ap statistics semester one review part 1 chapters 1-3 semester one review part 1 chapters 1-3
TRANSCRIPT
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AP StatisticsAP StatisticsSemester One
ReviewPart 1
Chapters 1-3
Semester OneReviewPart 1
Chapters 1-3
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AP Statistics Topics
Describing Data
Producing Data
Probability
Statistical Inference
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Describing Data
Ch 1: Exploring Data
Ch 2: Modeling Distributions of Data
Ch 3: Describing Relationships
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Chapter 1: Exploring
Data
Chapter 1: Exploring
DataOur Introductory Chapter taught us how to describe
sets of categorical and sets of quantitative data.
For quantitative data, our focus was on describing the Shape, Outliers, Center, and
Spread of the dataset.
Our Introductory Chapter taught us how to describe
sets of categorical and sets of quantitative data.
For quantitative data, our focus was on describing the Shape, Outliers, Center, and
Spread of the dataset.
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Relations in Categorical DataWhen categorical data is presented in a
two-way table, we can explore the marginal and conditional distributions to describe the relationship between the variables.
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Describing DataWhen starting any data analysis, you should first PLOT your data and describe what you see...
Dotplot
Stemplot
Box-and-Whisker Plot
Histogram
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Describe the SOCS
After plotting the data, note the SOCS:
Shape: Skewed, Mound, Uniform, Bimodal
Outliers: Any “extreme” observations
Center: Typical “representative” value
Spread: Amount of variability
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Numeric DescriptionsWhile a plot provides a nice visual description of a dataset, we often want a more detailed numeric summary of the center and spread.
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Measures of Center
When describing the “center” of a set of data, we can use the mean or the median.
Mean: “Average” value
Median: “Center” value Q2
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Measures of VariabilityWhen describing the “spread” of a set of data, we can use:
Range: Max-Min
InterQuartile Range: IQR = Q3-Q1
Standard Deviation:
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Numeric DescriptionsWhen describing the center and spread of a set of data, be sure to provide a numeric description of each:
Mean and Standard Deviation
5-Number Summary: Min, Q1, Med, Q3, Max {Box-and-Whisker Plot}
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Determining OutliersWhen an observation appears to be an outlier, we will want to provide numeric evidence that it is or isn’t “extreme”
We will consider observations outliers if:
More than 3 standard deviations from the mean.
More than 1.5 IQR’s outside the “box”
Or
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Chapter 1 Summary
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Chapter 2: Modeling
Distributions of Data
Chapter 2: Modeling
Distributions of Data
Many distributions in statistics can be described as approximately Normal.
In this chapter we learned how to identify and describe
normal distributions and how to do Standard Normal
Calculations.
Many distributions in statistics can be described as approximately Normal.
In this chapter we learned how to identify and describe
normal distributions and how to do Standard Normal
Calculations.
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Density CurvesA Density Curve is a smooth, idealized mathematical model of a distribution.
The area under every density curve is 1.
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The Normal DistributionMany distributions of data and many statical applications can be described by an approximately normal distribution.
Symmetric, Bell-shaped Curve
Centered at Mean µ
Described as N(µ, )
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Empirical RuleOne particularly useful fact about approximately Normal distributions is that
68% of observations fall within one standard deviation of µ
95% fall within 2 standard deviations of µ
99.7% fall within 3 standard deviations of µ
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Standard Normal Calculations
The empirical rule is useful when an observation falls exactly 1,2, or 3 standard deviations form µ. When it doesn’t, we must standardize the value {z-score} and use a table to calculate percentiles, etc.
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Assessing NormalityTo assess the normality of a set of data, we can’t rely on the naked eye alone - not all mound shaped distributions are normal.
Instead, we should make a Normal Probability Plot and look for linearly.
Linearity ➝ Normality
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Chapter 3: Describing
Relationships
Chapter 3: Describing
RelationshipsIn this chapter, we
learned how to describe bivariate relationships.
We focused on quantitative data and
learned how to perform least squares regression.
In this chapter, we learned how to describe bivariate relationships.
We focused on quantitative data and
learned how to perform least squares regression.
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Bivariate RelationshipsLike describing univariate data, the first things you should do with bivariate data is make a plot (e.g. scatterplot)
Note the Strength, Direction, and Form
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Correlation “r”We can describe the strength of a linear relationship with the Correlation Coefficient, r
-1≤ r ≤1
The closer r is to 1 or -1 the stronger the linear relationship between x and y.
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Least Squares RegressionWhen we observe a linear relationship between x and y, we often want to describe it with a “line of best fit” y = a + bx
We can find this line by performing least-squares regression.
We can use the resulting equation to predict y-values for given x-values.
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Assessing the FitIf we hope to make useful predictions of y we must assess whether or not the LSRL is indeed the best fit. If not, we may need to find a different model.
Residual Plot
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Making PredicationsIf you are satisfied that the LSRL provides an appropriate model for predictions, you can use it to predict a y-hat for x’s within the observed range of x-values.
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Predictions for observed x-values can be assessed by noting the residual.
Residual = observed y - predicted y
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Chapter 3 Summary
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Chapters 4-6 TomorrowChapters 4-6 Tomorrow