APDU Annual Conference

Unemployment Insurance Data

September 25, 2009 Ron Wilus

Washington, D.C. U.S. Department of Labor

wilus.ronald@dol.gov

Unemployment Insurance Program

Authorized by Social Security Act in 1935. Provides temporary income support to

workers unemployed through no fault of their own.

Broad coverage - 96% -- 97% of all wage and salary workers in U.S.

Unemployment Insurance Program

UI Program is automatic economic stabilizer Multiplier Effect $2.15 Without UI GDP would decline an additional 15% on

average during recessions

Federal-state cooperative partnership Based on federal law Administered by states under state law

Program ScopeFY 2008 FY 2009 Actual Projected

Number of workers covered ......................................... 133.7 M 129.6 M Number of beneficiaries ............................................... 8.8 M 15.5 M Average weekly insured unemployed .......................... 3.0 M 5.6 M Average weekly benefit amount .................................. $ 285.28 $ 313.50 Benefits paid (all programs) ........................................ $ 43.1 B $ 119.4 B Percent exhausting benefits ........................................ 39.1% 51.1% Employers Subject to UI law ....................................... 7.68 M 7.69 M State Administrative costs (including ES,BLS,VETS) .. $ 3.92 B $ 5.33 B - UI Administration only................................... $2.66 B $ 4.18 B Payroll taxes State Revenue................................................... $ 32.2 B $ 32.7 B

Federal (FUTA) Revenue.................................. $ 7.2 B $ 6.73 B Trust Funds (end of FY balance)

State Accounts (excluding loans)................................ $ 36.8 B $ -1.7 B

Some Current UI Data Dynamics

Initial Claims and Weeks Claimed (SA)

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000

Jan-

75Ja

n-76

Jan-

77Ja

n-78

Jan-

79Ja

n-80

Jan-

81Ja

n-82

Jan-

83Ja

n-84

Jan-

85Ja

n-86

Jan-

87Ja

n-88

Jan-

89Ja

n-90

Jan-

91Ja

n-92

Jan-

93Ja

n-94

Jan-

95Ja

n-96

Jan-

97Ja

n-98

Jan-

99Ja

n-00

Jan-

01Ja

n-02

Jan-

03Ja

n-04

Jan-

05Ja

n-06

Jan-

07Ja

n-08

Jan-

09

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

8,000,000

9,000,000

10,000,000

Last Data point for August 29, 2009

IC (Left)

WC (Right)

Weekly Totals - Not Seasonally Adjusted

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

O N D J F M A M J J A S

Th

ou

san

ds

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Th

ou

sand

s

Weekly Totals - Seasonally Adjusted

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

O N D J F M A M J J A S

Th

ou

san

ds

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900T

ho

usan

ds

FY 2008

FY 2009

STATE INITIAL CLAIMSFISCAL YEAR 2008 AND 2009

Page 5A

Non-seasonally Adjusted Initial and Continuing ClaimsRegular State Program

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

800000

900000

1000000

1/1/08 3/1/08 5/1/08 7/1/08 9/1/08 11/1/08 1/1/09 3/1/09 5/1/09 7/1/09 9/1/09 11/1/09

Init

ial

Cla

ims

0

1000000

2000000

3000000

4000000

5000000

6000000

7000000

Co

nti

nu

ing

Cla

ims

NSA Initial Claims

NSA Continuing Claims

Weekly Continuing Claims Among Tiers of Benefits

0

1000000

2000000

3000000

4000000

5000000

6000000

7000000

6/1/2008

6/15/2008

6/29/2008

7/13/2008

7/27/2008

8/10/2008

8/24/2008

9/7/2008

9/21/2008

10/5/2008

10/19

/2008

11/2/2008

11/16

/2008

11/30

/2008

12/14

/2008

12/28

/2008

1/11/2009

1/25/2009

2/8/2009

2/22/2009

3/8/2009

3/22/2009

4/5/2009

4/19/2009

5/3/2009

5/17/2009

5/31/2009

6/14/2009

6/28/2009

7/12/2009

7/26/2009

8/9/2009

8/23/2009

9/6/2009

9/20/2009

10/4/2009

Regular program

UCFE

UCX

EUC Tier 1

EUC Tier 2

Extended Benefits

Potential Weeks of Unemployment Insurance Benefits

As of August 19, 2009

46Iowa46

Nebraska

46North Dakota

46

South Dakota

46

Utah

46Wyoming

59Hawaii

59Louisiana

59Maryland

59Mississippi

59

Montana

59Oklahoma

59Virgin Islands

72

Arkansas

72

Colorado

72Connecticut

72

Kansas

72New Hampshire

72

New Mexico

72Puerto Rico

72

South Carolina

72Texas

72

Vermont

72Virginia

79Alabama

79

Alaska

79Arizona

79California

79Delaware

79

District of Columbia

79

Florida

79

Georgia

79Idaho

79

Illinois

79Indiana

79Kentucky

79Maine

79

Massachusetts

79

Michigan

79Minnesota

79

Missouri

79Nevada

79New Jersey

79New York

79

North Carolina

79

Ohio

79Oregon

79Pennsylvania

79Rhode Island

79Tennessee

79

Washington

79West Virginia

79Wisconsin

Potential Weeks46

597279

All Programs Continuing ClaimsCounts include Regular, UCFE, UCX, EUC Tiers I & II and EB Claims

