bofi - 11.09.15
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BOFI - 11.09.15TRANSCRIPT
BofI Holding, Inc. (Nasdaq:BOFI) – Investment Memo – 11/09/15
Recommendation: Short BofI Holding (Nasdaq:BOFI) equity
Current Stock Price: $97.92
Timing: 6-12 months
Catalyst: Resolution of litigation, initiation of a regulatory investigation
Thesis
Bank of Internet (BOFI) is a branchless commercial bank based in San Diego which takes
deposits and originates mortgages and business loans primarily to nontraditional
borrowers. BofI takes on customers who are unable to receive loans from more
conservative banks and in turn charges higher interest rates
Despite taking on riskier customers, BofI does not appear to have a strong risk
management or compliance department and as a result there have been several reports of
indicted criminals financing homes and businesses with BofI money
In addition to having a sketchy business model, several members of the management
team have questionable track records having worked for failed banks or financial
institutions known for poor ethical behavior
BofI is known for having an intense culture with high employee turnover, particularly in
the accounting department. In addition, BofI has had three different external auditors
since going public 10 years ago
In October 2015, a former employee in the internal audit department filed a whistle
blower lawsuit alleging numerous violations of federal and banking law. BofI has
responded to the litigation by declaring war on short sellers and has engaged in
questionable behavior such as initiating a stock split and releasing altered call transcripts
Despite all of the red flags and ongoing litigation, BofI has won over the sell side and still
trades at an elevated valuation
Questionable business model
Bank of Internet is a branchless bank which takes deposits online and makes mortgage
and business loans to customers who are unable to get loans from more conservative
banks
How do we know its customers cannot get loans from other banks?
o BofI charges higher rates. CEO Greg Garrabrants stated the average interest rate
on its mortgages is just below 5 percent (vs. ~3% at main street banks)1
o The bank explicitly advertises its willingness to lend to nontraditional borrowers.
In the below ad on the left, BofI advertises “Niche Jumbo Loans” which may
feature asset depletion underwriting, foreign national borrowers, non QM loans
and hobby farm financing among other options
1 “An Internet Mortgage Provider Reaps the Rewards of Lending Boldly”, New York Times, August 22, 2015.
Capitalization Financials Valuation
Market Cap $1,542 LTM Revenue $237 LTM P/E 17.0x
Cash $368 NTM Growth 40% NTM P/E 13.2x
Total Debt $862 LTM Net Income $96 P / Sales 6.5x
Tang. Book Value $573 LTM Profit % 41% P / Tang. Book 2.7x
$ in millions. Data as of 11/09/2015 (Q3 2015). Financial projections based on Wall St. Consensus estimates.
2
o
BofI’s website states “The majority of our loans are approved with either a credit or
collateral exception” (subsequently taken down)2. In other words, BofI’s assets have
significant exposure to non-QM mortgages and risky business loans that could easily go
south
BofI’s draw for investors is that it is extremely efficient and can grow rapidly without
branches. However, with just 467 employees as of June 30, 2015, I question whether BofI
has developed the proper risk management and compliance infrastructure. Notes on the
company’s culture (discussed later) indicate that BofI doesn’t even have a human
resources department
o Compared to peer online-only banks, BofI has a significantly lower headcount
o
The other big draw for investors is that it has been able to rapidly grow its asset base
organically without incurring loan losses. In fact, BofI is apparently so good at
originating non-QM loans, that its loan loss reserve hasn’t budged
2 “So what exactly do you get with Bank of the Internet stock?”, Bronte Capital blog, April 8, 2015.
