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A New Consensus on Possible Future Orientations for Science Education in Canada: A Delphi Study (Part 1) i Author: John James Murray, PhD Student in Education Title: A New Consensus on Possible Future Orientations for Science Education in Canada: A Delphi Study (Part 1) Abstract: The recent Planetary Boundaries conceptual framework of the Stockholm Resilience Centre provides the basis for instituting a global effort to understand deeply the critical Earth systems upon which the endurance of human societies depends. The emergence of an Anthropocene Period of human activity similarly argues persuasively for humanity to appreciate its position as a high-impact species of geological and geochemical significance. Taken together, the present conditions provide fertility for considering a new vision of what it means to be educated in the sciences in succeeding generations. Any new vision for science education should account for the scales at which humanity and its science are currently operational and impactful. That is, the coupling of boundary conditions at planetary scales to the local and regional scales at which human development occurs creates conditions for education not required by previous societies. Reported here are the first results of a Delphi study of the expert community concerning the future of science education in Canada. The objective of the research was to empirically determine levels of consensus concerning the principal theoretical foundations and the effects of system conditions for the next generation of science education in Canada. The research was conducted through an online, anonymous, and futures-oriented modified Delphi methodology. Over a five-month period, an assembled expert panel derived from 130 peer-acknowledged, criteria- referenced, and representative science education specialists from Canada - comprising fourteen identifiable professional affiliations in two cohorts - participated in a Delphi having three rounds. The outcome of the research was setting priorities among 47 themes across five major domains together with a rich array of participant commentary. This first-of-kind study identified a number of consensus positions in accordance with standard statistical criteria held as customary in a Delphi approach. These

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Page 1: Author: John James Murray, PhD Student in Education Title ...€¦ · natural resources but rapidly stressing the very systems upon which sustainable societies must be grounded (Griggs

ANewConsensusonPossibleFutureOrientationsforScienceEducationinCanada:ADelphiStudy(Part1)

i

Author:JohnJamesMurray,PhDStudentinEducation

Title:ANewConsensusonPossibleFutureOrientationsforScienceEducationinCanada:ADelphiStudy

(Part1)

Abstract:

TherecentPlanetaryBoundariesconceptualframeworkoftheStockholmResilienceCentre

providesthebasisforinstitutingaglobalefforttounderstanddeeplythecriticalEarthsystemsupon

whichtheenduranceofhumansocietiesdepends.TheemergenceofanAnthropocenePeriodofhuman

activitysimilarlyarguespersuasivelyforhumanitytoappreciateitspositionasahigh-impactspeciesof

geologicalandgeochemicalsignificance.Takentogether,thepresentconditionsprovidefertilityfor

consideringanewvisionofwhatitmeanstobeeducatedinthesciencesinsucceedinggenerations.Any

newvisionforscienceeducationshouldaccountforthescalesatwhichhumanityanditsscienceare

currentlyoperationalandimpactful.Thatis,thecouplingofboundaryconditionsatplanetaryscalesto

thelocalandregionalscalesatwhichhumandevelopmentoccurscreatesconditionsforeducationnot

requiredbyprevioussocieties.ReportedherearethefirstresultsofaDelphistudyoftheexpert

communityconcerningthefutureofscienceeducationinCanada.Theobjectiveoftheresearchwasto

empiricallydeterminelevelsofconsensusconcerningtheprincipaltheoreticalfoundationsandthe

effectsofsystemconditionsforthenextgenerationofscienceeducationinCanada.Theresearchwas

conductedthroughanonline,anonymous,andfutures-orientedmodifiedDelphimethodology.Overa

five-monthperiod,anassembledexpertpanelderivedfrom130peer-acknowledged,criteria-

referenced,andrepresentativescienceeducationspecialistsfromCanada-comprisingfourteen

identifiableprofessionalaffiliationsintwocohorts-participatedinaDelphihavingthreerounds.The

outcomeoftheresearchwassettingprioritiesamong47themesacrossfivemajordomainstogether

witharicharrayofparticipantcommentary.Thisfirst-of-kindstudyidentifiedanumberofconsensus

positionsinaccordancewithstandardstatisticalcriteriaheldascustomaryinaDelphiapproach.These

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consensuspositionsoccuracrossthreeprincipalareasexpectedtohavehighimpactonCanadian

scienceeducationinthecomingdecades:(1)identificationofsignificantnationalandinternational

globalizationtrends;(2)settingoutthefoundationsandgoalsofscienceeducation;and;(3)describing

thecontextforthefutureofscienceeducationinCanada.Thefindingsofthestudyprovideanewbasis

for,andconstitutepotentialnewchallengesto,scienceeducationinCanadaandarguepersuasivelyfor

situatingthesustainabilityofhumansocietieswithinourplanet’ssystemsasbeingcentraltothe

purposesofscienceeducationinternationally.SustainabilityScience,Technology,Economyand

Environment(SSTEE)ispresentedasaguidingfoundationforscienceeducation.Thisterminology

constitutesanewtensionforsciencecurriculumdevelopment,anddirectlychallenges(or

complements)therapidemergenceofScience,Technology,EngineeringandMathematics(STEM)asa

basisforsciencecurriculumreforminthepresentinternationalcontext.

Keywords:Canadianscienceeducation,sciencecurriculum,modifiedDelphistudy,STEMeducation,

planetaryboundaries,educationforsustainability.

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Introduction

ThePlanetaryBoundaries(PB)conceptualframeworkoftheStockholmResilienceCentre,

includingitsmostrecentrevisionsandupdating,providesthebasisforinstitutingaglobaleffortto

understanddeeplythecriticalEarthsystemsuponwhichtheenduranceofhumansocietiesdepends

(Rockströmetal.2009a,b;Steffenetal.2015).Theeffortstodelineatethenineboundarieswhich

providealong-term“safeoperatingspaceforhumansocieties”hasattractedconsiderablefocusonthe

PBconceptamongthespheresofgovernance,policy,andtheeconomybutitsconceptualbasishasyet

toreachthediscourseofscienceeducation.TheemergenceofanAnthropocenePeriodofhuman

activitysimilarlyarguespersuasivelyforhumanitytoappreciateitspositionasahigh-impactspeciesof

geologicalandgeochemicalsignificance(Steffen,CrutzenandMcNeill,2007;Crutzen,2002).Inmyview,an

appreciationfortheconsequencesofhigh-impactasaspeciesoncriticalenvironmentalandhuman-

constructedsystemsdemandsareconsiderationoftheverypurposesofscienceeducationinthe

modern,internationalcontext.Theaboveconsiderations,takentogetherwithpresentconditionsand

quitepossiblyunknowablefutureconditionsforhumansocieties,providesfertilityfortheconceptionof

anewvisionofwhatitmeanstobeeducatedinthesciences.Statedanotherway,thetimeisopportune

toconsiderseriouslytherationaleformaintainingscienceeducationinsystemsofformaleducationina

recognizableformatatimewhenplanetary-scalesystemsareexperiencingunprecedentedlevelsof

stressduetohumanactivities.Inaddition,systemsofeducationinmanypartsoftheworldhave

enthusiasticallyembracedthesubstantialdiversityofaspirationsandgoalswhich,collectively,actto

providedefinitiontowhatitmeanstolivesustainablyonaplanethavingconsiderablehumanand

naturalresourcesbutrapidlystressingtheverysystemsuponwhichsustainablesocietiesmustbe

grounded(Griggsetal.2013).

