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TRANSCRIPT
December 2016
This product is suitable for investors who are seeking*
• Capital appreciation over long term
• Investing in equity and equity related securities of companies in the Finance, Retail & Entertainment sectors
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable
Canara Robeco F.O.R.C.E Fund FINANCIAL OPPORTUNITIES RETAIL CONSUMPTION ENTERTAINMENT
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An Open Ended Equity Scheme
Introduction
F.O.R.C.E.- A theme Risk-Return Matrix India Growth Story F.O.R.C.E.- Brief
Canara Robeco F.O.R.C.E. Fund Investment Strategy Portfolio Performance
Why Canara Robeco F.O.R.C.E. Fund
Product Positioning
Fund Facts
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Risk-Reward Matrix
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Balanced Fund
Thematic Funds
Mid & Small Cap Funds
Large Cap Fund
Index Funds
RETURN
VO
LATI
LITY
Broad gamut to operate with and
invest in stocks related to particular theme
Higher risk and volatility as compared to diversified fund
LOW MEDIUM HIGH
Diversified Funds/ Multi Cap Funds/
ELSS
Thematic Funds have high risk as well reward opportunity in comparison to other categories
Consumption
Infrastructure
Banking & Financial Services
CREATES PLATFORM FOR SUPPLY
CREATES CONSUMPTION DEMAND
SAVINGS TO INVESTMENT
INVESTMENT FINANCE
India – Structural Drivers for Growth
Job Creation
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3Q FY15 GDP (%)
Source: Bloomberg
India is better positioned among peers
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India vis-à-vis other emerging markets GDP growth
FINANCIAL SERVICES RETAIL CONSUMPTION MEDIA & ENTERTAINMENT
Financial Opportunities, Retail Consumption & Entertainment F.O.R.C.E
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Indian Consumption Story - Direct Beneficiaries
FIRST WAS… THEN CAME… GOING FORWARD…
F.O.R.C.E
Changing Needs of Indian Consumer – Necessities to Discretionary
FOOD, GROCERIES, CLOTHING, HEALTHCARE
AUTOMOBILES, TELECOM, BANKING, HOUSING
FINANCIAL SERVICES, RETAIL, MEDIA & ENTERTAINMENT, LEISURE
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F.O.R.C.E
Financial Opportunities
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FINANCIAL OPPORTUNITY
Banking Services
Brokerage & Distribution
Financing (NBFCs)
Insurance (Life &
General)
Asset Management
(MFs)
Investment Banking /
Private Equity / Venture
Capital
Financial Services – A Wide Canvas
India has one of the most developed and regulated financial markets in the developing world
Regulatory supervision, changing investor needs, Integration and reduction in the cost of
administration are emerging trends in the financial services industry
Investment Universe Expected To widen in the coming years
Likely Future Investment Avenues
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India's Rising Income & Domestic Savings – Opportunities Galore
Total savings in last 5 years – ~INR 138 tn Expected Savings in next 5 years – ~INR 256 tn One Beneficiary – Banking & Financial Services
#Source: Economic survey, *Advanced Estimates, The above data is as per 2011-12 series; AC Neilson. ##Source: Motilal Oswal Securities
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010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,00070,00080,000
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
E
FY16
E
FY17
E
FY18
E
FY19
E
FY20
E%
INR
Bln
India's domestic savings##
Gross domestic saving GDS/GDP %
Currency 13%
Net Bank deposits
42%
Net Non Banking Deposits
1%
Shares and debentures
3%
Net claims on government
1%
Life insurance funds 26%
Provident & pension funds
13%
Trade Debt (Net)
1%
India's Financial Savings – 2014##
10
55000
60000
65000
70000
75000
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15*
Per capital net National Income at market prices (Rs.)#
5x Growth in Per Capita Income expected
by 2030
F.O.R.C.E
Retail Consumption
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The Indian Economy – Noteworthy facts supporting the Consumption Story
Source: CIA World Factbook, Final Census Report April 2013,: http://pib.nic.in/, UN World Urbanization Prospects 2014, Deloitte: 'India matters: Winning in growth markets‘, India’s Urban Awakening, 2010: Mckinsey
• Fastest growing economy 2nd
• Largest country already in terms of PPP next only to China & US 3rd
• India’s population under the age of 35 65%
• Household consumption as a % GDP, better than China 60%
• Population still lives in rural India 70%
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Top 20 Countries by Population (Billion)
How ‘SMALL’ is the Indian Consumption market?
