sêr cymru senior research fellow welsh school of

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Dr Hu Du

Near future building performance prediction and long-term climate change

adaptation for buildings

Dr Hu DuSêr Cymru Senior Research Fellow

Welsh School of ArchitectureCardiff University

DuH4@cardiff.ac.uk

Forecast of building energy demand and renewable generation

2014-2019, Fellow

Modular external wall retrofit + renewable and storage

2017-2021, PI

HuMiD - Health cost of mould and damp in Welsh homes

2017-2018, PI

Renewable Energy Systems in Zero Carbon Villages2018-2019, PI

Dr Hu Du

HABITAT- HArvest modular façade for zero bills Buildings In Tibet

plATeau2018, PI

Ongoing projects

HABITAT- Harvest modular façade for zero bills buildings In Tibet plateau

Dr Hu Du

Built Environment

Dr Hu Du

Three different

emission

scenarios

Seven

different

time frames

25km grid, 16

admin regions,

23 river-basins

and 9 marine

regions

UK climate change projectionsDr Hu Du

Dr Hu Du

Regression modelDr Hu Du

Dr Hu Du

Under-standing changing climate

Risk assessment

Suitable adaptation measures

Base dynamic energy model

Simulation of

adaptation measures

Energy savings

Cost Benefit Analysis

Uptake and deploy by the client

Monitor and

evaluation

Dr Hu Du

Dr Hu Du

Observation vs. Forecast Friday Saturday Sunday Monday Tuesday

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

20

No

v 0

0

20

No

v 0

5

20

No

v 1

0

20

No

v 1

5

20

No

v 2

0

21

No

v 0

1

21

No

v 0

6

21

No

v 1

1

21

No

v 1

6

21

No

v 2

1

22

No

v 0

2

22

No

v 0

7

22

No

v 1

2

22

No

v 1

7

22

No

v 2

2

23

No

v 0

3

23

No

v 0

8

23

No

v 1

3

23

No

v 1

8

23

No

v 2

3

24

No

v 0

4

24

No

v 0

9

24

No

v 1

4

24

No

v 1

9

25

No

v 0

0

25

No

v 0

5

Bute building weather station Next 5 day forecast

Next 4 day forecast Next 3 day forecast

Next 2 day forecast

oc

Dr Hu Du

Dr Hu Du

Temperature Forecast vs. Observation, Dec2015 Heathrow Dr Hu Du

Relative Humidity Forecast vs. Observation, Dec2015 Heathrow

Dr Hu Du

Wind Speed Forecast vs. Observation, Dec2015 Heathrow Dr Hu Du

Wind Direction Forecast vs. Observation, Dec2015 Heathrow Dr Hu Du

140 observation

stations

6000 forecast locationsDr Hu Du

Temperature Forecast vs. Observation(1-6 April 2017, UK)

Dr Hu Du

Temperature observations and forecasts (6 Feb-15 Mar 2018, University of Navarra)

Dr Hu Du

Root Mean Square Error (RMSE)

UHII

Dr Hu Du

Dr Hu Du

Q&A

Dr Hu DuSêr Cymru Senior Research Fellow

Welsh School of ArchitectureCardiff University

DuH4@cardiff.ac.uk

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