Bank Name Market Cap Deposit Base Headcount
Ally Financial $9,539 $61,700 6,900
EverBank Financial $2,204 $16,503 3,100
Blackhawk Network $2,441 N/A 1,860
Green Dot $904 $669 857
The Bancorp $300 $4,316 684
BofI Holding $1,542 $4,452 467
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BofI attributes its strong asset and loan growth to its strong sales channel and willingness
to lend. BofI attributes its low loan loss provision as the result of a low average LTV
between 50-60% and high fico score borrowers
o I have not (yet) had a chance to verify this research, but a lengthy article on
Seeking Alpha claims that BofI is utilizing shady mortgage brokers to source
jumbo loans for high risk and potentially illegal clients. The same article claims
that BofI is using inflated appraisal values and other tricks to claim lower LTVs3
The New York Times has reported on at least three instances where BofI has originated
loans for indicted criminals4
o “In 2012 [BofI] issued a $5 million mortgage to Purna Chandra Aramalla on a
house in Sands Point, an affluent section of Long Island, according to local
property records. In 2013, federal law enforcement authorities in New York
charged Mr. Aramalla with Medicare and Medicaid fraud. In March, he was
sentenced to three years in prison”
o “In mid-2014, Bank of Internet lent $1.05 million to Frederic Elm for a house in
Fort Lauderdale, Fla., property records show. In January, the Securities and
Exchange Commission accused Mr. Elm of running a “Ponzi-like” scheme that
had raised $17 million since November 2013. Mr. Elm partly settled with the
agency in June.”
o “And in 2012, Bank of Internet issued a $1.26 million mortgage to Deepal
Wannakuwatte, a Sacramento businessman who received a 20-year prison
sentence last year for operating, for more than 10 years, what the F.B.I. called a
Ponzi scheme.”
CEO Garrabrants defends against the reported loans made to criminals by stating that the
loans were made before the criminal activity took place and that BofI has thousands of
customers and some are bound to be bad apples
o Again, I have not yet verified this piece of research, but a separate article on
Seeking Alpha digs deeper into the BofI loan to Frederic Elm and finds that a
simple google search made before the origination of the loan would turn up that
Elm had been indicted for fraud in the past. If true, this casts serious doubt on the
quality of BofI’s risk management and compliance process5
In the same New York Times article, it was reported that BofI knowingly lent money to a
man in default to another bank
3 “The New York Times Has Only Scratched The Surface On BofI Holding...”, Seeking Alpha, August 28, 2015. 4 “An Internet Mortgage Provider Reaps the Rewards of Lending Boldly”, New York Times, August 22, 2015. 5 “Recent BOFI Court Filing Confirms Existence Of Undisclosed Subpoenas And Nonpublic Government
Investigations”, Seeking Alpha, November 5, 2015.
($ millions) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 CAGR
Total Assets $1,940 $2,387 $3,091 $4,403 $5,824 31.6%
Total Deposits $1,340 $1,615 $2,092 $3,042 $4,452 35.0%
Loans, Net of Allowances $1,325 $1,721 $2,257 $3,533 $4,929 38.9%
Provision for Loan Losses $6 $8 $8 $5 $11
Provisions % of Loans 0.44% 0.47% 0.33% 0.15% 0.23%
Note: No material acquisitions took place over this time period.
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o “Bank of Internet has lent to people who have failed to pay loans made by other
banks. For instance, last year it made a $4.8 million mortgage on a home in
Coral Gables, Fla., that belongs to John H. Ruiz, a prominent Miami lawyer.
SunTrust, a large regional bank, is currently suing Mr. Ruiz and his wife,
asserting that they failed to make payments on a nearly $3 million promissory
note.”
o “In certain cases, and after careful scrutiny, Mr. Garrabrants said, Bank of
Internet may decide to lend to people who have defaulted on past loans.”
The bank’s advertised willingness to make risky loans compounded with its aggressive
asset growth and extremely low loss reserves despite evidence of grossly inadequate
customer diligence paint the picture that BofI’s balance sheet is a house of cards
Potential bad actors in leadership roles
In addition to questionable business practices, looking into the history and track-records
of the management and board also raises numerous yellow and red flags
Gregory Garrabrants has been CEO since October 2007. Before BofI, Gerrabrants spent
the 2 years leading to the financial crisis as the SVP of business development for the now
bankrupt IndyMac
o IndyMac failed approximately 1 year after Garrabrants’ departure and is one of
the most spectacular bank failures in history. Indy was the 7th
largest thrift bank in
the U.S. and failed due to its aggressive growth strategy and poor lending
standards. Indy is known to have made loans without proper diligence
o Although Gerrabrants only spent 2 years at IndyMac, he was in a very senior role
during a pivotal time in Indy’s history. BofI’s lending profile is also oddly similar
to Indy’s. A quick LinkedIn search shows that many former IndyMac employees
now work in the BofI credit department
The current CFO Andrew Micheletti must be pretty unlucky because almost every
company I can find that he has worked for has had financial issues
o Micheletti joined BofI (presumably as CFO) in April 2001
o Andrew was VP of Finance at (now bankrupt) Telespectrum from 1997 to 2001
o Micheletti was VP of Finance/CFO at LPL Financial between 1990 and 1997.