0

1000000

2000000

3000000

4000000

5000000

6000000

7000000

8000000

9000000

100000003/

1/20

08

4/1/

2008

5/1/

2008

6/1/

2008

7/1/

2008

8/1/

2008

9/1/

2008

10/1

/200

8

11/1

/200

8

12/1

/200

8

1/1/

2009

2/1/

2009

3/1/

2009

4/1/

2009

5/1/

2009

6/1/

2009

7/1/

2009

8/1/

2009

Initial Claims and Duration

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,000

Jan-

71Ja

n-72

Jan-

73Ja

n-74

Jan-

75Ja

n-76

Jan-

77Ja

n-78

Jan-

79Ja

n-80

Jan-

81Ja

n-82

Jan-

83Ja

n-84

Jan-

85Ja

n-86

Jan-

87Ja

n-88

Jan-

89Ja

n-90

Jan-

91Ja

n-92

Jan-

93Ja

n-94

Jan-

95Ja

n-96

Jan-

97Ja

n-98

Jan-

99Ja

n-00

Jan-

01Ja

n-02

Jan-

03Ja

n-04

Jan-

05Ja

n-06

Jan-

07Ja

n-08

Jan-

09

0.002.00

4.006.00

8.0010.00

12.0014.00

16.0018.00

20.00

IC (L)

Duration (R)

Last data point for August 2009

Initial Claims and Exhaustions

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,000

Jan-

71Ja

n-72

Jan-

73Ja

n-74

Jan-

75Ja

n-76

Jan-

77Ja

n-78

Jan-

79Ja

n-80

Jan-

81Ja

n-82

Jan-

83Ja

n-84

Jan-

85Ja

n-86

Jan-

87Ja

n-88

Jan-

89Ja

n-90

Jan-

91Ja

n-92

Jan-

93Ja

n-94

Jan-

95Ja

n-96

Jan-

97Ja

n-98

Jan-

99Ja

n-00

Jan-

01Ja

n-02

Jan-

03Ja

n-04

Jan-

05Ja

n-06

Jan-

07Ja

n-08

Jan-

09

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

IC (L)

Exhaustions (R)

