presented to arizona city/county management association office of employment & population...

Presented to Arizona City/County Management Association

Office of Employment & Population StatisticsArizona Department of Administration

February 7, 2013

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Arizona, 2010

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Quartzsite, 2010

Total pop: 3,700; Median age: 68

Age 65 and over: 56%

Age 17 and below: 7%

Hispanic: 7%

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Somerton, 2010

Total pop: 14,000; Median age: 26

Age 65 and over: 7%Age 17 and below:

38%Hispanic: 96%

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Apache County, 2010

County total pop: 72,000

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La Paz County, 2010

County total pop: 20,000

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Paradise Valley, 2010

Place total pop: 13,000

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Surprise, 2010Place total pop: 118,000

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Tempe, 2010Place total pop: 162,000

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Florence, 2010

Place total pop: 26,000

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BackgroundState and county population projections were

prepared in accordance with Executive Order 2011-04.

Extensive engagement of stakeholders and experts. Multiple revisions made based on feedback. 16 Geographies (State + 15 Counties) 40-year projection horizon (base year = 2010)Released in December 2012. Sub-county projections to be released in

September

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HighlightsThe state is expected to grow at a slower pace than

in past decades, but still faster than the country Migration will account for ½ to ¾ of growth; share

of immigration dips then rises More concentration in the Phoenix Metro areaSignificant increase in 65+ age groupShare of school-age children stable Non-Hispanic White will no longer be the majority Share of Hispanic population increases in all

counties

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Arizona Population, 2010 and 2035

AZ 2010 US 2010 AZ 2010 Rank AZ 2035

Median age 35.9 37.2 9th youngest state 38.4

Percent under 18 25.5% 24.0% 6th 24.9%

Percent 65 and over 13.8% 13.0% 20th 20.9%

Percent 85 and over 1.6% 1.8% 35th 3.1%

% White non-Hispanic 57.8% 63.7% 43rd 46.9%

% Hispanic 29.6% 16.3% 4th 39.1%

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Jim Chang, State Demographer

Office of Employment & Population StatisticsArizona Department of Administration

Jim.Chang@azdoa.gov(602) 771-1236

www.azstats.gov