Larger than the 3rd largest Country
More than the size of 5th Largest
Country
Source: TRAI, CIA World Factbook 13
India’s active Facebook users are greater than the population of Egypt
& Iran combined
The Indian Consumer – Young Urban Middle Class
Demographic dividend – Key Factor for economic growth
Young
>~25% of India's population is in the age group of 20-34 Yrs
>The median age of the poulation is 27 Yrs
Benefit
A Young Workforce is
More Productive + Higher Disposable Income
Urban
> Urban population is expected to more than double by 2050 from current 377 million
Benefit
Culture of
Consumerism + Brand Awareness
Middle Class
> By 2030, India is likely to become the world’s largest middle class market with a total consumer spend of nearly US $ 13 trillion
Benefit
Change in Spending Pattern from
Necessities to Discretionary
Source: CIA World Factbook, Final Census Report April 2013,: http://pib.nic.in/, UN World Urbanization Prospects 2014, Deloitte: 'India matters:
Winning in growth markets'
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The Indian Retail Pie – Current Scenario
5th Largest Retail Destination Globally
Contributes to 10% of GDP
Employs 8% of India’s Working Population
Fuelled primarily by – Changing demographic scenario, increase in number of Working women,
prevalence of Nuclear family structure, Easy Availability of Credit & High Exposure to Media & Brands
Market Share: Organized Retail – 8%. Unorganized Retail – 92%. (Huge Opportunity!)
Unorganized Retail - 15mn mom & pop stores exists in India
Source: www.ibef,org 15
Source: BCG – Retail 2020: retrospect, reinvest rewrite 16
Huge Growth Potential in Retail & Ecommerce space
F.O.R.C.E
Entertainment & Media
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Source: Wikipedia
Highest Number of Movies & Largest
Number of Tickets sold
Low Screen Density per million people
ratio
The Times of India – Among the Top Selling
Newspaper
Low English Newspaper Penetration
Indian Consumption Story – It does not end there…
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Source: Edelweiss
0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
CY 2008 CY 2009 CY 2010 CY 2011 CY 2012 CY 2013 CY 2014 CY 2015 E CY 2016 E CY 2017 E CY 2018 E CY 2019 E
Media & Entertainment Sector
Sector Size (USD Billion)
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Indian Media & Entertainment Industry – A Humongous Opportunity U
SD B
n
Cable and satellite (C&S) households expected to increase from ~168mn in CY14 to ~196mn households in CY19
Radio witnessed a robust YoY growth of 17.6% in CY14
Phase III auctions, key driver for the industry
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Key Trends in Media & Entertainment Sector
Themes Our View
Financial Services
Macro economic indicators turning favourable
Stress in corporate lending is bottoming out while retail lending continues to grow
Biggest beneficiaries of Investment cycle turning around
Media & Entertainment
Digitization remains a strong theme as there has been a steady growth in subscribers
Increasing digitization may help increase TV penetration and thereby help media companies grow
Economic revival would led to Advertisement revenue growth for media companies
Retail Consumption
Consumer - Discretionary
With expected economic revival , discretionary spending would revive
Favourable demographics for consumption growth – High proportion of young & working population
Consumer - Staples
Over the last few years consumer spend has been largely driven by rural demand with rising income levels and increasing penetration
Demand for staples would be steady but would be lagging the demand for discretionary consumption
Stronger growth prospects for the retail consumption space if FDI in retail goes through & GST is implemented
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Goods & Services Tax (GST)
Major Catalyst for Organized Players
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Goods & Services Tax (GST) & its Benefits
GST
Destination Based Tax
Input Credit across Value
Chain
Minimizes Cascading
Effect
Avoids Double Taxation
Unified Tax for goods &
services
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Benefiting
the economy
and
major sectors
Triple benefit to Companies in the Consumption Basket
Increase in Revenue
GST implementation is likely to reduce effective tax rate
Demand revival due to a possible decrease in price of
branded goods
Increase in Sales
Gaining Market Share
Input Tax set off available for Organised Players
Price differential between organised & unorganised
sector likely to reduce
Organised sector likely to gain market share
Reduction in Cost
GST would be an unified destination tax across India
Reduction in additional distribution cost
Increase in Savings therefore Increased Profitability
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Impact of GST on the F.O.R.C.E Sectors
Sector Impact of Tax
Rate
Cascading
Impact
Supply Chain
Management
Double
Taxation
Overall
Impact
FMCG
Media
BFSI
Positive Impact Negative Impact Neutral
Two major Sectors of Canara Robeco F.O.R.C.E may benefit from implementation of GST
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Presenting: Canara Robeco F.O.R.C.E Fund
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Benefit from the India Growth Story” Designed to benefit from demographic advantage of “young India” for the next
decade and participating in the changing consumption pattern emerging out of rising middle class and urbanization.