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ThisarticlepresentstotheManitobagraduatestudentandresearchercommunitiesthefindings

ofarecentdoctoraldissertationDelphistudyconductedinCanadawhichsoughttoexplicitlyand

empiricallydeterminelevelsofconsensusconcerningtheprincipaltheoreticalfoundationsandthe

effectsofsystemconditionsforthenextgenerationofscienceeducationinCanada1.Theresearchwas

conductedthroughanonline,anonymous,andasynchronousmodifiedDelphimethodology.Overafive-

monthperiod,anassembledexpertpanelderivedfrom(N=130)peer-acknowledged,criteria-

referenced,andrepresentativescienceeducationspecialistsfromCanadaparticipatedintheDelphi

havingthreerounds-comprisingfourteenidentifiableprofessionalaffiliationsintwocohorts.The

cohortsweredesignedtorepresenttwodistinctperiodsofprofessionalactivitywithrespecttothe

sciencesandscienceeducation.Onecohortcouldbedescribedasaveterangroupwhoseindividuals

hadmorethantwentyyearsofprofessionalexperiencetobringtobearonthequestionsofCanadian

scienceeducation,andasecondcohortjustreachingtheircareermidpoints.

Thestudywasdeemedopportuneandtimelyacrossthreeprincipalareasofconsideration–

history,emergence,andCanadiancontext2:

1) History:CanadianscienceeducationisatapointwherethehistoriceffortoftheScience

CouncilofCanada(SCC)whichculminatedinthe1984releaseofScienceforEveryStudent:

EducatingCanadiansforTomorrow’sWorld,isnow30yearsbehindus(Orpwood,1985;

OrpwoodandSouque,1984;1985;ScienceCouncilCanada,1984a;b;c);about20yearshave

passedsincetheCouncilofMinistersofEducation,Canada(CMEC)initiatedtheprimarily

bureaucraticprocessthatresultedintheCommonFrameworkofScienceLearningOutcomes

K-12:Pan-CanadianProtocolforCollaborationonSchoolCurriculum(CMEC,1997;hereafter

1Thefulltextofthestudy(Murray,2014)isavailableonlineat:http://hdl.handle.net/1993/30080.2ForamoreextensivetreatmentofthehistoricalperspectiveswhichhaveshapedCanadianscienceeducationsincethelate1950’s,andinformedthisstudy,readersareencouragedtoconsultchapter2inMurray(2014).

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theCommonFramework).Thispan-Canadianeffortresultedinanationalconsensusona

frameworkofsciencelearningoutcomeswasunabletoovercomethebarrierspresentedby

strongprovincialresponsibilityforeducationandcurriculuminCanadaandultimatelyfailed

tobeaprojectunifyingthevisionforscienceeducation.

2) Emergence:TheNextGenerationScienceStandards(AchieveIncorporated,2010;2013;

NationalResearchCouncil(NRC),2012)providesacharacterizationofscienceeducation

drivenstronglybycorporatist,bureaucratic,andScience,Technology,Engineeringand

Mathematics(STEM)influenceswhicharesimultaneouslycommonplaceinthescience

educationdiscourseandbeingadoptedratheruncriticallybycertainAmericanstatesand

theirscienceeducators.

3) Canadiancontext:CanadaisacircumpolarnationwitharelativelysmallpopulationinG20

termsandinpossessionofecosystemsservicesonanimmensescaleduetoitsgeographic

extent;Canadaisalsohometoasensitivearcticenvironment,largeIndigenouspeoples’

communities,andparticipatesintheinternationalcommunityamidstgrowinginfluencesof

neo-liberaleconomics,globalisationpatterns,anditsowngrowingfossilfuelimprintonthe

planet’satmosphere.

Eachofthethreeareasofconsiderationjustmentionedholdstheattentionofaninternationalaudience

byvirtueofechoesintheirrespectivecountriesandregionsoftheworld.Forinstance,thoughthe

projectdescribedherewasconductedinCanada,therewasarecognitionattheoutsetthatmuchof

whatwouldcomeforwardintheresearchwouldhavepotentiallybroaderinternationalappeal.The

reasonforthisispartlyhistoricalinsofarasmanysciencecurriculathroughouttheworldfordecades

demonstratecommonfoundationalaspectswhichcanbetracedtoveryinfluentialdocument

frameworksdevelopedinnationssuchasAustralia,Canada,NewZealand,theUnitedKingdom,andthe

UnitedStates(Alters,1997).Point(1)aboveemphasesthisbyvirtueofacontrast:theeffortsoftheSCC

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intheearly1980sinCanadawerearguablythemostinfluentialuptothatpointintimeinidentifying

uniquecontextsforCanadianscienceeducationbutbecameamerefootnotetotheCommon

Frameworkdevelopedinthemid-1990swhichhadasitsbasisU.S.reformframeworks.Suchframework

influenceswhich,onoccasion,havebeenaresponsetoperceivedcriticalpointsinanation’sposition

withrespecttoscienceandtechnologyeducationhavebeenknowntoextendtheirreachbeyondtheir

designatedtargetaudience.Thatis,toothercountries’sciencecurriculawhichdidnotsharethesame

reasonsforenteringintocurriculumreform.

Point(2)aboveraisesatensionabouttheinfluencesandeffectsofscienceeducationalsloganism

andthenatureofscienceeducationmovingdeeperinto21stcenturylearning.Inrespecttoeducational

sloganismweareremindedoftheseminalworkonslogansystemsinthemannerofKomisarand

McClellan(1961).Theirissuewitheducationalsloganismwasprincipallyduetoarecognitionthat

trendswithmonikersoracronymswere“systematicallyambiguous”.Bybee(2010)indicatedthatthe

“associatedambiguity”ofusingtheSTEMsloganamongpolicies,programsandpracticesinscience

educationforcesanecessaryclarificationofthepurposeofSTEMeducationwhichmayproveelusive.

AccordingtoRoberts(1983),sciencecurriculummusthavemultivariateinfluencesandanorientation

thatreconcilesschoolscience,thenaturalsciences,thenatureofscience,andthenatureofhistory.

