april 2014 | for professional investors or advisers only andrew dreaneen head of schroder gaia...
TRANSCRIPT
April 2014 | For professional investors or advisers only
Andrew Dreaneen Head of Schroder GAIA Product and Business Development
Family Office Forum Wiesbaden 5-7 May 2014
How to select an Alternative Fund Manager under UCITS
How to select an Alternative Fund Manager under UCITSAgenda
Hedge fund trends – how investors include hedge funds in portfolio construction/ how this has changed through time
Why liquid alternatives make sense now - a new tool in the tool kit, liquidity/ regulation, volatility management/ downside protection
Alternative UCITS trends – UCITS vs Offshore growth, largest UCITS funds/ largest platforms, very strong demand from private banks and family offices
How to select Alternative UCITS Funds –
Alternative UCITS platforms – high level overview, example of the benefits of including alternatives UCITS vs equity markets
Source: Schroders
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Two Key Hedge Fund Trends
Investors now see hedge funds as "shock absorbers"
1. Rationale for using hedge funds has changed through time
Source: Citi Prime Finance analysis, MSCI, S&P, Bloomberg, HFR, as at December 2012
Capture Excess Performance
Diversification & Risk-Adjusted Returns
Downside Protection
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Illustrative Risk-Aligned Institutional Investor Portfolio
2. Hedge funds now included in clients ‘core’ portfolio A risk aligned approach to portfolio construction, positioning strategies by directionality and liquidity
Source: Citi Prime Finance, as at November 2013
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The Rise of Alternative Mutual FundsA new tool in the toolkit for private banks and family offices
Overall Hedge Fund AUM Expected to Grow StronglyLiquid alternatives expected to grow to 1/3rd of total hedge fund AUM
Source: Citi Prime Finance analysis, SEI, Strategic Insight, Federal Reserve Current Populations Survey, Cerulli Associates, Deloitte Center for Financial Services, as at August 2013
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European Hedge Fund IndustryEvolution of AUM and Number of Funds
Source: Eurekahedge, as at 28 February 2014
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Feb
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
$500
No. of Funds (LHS) AUM (RHS)
European Hedge Fund AUM back to all time peaks
No. of Funds AUM bn
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AUM: Offshore hedge funds vs. UCITS hedge funds Flows: Offshore hedge funds vs. UCITS hedge funds
European Hedge Fund IndustryInvestors now clearly prefer UCITS hedge funds
Source: Eurekahedge based on head office location Europe plus geographical mandate Europe, to 28 February 2014
Jan-
06
Jul-0
6
Jan-
07
Jul-0
7
Jan-
08
Jul-0
8
Jan-
09
Jul-0
9
Jan-
10
Jul-1
0
Jan-
11
Jul-1
1
Jan-
12
Jul-1
2
Jan-
13
Jul-1
3
Jan-
14200
220
240
260
280
300
320
340
360
380
400
420
440
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
Offshore European Hedge Funds (LHS)UCITS European Hedge Funds (RHS)
Au
M (
$B
n)
Au
M (
$B
n)
Jan
-06
Jul-
06
Jan
-07
Jul-
07
Jan
-08
Jul-
08
Jan
-09
Jul-
09
Jan
-10
Jul-
10
Jan
-11
Jul-
11
Jan
-12
Jul-
12
Jan
-13
Jul-
13
Jan
-14
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
600%
700%
800%
900%
UCITS European Hedge FundsOffshore European Hedge Funds
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Alternative UCITS AUM has increased substantially since 2009 and now stand at c.€200bn (c.$290bn)
There are 768 single manager alternative UCITS in the market today, 75% of these have been launched since 2009
Alternative UCITS GrowthEvidence of strong investor demand
Source: ALIX Capital, 28 February 2014
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Offshore hedge funds 18x larger than 40 Act alternatives but only received 1.5x 12 month net flows
40 Act alternatives industry grown at CAGR 33% (vs. 14% for offshore hedge fund industry)
40 Act alternative funds managed by a hedge fund manager have grown even faster at 83% CAGR
Similar Growth Dynamics in the US Mutual Fund (40Act)The rise of the liquid alternatives market in the US
Source: Strategic Insight, Morningstar, as at June 2013
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2013 Hedge Fund AUM by Investor SegmentUCITS hedge fund growth fuelled by European Private Banks and Family Offices
Source: Towers Watson Global Pension Asset Study, Towers Watson Global Alternatives Survey, Swiss Re Sigma Report, NA CUBO-Common fund Institute Endowment study, Wharton Global Family Alliance Single Family Office Study, Scorpio Partnership Global Private Banking Asset Allocator, OECD Sovereign Wealth and Pension Fund Issues, and strategic Consulting 2014 Market Sizing Model, as at December 2013
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Adoption by more advisors contribute to growth over next 5-10 years – similar to ETF’s
Will Liquid Alternatives Follow Same Trajectory as ETFs?c.400 US40Act alternative mutual funds today – same as ETFs in 2006
Sources: Goldman Sachs, Simfund, Cerulli Associates, as at December 2013
"Retail Liquid Alternatives: the next frontier" is a US$ 2 trillion AUM 5 to 10 years from now.
