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Draft Phosphorus Input DeckLAPG Loads (LBS) Phosphorus (Edge of Tide)

VA Specified WIP 2WIP II DEQ

Input @ PDC Scale

PDC8 - WIP IIIRun 1

PDC8 - WIP III Run 1 + Septic

PDC8 - WIP IIIRun 1 + Septic +

Natural

PDC8 - WIP III Run 2

Sector: Non-Regulated Developed

Non-Regulated Buildings and Other 13,274 13,213 14,733 14,733 14,733 14,714

Non-Regulated Roads 6,737 6,706 7,478 7,478 7,478 7,468

Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Impervious 2,985 2,972 3,315 3,315 3,315 3,310

Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Turf Grass 20,490 19,338 20,093 20,093 20,093 20,069

Non-Regulated Turf Grass 69,019 65,639 67,154 67,154 67,154 66,710

Total (lbs) 112,505 107,867 112,773 112,773 112,773 112,272

LAPG Delta (lbs)

Sector: Natural

Harvested Forest 191 191 191 191 191 191

Headwater or Isolated Wetland 270 275 275 275 275 275

Mixed Open 8,184 8,184 8,184 8,184 8,184 8,184

Non-tidal Floodplain Wetland 592 592 592 592 592 592

Shoreline 19,798 19,797 19,797 19,797 19,797 19,797

Stream Bed and Bank 100,970 102,331 103,893 103,893 103,030 102,868

True Forest 9,243 9,156 9,139 9,139 9,139 9,156

Water 5,253 5,253 5,253 5,253 5,253 5,253

Total (lbs) 144,502 145,779 147,324 147,324 146,461 146,316

LAPG Delta (lbs)

Grand Total (lbs) 257,007 253,645 260,097 260,097 259,234 258,588

LAPG Delta (lbs)

Page 33: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Draft Phosphorus Input DeckLAPG Loads (LBS) Phosphorus (Edge of Tide)

VA Specified WIP 2WIP II DEQ

Input @ PDC Scale

PDC8 - WIP III Run 1

PDC8 - WIP III Run 1 + Septic

PDC8 - WIP IIIRun 1 + Septic +

Natural

PDC8 - WIP III Run 2

Sector: Non-Regulated Developed

Non-Regulated Buildings and Other 13,274 13,213 14,733 14,733 14,733 14,714

Non-Regulated Roads 6,737 6,706 7,478 7,478 7,478 7,468

Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Impervious 2,985 2,972 3,315 3,315 3,315 3,310

Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Turf Grass 20,490 19,338 20,093 20,093 20,093 20,069

Non-Regulated Turf Grass 69,019 65,639 67,154 67,154 67,154 66,710

Total (lbs) 112,505 107,867 112,773 112,773 112,773 112,272

LAPG Delta (lbs) -4,906

Sector: Natural

Harvested Forest 191 191 191 191 191 191

Headwater or Isolated Wetland 270 275 275 275 275 275

Mixed Open 8,184 8,184 8,184 8,184 8,184 8,184

Non-tidal Floodplain Wetland 592 592 592 592 592 592

Shoreline 19,798 19,797 19,797 19,797 19,797 19,797

Stream Bed and Bank 100,970 102,331 103,893 103,893 103,030 102,868

True Forest 9,243 9,156 9,139 9,139 9,139 9,156

Water 5,253 5,253 5,253 5,253 5,253 5,253

Total (lbs) 144,502 145,779 147,324 147,324 146,461 146,316

LAPG Delta (lbs) -1,545

Grand Total (lbs) 257,007 253,645 260,097 260,097 259,234 258,588

LAPG Delta (lbs) -6,451

Page 34: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Draft Phosphorus Input DeckLAPG Loads (LBS) Phosphorus (Edge of Tide)