Sucha“logicofslogans”fostersarecognitionthatmovementssuchasScience,Technology,Society,and

theEnvironment(STSE),andSTEMhavecontributedto,andcancontinuetocontributeto,science

education.Thesuggestionhereisthatanyparticularcurriculumframeworkorientationmaybedeemed

necessarybysome,butisnotasufficientcontributorintheabsenceofvarietyinvisionsforscience

education.RecentinternationaleffortstogathercurrentreportingonSTEMhasprovidednewinsights

fromSouthAfrica,Korea,China,Taiwan,Japan,Brazil,Canada,theU.S.,theU.K.,Australia,New

Zealand,France,Finland,andtheRussianFederation(Marginson,2015;Freeman,MarginsonandTytler,

2015).Thistypeofinternationalreporting,particularlythefreshnessofattemptstoaddressthelackof

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world-widepolicyinformationandprogrammeparticipationinSTEM,hasbecomeanareaof

importancegiventheenergeticresearchinthisareabeingconductedinCanadainrecentyears(Amgen

Canada,2012;Let’sTalkScience,2014).Descriptionsof21stcenturylearningareasmyriadasthevariety

ofarticleswhichseektodelineatewhatthetermimplies.Aboutadecadeago,Osborne(2007)argued

that“thedominantformofscienceeducationthatiscommonacrosstheworldrestsonasetofvalues

thathavenomerit”,asetof“arcaneculturalnorms”(p.173).Hefurtherarguedthatthesetof

conditionsneededforfuturepractitionersofsciencewere(andperhapsstillremain)quitedifferentthan

thoseofthefuturecitizen.Continuingtomakeattemptsthroughcurriculum,pedagogy,andassessment

toservicebothoftheseneedscannotpossiblysucceed.Thereislikelyacertainlevelofagreement,

perhapsevenemerginginternationalconsensus,aboutwhatatrulyeffectiveandappropriate21st

centuryeducationinthescienceswouldentail,butIsuggestthatweruntheriskofbecomingentrained

inanotherformofeducationalsloganismifweweretoadmitthatwehavearrivedataconsensus

position.

Point(3)holdsimportanceinternationallybyvirtueoftheemphasescurrentlybeingplacedupon

therelationshipbetweencultureandscienceeducation,notablyincountriessuchasNewZealand,

Australia,Canada,theU.S.,andJapan.Thesenations,andothers,havehistorically-placedcolonizing

influencesineducationleavingalegacywhereIndigenouspeoplesaresubjectedtodominantcultural

influenceswithinthecurriculum,maywellbeinneedofanalternativevisionforSTEMeducationwhere

students“bordercrossintothesub-cultureofthesciences”(AikenheadandSutherland,2015;

Aikenhead,2006)andarestrugglingwiththecomplexitiesofdisproportionateinstitutionalaccess,lower

studentsuccessrates,andbecominganincreasinglyimportantsegmentoftheCanadianpopulationin

economicterms(Freeman,MarginsonandTytler,2015).Moreover,itistobeexpectedthatculturally-

responsivesciencecurriculumandteachingwillremaincontentiousinthediscoursesonscience

curriculum(GondweandLongnecker,2014).InacountrysuchasCanada,Indigenousperspectivesand

Murray, John (EAL)� 2015-2-17 2:14 PMDeleted:where

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Murray, John (EAL)� 2015-2-17 2:14 PMDeleted:situation

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worldviewshavereachedapositionofexplicitstatusincertainCanadianprovincialsciencecurriculaand

areinseparablefromtheidentificationoftheaspirationsofthecountryandthefutureofhumanrights

inafederationofstates(WeinribandJones,2015).

ConnectionstoInternationalTrendsinScienceEducationCanadianscienceeducationpolicytodayisrapidlymovinginthedirectionofaSTEMfocuswith

itsprovincesembeddedinthelargersynthesisasafederationandalsointernationally.Inabackground

consultingreportpreparedbyWeinribandJones(2013)fortheAustralianCouncilofLearned

Academies’(ACOLA)volume,SecuringAustralia’sFutureSTEM:CountryComparisons,theseauthors

providedaveryfavourableoutlookforCanadianSTEMeducationatthepost-secondarylevelsofmore

advancedstudy.ItrecognisedthatCanadahasthechallengeofencouragingnationalscienceeducation

initiativesbutwithnofederal-levelministrytosetthevisionforscienceeducationoramechanismto

exertbindingpolicyinfluencesamongtheCanadianprovinces.Theirreportdid,however,identifythe

importantandofteninfluentialrolesplayedbyexternalstakeholderorganizationsinCanadasuchasthe

CMEC(1997),theCouncilofCanadianAcademies(CCA,2012;2014),andAmgen/Let’sTalkScience

(Amgen,Inc.,2012).TheACOLAinitiativehasbeensummarizedinanewly-releasedsetofcountry

comparisonsintheeditedvolumetitled‘TheAgeofSTEM’.Inthatcollection,Freeman,Marginsonand

Tytler(2015)provideabundantevidencethatSTEMeducationisshapingpolicy-makinginadiversityof

nationsaroundtheworld,andofteninsomeverynation-specificorcontext-specificways.

Inasimilarvein,theCanadianCouncilofChiefExecutivesreleaseditsbrief,Competinginthe

21stCenturySkillsRace(Orpwood,Schmidt&Jun,2012),andnotedthattheproportionofCanadian

studentsinSTEMprogramsatthepost-secondarylevelswasweakwhencomparedwiththerobust50%

inthePeople’sRepublicofChina.Theiranalysisraisedwhattheauthorsdescribedassome

“uncomfortablequestionsforCanadians”,suchas:

Murray, John (EAL)� 2015-2-17 2:14 PMDeleted:byWeinrib&Jones(2013)

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• WhataretheskillsthatwillenableCanadatocompetesuccessfullyinthe21stcentury,and

whatinstitutionalarrangementswillensurethis?

• HowcanCanadadevelopeducationalpoliciesandplansgearedtonationaleconomic

prioritieswhenourConstitutiongivestheprovincesandterritoriesexclusiveresponsibility

foreducation?

• Whatwillittaketoconvincepolicy-makersandthepublicthateducationisaninvestment

inoureconomicfuture(particularlyforindigenousCanadians)andnotmerelyasocialcost?

• Howwillwemeettheneedformorescientists,engineers,andtechnologistswhenour

post-secondarysystemislargelydrivenbystudentchoice,and,wheninsufficientnumbers

ofstudentsseeminclinedtopursue[STEM]careers?

