around the world in 30 minutes october 2011
DESCRIPTION
Around the World In 30 Minutes October 2011. Beech Island South Carolina. Industrial Pipes. U.S. Economy: Employment. 65+. 55+. 25-54. 20-24. 16-19. Illegal Aliens Apprehended. Real Estate Dip?. Mortgage Originations by Investors. Refinancing Hard To Do Buy Back Bad Loans - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Around the World In
30 MinutesOctober 2011
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Beech Island South Carolina
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Industrial Pipes
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U.S. Economy: Employment
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16-19
20-24
25-54
55+
65+
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Illegal Aliens Apprehended
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Real Estate Dip?
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Mortgage Originations by Investors
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Refinancing Hard To DoBuy Back Bad Loans
Higher FeesSecond Mortgages
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Housing: What to Do?Refi 22.5 mil Houses
Leftover TARPBank Equity Ownership
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Fiscal Drag from Federal, State, Local Gov’ts
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Small BusinessesLoans
TrainingGov’t Regulation
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Operation Twist?
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Short-term Stimulus
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Medium-term: Spending Cuts
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Corporate Taxes12.5/25/35Loopholes
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0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
2009 2010 2011 2012
U.S. Economic Growth: Lost Decade? (% Change Year over Year)
Forecast
Zero
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Double Dip?External
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Save the Euro?
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Unit Labor Costs
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Breakup Euro?
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What Are Businesses to
Do?
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IGER.csuci.edu
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Why IGER?Bridge to Pacific Rim
Export
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Asia: Where Action Is
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Asia’s Contribution to Global GDP Growth
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Investments in Asia
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Asia Place to ProduceInvest
Sell
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AsiaNot Just Cheap
Goods
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Computational Photography
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Video
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Who’s Bigger? China or Japan
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U.S. Treasury Securities8% of all
25% of foreign owned
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ChinaBig Consumer
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China’s Love Affair with Cars
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Buy a Car and Buy a Flat
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House Prices for Asian Cities
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Gov’t PoliciesPurchase
RestrictionsProperty TaxesHigher Interest
Rates
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China Outlook ?ST: RE Bubble
MT: Healthy Growth
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Santa Barbara County
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Data Source: Labor Market Information Division, State of California and Bureau of Labor Statistics
Aug-05
Dec-05Apr-0
6
Aug-06
Dec-06Apr-0
7
Aug-07
Dec-07Apr-0
8
Aug-08
Dec-08Apr-0
9
Aug-09
Dec-09Apr-1
0
Aug-10
Dec-10Apr-1
1
Aug-11
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
Seasonally AdjustedUnemployment Rate
Santa Barbara County United States CA
% U
nem
ploy
ed
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2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010-4,000
-3,000
-2,000
-1,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
Santa Barbara CountyNet Migration
Num
ber o
f Net
Mig
rant
s
Source: CA Department of Finance
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Data Source: Labor Market Information Division, State of California and California Economic Forecast
Farm
Professional & Business Services
Education and Healthcare
Leisure and Hospitality
State and Local Government
-2500 -2000 -1500 -1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500
Santa Barbara CountyChange in Employment (2009-2010)
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Aug-05
Dec-05Apr-0
6
Aug-06
Dec-06Apr-0
7
Aug-07
Dec-07Apr-0
8
Aug-08
Dec-08Apr-0
9
Aug-09
Dec-09Apr-1
0
Aug-10
Dec-10Apr-1
1
Aug-11
-60.0%
-40.0%
-20.0%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
120.0%
140.0%
Sales of Existing Single Family HomesSanta Barbara County CA
Year
-to-Y
ear P
erce
nt C
hang
e
Data Source: California Association of Realtors
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Data Source: California Association of Realtors
Aug-05
Dec-05Apr-0
6
Aug-06
Dec-06Apr-0
7
Aug-07
Dec-07Apr-0
8
Aug-08
Dec-08Apr-0
9
Aug-09
Dec-09Apr-1
0
Aug-10
Dec-10Apr-1
1
Aug-11
$0
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
$700,000
$800,000
$900,000
$1,000,000
Median Price of Existing Single Family HomesSeasonally AdjustedSanta Barbara County CA
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Aug 2005
Dec 2005
Apr 2006
Aug 2006
Dec 2006
Apr 2007
Aug 2007
Dec 2007
Apr 2008
Aug 2008
Dec 2008
Apr 2009
Aug 2009
Dec 2009
Apr 2010
Aug 2010
Dec 2010
Apr 2011
Aug 2011
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.4%
Santa Barbara CountyForeclosures
Santa Barbara Metro California
Perc
ent o
f Sin
gle
Fam
ily H
omes
Source: Zillow.com
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Source: Radius Commercial Real Estate and California Economic Forecast
%
Source: Radius Commercial Real Estate and California Economic Forecast
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DrSohn.com
(not Dr.Sohn.com)