Theme to Team with Macro-economic fundamentals are slowly stabilizing; Banks & Financial Sector is a beta-play &
any improvement in economic fundamentals is likely to benefit this sector.
The Government is believed to be committed towards boosting growth as well as taming inflation. This will help to increase Financial Savings of individuals & thereby help to increase Consumer Spending, thereby, benefitting both Financials & Consumption sector
Canara Robeco F.O.R.C.E Fund - Key Highlights
Sector Allocation Range (%)
Financial Services 40 – 65
Retail, Consumption 10 – 25
Media & Entertainment 15 – 35
Fund predominantly invests in 3 sectors benefitting from the demographic dividend
Fund also looks for opportunity to invest in few other companies which benefit from this theme
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Asset Allocation
Portfolio Snapshot- Glimpse of the Portfolio
Portfolio include Top 10 holdings under equity instruments. All data as on 30th December, 2016
Top 5 Sector break up (% to NAV) Name of the Company Industry Classification % of Net Assets
HDFC Bank Ltd Banks 9.50%
Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd Media & Entertainment 7.59%
I T C Ltd Consumer Non Durables 7.48%
State Bank of India Banks 5.43%
ICICI Bank Ltd Banks 5.06%
Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd Banks 4.79%
Yes Bank Ltd Banks 4.69%
Bajaj Finserv Ltd Finance 2.97%
IndusInd Bank Ltd Banks 2.84%
Hindustan Unilever Ltd Consumer Non Durables 2.53%
Concentrated portfolio with 36 stocks
Top 10 Stocks: 52.88%
Top 3 Sectors: 71.66%
Top 5 Sectors: 87.46%
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-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Equities I 96.36% Money MarketInstruments I 4.58%
Others I -0.94%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Banks | 34.76%
Consumer Non Durables | 20.51%
Media & Entertainment | 16.39%
Finance | 11.47%
Textile Products | 4.33%
Market Capitalization (%)
Portfolio Snapshot- Glimpse of the Portfolio
Investment Style
All data as on December 30, 2016
Quantitative Information
Growth Blend Value
Large Cap Mid Cap Small Cap
Diversified Thematic Sector
Criteria Values
Standard Deviation 18.65
Portfolio Beta 1.13
Portfolio Turnover Ratio 0.63 times
R-Squared 0.80
Sharpe Ratio 0.66
Key Highlights
Emphasis on tactical ideas to benefit from market developments
Fund invests in companies which have potential for growth
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71%
23% 2%
4% Large Cap
Mid Cap
Small Cap
Debt, Cash &Others
The past performance may or may not be sustained in the future. Returns are based on growth NAV of Regular plan and are calculated on compounded annualized basis for a period of more than (or equal to) a year and absolute basis for a period less than a year. Inception Date: September 14, 2009 #Scheme Benchmark ##Additional Benchmark $NAV per unit for since inception is as of Dec’30, 2016 and for others is as of beginning of the period. Load is not taken into consideration for computation of returns. Returns of dividend option under the scheme for the investor would be net of distribution tax as applicable. The performance of other funds managed by fund manager of Canara Robeco F.O.R.C.E. Fund is on the slide number 36
Performance at a Glance- Fund v/s Benchmark
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Canara Robeco F.O.R.C.E. Fund has generated Rs.26,180 on an investment of
Rs.10,000 since inception
Period
Returns (%) Current Value of Standard
Investment of Rs.10000 in the
NAV Per Unit (Rs.)