• Inwhatwayscanschools,colleges,universities,libraries,museumsandotherinstitutions

helptoimproveCanadianeducationaloutcomes?(Orpwood,Schmidt&Jun,2012;p.4)

Thefirst,secondandfourthquestionsinthislistessentiallyframetheproblemof“whatkindof

scienceeducationisdesirableforCanadianstudents?”andgeneratedtheresearchfocuswhichguided

thestudydescribedinthisarticle.First,therewasaneedforalogicofconsensusastowhatconstitutes

“21stcenturyskills”intheSTEMsystemofeducationduetothecontinuingill-definitionofthetermand

thegrowingpreponderanceofSTEMterminologyintheCanadianscienceeducationliterature;

secondly,thestubborndilemmaofseekingafteraCanada-wideconsensusonscienceeducationforthe

nextgenerationamidsttherealityoftightly-heldprovincialjurisdictionalcontrolofCanada’seducation

systems,and;thirdly,whatwillcharacterisemanyofthetrends,pressures,andprioritiesthatwillbethe

principaldriversofscienceeducationreform(orreconstruction)inCanadaoverthenextgeneration?

Theseandrelatedquestionsformedthebasisforthedevelopmentofthestudyoutlinedhere,and

frameditsstructureandorientation.Thenextsectionofthearticlewillprovideabriefhistoricalaccount

oftheDelphitechniqueasaresearchmethodologyandhowitsnaturealignswiththestudypresented

here.

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TheUseoftheDelphiApproachasMethodTheDelphimethodofanonymousforecastingwasoriginallydevelopedunderclassified

circumstancesinthelate1950sbyresearchersattheRANDCorporationinCalifornia,becomingde-

classifiedasamethodologyonlyintheearly1960s.TwoRANDresearchers–NormanDalkeyandOlaf

Helmer-Hirschberg–openeduptheDelphimethodtoabroaderforecastingcommunitywiththeir

publishedaccountofhowtheU.S.AirForcecametounderstand(throughtheopinionsofitsexperts)

thenumberofatomicweaponsnecessarytoreduceoverallexpendituresonconventionalmunitionsby

aprescribedamount–andtoconstructthescenariofromthestandpointofaSoviet-eraplanner(Dalkey

&Helmer-Hirschberg,1963).Ina30-yearretrospectiveontheuseofDelphi(andlookingaheadasthe

forecastingtechniquewoulddemand),LinstoneandTuroff(2011)providetheirthoughtsonthe

evolutionofDelphitechniquesandpossibilitiesforitsfuture.Intheirsummaryobservationsregarding

thefutureofDelphi,theystatethat:

“ThefutureofDelphiwillbeincollaborativeorganizationalandcommunityplanningsystems that are continuous, dispersed, and asynchronous.....it will replace theimpact of controlled surveys as amechanism of influencing various organizationalandcommunitydecisionprocesses.Thesewillallowmanythousands toparticipateorobserveanongoingplanningprocess.”(p.1718)

TheDelphiapproachisconsideredtobeuniquelysituatedtotheanalysisoftopicsandissuesfor

whichthereislittlehistoricalprecedent(Martino,1972),whererapidlychangingeventsareoccurringor

areconsideredtobeimminent(Patton,2002),andthosethathavehighlevelsofconnectivityand

complexitysuchassettingeducationalgoalsorconstructinginnovativecurriculum(Sweigertand

Schabacker,1974).AccordingtoFranklinandHart(2007)therearethreeinterestareasforresearchers

whoareseekingtocollectandanalysethejudgmentsofanexpertcommunity:a)todocumentand

assessthosejudgmentsfromthestandpointoftheresearcheralsobeingamongtheexpertcommunity

(Stewart,2001;Powell,2003);b)capturetheareasofcollectiveknowledgeamongprofessionalsthat

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areoftennotverbalizedorexplored(StewartandShamdanasi,1990),and;c)forcenewideastoemerge

aboutthetopic.TothesethreeareasofinterestIwouldaddafourth–thatofcreatinganovellearning

experienceamongthepanelofexpertswithinthefieldofexpertiseunderexamination.

Inessence,theDelphiapproachseekstoallowforacomplexproblemtobeaddressed,

anonymously,byapanelofselected‘experts’underthecontrolofaresearcherorprojectleaderwho

guidestheprocess.TherearethreefeaturesoftheDelphiapproachthatarecommonlyincludedand

distinguishitfromotherformsofgroupinterrogativeresearch,namely:1)anonymousgroup

interactionsandresponsestoguidingquestionsorstatementsthathaveafutureorientation;2)multiple

iterationsofsharinggroupresponses(oftenwithassociatedfeedbackloops)andthecreationofnew

questionnairesthatrefinetheresponsesofpreviousroundsofquestioning;and3)presentationofthe

resultstogroupmemberswithacoresetofdescriptivestatisticalanalyses(Cochran,1983).Murryand

Hammons(1995)identifiedfourprincipaladvantagesoftheDelphiapproachinsecuringtheopinionsof

experts:

• TheDelphiprocessmakesuseofgroupdecision-makingtechniquesthatinvolveexpertsinthefield,thoughttohavegreatervaliditythantheopinionsofindividuals.

• Theanonymityoftheprocess(e.g.,useofquestionnaires)helpstoavoidsomeoftheproblemsassociatedwithface-to-facegroups:forinstancedeferencetoauthority,speciouspersuasiontechniques,oralfacility,andreluctancetomodifypositionsalreadyknownpublicly,andgroup“bandwagoneffects”.

• Theconsensusreachedbythegroup(hopefully)reflectsreasonedopinionsbecausetheDelphiprocessforcesgroupmemberstoconsideronlytheproblemathandandprovidewrittenresponses.

• Thegroupofexpertscanbegeographicallyseparatedfromoneanotherandrendercontributionsatminimalcosttotheresearcher(s).

Theaboveadvantagescanbeconsideredasantidotestotheshortcomingsandseriousobstructions

comingfromface-to-facedeliberationsasoutlinedinUhl(1983),including:

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• Groupopinionishighlyinfluencedbydominantindividualswhousuallymonopoliseadiscussion,withlittlecorrelationbetweenverbosityandone’sactualknowledgeofthesubjectmatterunderdiscussion;

• Muchdiscussioningroupsituations,whilehavingtheexternalappearanceofbeingproblem-oriented,iseitherirrelevantorbiasedbecauseitisusuallymoreconcernedwithindividualandgroupintereststhanwithproblem-solving,and;

• Individualjudgmentcanbedistortedbygrouppressurestoconform(p.82).

Inordertodetermineatleastafirst-orderjustificationforusingDelphiinthisstudy,itwas

importanttoidentifyintheliteratureanexampleofaDelphistudywhichsharedstrongconnectionsto

thedesignofthisstudy,wasrelateddirectlytoscienceeducation,andalsohadsufficientpeer

acknowledgement.OneofthebestknownDelphistudiesofthelastfifteenyearsinscienceeducation

providedamorethansufficientmodel.ThiswastheDelphiexamining“ideasaboutthenatureof

science”ofOsborne,Collins,Ratcliffe,MillarandDuschl(2003).