VA Specified WIP 2WIP II DEQ

Input @ PDC Scale

PDC8 - WIP III Run 1

PDC8 - WIP III Run 1 + Septic

PDC8 - WIP IIIRun 1 + Septic +

Natural

PDC8 - WIP III Run 2

Sector: Non-Regulated Developed

Non-Regulated Buildings and Other 13,274 13,213 14,733 14,733 14,733 14,714

Non-Regulated Roads 6,737 6,706 7,478 7,478 7,478 7,468

Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Impervious 2,985 2,972 3,315 3,315 3,315 3,310

Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Turf Grass 20,490 19,338 20,093 20,093 20,093 20,069

Non-Regulated Turf Grass 69,019 65,639 67,154 67,154 67,154 66,710

Total (lbs) 112,505 107,867 112,773 112,773 112,773 112,272

LAPG Delta (lbs) -4,906 -4,906

Sector: Natural

Harvested Forest 191 191 191 191 191 191

Headwater or Isolated Wetland 270 275 275 275 275 275

Mixed Open 8,184 8,184 8,184 8,184 8,184 8,184

Non-tidal Floodplain Wetland 592 592 592 592 592 592

Shoreline 19,798 19,797 19,797 19,797 19,797 19,797

Stream Bed and Bank 100,970 102,331 103,893 103,893 103,030 102,868

True Forest 9,243 9,156 9,139 9,139 9,139 9,156

Water 5,253 5,253 5,253 5,253 5,253 5,253

Total (lbs) 144,502 145,779 147,324 147,324 146,461 146,316

LAPG Delta (lbs) -1,545 -1,545 -682 -537

Grand Total (lbs) 257,007 253,645 260,097 260,097 259,234 258,588

LAPG Delta (lbs) -6,451 -6,451

Page 35: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Draft Phosphorus Input DeckLAPG Loads (LBS) Phosphorus (Edge of Tide)

VA Specified WIP 2WIP II DEQ

Input @ PDC Scale

PDC8 - WIP III Run 1

PDC8 - WIP III Run 1 + Septic

PDC8 - WIP III Run 1 + Septic +

Natural

PDC8 - WIP III Run 2

Sector: Non-Regulated Developed

Non-Regulated Buildings and Other 13,274 13,213 14,733 14,733 14,733 14,714

Non-Regulated Roads 6,737 6,706 7,478 7,478 7,478 7,468

Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Impervious 2,985 2,972 3,315 3,315 3,315 3,310

Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Turf Grass 20,490 19,338 20,093 20,093 20,093 20,069

Non-Regulated Turf Grass 69,019 65,639 67,154 67,154 67,154 66,710

Total (lbs) 112,505 107,867 112,773 112,773 112,773 112,272

LAPG Delta (lbs) -4,906 -4,906 -4,906

Sector: Natural

Harvested Forest 191 191 191 191 191 191

Headwater or Isolated Wetland 270 275 275 275 275 275

Mixed Open 8,184 8,184 8,184 8,184 8,184 8,184

Non-tidal Floodplain Wetland 592 592 592 592 592 592

Shoreline 19,798 19,797 19,797 19,797 19,797 19,797

Stream Bed and Bank 100,970 102,331 103,893 103,893 103,030 102,868

True Forest 9,243 9,156 9,139 9,139 9,139 9,156

Water 5,253 5,253 5,253 5,253 5,253 5,253

Total (lbs) 144,502 145,779 147,324 147,324 146,461 146,316

LAPG Delta (lbs) -1,545 -1,545 -682

Grand Total (lbs) 257,007 253,645 260,097 260,097 259,234 258,588

LAPG Delta (lbs) -6,451 -6,451 -5,589

Page 36: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Draft Phosphorus Input DeckLAPG Loads (LBS) Phosphorus (Edge of Tide)

