chapter 4 results, finding and discussions€¦ · results, finding and discussions 4.1 background...
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CHAPTER 4
Results, Finding and Discussions
4.1 Background
The chapter provides the results of the questionnaire and semi-structured interview questions.
These results were further analysed to produce meaningful findings that are discussed in detail
throughout the chapter. It was essential to appropriately analyse these findings in order to
produce recommendations for the implementation of this technology in Libya. In order to
establish an AD plant in a specific locality, it needs to consider multiple factors so that
maximum benefits can be attained.
4.2 Demographic Analysis of Respondents
Figure 1- Gender based sample size of the survey
An online survey questionnaire was prepared and kept online for 20 days to gather as much
data as possible to make accurate estimations and derive statistics about food waste amount
and type of food waste. Sample size of the population was estimated to be 100 however, a
total of 112 people returned completed questionnaires. Based on a gender categorisation 76
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male and 36 females as shown in Figure 13 participated in the survey. Almost people of all
age groups gave their poll but mostly the survey questionnaire was filled by people in age
bracket of 26-34 years as shown in Figure 14.
Figure 2- Age group based sample size of the survey
About 69.90 per cent of the people were students while other 21.25 per cent were
professionals in various fields. Of total sample size, 28.43 per cent belonged to rural areas
and 71.57 per cent belonged to urban areas. Most of the people belonged to the Tripoli city
or nearby areas as shown in Figure 7. It verifies their familiarity about the city and its
requirements. The questionnaire contains 27 questions in total including many aspects of the
research in order to obtain qualitative type of data relevant to the research.
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Figure 3- Distance of the people undergoing survey from the Tripoli city
4.3 Waste to Energy: An Alternative Method of Electricity Generation in Tripoli
Figure 4- Source of electricity generation in Libya
Since Tripoli has been rich enough in oil reservoirs, fossil fuels are a primary source of
electricity generation here. According to the survey, oil is the most used source of electricity
generation in Libya as shown in Figure 16. Keeping in mind the expected exhaustion of
natural resources with the increasing population and electricity demands in Tripoli, which is
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the capital and one of the largest populated cities of Libya, there needs to be a shift from
national grids to renewable electricity generation methods. In the survey people were asked
how often do they undergo electricity outages and above 40 per cent answered with
‘frequently’, while above 29 per cent said they face problem of shortfalls every day. Hence,
the current scenario of the Tripoli city demands an alternative energy generation method to
be adopted along with the conventional energy generation plants in order avoid scarcity of
natural resources in the future.
Figure 5- How often Tripoli city undergo electricity outages?
4.4 Waste to Energy (WTE) Conversion
There are three main categories of WTE methods are; thermochemical extraction, biochemical
extraction and mechanical Content removed….
4.5 Current State of Food Waste Management in Tripoli
In order to access the current situation of wood waste treatment, habit of food waste among
people and municipal authorities are reviews via a survey. Statistical analysis is performed
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using data collected from the survey as shown in the Table 8. The data collected through
questionnaire contains Content removed…
Table 1- Statistical analysis of current state of food waste management in Tripoli
How much
food do you
think you
discard on
average daily?
How clean do
you think
Tripoli city is?
In terms of
waste
management?
What is
general food
waste habit of
people in
Tripoli?
Do you yourself
take care of
proper, hygienic
disposal of
household
waste?
Valid entries in
data
109 103 102 104
Mean 3.06 3.29 3.08 2.24
Median 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00
Mode 4 3 3 1
Since the data is qualitative in nature, mean and median do not provide a reasonable average
for our study. Thus mode of the data presents most reliable form of average amount of food
waste collection/day/person. Hence as per the data obtained, majority of participants
suggested that;
The range of food waste most selected by the people of Tripoli is 1-2 kg/day per person
(option 4 from the questionnaire)
Total food waste collection is estimated by how much food waste people discard every day.
The average food waste calculated is 0.8 tones/person per year which is approximately
178,640 tones/year on average in Tripoli. The calculations are performed using following
equation.