LPL Financial is a publically traded broker that has had a checkered past with
regulators. LPL has received numerous Finra disciplinary notices and SEC
settlements dating back over the past decade and even recently6
o Finally, Micheletti was a controller at (now bankrupt) thrift bank Imperial Savings
Association which failed after poor investments in junk bonds7
o Also worth mentioning, Micheletti has let his CPA designation lapse
Current chairman Theodore Allrich co-founded BofI in 2000
o Before founding BofI, Allrich operated a small wealth management business and
an online investment website (www.theonlineinvestor.com)
o Notably, Allrich had a 20 year career in investment banking which led to Allrich
being a senior banker at Drexel Burnham in fixed income sales. Of course, Drexel
is famously known for peddling ‘junk bonds’ and having a widespread unethical
employee culture 6 “Recent fine may hasten LPL Financial's shift to fee compensation”, Investment News, May 10, 2015. 7 “California Saving Unit Is Seized”, New York Times, February 24, 1990.
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Paul Grinberg is a board member and chair of the Audit committee. Paul is also the CFO
of Encore Capital Group, a publically traded debt collections company which is currently
heavily shorted due to its legal issues and sketchy business model
o In September, Encore agreed to pay a $42 million fine after the CFPB said it
illegally bought debts without verifying their accuracy and collected payments by
pressuring consumers through lawsuits, among other tactics8
o Needless to say, Paul Grinberg does not seem like the best person to be the Chair
of the Audit committee
Chief Legal Officer Eshel Bar-Adon’s career has been focused on working for structured
settlements companies that provide advanced payments to lottery prize winners (among
other questionable activities)
Chief Credit Officer Thomas Constantine was an SVP at First Bank of Beverly Hills
o FBBH was shut down by the FDIC in 2009 for an “unsustainable business model”
focused on rapid asset growth through the extension of high-risk CRE and ADC
loans and accounting based on “false profits” from problematic loans9
Heavy insider selling
o Aside from CEO Garrabrants who has been holding on to his stock options and
grants, there has been widespread net selling by other executives
o YTD 2015, the board and management has sold net ~$4 million in stock
(including option grants and exercises provided as board compensation)
o Below is a schedule of insider sales in 2015. It is interesting to note that many
open market sales occurred in August after the initial New York Times article
came out and sent the stock 15% lower
o It is worth noting that the CEO bought shares in November after asked on a call
why no executives were buying shares after the 30% drop. The CEO is simply
trying to send a signal to the market rather than time a rise in BofI shares
8 “CFPB Settles With Debt-Collection Giants”, The Wall Street Journal, September 9, 2015. 9 “FDIC sues former D&Os of First Bank of Beverly Hills”, Lexology, June 25, 2012.