VA Specified WIP 2WIP II DEQ

Input @ PDC Scale

PDC8 - WIP III Run 1

PDC8 - WIP III Run 1 + Septic

PDC8 - WIP III Run 1 + Septic +

Natural

PDC8 - WIP III Run 2

Sector: Non-Regulated Developed

Non-Regulated Buildings and Other 13,274 13,213 14,733 14,733 14,733 14,714

Non-Regulated Roads 6,737 6,706 7,478 7,478 7,478 7,468

Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Impervious 2,985 2,972 3,315 3,315 3,315 3,310

Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Turf Grass 20,490 19,338 20,093 20,093 20,093 20,069

Non-Regulated Turf Grass 69,019 65,639 67,154 67,154 67,154 66,710

Total (lbs) 112,505 107,867 112,773 112,773 112,773 112,272

LAPG Delta (lbs) -4,906 -4,906 -4,906 -4,405

Sector: Natural

Harvested Forest 191 191 191 191 191 191

Headwater or Isolated Wetland 270 275 275 275 275 275

Mixed Open 8,184 8,184 8,184 8,184 8,184 8,184

Non-tidal Floodplain Wetland 592 592 592 592 592 592

Shoreline 19,798 19,797 19,797 19,797 19,797 19,797

Stream Bed and Bank 100,970 102,331 103,893 103,893 103,030 102,868

True Forest 9,243 9,156 9,139 9,139 9,139 9,156

Water 5,253 5,253 5,253 5,253 5,253 5,253

Total (lbs) 144,502 145,779 147,324 147,324 146,461 146,316

LAPG Delta (lbs) -1,545 -1,545 -682 -537

Grand Total (lbs) 257,007 253,645 260,097 260,097 259,234 258,588

LAPG Delta (lbs) -6,451 -6,451 -5,589 -4,942

Page 37: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Dra

ft N

itro

gen

In

pu

t D

eck LAPG Loads

Nitrogen (Edge of Tide)

VA Specified WIP 2WIP II DEQ Input

@ PDC ScalePDC8 - WIP III

Run 1PDC8 - WIP IIIRun 1 + Septic

PDC8 - WIP III Run 1 + Septic + Natural

PDC8 - WIP IIIRun 2

Sector: Non-Regulated Developed (45%)Non-Regulated Buildings and Other 186,054 185,287 207,404 207,404 207,404 207,268Non-Regulated Roads 99,740 99,329 111,184 111,184 111,184 111,104Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Impervious 50,579 50,370 56,398 56,398 56,398 56,359Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Turf Grass 102,913 99,258 104,887 104,887 104,887 104,819Non-Regulated Turf Grass 330,365 319,796 335,224 335,224 335,224 333,232Total (lbs) 769,651 754,039 815,098 815,098 815,098 812,781LAPG Delta (lbs)

Sector: Natural (40%)Harvested Forest 8,930 8,930 8,930 8,930 8,930 8,930Headwater or Isolated Wetland 3,210 3,300 3,300 3,300 3,300 3,300Mixed Open 38,526 38,526 38,526 38,526 38,526 38,526Non-tidal Floodplain Wetland 8,592 8,592 8,592 8,592 8,592 8,592Shoreline 28,007 28,006 28,006 28,006 28,006 28,006Stream Bed and Bank 359,941 369,777 376,912 380,495 379,339 379,076True Forest 162,971 161,386 161,106 161,106 161,106 161,385Water 70,103 70,103 70,103 70,103 70,103 70,103Total (lbs) 680,280 688,621 695,475 699,058 697,902 697,918LAPG Delta (lbs) 0.1429

Sector: Septic (14%)Rapid Infiltration Basin 558 558 558 558 558 558Septic 241,218 241,218 241,218 269,373 269,373 269,373Total (lbs) 241,777 241,777 241,777 269,932 269,932 269,932

Grand Total (lbs) 1,691,708 1,684,437 1,752,350 1,784,088 1,782,932 1,780,631LAPG Delta (lbs)

Page 38: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Dra

ft N

itro

gen

In

pu

t D

eck LAPG Loads

Nitrogen (Edge of Tide)