Goldman Sachs
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Why Liquid Alternatives now?
HFI Alternative UCITS Index vs. traditional 60/40 portfolio
Liquid Alternatives have superior risk adjusted returns
Source: Citi Prime Finance analysis, Hedge Fund Intelligence Alternative UCITS Composite Index, Bloomberg, MSCINote: Traditional Investment Portfolio comprised of 60% equity investment represented by the MSCI World Index and 40% fixed income investment represented by the Citigroup Big Bond Index, as at February 2013
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Main reservations and typical alternative allocationsFees, Liquidity, Education
Sources: Goldman Sachs, Morningstar/Barron’s, McKinsey, Simfund, November 2013
Can retail allocations to alternatives increase with the introduction of Liquid Alternatives?
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Barbell Approach – Blending ETFs With Liquid AlternativesBarbelling expected to help drive liquid alternatives growth
What is the “barbell”?
As investors are focussed on fees and increase allocations to ETFs for cheap beta these fee savings can support the growth of the more expensive liquid alternative mutual funds and potentially see allocations increase from 4% currently to 16% over the next 5-10 years
Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, as at November 2013
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How to select Alternative UCITS Funds
Manager Selection Process and MonitoringOverview
Source: Schroders, April 2014
Strategy Selection
Investment Due Diligence
Operational Due Diligence
Ongoing Risk Management
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Strategy SelectionSearch for products that fit within the UCITS framework
Source: Schroders as at 31 March 2014Note: this chart is meant to be indicative only. There will be different types of funds within each of these strategies which may or may not be eligible for UCITS. Each hedge fund needs to be evaluated on a case by case basis. Sophisticated UCITS funds can potentially permit high leverage, so long as VaR limits are respected
More leverage
Less LiquidLiquid
No Leverage
Macro & CTA
Long short equity (trading)
Convertible bond arbitrage
Long short equity (fundamental)
Event driven(Equity)
Long biased convertible bonds
Fixed income arbitrage
Long short equity (small cap)
Event driven (credit)
Emerging Market credit
Long short credit
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Investment Manager SelectionPerform full due diligence based on key requirements for a given strategy
Investment Due Diligence
Experience
Track record and skill
Investment Process
Integrity
Size
Reputation
Risk Due Diligence
Risk management capabilities
Fit with UCITS constraints
– Liquidity
– Eligible assets
– Leverage
– VaR
Initial review of available regulatory, marketing, and personnel materials
Full documentation review covering all key business areas
Onsite visit including thorough validation of all points and processes raised in the documentation review
Operational Due Diligence
Source: Schroders, April 2014
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Introducing Alternative UCITS Platforms
Alternative UCITS Platforms
Source: Kepler Partners LLP as at December 2013
Investment Bank Platforms Asset Manager Platforms Independent/ Boutique Platforms
Merrill Lynch Investment Solutions Schroder GAIA Alceda UCITS Platform
Deutsche Bank Luma Solutions Services Alpha UCITS
Goldman Sachs Lyxor Asset Management Altex UCITS
JP Morgan Mansart Investments E.I. Sturdza Strategic Management Ltd Bryan Garnier
Morgan Stanley FundLogic Independent UCITS
Nomura AIM Montlake UCITS Platform
SEB Prime Solutions UCITS Universal Investments
UBS Liquid Alpha
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Schroder GAIA is a Market Leading PlatformLargest alternative UCITS platforms by AUM
Source: Schroders and Bloomberg as at 31 March 2014
16 6 19 12 15 3No ofFunds
AUM USD(m)
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Mer
ril L
ynch
Sch
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AIA
Mor
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Sta
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Deu
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e B
ank
Alc
eda
Lyxo
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0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Schroder GAIADedicated platform for liquid alternative strategies
Offers access to leading hedge fund managers in a transparent format
The individual mutual funds on the platform are subject to ‘gold standard’ regulation
The funds are directly invested as opposed to a master feeder/index approach
Active risk management performed by managers and independently by Schroders
Schroders performs extensive due diligence on each external manager
There are no side pockets or investor lock ups
Source: Schroders
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Schroder GAIA
Source: Schroders as at 31 March 2014. *hard closed **scheduled hard closure *** subject to CSSF approval
Fund Strategy Geographic Focus Portfolio Manager (External) Launch Date AUM (USD)
Schroder GAIA Egerton Equity* Equity long short Europe & US John Armitage, Egerton Capital 25 Nov 09 1,403m
Schroder GAIA Sirios US Equity** Equity long short Predominantly US John Brennan, Sirios Capital Management 27 Feb 13 2,873m
Schroder GAIA Avoca Credit Credit long short Predominantly Europe Simon Thorp, Avoca Capital Management 6 Nov 13 394m
Schroder GAIA Paulson Merger Arbitrage***