Holder Name Trade Date Range # Shares $ Value (USD) Transaction Type
Edward J. Ratinoff (Director) Aug-27-2015 (927) (112,538) Open Market Disposition
Edward J. Ratinoff (Director) Aug-25-2015 (1,073) (131,174) Open Market Disposition
Theodore Allrich (Chairman of the Board) Aug-11-2015 - Aug-13-2015 (4,319) (563,997) Open Market Disposition
Theodore Allrich (Chairman of the Board) Aug-11-2015 (2,160) (282,463) Open Market Disposition
Theodore Allrich (Chairman of the Board) Aug-13-2015 (2,159) (281,534) Open Market Disposition
Paul Grinberg (Director) Aug-10-2015 (11,323) (1,471,877) Open Market Disposition
John Burke (Director) Jun-11-2015 (5,214) (482,191) Derivative Exercise and Sale
John Burke (Director) Jun-11-2015 5,214 38,323 Derivative Exercise
John Burke (Director) Jun-11-2015 (3,055) (304,981) Sale
John Burke (Director) Jun-11-2015 (2,159) (215,533) Sale
Andrew Micheletti (Chief Financial Officer) Jun-11-2015 (28,369) (2,562,572) Derivative Exercise and Sale
Andrew Micheletti (Chief Financial Officer) Jun-11-2015 28,369 269,506 Derivative Exercise
Andrew Micheletti (Chief Financial Officer) Jun-11-2015 (28,369) (2,832,077) Sale
Theodore Allrich (Chairman of the Board) Jun-11-2015 (8,704) (787,987) Derivative Exercise and Sale
Theodore Allrich (Chairman of the Board) Jun-11-2015 2,856 27,132 Derivative Exercise
Theodore Allrich (Chairman of the Board) Jun-11-2015 (2,856) (285,114) Sale
Theodore Allrich (Chairman of the Board) Jun-11-2015 5,848 53,802 Derivative Exercise
Theodore Allrich (Chairman of the Board) Jun-11-2015 (2,759) (275,431) Sale
Theodore Allrich (Chairman of the Board) Jun-11-2015 (3,089) (308,375) Sale
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Related party transactions
o BofI discloses in the 10K that it offers loans to its employees and discloses the
total balance of those loans which was $1.6 million in mortgages (a small amount)
o I have not yet had a chance to verify this research, but several articles on Seeking
Alpha claim BofI is not disclosing certain related party loans made to executives10
Finally, it is interesting to note that no one currently on the board of BofI has commercial
banking experience
Employee and auditor turnover
The litigation from the former employee (discussed later) describes an intense office
culture with very high turnover and aggressive pressuring from executives
Reading employee reviews on Glassdoor.com confirms this picture. Below are some
excerpts from the employee reviews
o “They hire about 5-10 people a week and 3-6 people a week quit or are fired. I
worked on these all the time, so I know the turnover is roughly 40%.”
o “No HR dept, weak facilities maintenance” (5 star review)
o “Things seem to be a mess. As previous people have mentioned, there is no
training. The training you receive is by a co-worker who does not have time to
train you due to their heavy work load and lack of staff. If a co-worker leaves, you
automatically have to pick up whatever they did without training or guidance and
are expected to do just a good of job they did. This happens a lot due to people
leaving left and right and the bank growing extremely rapidly.”
o “The negatives overlooks the positive aspects of working here. No HR so their
can be a lot of unprofessionalism. No structure to work, job description is useless,
and everything is a mess. Most people seem to be unhappy and treat others with
less respect if they're higher or get paid more.”
The consistent comment regarding there being no human resources department is
puzzling. How does BofI make hiring decisions? Does BofI properly screen its
employees? Does BofI not have an HR department purely to save costs? Does BofI also
lack resources in compliance and risk management?
The same litigation specifically mentions high turnover in the internal audit function and
claims his manager, Jonathan Ball, resigned after refusing to engage in illegal activity
BofI actually got an official statement from Mr. Ball explaining why he quit: “The main
reason for my resignation was due to burnout caused by continuous long hours. My
immediate resignation was due to a discussion that I had on March 5 with Mr.
Garrabrants about completing time-intensive work tasks facing my department, which I
understood would mean no relief from such long hours in the foreseeable future.”
o I am dubious of Mr. Ball’s explanation. Internal audit at a commercial bank
should be a boring job, not a burnout job
10 “Buyer Beware: BOFI Related Party Loans”, Seeking Alpha, November 4, 2015.
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o On the 10/14/2015 call, the CEO mentioned that in addition to Mr. Ball and Mr.
