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Building Data-Rich Market Validation Plans for University Technologies Francis Moran Peter Hanschke March 29, 2012 © Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

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Building Data-RichMarket Validation Plans

for University Technologies

Francis MoranPeter HanschkeMarch 29, 2012

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Agenda

• Intros• Validation assessment• Why?• How?

• Examples• Q&A

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Introductions

• Francis Moran• I bring technology to market• I work with technology-driven ventures to build and

implement the strategies that will identify customers, develop the right product, differentiate effectively and hit revenue objectives

• Peter Hanschke• 20+ years of hi-tech product management and

marketing experience• Specialize in helping companies align their product strategy with

their business strategy• Frequent blogger and speaker

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Why a market validation plan?

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Must be worth it

• Costly to bring technology to market• Can the technology be monetized? At some

point?• Mobile space is full of free; monetization must

occur at some point

• Extremely difficult to shed products• What do you do with existing customers?

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Avoid surprises

• We brought it to market and…• “the customer really wants this…instead.”• “the market is much smaller than we thought”• “we can’t reach the customer because…”

• “Carriers don’t buy from startups”• “Cisco owns the market”

• “our product is too late or too early”• “our price is too high”• “the pricing has collapsed in the market”

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Framework

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Value assessment questions

1. What is the need?2. Why is the need unmet?3. How is the Industry attempting to satisfy the

need and by when?4. How large is the market, in dollar terms, if

the need is satisfied?

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

1. What is the need?

• Truly a need or a nice-to-have? Pull or push?• Drivers creating this need?• Universal across the industry or only for certain

market segments? • What does the market look like right now?• Segments• Key stakeholders and value chain• Business model• Pricing model

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

2. Why is the need unmet?

• What are the barriers preventing the need from being satisfied?• Technology• Government or legal• Industry standards• Key stakeholder control• Macroeconomic, microeconomic• Timing of adjacent adoption curves

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

3. How is the industry attempting to satisfy the need and by when?

• Many ways of satisfying the need at different levels in the value chain

• Do not underestimate the incumbent solution or technology

• Do not ignore indirect solutions• Consider all potential barriers• Review strengths and weakness of each

current solution

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

4. How large is the market?

• What is the financial value that this need meets in the market place?

• How much could I charge for this product?• Can we construct a business case for target

clients showing attractive ROI?

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Market segment evaluationFactors Description Weight

(%)Score(0 – 1)

1 Accessible, well-funded target customer

20

2 Painfully compelling reason to buy 30

3 Feasible whole product 10

4 Known partners & allies 5

5 Effective whole product distribution 5

6 Attractive whole product pricing 5

7 Opportunity not preempted by competition

10

8 Consistency with current position 5

9 Good follow-on segment potential 10

Critical factors that need to discussed, described in detail,

and scored.

Critical factors that need to discussed, described in detail,

and scored.

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Market segment evaluationFactors Description Weight

(%)Score(0 – 1)

1 Accessible, well-funded target customer

20

2 Painfully compelling reason to buy 30

3 Feasible whole product 10

4 Known partners & allies 5

5 Effective whole product distribution 5

6 Attractive whole product pricing 5

7 Opportunity not preempted by competition

10

8 Consistency with current position 5

9 Good follow-on segment potential 10

Weighting defines the relative importance

of each factor.

Weighting defines the relative importance

of each factor.

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Factor: Accessible targetFactors Description Weight

(%)Score(0 – 1)

1 Accessible, well-funded target customer

20

2 Painfully compelling reason to buy 30

3 Feasible whole product 10

4 Known partners & allies 5

5 Effective whole product distribution 5

6 Attractive whole product pricing 5

7 Opportunity not preempted by competition

10

8 Consistency with current position 5

9 Good follow-on segment potential 10

Can I get to this customer?

Do they have budget in place?

Are they willing to spend money?

Can I get to this customer?

Do they have budget in place?

Are they willing to spend money?

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Factor: Compelling reasonFactors Description Weight

(%)Score(0 – 1)

1 Accessible, well-funded target customer

20

2 Painfully compelling reason to buy 30

3 Feasible whole product 10

4 Known partners & allies 5

5 Effective whole product distribution 5

6 Attractive whole product pricing 5

7 Opportunity not preempted by competition

10

8 Consistency with current position 5

9 Good follow-on segment potential 10

Is this an Urgent Need?

Is their current method of addressing

the need painful?

Is this an Urgent Need?

Is their current method of addressing

the need painful?

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Factor: Whole productFactors Description Weight

(%)Score(0 – 1)

1 Accessible, well-funded target customer

20

2 Painfully compelling reason to buy 30

3 Feasible whole product 10

4 Known partners & allies 5

5 Effective whole product distribution 5

6 Attractive whole product pricing 5

7 Opportunity not preempted by competition

10

8 Consistency with current position 5

9 Good follow-on segment potential 10

Do customers need more than a point

solution?Does your product provide everything

they need?

Do customers need more than a point

solution?Does your product provide everything

they need?

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Factor: Partners and alliesFactors Description Weight

(%)Score(0 – 1)

1 Accessible, well-funded target customer

20

2 Painfully compelling reason to buy 30

3 Feasible whole product 10

4 Known partners & allies 5

5 Effective whole product distribution 5

6 Attractive whole product pricing 5

7 Opportunity not preempted by competition

10

8 Consistency with current position 5

9 Good follow-on segment potential 10

Are there partners and/or allies that you

can leverage?

Are there partners and/or allies that you

can leverage?