Indiscussingtheiruseofathree-roundDelphidesign,certaindisadvantagesofthetechnique

wereidentifiedbyOsborneetal.alongsidemanyoftheadvantagesoutlinedearlierinthissection.

Amongtheperceiveddifficultiestheyidentified,thefollowingarepertinenttothepresentdiscussion:

(1)thelengthoftheprocess(itgenerallyrequiresabout6to8monthsforthedatacollectionphases);

(2)thepotentialoftheresearchertoinordinatelyinfluencethequestionnaireformulation,and;(3)the

difficultyofassessingappropriatelytheexpertiseofthegroupsincetheparticipantsneveractually

meet.InadditiontothesepotentialthreatstoresearchintegrityinaDelphiapproachwecanaddthe

followingconsiderations:providingrespondentswithadequateguidancewhileavoidingundue

direction,refiningwithjustificationtheprocessofdefiningthequalitiesofa“scienceeducationexpert”,

selectingandmaintainingthemembershipoftheexpertpanel,anddeterminingwhattheoperational

definitionofpanelconsensusistobe.

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TheResearchObjectivesandProceduresThecentralpurposeofthisstudyofscienceeducationinCanadawastoengageanassembled

‘expertcommunity’ofscienceeducators,andthosewithdeepinterestsandcommitmentstoscience

education,toidentifythepurposesforCanadianscienceeducationgoingforward.Toaccomplishthis

principalobjective,anexpertpanelwasconvenedtoparticipateinaDelphiforecastingexercisewhich

soughttoframetheprobleminawaywhichcapitalizedonmanyoftheadvantagesoftheDelphijust

describedintheprevioussection.Thestudyincludedanumberofsub-objectives,butforthepurposes

ofthisarticletherewillbeaconcentrationonjusttwoofthese:

a. Todescribeandgivedefinitiontotheeducationsystemconditionsthatwillinfluence

futuredevelopmentsinscienceeducationinCanada,and;

b. Todetermineanddescribetheprincipalfoundationsandgoalsforthefutureofscience

educationwithaviewtochangingcurriculumemphases.

ChoiceofExpertPanelMembersDuringtheperiodNovembertoDecember,2013,alistofcandidateparticipantswasassembled

byaccessingpubliclyavailable,onlinecontactinformationacrossthefollowingdomainsofprofessional

activityinCanada:

• Seniorcivilservants inMinistriesofEducationinallCanadianProvincesandTerritories

responsibleforscienceeducation

• Provincial science specialists in Ministries of Education in all Canadian Provinces and

Territories; itwas considered an asset if therewas direct involvement as a lead for a

provincialsciencecurriculumprojectand/ordemonstratedworkonthe1997CMECPan-

CanadianScienceProject(1995-1997)

• Past recipients (1993 to 2013) of a Canada Prime Minister’s Excellence in Teaching

Certificate (at all grade levels K-12 where the recipient’s biography indicated a

preferencefortheteachingofscience)

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• TheCouncilofCanadianAcademies’ ExpertPanelsworkingoncurrentassessmentsor

onescompletedsince2008

• TheCanadianSpaceAgency’sastronautcorps(activeandretired)

• Researchers who worked on the Science Council of Canada study (1981-1984) or

authoredbackgroundpapersfortheCouncil’sefforts

• DeansofCanadianuniversitymedicalschools

• Teacher-educatorsinfacultiesofeducationinCanadiancollegeoruniversitysettings

• A randomized selection from among Tier 1 Canada Research Chairs in the natural

sciences, science education, and engineering, generally representative of geographic

dispersioninCanada(N=830inrandomsample,whereN(selected)=20)

Theexpertpanelofparticipantswasdividedintotwocohortsbasedonprofessionalexperience,

andweretomeet(ataminimum)oneormoreofthefollowingcriteria:i. ForCOHORT1,acknowledgedasamemberofatleastoneofthefollowingscienceeducation

communitiesinCanada:academicsciences(facultyorgraduatestudent),provincial/territorial

ministryofeducationasascienceeducationspecialistordirectorofcurriculum,teacher-

educatorinafacultyofeducation,ascienceteacherhavingreceivedaPrimeMinister’s

CertificateofTeachingExcellence,aninstructoratacollegeofappliedartsandtechnology,or

activeinthemediaforthepurposesofthepublicunderstandingofscience;allsatisfiedaneed

tobeapractitionerinscienceeducationsincetheeraoftheearly1990stothepresentand

furtheridentifiedbypeerinfluencestogetherwiththeresearcher’sopinionasbeinga

respectedexpertinthefieldofCanadianscienceeducationthroughacombinationof

publications,formalandinformalpresentations,notedcontributionstoschools,school

divisions,curriculumandprogramdevelopment,orparticipationinorganisationsdedicatedto

theadvancementofscienceteachingandlearning.

ii. ForCOHORT2,criteriawereasin(i)above,butwiththeexceptionofhavingbeena

practitionerorresearcherinthesciences,alliedfields,orscienceeducationasearlyasthe

1960stothe1980sandinsomecasestothepresenttime;

iii. Presentlyemployed,orhavinghelddirectexperiencein,oneormoreofthefollowing:

a. Provincial/Territorialscienceeducationspecialist,curriculumconsultant,director,officer,

assistantdeputyministerordeputyministerofaCanadianeducationministry;

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b. Collegeoruniversityfacultyinscienceeducationortherelatedsciencespecialties(e.g.,

engineering,appliedsciences,etc.);

c. K-12scienceeducationwithhavingworkedinsciencecurriculumdevelopmentdeemedas

anasset;inthecaseofpracticingscienceteachers,allinCOHORT1weresampledfrom

thosewhoheldaPrimeMinister’sAwardforTeachingExcellenceintheperiod2004to

2013;thoseinCOHORT2weresampledfromthosewhoheldaPrimeMinister’sAwardfor

TeachingExcellenceCertificateintheperiod1993to2003;

d. Sciencemediaandthepublicunderstandingofscience;

e. ProvidedexpertiseorbackgroundstudiestotheScienceCouncilofCanadastudyinthe

period1980–1984;

f. Providedexpertiseto,ordirectlyconnectedtodecision-makinginthedevelopmentofthe

1997CMECPan-CanadianCommonFrameworkforScienceLearningOutcomes,K-12.

Thefinallistofcandidatesforparticipationinthestudy(N=130)3wascomprisedasfollowsinFigure1below:

3Thetotalinthislistslightlyexceeds130assomeindividualsareincludedinmorethanonecategory.