Erhart (plaintiff below), the head of the internal audit department turned over
Regardless of the reason, high turnover in the internal audit department of a small
commercial bank is a screaming red flag
There has also been elevated turnover in the external auditor
o Deloitte was auditor from 2004 to 2005
o Crowe Horwath LLP was auditor from 2006 to 2012
o BMO has been auditor since 2013
External auditor opinions have always been unqualified. Management described the
reason for switching to BMO from Crowe Horwarth as being able to save 20% in fees
and efficiency gains
Ongoing litigation from former internal audit employee
The ongoing litigation from former employee Matt Erhart has been the catalyst behind
the record drop in BofI’s stock from $140 to $98 today
Matt Erhart states that while working at BofI he began to relay his concerns about the
bank to the OCC, the Bank’s regulator; however, over 180 days have passed since Matt’s
initial complaints were made and he is therefore filing this lawsuit under whistle blower
protections after exhausting administrative remedies
o The lawsuit was filed on 10/13/15 and the legal documents can be downloaded
from the PACER system for a small fee
The lawsuit has many specific examples of situations or circumstances where Mr. Earhart
believes the law was broken. At a high level, the key points include:
o Claims he was instructed to exclude details from audit reports for fear of legal
liabilities
o Believes management is manipulating the financial statements based on a
conversation with the Chief Credit Officer where the Chief mentioned that “he
could not and would not vouch for the accuracy of the numbers once the CFO had
them”
o Claims he was aggressively pressured by certain members of the executive team
o Believes BofI is concealing information regarding high risk clients from
regulators and is not properly disclosing subpoenas to the SEC
o Claims the bank is under-reporting its client concentration and that the largest
accounts represent more than 20% of assets
o Claims the bank is miscalculating its reserves
o Claims the bank is improperly recording customer calls
o Claims the bank has issued global cash cards to high risk clients to help launder
money
o Claims the CEO is laundering money by improperly allocating assets into his and
his brother’s accounts
o Claims his manager Jonathan Ball resigned after refusing to engage in illegal
activity
Matt Erhart worked at BofI for almost 2 years before filing the lawsuit. Before BofI, Matt
worked at Finra as a compliance manager for over 3 years
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o Given Matt’s experience at Finra, I have some degree of confidence that Matt
understands the kinds of issues that a regulator would pay attention to
The same day the lawsuit was filed, the New York Times published a follow-up piece on
BofI which drew attention to the lawsuit and sent the stock tumbleing11
BofI’s response to the litigation
More interesting than the lawsuit was BofI’s response to the situation. On October 14, the
company held a conference call to address the allegations
o On the call, CEO Garrabrants wrote off Mr. Erhart as a disgruntled former
employee
o Garrabrants stated that the bank was not aware of any ongoing investigation by its
regulators and claimed that the bank’s auditor had reviewed the allegations and
did not find any merit to the claims. Further, Garrabrants pointed to the fact that
on 9/1/2015 the OCC approved its H&R Block bank acquisition which would not
have occurred if the OCC suspected foul play at BofI
o Garrabrants then took it a step further and made several rants slamming the media
and short sellers who he claimed were orchestrating an attack on the company and
likely funding the litigation. Garrabrants threatened that BofI would investigate
the issue and go after the short sellers if they were found to possess material non-
public information or engaged in other illegal activity
On 10/15/15, BofI released a call transcript via an SEC 8-k which excluded a key
discloses he made regarding the bank’s communication with regulators
o Said on the call according to a Capital IQ transcript: “Well, I have to be very
careful about stating exactly what the OCC is doing, but the fact is, is that all
these were investigated. There's nothing ongoing. And the OCC comes in and
regularly reviews these things. If any of these things were true, we wouldn't have
gotten our deals done. You can take as absolute confirmation by the fact that we
got those deals done in the -- one deal done in the month that these allegations
were there, and then the next deal. In fact, there is no continuity to this. We have
great regulatory relations. We're under no regulatory orders, no regulatory
restrictions on our business. And we continue to have great dialogue with our
regulators and there's no issues with any of the idea that we're not providing
information or something like that.”
o Edited statement from BofI’s 8-K: “The OCC comes in and regularly reviews the
Bank. If any of these things were true, we wouldn't have gotten our two
acquisition deals done. You can take that as confirmation given that we got those
deals done. One deal was done in the month that these allegations were made. We
have great regulatory relations. We are under no regulatory orders, no
regulatory restrictions on our business, and we continue to have great dialogue
with our regulators. And there is no truth to any of these allegations that we did
not provide information.”
On 10/27/15 ahead of Q3 earnings, BofI announced a 4-For-1 stock split that can only be
interpreted as a direct shot to the short-sellers to create confusion and potentially create
issues at the brokerage houses with stock lent out for short selling
11 “Ex-Auditor Sues Bank of Internet”, New York Times, October 13, 2015.