VA Specified WIP 2WIP II DEQ Input

@ PDC ScalePDC8 - WIP III

Run 1PDC8 - WIP IIIRun 1 + Septic

PDC8 - WIP III Run 1 + Septic + Natural

PDC8 - WIP IIIRun 2

Sector: Non-Regulated Developed (45%)Non-Regulated Buildings and Other 186,054 185,287 207,404 207,404 207,404 207,268Non-Regulated Roads 99,740 99,329 111,184 111,184 111,184 111,104Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Impervious 50,579 50,370 56,398 56,398 56,398 56,359Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Turf Grass 102,913 99,258 104,887 104,887 104,887 104,819Non-Regulated Turf Grass 330,365 319,796 335,224 335,224 335,224 333,232Total (lbs) 769,651 754,039 815,098 815,098 815,098 812,781LAPG Delta (lbs) -61,059

Sector: Natural (40%)Harvested Forest 8,930 8,930 8,930 8,930 8,930 8,930Headwater or Isolated Wetland 3,210 3,300 3,300 3,300 3,300 3,300Mixed Open 38,526 38,526 38,526 38,526 38,526 38,526Non-tidal Floodplain Wetland 8,592 8,592 8,592 8,592 8,592 8,592Shoreline 28,007 28,006 28,006 28,006 28,006 28,006Stream Bed and Bank 359,941 369,777 376,912 380,495 379,339 379,076True Forest 162,971 161,386 161,106 161,106 161,106 161,385Water 70,103 70,103 70,103 70,103 70,103 70,103Total (lbs) 680,280 688,621 695,475 699,058 697,902 697,918LAPG Delta (lbs) 0.1429 -6,854

Sector: Septic (14%)Rapid Infiltration Basin 558 558 558 558 558 558Septic 241,218 241,218 241,218 269,373 269,373 269,373Total (lbs) 241,777 241,777 241,777 269,932 269,932 269,932

Grand Total (lbs) 1,691,708 1,684,437 1,752,350 1,784,088 1,782,932 1,780,631LAPG Delta (lbs) -67,913

Page 39: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

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Nitrogen (Edge of Tide)

VA Specified WIP 2WIP II DEQ Input

@ PDC ScalePDC8 - WIP III

Run 1PDC8 - WIP IIIRun 1 + Septic

PDC8 - WIP III Run 1 + Septic + Natural

PDC8 - WIP IIIRun 2

Sector: Non-Regulated Developed (45%)Non-Regulated Buildings and Other 186,054 185,287 207,404 207,404 207,404 207,268Non-Regulated Roads 99,740 99,329 111,184 111,184 111,184 111,104Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Impervious 50,579 50,370 56,398 56,398 56,398 56,359Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Turf Grass 102,913 99,258 104,887 104,887 104,887 104,819Non-Regulated Turf Grass 330,365 319,796 335,224 335,224 335,224 333,232Total (lbs) 769,651 754,039 815,098 815,098 815,098 812,781LAPG Delta (lbs) -61,059 -61,059

Sector: Natural (40%)Harvested Forest 8,930 8,930 8,930 8,930 8,930 8,930Headwater or Isolated Wetland 3,210 3,300 3,300 3,300 3,300 3,300Mixed Open 38,526 38,526 38,526 38,526 38,526 38,526Non-tidal Floodplain Wetland 8,592 8,592 8,592 8,592 8,592 8,592Shoreline 28,007 28,006 28,006 28,006 28,006 28,006Stream Bed and Bank 359,941 369,777 376,912 380,495 379,339 379,076True Forest 162,971 161,386 161,106 161,106 161,106 161,385Water 70,103 70,103 70,103 70,103 70,103 70,103Total (lbs) 680,280 688,621 695,475 699,058 697,902 697,918LAPG Delta (lbs) 0.1429 -6,854 -10,437