ScienceTeachers,[VALUE],

[PERCENTAGE]

DisqnguishedProfessors,[VALUE],

[PERCENTAGE]

MinistryScienceCurriculumSpecialists,[VALUE],

[PERCENTAGE]

TeacherEducators,[VALUE],

[PERCENTAGE]

AcademicScienqsts,[VALUE],[PERCENTAGE]

Non-Gov't/Non-Profit,[VALUE],[PERCENTAGE]

Professorsemeriq,[VALUE],

[PERCENTAGE]

IndustryandR&D,[VALUE],

[PERCENTAGE]

Medical/HealthSciences,[VALUE],[PERCENTAGE]

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Fig.1 InvitedcandidatestotheDelphibydeclaredprofessionalaffiliation(n=130).

ThemeGenerationinRound1oftheDelphiThenatureofhowaDelphistudyisdesignedandthemannerinwhichitisconductedand

producesdataencouragesthereportingofresultsforeachround.Putanotherway,whatmayappearto

someasanover-emphasisonmethodologicalaspectsoftheDelphistudyisactuallysomewhat

intentional.Achoicehasbeenmadehere,therefore,toallowtheroundsoftheDelphitoassistin

buildingthelargerpicturetowardspossiblefuturesinscienceeducationandaccomplishthisbytreating

thetwocohortsinvolvedasiftheywereeventualcontributorstoalarger,combinedcommittee

structure.IthasbeenrecommendedbyexperiencedDelphistudyauthorsthatthefirst-round

questionnairebequiteopen-endedintheinitialphaseofthedatacollection(e.g.,Hassonetal.,2000;

Keeneyetal.,2006;Rieger,1986;Ziglio,1996).InRound1ofthisstudy,instructionsweregiventothe

expertpanelcohortstorespondfree-formtofourgeneralquestions(andatalengthoftheirchoosing)

thatwereintendedtocontextualizeabasisforforecastingthenatureofCanadianscienceeducationfor

thenextgeneration.ItwasimportantinthisopeningroundoftheDelphitonotunnecessarilydirectthe

expertpanelinamaterialwaynorprovidetheactualcontentoftheresearchquestions.Accordingto

Mitchell(1991),open-endedquestionsintheearlystagesoftheDelphi“allowsapanelisttoutilizethe

intellectualapparatusthatmakesthemexpertandmayreduceanyfeelingofunderutilization”(p.344).

Inaddition,Mitchellviewedtheincorporationofpanelists’responsesintofutureDelphiround

questionnairesasmotivatingintermsoftheircontinuanceandcommitmenttotheresearchstudy–a

formof“seeingthemselvesastheresearchunfolds”(p.344).Ziglio(1996)deemedthefirststagesofthe

Delphias“ofcrucialimportanceinunderstandingtheaimoftheDelphiexercise”(p.9)and

recommendedindividualcontactwithexpertpanelistsandtheprovisiontothemof“appropriate

backgroundinformationonthetechnique”(p.10).TofulfilZiglio’srecommendation,allparticipants

wereprovidedabriefprimerontheDelphiapproachbothintheinitialinvitationletterandinafollow-

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upemailcommunication.Onoccasion,justpriortoRound1opening,afewindividualsaskedforquite

detailedclarificationofhowthestudyroundswouldproceedandinsomeinstancessoughtliterature

referencesofpastDelphistudiesthatwouldprovidefurtherbackgroundtotheirparticipation.Hence,

theDelphiaslearningexperiencewasunderway.

Round 1 began January, 2014with four “seed questions” offered for the consideration of the expert

panel members. Two of these questions are presented here as these will contribute to the present

discussionandanalysis:

• Question1:What, ifany,significantglobaltrendscanyouidentifywhichcouldhaveeffectson

the nature of science education in the next 15 years here in Canada? For each trend or issue

providedinyourresponse,pleasegiveasclearadescriptionas ispossibleofyourviewsonits

probableeffectsonscienceeducationand(ifpossible)themagnitudeofsucheffects.

• Question2:What, ifany,shouldbetheprincipalfoundationsandgoalsofscienceeducationin

Canadaforthenextgeneration?Foreachresponseprovided,pleasegiveasclearadescription

of each idea youpresent as is possible, and statewhyeach is important for education in the

Canadiansociety.

Therangeofresponselengthtoeachofthe‘seed’questionswasexpectedlyvariable,withsome

individualsprovidingextensivetreatmentoftheissuesarisingfromtheseedquestionsandtaking

opportunitytoclarifyatsomedepththeircommitments,theirconsideredopinions,andtheirpositions.

Inall,respondentsprovidedinexcessof47,000wordsoftexttobecodediterativelyandreflexivelyin

ordertoidentifytheprincipalthemesemergentinthedatainthisinitialround.Oncethefour-week

periodassignedtoRound1responsescametoaclose,thefirstsetofqueriesmadeuseofNVivo10™

computerassistedqualitativedataanalysissoftware(CAQDAS)fromQSRInternationalandtechniques

developedforCAQDASinthelastdecade(Bazeley,2006;2009;Bazeley&Jackson,2013).Thisearly

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stageNVivo10™analysisprovidedtextualassociationsofpredominantkeywordssortedintoword

clusterswhichcouldthenbethesubjectsofanewsetofassociationscomprising“nodeclassifications”.

Suchwordassociationswerecriticalindeterminingwhatthecodingnodeswouldbeforeachindividual

responseinRound1.Theresultsofthesequeriesestablishedthefollowingsevenmostcommonnode

classificationsacrossallresponsestotheseedquestions:

NodeClassifications–GlobalTrendsAffectingScienceEducation

• DevelopmentofScience-OrientedSkills

• Science,Technology,EngineeringandMathematics(STEM)

• SustainabilityandSustainableDevelopment

• GlobalizationandNeo-Liberalism

• Indigenous4PerspectivesandKnowledge

• RelevanceofSciencetoStudents

• NewLearningTechnologies`

NodeClassifications–FoundationsandGoalsforScienceEducation

• ScienceforSustainabilityandGlobalCitizenship

• Science,Technology,SocietyandtheEnvironment(STSE)

• TheNatureofScientificPractices

• InteractingGlobalSystems

• ScientificSkillDevelopment

4Inthisarticle,theterm“Indigenous”includes,worldwide,theoriginalinhabitantsofaplaceandtheirdescendants’subjectiontocolonizinginfluences.ItalsofollowstheUNconventionfortheterm.InCanada,theterm“indigenous”includespeoplesself-identifyingasFirstNations’,Inuit,andMétisandusesuppercaseforminrespectforhowIndigenousscholarsspelltheterm(Aikenheadetal.,2014).