Merger Arbitrage US, Canada and Western Europe John Paulson, Paulson & Co. TBC 25m
(seed capital)
Fund Strategy Geographic Focus Portfolio Manager (Schroders) Launch Date AUM (USD)
Schroder GAIA Global Macro Fixed Income Macro Global Bob Jolly, Schroders 1 Oct 12 124m
Schroder GAIA Cat Bond** Catastrophe Bonds Global Daniel Ineichen, Schroders 21 Oct 13 701m
Overview of sub-funds
Total AUM 5,520m
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Schroder GAIA Alternative UCITS fundsFocus on well established managers with long track records
Source: Morningstar. Analysis shown from January 2002 (common inception date) to February 2014. CQS has been excluded given the strategy launched in 2008. The data shown for ‘Paulson’ and ‘NGA’ is the net performance of existing offshore hedge fund strategies we plan to launch on Schroder GAIA during 2014. The performance is indicative only and the past performance of the offshore fund should not be taken as a guide to future performance of the potential GAIA fund
Egerton
Sirios
Avoca
Paulson
NGA
MSCI World
Egerton Avoca
MSCI World
Sirios
Paulson NGA
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Schroder GAIA Alternative UCITS fundsAll strategies have outperformed equity markets on a risk adjusted basis
Source: Morningstar. Analysis shown from January 2002 (common inception date) to February 2014. *Planned launches in 2014. The data shown for ‘Paulson’ and ‘NGA’ is the net performance of existing offshore hedge fund strategies we plan to launch on Schroder GAIA during 2014. The performance is indicative only and the past performance of the offshore fund should not be taken as a guide to future performance of the potential GAIA fund
EgertonSirios Avoca
MSCI World
PaulsonNGA
Return Std Dev Sharpe Ratio
Schroder GAIA NGA Liquid Distressed* 13.1 12.2 0.9
Schroder GAIA Paulson Merger Arbitrage* 12.2 8.1 1.3
Schroder GAIA Avoca Credit Long Short 9.8 7.2 1.1
Schroder GAIA Egerton Equity Long Short 10.0 8.8 1.0
Schroder GAIA Sirios US Equity Long Short 8.1 9.0 0.7
MSCI World 4.9 14.6 0.3
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Leading Alternative Investment Managers Combine Managers for Superior Risk Adjusted Returns
Schroder GAIA Alternative UCITS fundsCombining alternative funds provides superior risk adjusted returns
Source: Morningstar. Analysis shown from January 2002 (common inception date) to February 2014. * The data shown for ‘Schroder GAIA Alternative UCITS’ represents a 20% allocation to each of the existing Schroder GAIA funds (Egerton, Sirios and Avoca) and a 20% allocation to each of the strategies we plan to launch on Schroder GAIA during 2014 (Paulson and NGA). This portfolio is a simulation and has been used for illustrative purposes only
Schroder GAIA Alternative UCITS*
MSCI World NR LCL
Return Std Dev Sharpe Ratio
Schroder GAIA Alternative UCITS* 10.8 6.3 1.4
MSCI World NR LCL 4.9 14.6 0.3
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Conclusion
Alternative mutual funds represent a new and rapidly growing asset class for investors
Long short strategies make sense now to help diversify client portfolios
Investors should consider blending long only strategies together with long short strategies and include alternative funds within the core portfolio as opposed to an alternatives bucket
Family Offices and Private Banks should focus on established managers that have a proven track record of producing consistent risk adjusted returns
Emphasis should be on strategies with uncorrelated returns streams, reduced volatility and proven downside protection
The Schroder GAIA platform offers a select group of high quality alternative investment managers within the safeguards of a liquid mutual fund format which is subject to ‘gold standard’ regulation.
Source: Schroders, April 2014
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This presentation does not constitute an offer to anyone, or a solicitation by anyone, to subscribe for shares of Schroder GAIA (the “Company”). Nothing in this presentation should be construed as advice and is therefore not a recommendation to buy or sell shares. Subscriptions for shares of the Company can only be made on the basis of its latest prospectus together with the latest audited annual report (and subsequent unaudited semi-annual report, if published), copied of which can be obtained, free of charge, from Schroder Investment Management (Luxembourg) S.A. An investment in the Company entails risks, which are fully described in the prospectus.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, prices of shares and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the amount originally invested. Schroders has expressed its own views and opinions in this document and these may change.
Third party data is owned or licensed by the data provider and may not be reproduced or extracted and used for any other purpose without the data provider's consent. Third party data is provided without any warranties of any kind. The data provider and issuer of the document shall have no liability in connection with the third party data. The Prospectus and/or www.schroders.lu contains additional disclaimers which apply to the third party data. Schroders has expressed its own views and opinions in this presentation and these may change.
This presentation is issued by Schroder Investment Management Ltd., 31, Gresham Street, EC2V 7QA, who is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. For your security, all telephone calls are recorded.
Important information
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