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Factor: Product distributionFactors Description Weight

(%)Score(0 – 1)

1 Accessible, well-funded target customer

20

2 Painfully compelling reason to buy 30

3 Feasible whole product 10

4 Known partners & allies 5

5 Effective whole product distribution 5

6 Attractive whole product pricing 5

7 Opportunity not preempted by competition

10

8 Consistency with current position 5

9 Good follow-on segment potential 10

Are there viable channels of

distribution?

Are there viable channels of

distribution?

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Factor: Product pricingFactors Description Weight

(%)Score(0 – 1)

1 Accessible, well-funded target customer

20

2 Painfully compelling reason to buy 30

3 Feasible whole product 10

4 Known partners & allies 5

5 Effective whole product distribution 5

6 Attractive whole product pricing 5

7 Opportunity not preempted by competition

10

8 Consistency with current position 5

9 Good follow-on segment potential 10

Can you price your product so that the

market buys it?

Can you price your product so that the

market buys it?

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Factor: CompetitionFactors Description Weight

(%)Score(0 – 1)

1 Accessible, well-funded target customer

20

2 Painfully compelling reason to buy 30

3 Feasible whole product 10

4 Known partners & allies 5

5 Effective whole product distribution 5

6 Attractive whole product pricing 5

7 Opportunity not preempted by competition

10

8 Consistency with current position 5

9 Good follow-on segment potential 10

Is the competitive landscape too formidable?

Is there an angle to exploit?

Is the competitive landscape too formidable?

Is there an angle to exploit?

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Factor: Current positionFactors Description Weight

(%)Score(0 – 1)

1 Accessible, well-funded target customer

20

2 Painfully compelling reason to buy 30

3 Feasible whole product 10

4 Known partners & allies 5

5 Effective whole product distribution 5

6 Attractive whole product pricing 5

7 Opportunity not preempted by competition

10

8 Consistency with current position 5

9 Good follow-on segment potential 10

Is this consistent with your current

position? Or is it new?

Is this consistent with your current

position? Or is it new?

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Factor: Segment potentialFactors Description Weight

(%)Score(0 – 1)

1 Accessible, well-funded target customer

20

2 Painfully compelling reason to buy 30

3 Feasible whole product 10

4 Known partners & allies 5

5 Effective whole product distribution 5

6 Attractive whole product pricing 5

7 Opportunity not preempted by competition

10

8 Consistency with current position 5

9 Good follow-on segment potential 10

Can success in this segment easily lead to other segments?

Can success in this segment easily lead to other segments?

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Applying the assessment matrix

• Be honest. Be critical. Be truthful. Challenge assumptions. Avoid group think.

• Apply to every potential segment, start with:• Accessible, well-funded target• Painfully compelling reason to buy• Feasible whole product• Competition• Good follow-on potential

• Select top segments worth going after© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012

All rights reserved

Market segment assessment exampleFactors Score

(0 – 1)Weight

(%)Weighted Score

(%)

1 Accessible, well-funded target customer

1 20 20

2 Painfully compelling reason to buy .4 30 12

3 Feasible whole product .8 10 8

4 Known partners & allies 1 5 5

5 Effective whole product distribution .7 5 3.5

6 Attractive whole product pricing .3 5 1.5

7 Opportunity not preempted by competition

.7 10 7

8 Consistency with current position 1 5 5

9 Good follow-on segment potential .5 10 5

Total Weighted Score 67© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012

All rights reserved

Validation

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Variety of sources

• Important to gather info from a variety of sources• Avoids group think

• Sources include• Target market(s)• Non-buying experts• Ex-employees

• Ensure NDAs are in place or use interview techniques that are nondescript

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Target market(s)

• These are the potential buyers• Search LinkedIn, Facebook for potential

companies• LinkedIn has good search tools

• Use your rolodex• Caution: May jeopardize early sales

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Non-buying experts

• Wouldn’t buy, but are regarded as industry experts• Analysts, consultants, educators, writers

• They have a broad view of the market; know what is going on and who is doing what

• Search the internet, based on applicable keywords• Blogs, tweets, Facebook• Comments usually have good nuggets

• Google Alerts is a good tool to get info as it happens

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Employees: Ex and current

• Ex-employees are those who have moved on to other segments

• Current employees are in companies that do not compete with yours

• Find out whatever you can about the industry and market

• Don’t assume they have a non-communicate clause; just reach out

• Search LinkedIn for employees© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012

All rights reserved

Examples

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Online, interactive mapping

• Started with a preconceived notion of the target market

• Performed this evaluation and decided on other segments

• Defined the whole product and pricing• Got independent validation from potential

customers and industry expert

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Touch Bionics

• First product was marketed throughclinics. Go-to-market strategy was abusiness development function.

• Second product required a clinical capability.Key question: Where to establish?• Certain industries are more likely to have the

sorts of injuries the product treated. Where arethey clustered?

• Jurisdictions vary on compensation, reimbursement. Where are the favorable ones?

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Summary

• Critical to have a validation plan• Determines whether it’s worth it• Helps to avoid surprises

• Perform assessment on each segment• Scores determine highest potential segment• Honesty, critical thinking and knowledge are vital

• Validate with a variety of sources• Potential customers; segment experts; employees

within the segment

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved

Utilize the chat box to the bottom left of your screen to submit a question to the panel. Please address

your question to a specific presenter.

Or

Press * 1 on your touchtone phone and this will place you into the phone queue.

© Francis Moran and Associates Inc., 2012 All rights reserved