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𝐴𝑚𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡 𝑜𝑓 𝑓𝑜𝑜𝑑 𝑤𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 𝑖𝑛 𝑇𝑟𝑖𝑝𝑜𝑙𝑖 (𝑡𝑜𝑛𝑛𝑒𝑠) =
𝐴𝑚𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡 𝑜𝑓 𝑓𝑜𝑜𝑑 𝑤𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑒 𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑐𝑎𝑟𝑑𝑒𝑑 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑠𝑜𝑛 ( 𝑡𝑜𝑛𝑛𝑒𝑠) × 𝑆𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟
Equation 1- Calculating Amount of Food Waste per Year
People were asked about the cleanliness condition of Tripoli in terms of waste disposals
management and the mode in the table shows option 3 (as also confirmed from table 8) in the
questionnaire which is most selected option by the respondents. According to figure 18, 32.29
per cent respondents indicated that, one can see waste on the roads in Tripoli city. Which
indicates that the waste management system is in need of an update and if necessary, food
waste amount is adequate to run a WTE plant.
Figure 6- Cleanliness of Tripoli city is in terms of waste management
Content removed…
4.6 Technical Feasibility
Anaerobic digestion is a step wise process as shown in Figure 21. The process is consisted on
hydrolysis, acidogenesis, acetogenesis, and methanogenesis. The process of converting food
waste into their basic units such as sugars, amino acids, and long-chain fatty acids from
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carbohydrates, proteins and fats respectively, is called as hydrolysis. The procedure can be
very odorous sometimes. Hydrolyzed products then undergo acidogenesis which converts
them into fatty acids or alcohols. The glucose in this process is either converted into ethanol
or propionate as described by (Mata-Alvarez, 2003) in the following chemical equations.
𝐶6𝐻12𝑂6 < − − > 2 𝐶𝐻3𝐶𝐻2𝑂𝐻 + 2𝐶𝑂2
𝐶6𝐻12𝑂6 + 2𝐻2 < − − > 2 𝐶𝐻3𝐶𝐻2𝐶𝑂𝑂𝐻 + 2𝐻2𝑂
Figure 7- Process flow diagram of anaerobic digestion (Serna, 2009)
The process of converting remaining fatty acids and alcohol in the process into acetic acid,
carbon dioxide and hydrogen for Content removed…
Technical plant Description; Valorga Anaerobic Digestion Technique
Valorga is a dry, continuous type technique which was initially developed in 1918 in France,
primarily for the treatment of organic part of municipal solid waste (MSW). The later version
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although was made adaptable to treat mixed MSW. While first pilot Valorga plant was
established in 1982 in Montpellier, France. While first industrial plant was established in 1988
in Amiens, France with the capacity of 50,000 tones/year (De Laclos et al., 1997).
Figure 22: Valorga anaerobic digestion reactor (Arsove, 2010)
Figure 22 above shows a typical Valorga AD reactor which typically is a one stage vertical,
plug-flow cylinder in Content removed…
Table 1: Installed capacity of commonly used AD technologies
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4.7 Factors Effecting the AD Process
The AD process is sensitive to external conditions thus it is important to maintain factors that
affect the process of AD plant. External conditions are important to maintain to get the
required results in anaerobic digester. Some of the factors effecting the AD process are
4.7.1 pH
The acceptable range for the bacteria to perform digestion is between 5.5 and 8.5 (Seadi et
al., 2008). And the methanogenic group work only with pH close to neutral levels as
methanogen population consume acids produced in the previous stages. If methanogenesis
cannot work properly, acid will be accumulated and pH becomes lower. pH can be used as
the indicator for overloading of feedstock.
4.7.2 Temperature
Temperature is another very critical parameter to control in anaerobic digestion. There are
three main temperature ranges where anaerobic digestion can occur: Thermophilic (50ºC –
60ºC), Mesophilic (35ºC – 40ºC) and Psycrophilic (15ºC – 25ºC) (De Bruyn & Hiborn, 2007).
Content removed….
4.7.3 Retention Time (RT)
Retention time means the time the feedstock spends in the digester. The retention time
depends on the feedstock and the operational parameters, especially temperature. Shorter
retention time will lead to higher biogas generation rate but lower overall degradation.
Retention time is greatly related to the size of the digester, as the longer the RT, the bigger
the digester should be. So, it is important to find a suitable RT for the design of digester. RT
can be divided into hydraulic retention time (HRT) and solids retention time (SRT). HRT is
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the number of days the materials stay in the tank which is equal to volume divided by the flow
of feedstock. SRT is the quantity of solids stayed in the digester divided by the quantity of
solid waste each day. Equations are listed below (Curry & Pillay, 2012):
𝐻𝑅𝑇 = 𝑉
𝑄
Equation 2- Calculating hydraulic Retention Time (HRT)
𝑆𝑅𝑇 = 𝑉 ∗ 𝐶𝑑
𝑄𝑤 ∗ 𝐶𝑤
Equation 3- Calculating Solids Retention Time (SRT)
V = digester volume (m3)
Cd = solid concentration in the digester
Qw = volume washed each day (m3)
Cw = solid concentration of the waste
Organic Loading Rate (OLR)
Organic Loading Rate is the amount of organic materials added to the digester in a given
amount of time.