Sector: Septic (14%)Rapid Infiltration Basin 558 558 558 558 558 558Septic 241,218 241,218 241,218 269,373 269,373 269,373Total (lbs) 241,777 241,777 241,777 269,932 269,932 269,932

Grand Total (lbs) 1,691,708 1,684,437 1,752,350 1,784,088 1,782,932 1,780,631LAPG Delta (lbs) -67,913 -99,651

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VA Specified WIP 2WIP II DEQ Input

@ PDC ScalePDC8 - WIP III

Run 1PDC8 - WIP IIIRun 1 + Septic

PDC8 - WIP III Run 1 + Septic + Natural

PDC8 - WIP IIIRun 2

Sector: Non-Regulated Developed (45%)Non-Regulated Buildings and Other 186,054 185,287 207,404 207,404 207,404 207,268Non-Regulated Roads 99,740 99,329 111,184 111,184 111,184 111,104Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Impervious 50,579 50,370 56,398 56,398 56,398 56,359Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Turf Grass 102,913 99,258 104,887 104,887 104,887 104,819Non-Regulated Turf Grass 330,365 319,796 335,224 335,224 335,224 333,232Total (lbs) 769,651 754,039 815,098 815,098 815,098 812,781LAPG Delta (lbs) -61,059 -61,059 -61,059

Sector: Natural (40%)Harvested Forest 8,930 8,930 8,930 8,930 8,930 8,930Headwater or Isolated Wetland 3,210 3,300 3,300 3,300 3,300 3,300Mixed Open 38,526 38,526 38,526 38,526 38,526 38,526Non-tidal Floodplain Wetland 8,592 8,592 8,592 8,592 8,592 8,592Shoreline 28,007 28,006 28,006 28,006 28,006 28,006Stream Bed and Bank 359,941 369,777 376,912 380,495 379,339 379,076True Forest 162,971 161,386 161,106 161,106 161,106 161,385Water 70,103 70,103 70,103 70,103 70,103 70,103Total (lbs) 680,280 688,621 695,475 699,058 697,902 697,918LAPG Delta (lbs) 0.1429 -6,854 -10,437 -9,281

Sector: Septic (14%)Rapid Infiltration Basin 558 558 558 558 558 558Septic 241,218 241,218 241,218 269,373 269,373 269,373Total (lbs) 241,777 241,777 241,777 269,932 269,932 269,932

Grand Total (lbs) 1,691,708 1,684,437 1,752,350 1,784,088 1,782,932 1,780,631LAPG Delta (lbs) -67,913 -99,651 -98,495

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VA Specified WIP 2WIP II DEQ Input

@ PDC ScalePDC8 - WIP III

Run 1PDC8 - WIP IIIRun 1 + Septic

PDC8 - WIP III Run 1 + Septic + Natural

PDC8 - WIP III Run 2

Sector: Non-Regulated Developed (45%)Non-Regulated Buildings and Other 186,054 185,287 207,404 207,404 207,404 207,268Non-Regulated Roads 99,740 99,329 111,184 111,184 111,184 111,104Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Impervious 50,579 50,370 56,398 56,398 56,398 56,359Non-Regulated Tree Canopy over Turf Grass 102,913 99,258 104,887 104,887 104,887 104,819Non-Regulated Turf Grass 330,365 319,796 335,224 335,224 335,224 333,232Total (lbs) 769,651 754,039 815,098 815,098 815,098 812,781LAPG Delta (lbs) -61,059 -61,059 -61,059 -58,742

Sector: Natural (40%)Harvested Forest 8,930 8,930 8,930 8,930 8,930 8,930Headwater or Isolated Wetland 3,210 3,300 3,300 3,300 3,300 3,300Mixed Open 38,526 38,526 38,526 38,526 38,526 38,526Non-tidal Floodplain Wetland 8,592 8,592 8,592 8,592 8,592 8,592Shoreline 28,007 28,006 28,006 28,006 28,006 28,006Stream Bed and Bank 359,941 369,777 376,912 380,495 379,339 379,076True Forest 162,971 161,386 161,106 161,106 161,106 161,385Water 70,103 70,103 70,103 70,103 70,103 70,103Total (lbs) 680,280 688,621 695,475 699,058 697,902 697,918LAPG Delta (lbs) 0.1429 -6,854 -10,437 -9,281 -9,297