Scheme Nifty 50*
S&P BSE Sensex **
Scheme Nifty 50* S&P BSE Sensex**
Since Inception (CAGR) 26.18 14.10 7.56 7.03 26,180 17,023 16,422
30 Dec’2015 to 30 Dec’2016 25.33 3.36 3.01 1.95
Not Applicable 30 Dec’2014 to 30 Dec’2015 24.87 1.85 -4.06 -5.03
30 Dec’2013 to 30 Dec’2014 15.91 56.32 31.39 29.89
Performance at a Glance – Fund v/s Benchmark Canara Robeco F.O.R.C.E. Fund
has outperformed Nifty 50 across all time periods shown
Source: MFI Explorer, Performance as on December 30, 2016. Inception Date: September 14, 2009. Returns are on CAGR basis. Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future.
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Criteria 1 Year (%) 2 Years (%) 3 Years (%) 5 Years (%)
Since Inception (%)
Canara Robeco F.O.R.C.E. Fund 3.71% 3.07% 18.26% 18.83% 14.10%
Nifty 50 3.66% -0.38% 9.16% 12.09% 13.59%
Outperformance/ Underperformance 0.05% 3.45% 9.10% 6.74% 0.51%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1 year 2 years 3 years 5 years Since Inception
Canara Robeco F.O.R.C.E. Fund
Nifty 50
Performance at a Glance – SIP
1 year 3 years 5 years Since Inception
Total Amt invested (INR) 1,20,000 3,60,000 6,00,000 8,80,000
Market Value (INR) 1,21,207 4,14,270 8,55,405 14,50,854
Investment date is taken to be 1st of the month or subsequent day if 1st is a holiday and investment of Rs.10,000 is taken. Returns are as on Dec’30, 2016 and are CAGR. The calculations are based on the regular growth plan NAVs.. Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future. Scheme Benchmark# , Additional benchmark##. Inception Date: September 14, 2009
Canara Robeco F.O.R.C.E. Fund has outperformed the benchmark & S&P
BSE SENSEX
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0%
5%
10%
15%
1 year 3 years 5 years Since Inception
Canara Robeco FORCE Nifty 50 S&P BSE SENSEX
Product Positioning
CR Emerging Equities
CR Infrastructure
CR Equity TaxSaver
Large Cap
Diversified
Mid & Small Cap
Thematic Fund
ELSS
SATE
LITE
PO
RTF
OLI
O
COR
E P
OR
TFO
LIO
CR Equity Diversified
CR Large Cap +
CR F.O.R.C.E.
NEE
D B
ASE
D
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Above positioning is for illustration purpose only
Why Canara Robeco F.O.R.C.E. Fund
Fund being a thematic fund, invests in the niche space and follows a Growth style of investing
Expected turnaround in the economic cycle leading to increase in employment which may boost the discretionary consumption and benefit the sectors that fund invests in
Since the banking sector is undergoing correction, it is expected to see an upturn. As the fund has maximum allocation to Banking and Financial Services, it could benefit from the opportunity lying ahead in the sector
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Fund Category Open Ended Equity Scheme
Investment Objective To provide long-term capital appreciation by primarily investing in equity and equity related securities of companies in the Finance, Retail & Entertainment sectors.
Inception Date 14-Sep-09
Asset Allocation Equity related companies in Finance, Retail & Entertainment: 65-100% (Risk Profile - High) Other Equity & related instruments: 0-35% (Risk Profile - High) Domestic Debt & MMI (Including securitised debt up to 10% of net assets): 0-35% (Risk Profile - Low)
Plans/Options Regular & Direct Plan:
Options: Growth / Dividend with payout & Reinvestment
Facilities SIP/ SWP/ STP/ Dividend Transfer Facility
Fund Size Rs. 116.86 Crs (Month End AuM)
Load Structure 1% - if redeemed/switched out within 1 year from the date of allotment. Nil – if redeemed / switched out after 1 year from the date of allotment.
Benchmark Nifty 50
Fund Manager Mr. Hemang Kapasi
Fund Facts
All data as on December 30, 2016 35
Disclaimer
The information used towards formulating the outlook have been obtained from sources published by third parties. While such publications are believed to be reliable, however, neither the AMC, its officers, the trustees, the Fund nor any of their affiliates or representatives assume any responsibility for the accuracy of such information. CRMF, its sponsors, its trustees, CRAMC, its employees, officer, directors, etc assume no financial liability whatsoever to the user of this document. Mutual Fund Investments are subject to market risk. Investors are requested to read the Scheme related documents carefully before investing.
Mutual Fund Investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents
carefully.
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