𝑂𝐿𝑅 = 𝑄 ∗ 𝑉𝑆
𝑉
Equation 4- Calculating Organic Loading Rate (OLR)
VS = concentration of volatile solid in the feedstock
4.7.4 Digestion Process
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The process of food waste digestion can be divided into four steps namely, pre-treatment,
waste digestion using an AD plant, gas recovery and residue treatment as shown in Figure 7.
In order to achieve homogeneity of the feedstock before the digestion process pre-treatment
is used. Separation of non-biodegradable material and shredding are the part of pre-
processing. Source separation is the step where items like glass, metal and stones are
separated. These objects are called undesirable recycling material . Recyclable materials are
separated in the phase of source separation. Mechanical separation can be employed if source
separation is not available. However, the resultant fraction is then more contaminated leading
to lower compost quality. The waste ultimately is shredded before sending into the digester.
Figure 8- Pretreatment process in anaerobic digestion (Braun, 2007)
Once the feedstock is inside the digester, Content removed…
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Figure 9- Solid Waste Conversion Unit (Source; http://www.soton.ac.uk/~sunrise/anaerobicdig.htm#ADsolidwaste)
4.8 Proposed Geographical Location
In order to establish a Valorga AD plant in Tripoli, there are various factors that need to be
considered for the specified choice and establishment of the plant to meet the objectives. Since
the food waste generation in Tripoli is about 178,640 tones/year on average, capacity of the
plant would depend directly on the amount of food waste available. Content removed….
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Figure 10- 3-Ring road, proposed location to establish an AD plant in Tripoli
4.9 Financial Analysis of AD Plant in Tripoli
Economic viability of the proposed food waste to energy conversion plant is estimated based
on the amount of food waste generation and capacity of proposed plant. This section help
estimating the investment cost, maintenance and transportation cost. The biogas yield on the
basis of quantity of the collected food waste and electricity generation capacity are also
estimated.
4.9.1 Capital Cost
Capital cost to establish an AD plant involves the cost of the following Content removed….
4.9.2 Operational and Maintenance Cost
Table 10 gives a brief insight into the maintenance and operational cost of proposed plant.
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Table 2- Operational and maintenance cost estimate for food waste to electricity conversion plant in Tripoli
Operational and Maintenance
Cost Type
Cost in British Pounds (£) Cost in Libyan Dinar
(LYD)
One General Manager 80,000 £ 149,007
Eight Managers 180,000 £ 335,267
Fifteen Electricians 150,000 £ 279,389
Ten Mechanics 120,000 £ 223,511
Twenty-five Plant Operators 200,000 £ 372,519
Forty General Workers 250,000 £ 465,649
Maintenance 2per cent of the investment
cost per year = 295,000 £
549,466
Contingency Plan 100,000 £ 186,259
Total Cost 1,375,000 £ 2,561,072
4.9.3 Biogas Yield and Electricity Benefit
Since the one of the objective is to meet the demand of electricity by using household waste,
so output of electricity generation is an important factor to access the efficiency of the plant.
Electricity generation depends directly on the quantity of biogas (m3) that can be extracted
from food waste. The type of waste, and design of the digester system, are primary factors in
determining the yield of methane gas. However generic output estimated by researcher is
20m3 of biogas per ton for some digesters, while others produce as much as 98m3 (Marika et
al. 2013).
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The assumptions made for this study suggest that the plant process approximately 450 tons of
food waste to generate 6 MW of electricity to be sold commercially. An AD plant of proposed
capacity would produce,
27 million m3 of biogas
52per cent is methane = 138 million kWh of total energy
40per cent of energy is converted to electricity = 55 million kWh electricity
Which is equivalent to 6 MW of electricity generation
Therefore, 55,000,000 kW of electricity a year at the rate of (15 LYD per K/W) will
yield an income of 1,412,500,000 Billion LYD every year.
4.9.4 Efficiency based on IRR and NPV
The IRR estimated for this investment using equation 2 is 8per cent. However, the (NPV) is
greater than 0, means the total discount value of the benefit is greater than the total discount
of the cost.