Sector: Septic (14%)Rapid Infiltration Basin 558 558 558 558 558 558Septic 241,218 241,218 241,218 269,373 269,373 269,373Total (lbs) 241,777 241,777 241,777 269,932 269,932 269,932

Grand Total (lbs) 1,691,708 1,684,437 1,752,350 1,784,088 1,782,932 1,780,631LAPG Delta (lbs) -67,913 -99,651 -98,495 -96,194

Page 42: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Proposed Input Deck BMPsLAPG BMPs (grey background are Annual BMPs) WIP 2 WIP 3

Bioretention/raingardens - A/B soils 4,971 500Bioretention/raingardens - C/D soils 0 300

Bioswale 0 115Dirt & Gravel Road Erosion & Sediment Control 104 100

Dirt & Gravel Road Erosion & Sediment Control - Outlets 254 250Dry Detention Ponds and Hydrodynamic Structures 9,593 13,600

Dry Extended Detention Ponds 18,399 20,000Filtering Practices 10,286 450

Forest Buffer 448 448Forest Planting 111 100

Impervious Surface Reduction 4,409 100Infiltration 9,721 2,140

Nutrient Management Plan 65,211 15,000Permeable Pavement 10 24Storm Drain Cleaning 0 0

Stormwater Performance Standard-Runoff Reduction 0 800

Stormwater Performance Standard-Stormwater Treatment 0 20,000Street Cleaning 1,203 1203

Tree Planting - Canopy 0 0Vegetated Open Channels - A/B 242 1

Vegetated Open Channels - C/D soils 0 10Wet Ponds and Wetlands 18,727 21,000

LAPG BMPs (grey background are Annual BMPs) WIP 2 WIP 3Algal Flow-way Non-Tidal 0 0

Algal Flow-way Tidal 0 0Algal Flow-way Tidal Monitored 0 0Urban Shoreline Management 0 150Non-Urban Stream Restoration 31,000

Urban Stream Restoration 8,112 8,000Wetland Enhancement 0 0Wetland Rehabilitation 0 0

Septic Connection 5,576 400Septic Denitrification-Conventional 9,900 1,600

Septic Denitrification-Enhanced 0 700Septic Effluent - Enhanced 0 1

Septic Pumping 8,314 8,300Septic Secondary Treatment Conventional 0 1,800

Septic Secondary Treatment Enhanced 0 50

Page 43: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Questions, Comments

• Is the Region comfortable with the Proposed BMPs - ??

• Are there other BMPs the Region wishes to include - ??

• Is the Region comfortable submitting Input Deck to DEQ below LAPG:

• Not Aggressive Enough - ??

• Just Right - ??

• Too Aggressive - ??

Page 44: Chesapeake Bay TMDL Phase III WIP Northern Virginia LA

Phase III WIP Planning Next Steps

Aug. 17 – Stakeholder meeting #1

Sept. 15 – Interim report due (Activity 1)

Sept. 21 – Stakeholder meeting #2

Oct. 26 – Stakeholder meeting #3

Nov 19th or 21st – Revise BMP input decks (Activity 2), Identify programmatic actions for Phase III WIP implementation (Activity 3)

Dec. 6th Joint meeting – Area II SWCD, Rapp PDC, Thomas Jefferson PDC

Dec. 15 - Final Project Report due to DEQ

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Contact information

Normand GouletDirector, Division of Planning and Environmental ServicesNorthern Virginia Regional Commission

[email protected]

● https://www.novaregion.org/1398/Virginia-Chesapeake-Bay-Phase-III-WIP