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• LiteracyinScience-RelatedIssuesandScientificLiteracy

• ScienceforEconomicCompetitiveness

Thesehigher-levelnodeclassificationswerethenusedtocodethewrittenresponsestodeterminethe

principalthemesemergingfromthisfirstphaseofthedatacollection(Flanagan,1954;Greenetal.,

2007;Sinkovics&Alfoldi,2012).Thefivecodingproceduresdescribedbelowbecamethebasisfor

identifyingthethemesinthedata:

a. WordfrequencyanalyseswereconductedforeachofthefourRound1seedquestionsacross

eachoftheexpertpanelparticipantsinbothcohortsindividually(N=30andN=26).

b. Ifaparticularterm,phrase,orwordassociationappearedrepeatedlyinawordfrequency

analysisfromoneparticipant,itwasnotedandcodedforasa“node”inNVivo10™;inaddition,

ifaterm,phrase,orwordassociationhadclosesimilarityamonganumberofparticipant

responses,thattoowasnotedandcodedasa“classificationnode”;allkeywordsand

terminologiesdirectlyassociatedwiththeseedquestionwordingwereautomaticallyeliminated

fromwordfrequencyanalysesthroughfiltering.

c. Thesecodedconcepts,explanatoryideas,andphraseswereconsideredas“emergent”point

sources(i.e.,nodes)inthedata;eachnodewasassociatedwithabrief,writtendescriptionsoas

tomaintainconsistencyinthecoding;clustersofsimilarnodesweregroupedintocategorical

nodesthatwouldeventuallydescribethethemesintheRound1data.

d. Anynodecategoriescontainingaminimumof2sources(a“source”isanindividualrespondent)

and2references(a“reference”isacodeableitemasidentifiedin(b)above)werethenprovided

asecondpassbytheresearcherforre-coding;thissecondpassinvolvedcodingofindividual

responsesacrosseachofthetwocohortsseparatelyandanothercodingwithallresponses

collatedintotoasingletextdocument(combinedcohorts)–onedocumentforeachofthefour

Round1seedquestions.

e. Anynodereferencesthatreachedaminimumof>75%coverageintermsoftheiremergencein

thedata(i.e.,wereobservedtohavecodinginatleastthreeof:(1)individualparticipant

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responses,(2)aggregatedresponseswithinacohort,(3)auto-codedresponsesfromtext

analysesinNVivo10™,and(4)matrixcodinginNVivo10™usingtwoormoresimilarconcepts,

explanatoryideas,orphrases(asoutlinedin(c)above).

Inall,29themeswereidentifiedfromtheseedquestionsinRound1responses,andtheseweregrouped

bytheauthorintothreeclustersinaccordancewiththeresearchquestions.Aswewillsee,these

themesprovidethebasisfortheconstructionofratingscaleswhichwereusedintheRound2

questionnaire.Thethemesandclustersidentifiedareasfollows(innospecificorder):

GlobalTrendsAffectingFutureScienceEducationCluster(11themes)

1. Science,Technology,Engineering&Mathematics(STEM)

2. IntegrationofIndigenousPerspectives/Knowledge

3. DevelopingScience-OrientedSkills

4. ScienceandEducationforSustainability

5. National/InternationalStudentAssessments(e.g.,PISA,TIMMS)

6. NewLearningTechnologies

7. RelevanceofScienceEducationtoStudents

8. National/InternationalStandards

9. ScienceEducationforEconomicCompetitiveness

10. Re-conceptualizingthePurposesofScienceEducation

11. GlobalizationoftheInternationalCommunityandNeo-LiberalValues

TheFoundationsofCanadianScienceCurriculumCluster(7themes)

1. ScienceEducationforGlobalCitizenship

2. ScienceEducationforSustainability

3. TheNatureofScience

4. Science,Technology,SocietyandtheEnvironment(STSE)

5. InteractingSystemsandSystemsThinking

6. ScientificSkillsforthe21stCentury

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7. ScientificKnowledge

TheGoalsofCanadianScienceEducationCluster(11themes)

1. DemocraticCitizenshipinaGlobalTechnologicalSociety

2. Career-buildingforaTechnologicalSociety

3. EconomicCompetitiveness

4. LiteracyinScience-RelatedIssues

5. PersonalCharacterDevelopment

6. Life-LongLearning

7. ContributionstoHumanHealthandWell-Being

8. TrainingofFutureScientists

9. DevelopingaDeepSenseofWonderandCuriosity

10. PursuingProgressivelyHigherLevelsofStudy

11. SustainingEarth'sSystems

Round2oftheDelphiPriortothedistributionoftheRound2questionnaire,allpanelmembersreceivedasummaryof

thethemesgeneratedinRound1.Thesummarywasdeliveredbacktopanelmembersasaformof

controlledfeedbacktypicaloftheDelphiapproach.Theformatofthesummarywasanadaptationof

similartechniquesdevelopedbyCollinsetal.(2001)andOsborneetal.(2003),andincludedthe

followingcomponents:(a)provisionallarge-scalethemetitles;(b)abriefsynopsisofthejustificationfor

emergenceforeachthemeincludingasamplingofcontextualcommentstaggedwithalpha-numericID

codesofparticipants,and;(3)directquotations(againwithattachedIDcodes)fromparticipantswhich

providedbothrepresentativeandnotabledefinition(s)toaparticulartheme.

IntheRound2questionnaire,participantswereaskedtoratetheimportance,relevance,or

influenceof(asthecasemaybe)foreachofthethemesgeneratedinRound1,usuallyona5-point

Likertscalewith‘5’beingofgreatestrelevanceorimportance,etc..Inordertoclarifytheirintent,a

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numberofitemsrequiredparticipantstojustifytheirratingsand/orcommentupontheitem.Insome

cases,commentarywasaskedforwithrespecttothedegreetowhichthewordingspresentedinthe

questionnaireitemswasrepresentativeoftheirunderstandingofthatitem.Forexample,whenrating

the11themesoftheGlobalTrendsAffectingFutureScienceEducationcluster,panelmemberswere

askedtoratetheitemstwice–firstaccordingtotheirperceptionoftheactualaffectonthefutureof

scienceeducation,andthenasecondtimeassessingwhattheythoughtthedesiredaffectshouldbe.

ThiswasinaccordancetosimilarproceduresdevelopedbyLewthwaite(2001;2006)inhisScience

CurriculumImplementationQuestionnaire(SCIQ)andLewthwaite&Cuthbert(2008)inastudyof

teacherperceptionsofsciencecurriculumascasestudiesinaCanadianschooldistrict.Whenone

considersprobableandpossiblefuturesinscienceeducation,itwasdeemedimportanttomakethis

distinctionwithrespecttocurrentinternationalinfluencesandvectorforces.