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o Why else would BofI split its stock after shares dropped 30%?
Finally on 10/30/15, BofI filed a counter-suit against Matt Erhart which essentially
offered no new information other than the statement made by Mr. Ball (above)
Sell-side response to the litigation
Unsurprisingly, Wall Street has been uniformly supportive of BofI
o KBW 10/16/15: “The drop in the stock arose from the filing of a lawsuit by a
disgruntled employee, against which the company has vigorously defended itself,
citing the allegations as baseless. The OCC had all the information and
documentation behind the allegations, reviewed it, and subsequently approved the
First Marblehead and the H&R Block deposit transactions, the latter which was a
substantial deal. Therefore, we believe the company.”
o Sandler O’Neil upgraded BofI to BUY on 10/15/15: “For our part, we suspected
the claim of misstated financials and miscalculating the allowance to be dubious
based on how they were presented in the lawsuit as well as the number of
regulatory exams and external audits the company has been through over the
years… Beyond that, many of the claims the plaintiff makes in the lawsuit were
discussed with the OCC early this year, yet BofI received approval to complete
two acquisitions (H&R Block Bank and Union Federal Savings Bank) and we
doubt the regulators would have signed off on these two deals without extensive
due diligence into the bank and its practices. Moreover, there have been no
regulatory issues that have risen from the former internal auditor’s contact with
the OCC.”
o KBW 11/1/2015: “While we view the allegations as spurious and see BOFI’s
recent deal approvals as a validation of the company, and thus maintain our 12-
month Outperform rating, we recognize the near-term volatility risk to the
shares.”
Based on the above excerpts, Wall Street gives management, regulators and external
auditors ample credit while not giving much thought to Erhart’s claims or the other red
flags around the business. All sell-side analysts currently rate BofI at BUY
What conclusions can we draw from the litigation
I am not solely concerned whether or not every allegation made by Mr. Erhart is true or
false. I am sure many of Erhart’s allegations have valid explanations. However, given
Erhart’s background working at Finra, I have some level of confidence that there is at
least some validity to his claims
Even if most of Erhart’s claims are off the mark, BofI is now under intensified scrutiny
from regulators, the media, investors, customers and business partners. If there is
something to unearth, it is exponentially more likely to come out now that BofI is in the
limelite
o In light of the red flags from the sketchy business model, questionable executive
track-records, evidence of a turn and burn employee culture and numerous other
allegations made by bloggers, I would be surprised if there isn’t some level of
improper behavior going on at the company
BofI management’s response to the litigation is more telling than the litigation itself. If
the allegations are without merit, BofI should announce a 3rd
party committee to
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investigate the claims and move on. Instead, BofI has declared war on its accusers and
short-sellers. These actions corroborate the questions raised earlier about the ethics of the
management and board
On the point that the external auditors and regulators have reviewed the allegations, it is
unclear who has actually reviewed what at this point in time
o As the financial crisis has proven, banks are incredibly complex organizations
where assets and accounts can be hidden or manipulated. Management ultimately
has discretion as to what they turn over to auditors and regulators
o BofI announced the H&R block deal in April 2014. According to Mr. Erhart’s
lawsuit, Erhart did not approach regulators until February 2015 and had limited
meetings before his abrupt departure from BofI in March 2015. Erhart’s
communication was with the OCC’s Denver office – it is unclear if Erhart’s
complaints made it to the attention of the regulators in charge of the H&R Block
deal or how seriously they were considered
o One thing that has been proven time and time again is that government moves
slowly. Regulators are generally under-staffed and need time and a sense of
urgency. Now that Erhart’s allegations have garnered attention, regulators are
significantly more likely to scrutinize BofI and take action
SEC correspondence and FOIA requests
Recent correspondence from the SEC and FOIA requests raise the possibility that BofI
has not made full disclosures
In a letter dated 5/27/2015, the SEC noted that BofI had not disclosed a few lawsuits and
related part transactions in its filings. BofI responded that the lawsuits and related party
transactions were not material12
o The SEC has sent other inquiry letters regarding BofI’s financial statement
disclosures in 2014 and 2012
Freedom of Information Act requests can be used as a tool to gain color regarding the
status of ongoing regulatory reviews. A blogger on Seeking Alpha reported that after
periodically sending in FOIA requests over the past several months which came back
empty, a recent FOIA request indicated the existence of an ongoing investigation13
o Direct Excerpt from SEC FOIA Request: “We are withholding records that may
be responsive to your request under 5 U.S.C. § 552(7), 17 CFR § 200.80(7)(i).