Table 3- Calculated IRR and NPV
Year Cost (LYD) Benefit
(LYD)
Discount
Factor for
8%
NPV of Cost NPV of
Benefit
1 13,201,250 - 0.925 12223380
2 13,201,250 - 0.857 11317944
3 2,343,273 8,517,471 0.793 1860165 8,517,471
4 2,343,273 8,517,471 0.735 1722376 6260595
5 2,343,273 8,517,471 0.680 1594792 5796848
6 2,343,273 8,517,471 0.630 1476659 5367452
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7 2,343,273 8,517,471 0.583 1367277 4969863
8 2,343,273 8,517,471 0.540 1265997 4601725
9 2,343,273 8,517,471 0.500 1172220 4260856
10 2,343,273 8,517,471 0.463 1085389 3945237
4.10 Impact of the AD Plant on Environment of Tripoli
Since electricity generation with fossil fuels involves burning, it causes the emission of CO2,
CO and other harmonious gases which pollute the environment and damage the ozone layer
gradually. A correlational study given in Table 12 represents Content removed…
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Table 4- Correlation based statistical analysis of variables impacting environment of Tripoli
Correlations
How much
food do you
think you
discard on
average
daily?
How much
do you feel
climate of
Tripoli
have been
polluted in
last 10
years?
Is
municipal
waste a
major
reason of
pollution
in Tripoli?
Is there
frequent
burning
happens near
the waste
collection
bins?
How much food do you
think you discard on
average daily?
Correlation
Coefficient
1.000 -0.042 0.208 -0.338**
N (No. of
Observations)
109
81
81
83
How much do you feel
climate of Tripoli have
been polluted in last 10
years?
Correlation
Coefficient
-0.042 1.000 0.195 -0.026
N (No. of
Observations)
81
81
80
80
Is municipal waste a
major reason of
pollution in Tripoli?
Correlation
Coefficient
0.208 0.195 1.000 -0.131
N (No. of
Observations)
81 80 81 80
Is there frequent
burning happens near
the waste collection
bins?
Correlation
Coefficient
-0.338** -0.026 -0.131 1.000
N (No. of
Observations)
83 80 80 83
** Correlation is significant.
Life cycle assessment of the proposed plant is an environmental tool that is proven effective
for the analysis of the product to study its interaction with environment. (Kim, 2010) has
explained it in detail which covers from waste generation to final disposal. The process of
digestion, as discussed above, undergoes various steps such as collection, transportation,
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treatment and disposal of waste material extracted from the plant. Emission of generated gases
goes into environment and water discharge is mixed with the water resources.
4.11 Impact of AD Plant on Public Health in Tripoli
Open dumping of waste not only generates bad odor, but also fumigate gases which pollute
environment and cause bad health impacts on the health of residents. It can invite mosquitos
and can be a reason of prevailing Diarrhea, Malaria and other viral infections in the locality.
Degrading food has microorganisms, decomposing the food in open environment, thus by
products can’t be discarded properly and can cause viral diseases. Content removed….
Table 5- Correlational based statistical analysis of variables influencing health of people
How much
food do you
think you
discard on
average daily?
Do municipal
authorities
collect waste
regularly?
How much food do you think you
discard on average daily?
Correlation
Coefficient
1.000 0.289**
N (No. of
Observations )
109 84
Do municipal authorities collect
waste regularly?
Correlation
Coefficient
0.289** 1.000
N (No. of
Observations )
84 84
** Correlation is significant.
Noise pollution can be an outcome of the plant if established near residential area as it will
generate considerable noise and can cause disturbance to the people. Also with aging of the
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plant the noise increases. Also the generators other than the food processing units have their
noise. Hygiene is the second major concern of the people who undergone survey about the
AD plant. Content removed…
4.12 Interview Questions Analysis
The five respondents chosen and accepted the invitation for an interview were associates of
the General Authority for Environmental Protection and were linked with the department
designated for environmental research and policy making. Three of the interviewees had
experience working with United Nations Development Programme. The officials interviewed
were all designated in a managerial position in their departments. Of the five participants only
one (participant C) strongly believed in recommending the idea of establishing an AD plant
in Tripoli. The respondent indicated;
“Having an AD plant in the country can help a lot with its waste management issue
and the proposition that establishing such a plant can contribute to the production of
electricity in a sustainable way is something that will be very new and very beneficial
to the country.”
The remaining participants believed that the development and implementation of an AD plant
will be unable to relieve the key environmental issues facing Libya, primarily indicated as
water pollution, desertification, lack of water supply, Content removed…