Last data point for August 2009

IC 12 Month % Change August 2008 to August 2009

12.15

AK

17.22

PR

19.84RI

23.44

DE

24.43VT

24.64

NJ

28.51

MA

29.58

CA

30.62NY

31.38CT

32.52

MS

32.72

PA

33.98

MO

34.17

MI

35.59

VI

36.51

IN

36.61

MD

36.61

AR

36.63IL 36.66

WV

37.05NE

37.68SC

37.68

OR

37.86WA

37.88

ME

38.22

KY

38.80

WI

39.38FL

39.62

MN

39.90

ID

39.93

NV

40.29

DC

40.58

HI

40.68OH

41.27NM

41.36MT

42.58

AZ

43.08

NC

43.20

ND

43.81

NH

44.68GA

44.95

VA

45.41

TX

45.48AL

45.58

IA

46.04

LA

46.59

SD

47.17

TN

49.00

CO

50.16UT

52.16

OK

52.41

KS

52.92WY

0.00 to 34.1734.17 to 38.80

38.80 to 43.8143.81 to 53.92

WC 12 Month % Change August 2008 to August 2009

14.70

AK

25.28

PR

30.25RI

34.17

MA

36.29

NJ

38.10

CA

38.58

VI

40.13

DC

40.57

DE

40.73

AR

41.52

PA

41.61

MI

41.89VT

41.98NY

42.21CT

42.94NE

43.78

WV

43.86IL

43.99

MN

44.39

MD

44.91

MO

45.28

WI

45.53

ME

46.06FL

46.55

IA

46.94

MS

48.05

ND

48.35OH

48.94SC

50.32

IN

50.36

OR

50.62NM

50.69

LA

50.70

KY

50.84GA

51.07

ID

51.08MT

51.24

VA

51.41

HI

52.14

NC52.32

TN

52.60

NV

53.21WA

53.52AL

54.36

TX

55.40

AZ

55.74

KS

56.95

OK

57.14

CO

57.70

NH

59.27

SD

63.09UT

63.35WY

0.00 to 41.9841.98 to 48.05

48.05 to 52.1452.14 to 64.35

State IURs

1.1

South Dakota

1.4

North Dakota

1.7District of Columbia

2.0

Nebraska

2.2Virginia

2.5New Hampshire

2.6Wyoming

2.7

Texas

2.7

Utah

2.8Maine

2.8Oklahoma

3.0Colorado

3.0Iowa

3.2

Tennessee

3.3Louisiana

3.3Minnesota

3.3Virgin Islands

3.4

Delaware

3.4Maryland

3.4Vermont

3.5Hawaii

3.5

New Mexico

3.6Indiana

3.6Kansas

3.6

Missouri

3.6

Montana

3.6

West Virginia

3.7Alabama

3.7

Kentucky

3.8Idaho

3.8Mississippi

3.8

Ohio

3.9Alaska 4.0

Florida

4.1Georgia

4.1New York

4.3Arizona

4.4Massachusetts

4.5

Illinois

4.5Washington

4.6

Arkansas 4.6

South Carolina

4.8North Carolina

4.8Rhode Island

5.0

California

5.0

Wisconsin

5.1

Connecticut 5.1

New Jersey

5.2

Michigan

5.5Nevada

5.7Oregon

5.7Pennsylvania

6.8Puerto Rico

0.0 to 3.23.2 to 4.24.2 to 5.25.2 to 7.8

Benefits as a % of Personal Income(12 months ending 1st quarter 2009)

0.11South Dakota

0.16Louisiana

0.18

Nebraska

0.19Oklahoma

0.19

Virginia

0.22

Texas

0.25

North Dakota

0.26

Mississippi

0.26

Wyoming

0.26Colorado

0.26

Arizona

0.27

Alabama

0.28

New Hampshire

0.28Maryland

0.31

Florida

0.32West Virginia

0.32

New Mexico

0.34

Utah

0.35

Missouri

0.35Tennessee

0.36

New York

0.37Georgia

0.38Maine

0.38District of Columbia

0.39Kansas

0.39Alaska

0.40

Montana

0.43

Delaware

0.44

South Carolina

0.46

Arkansas

0.47

Connecticut

0.47Iowa

0.49

Washington

0.49

Ohio

0.50Minnesota

0.51California

0.52

Illinois

0.52

Hawaii

0.53North Carolina

0.54Kentucky

0.56

Vermont

0.59

Indiana

0.59

Idaho

0.61

Massachusetts0.62Wisconsin

0.63New Jersey0.68

Nevada

0.69Pennsylvania

0.71

Rhode Island

0.77Oregon

0.78

Michigan

0.00 to 0.280.28 to 0.40

0.40 to 0.540.54 to 0.79

Railroad Continued Weeks Claimed

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

Jan-

89

Jan-

90

Jan-

91

Jan-

92

Jan-

93

Jan-

94

Jan-

95

Jan-

96

Jan-

97

Jan-

98

Jan-

99

Jan-

00

Jan-

01

Jan-

02

Jan-

03

Jan-

04

Jan-

05

Jan-

06

Jan-

07

Jan-

08

Jan-

09

Last Data P oint for August 2009

Publically Available Data Resources

Data Maps http://workforcesecurity.doleta.gov/dmstree/handbooks/

402/402_4/4024c6/4024c6_app_toc2.htm Metadata: documentation, definitions, instructions,

deadlines, etc. http://wdr.doleta.gov/directives/ETA_Handbook.cfm Internal Web Site for data entry, tracking and

maintenance http://www.uis.doleta.gov:8080/OWSMenu/index.jsp

Publically Available Data Resources OWS Data Access Program and Financial data: (source, frequency of collection, type of access) Handbook 394: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/hb394.asp (annual / query driven) UI data Summary: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/content/data.asp (quarterly / static) Commonly requested: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/claimssum.asp (monthly / query driven) Weekly Claims Data: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/claims_arch.asp (weekly / query driven) Claimant Characteristics: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/chariu.asp (monthly / query driven) Chartbook: http://www.doleta.gov/unemploy/chartbook.cfm (annual / query driven) Third Tier Benefit Programs (EUC08): http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/euc.asp (monthly / static) ARRA funded program activity: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/pdf/euc/arra/cumulative.asp Disaster Unemployment Assistance: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/duaactions.asp WPRS: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/profile.asp (quarterly / query driven) Trust Fund Loans: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/budget.asp#tfloans (daily) Budget Information: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/budget.asp

Publically Available Data Resources

OWS performance: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/performance.asp

GPRS goals: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/gpra.asp BAM: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/bqc.asp UI Tax Information: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/tax.asp UI Legislation UI background:

http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/pdf/partnership2007.pdf Legislative resources: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/laws.asp State laws: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/statelaws.asp#Statelaw

Publically Available Data Resources

Selected Workforce links Service locator: http://www.servicelocator.org/ Apprenticeship statistics:

http://www.doleta.gov/OA/statistics.cfm Trade Adjustment statistics:

http://www.doleta.gov/tradeact/taa_stats.cfm CED Hot reports:

http://www.careeronestop.org/red/CEDHotReport.aspx