This exemption protects from disclosure records compiled for law enforcement
purposes, the release of which could reasonably be expected to interfere with
enforcement activities. Since Exemption 7 protects the records from disclosure,
we have not determined if other exemptions apply. Therefore, we reserve the right
to assert other exemptions when Exemption 7 no longer applies.”
o I have recently submitted my own FOIA requests to the OCC and SEC regarding
the existence of ongoing investigations at BofI. I am still waiting for a response
BofI’s relative valuation
Despite the issues presented in this analysis, BofI trades at a comparable multiple to peers
12 http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1299709/000129970915000046/0001299709-15-000046-
index.htm 13 “The New York Times Has Only Scratched The Surface On BofI Holding...”, Seeking Alpha, August 28, 2015.
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o BofI’s P/TBV 2.7x vs. ~2.5x – 3.0x for peers
o BofI’s LTM P/E 17x vs. ~18x - 22x for peers
o BofI’s NTM P/E 13x vs. ~15x – 20x for peers
BofI should trade at a significant discount to peers due to the uncertainty from the
ongoing litigation and significant downside if the allegations are proven true
o Bulls would argue that BofI has superior growth and profitability and therefore
deserves a premium
o Interestingly, “online-only” banks trade at a significant discount to traditional
banks (see appendix)
The chart below shows that BofI’s P/TBV peaked at 4.0x (making it one of the most
expensive banks in America) vs. 2.7x today
Concluding thoughts
Most observers view the current situation at BofI as binary: either the litigation is right or
wrong. However, I believe it is important to analyze BofI holistically in that the litigation
when put into the context of the surrounding red flags is a catalyst for scrutiny rather than
a determinate account of all the potential wrong doing at the firm
Even if a majority of Mr. Erhart’s allegations are found to be without merit, I believe
there are enough causes for suspicion sprinkled throughout the DNA of the business and
its leadership which make BofI an attractive short
1.0x
1.5x
2.0x
2.5x
3.0x
3.5x
4.0x
4.5x
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
$110
$120
$130
$140
$150
BOFI Share Price P/Tangible BV
Comparable Companies AnalysisShare Market Total LTM NTM LTM NTM Sales NTM EPS LTM Profit Net Interest Dividend Return on Branch Deposit Employee
Company Name Ticker Price Cap Debt P/E P/E P/TBV Growth Growth Margin Margin Yield Tang. Equity Count Base Headcount
BofI Holding BOFI $97.92 $1,542 $862 17.0x 13.2x 2.7x 39.5% 28.8% 40.6% 3.9% N/A 18.2% N/A $4,452 467
High Growth BanksShare Market Total LTM NTM LTM NTM Sales NTM EPS LTM Profit Net Interest Dividend Return on Branch Deposit Employee
Company Name Ticker Price Cap Debt P/E P/E P/TBV Growth Growth Margin Margin Yield Tang. Equity Count Base Headcount