OnceRound2wascompletedonline,detailedsummaryreportsweregeneratedandfedback

intotheexpertpanelcohorts.Thistime,thesummariesincludeddescriptivestatistics(percentages,

mean,median,standarddeviation,variance,andinterquartileranges(Q3-Q1))foreachitemratedin

thequestionnaire.Justificationcommentsthatweredeemedrepresentativeeitherofnotable

departuresfromtheconsensuspositionoralignedwithconsensuswerealsoprovidedtothepanel.In

orderforparticipantstobepreparedforthemannerinwhichthesestatisticalsummarieswouldbe

organized,abetween-roundbriefwaspreparedandsenttotheexpertpanelaheadofthesummary

reportsonceonlinesubmissionforRound2hadended.Containedinthatinformationbriefwas:a

descriptionofwhatwouldbepresentedstatisticallyandwhy;howmeans,medians,andvarianceswere

tobeunderstoodintermsofratingscaledesignandachievingconsensus;samplesofjustification

statements,and;notesaboutwhattoexpectfromitemdesigninRound3.Thisprocedurefordata

organizationandreportingtotheexpertpaneliswell-supportedintheliteratureforDelphistudies

(Hasson,Keeney&McKenna,2000;Hsu&Sandford,2007;Powell,2003).Table‘A’(Appendix‘A’)

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providesacompletelistingofthepanel’sratings(disaggregatedbycohort)totheRound2itemsacross

all29themesinthethreeclusters.

Round3oftheDelphi

InRound3,aswiththepreviousround,participantswereaskedtoratetheimportance,

relevance,orinfluenceof(asthecasemaybe)eachofthethemesandcontributorstoCanadianscience

educationasfirstratedinRound2.TableB(Appendix‘B’)providesacomplete,disaggregatedlistingof

thepanel’sratingstotheRound3itemsacrossallthemes.Inordertoprovideasummary,Table1(this

section)offerscombinedratingsofthemesacrossbothcohortsasifallpanelmemberswere

contributingasasinglegrouping.AttritionwaslowinRound3,with42membersprovidingcomplete

questionnaireresponses.Inordertoclarifymeaningortonowsolidifyexpertpanelmembers’positions,

certainoftheitemsfromRound2requiredparticipantstoagainprovidejustificationfortheirratings

and/orrendercommentary.Thiswasespeciallynecessaryiftheirpositionhadchangedfromthe

previousroundorremainedinanoutlierposition.Inothercases,optionalcommentarywasencouraged

fromwhathadbeenarticulatedbypanelmembersinRound2.Inthisway,theresearcherwasafforded

opportunitytomoreclearlyidentifypositionsthatwererepresentativeoftheemerginggroup

understandingofaparticularitemortheme.AswasdonebetweenRound1andRound2,expertpanel

memberswereagainprovidedastatisticalsummaryandcontrolledfeedbackofanonymoussupporting

commentsfromRound2asafeed-inpreparationforthefinalround.

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Table1CombinedconsensuspositionsforCOHORTS1and2aftercompletionofRound3.

COMBINEDCONSENSUS-COHORTS1&2(N=42)

THEMES–GLOBALTRENDS&SCIENCEEDUCATION

(PerceivedInfluenceAccordingtoExpertPanel)

Mean Median Mode S.D. ConsensusLevel

DevelopingSkillsforthe21stCentury 4.24 4.0 4 0.77 80.95%

ScienceandEducationforSustainability 4.00 4.0 4 0.70 71.43%

NewLearningTechnologies 3.71 4.0 4 0.67 64.29%

RelevanceofScienceEducationtoStudents 3.71 4.0 4 0.83 57.14%

National/InternationalStudentAssessments 3.56 3.0 3 0.79 51.28%

GlobalizationoftheInternationalCommunity 3.48 4.0 4 0.83 54.76%

National/InternationalStandards 3.40 3.0 4 0.84 50.00%

Re-conceptualizingofScienceEducation 3.40 3.0 3 0.96 38.10%

ScienceEducationforEconomicCompetitiveness 3.36 3.0 3 0.98 53.66%

THEMES–GLOBALTRENDS&SCIENCEEDUCATION

(DesiredInfluenceAccordingtoExpertPanel)

Mean Median Mode S.D. ConsensusLevel

ScienceandEducationforSustainability 4.52 5.0 5 0.63 92.86%

DevelopingSkillsforthe21stCentury 4.39 5.0 5 0.70 95.24%

RelevanceofScienceEducationtoStudents 4.31 4.0 5 0.78 85.71%

Re-conceptualizingofScienceEducation 3.95 4.0 4 0.99 71.43%

NewLearningTechnologies 3.81 4.0 4 0.83 64.29%

Science,Technology,Engineering&Mathematics(STEM) 3.73 4.0 3 0.93 62.50%

GlobalizationoftheInternationalCommunity 3.71 4.0 4 1.04 59.52%

IntegrationofIndigenousPerspectives/Knowledge 3.38 3.0 3 1.06 45.24%

ScienceEducationforEconomicCompetitiveness 3.15 3.0 4 0.94 39.02%

National/InternationalStandards 3.13 3.0 3 0.98 30.77%

National/InternationalStudentAssessments 2.90 3.0 3 0.85 20.51%

COMBINEDCONSENSUS-COHORTS1&2(N=42)

THEMES–FOUNDATIONSofSCIENCEEDUCATION

Mean Median Mode S.D. ConsensusLevel

ScienceEducationforSustainability 4.45 5.0 5 0.63 92.86%

Science,Technology,SocietyandtheEnvironment(STSE)

4.33 4.0 4 0.61 92.86%

ScientificSkillsforthe21stCentury 4.22 4.0 4 0.72 87.80%

TheNatureofScience 4.07 4.0 4 0.71 78.57%

ScientificKnowledge 3.88 4.0 4 0.67 71.43%

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COMBINEDCONSENSUS-COHORTS1&2(N=42)

THEME–GOALSofSCIENCEEDUCATION

Mean Median Mode S.D. ConsensusLevel

LiteracyinScience-RelatedIssues 4.45 4.0 4 0.50 100.00%

SustainingEarth'sSystems 4.26 4.0 5 0.77 80.95%

DevelopaDeepSenseofWonderandCuriosity 4.19 4.0 4 0.71 83.33%

ContributetoHumanHealthandWell-Being 4.14 4.0 4 0.61 88.10%

Life-LongLearning 4.00 4.0 4 0.70 78.05%

CitizenshipinaGlobalTechnologicalSociety 3.88 4.0 4 0.89 73.81%

Career-buildingforaTechnologicalSociety 3.48 3.0 3 0.74 45.24%

TrainingofFutureScientists 3.31 3.0 3 0.68 28.57%

PersonalCharacterDevelopment 3.26 3.0 3 0.66 35.71%

EconomicCompetitiveness 3.12 3.0 3 0.92 33.33%

PursueProgressivelyHigherLevelsofStudy 3.12 3.0 3 0.71 21.43%

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