First Republic Bank FRC $67.98 $9,693 $4,912 22.2x 19.5x 2.3x 26.0% 13.7% 24.4% 3.3% 0.9% 9.9% 73 $44,343 2,506Bank of the Ozarks OZRK $52.77 $4,658 $359 27.1x 23.2x 4.0x 25.9% 16.4% 37.3% 5.5% 1.0% 15.0% 159 $7,087 1,479BankUnited BKU $39.29 $4,068 $4,191 17.2x 18.4x 1.9x 24.4% (6.1%) 22.7% 4.6% 2.1% 8.3% 106 $15,292 1,608Texas Capital BancShares TCBI $60.82 $2,788 $1,800 20.3x 18.9x 2.0x 20.5% 7.0% 26.5% 3.8% N/A 10.4% 13 $14,188 1,142Pinnacle Financial Partners PNFP $56.33 $2,105 $756 23.6x 19.6x 3.1x 35.9% 20.1% 29.3% 3.8% 0.8% 14.0% 35 $4,994 764
Mean $55.44 $4,662 $2,404 22.1x 19.9x 2.7x 26.5% 10.2% 28.1% 4.2% 1.2% 11.5% 77 $17,181 1,500Median $56.33 $4,068 $1,800 22.2x 19.5x 2.3x 25.9% 13.7% 26.5% 3.8% 0.9% 10.4% 73 $14,188 1,479
High Profitability BanksShare Market Total LTM NTM LTM NTM Sales NTM EPS LTM Profit Net Interest Dividend Return on Branch Deposit Employee
Company Name Ticker Price Cap Debt P/E P/E P/TBV Growth Growth Margin Margin Yield Tang. Equity Count Base Headcount
Signature Bank SBNY $156.98 $7,898 $2,250 22.9x 19.5x 2.8x 22.5% 17.2% 40.3% 3.3% N/A 13.2% 28 $26,612 1,010Western Alliance WAL $38.49 $3,880 $630 20.3x 17.0x 3.2x 34.4% 18.9% 31.6% 4.4% N/A 13.2% 40 $11,407 1,131Bank of Hawaii BOH $68.85 $2,981 $928 18.9x 18.1x 2.8x 1.7% 4.1% 26.2% 2.9% 2.6% 14.4% 74 $13,091 2,161First Financial Bankshares FFIN $35.67 $2,353 $501 23.6x 21.2x 3.6x 25.0% 11.3% 30.0% 4.2% 1.7% 12.7% 67 $5,097 1,140Eagle Bancorp EGBN $51.29 $1,717 $135 22.0x 19.9x 2.8x 6.4% 10.7% 33.9% 4.4% N/A 13.7% 22 $4,825 427
Mean $70.26 $3,766 $889 21.5x 19.2x 3.1x 18.0% 12.5% 32.4% 3.8% 2.1% 13.4% 46 $12,207 1,174Median $51.29 $2,981 $630 22.0x 19.5x 2.8x 22.5% 11.3% 31.6% 4.2% 2.1% 13.2% 40 $11,407 1,131
Online BanksShare Market Total LTM NTM LTM NTM Sales NTM EPS LTM Profit Net Interest Dividend Return on Branch Deposit Employee
Company Name Ticker Price Cap Debt P/E P/E P/TBV Growth Growth Margin Margin Yield Tang. Equity Count Base Headcount
Ally Financial ALLY $19.80 $9,539 $73,015 N/A 8.6x 0.7x (18.8%) N/A 15.5% 2.4% N/A 7.7% N/A $61,700 6,900Blackhawk Network HAWK $44.68 $2,441 $476 53.8x 18.6x N/A 16.3% 189.2% 2.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1,860EverBank Financial EVER $17.64 $2,204 $5,578 19.8x 12.6x 1.4x 1.6% 57.3% 14.6% 3.1% 1.0% 8.4% N/A $16,503 3,100Green Dot GDOT $17.36 $904 $134 20.7x 13.7x 4.7x 0.7% 51.2% 6.3% N/A N/A 20.5% N/A $669 857Meta Financial Group CASH $44.05 $361 $561 16.6x 11.0x 1.3x 31.8% 50.4% 10.6% 3.0% 1.2% 6.5% 11 $1,518 N/A The Bancorp TBBK $7.94 $300 $14 N/A 9.3x 1.0x N/A N/A 0.8% 2.6% N/A 0.3% N/A $4,316 684First Internet Bancorp INBK $31.43 $141 $154 17.6x 14.4x 1.4x (6.5%) 22.3% 20.9% 2.7% 0.8% 8.5% 4 $908 143
Mean $26.13 $2,270 $11,419 25.7x 12.6x 1.7x 4.2% 74.1% 10.2% 2.8% 1.0% 8.7% 8 $14,269 2,257Median $19.80 $904 $476 19.8x 12.6x 1.3x 1.1% 51.2% 10.6% 2.7% 1.0% 8.1% 8 $2,917 1,359
Source: Capital IQ. Projections based on Wall Street consensus estimates. Data as of 11/09/2015.