presented to arizona city/county management association office of employment & population...
TRANSCRIPT
Presented to Arizona City/County Management Association
Office of Employment & Population StatisticsArizona Department of Administration
February 7, 2013
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Arizona, 2010
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Quartzsite, 2010
Total pop: 3,700; Median age: 68
Age 65 and over: 56%
Age 17 and below: 7%
Hispanic: 7%
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Somerton, 2010
Total pop: 14,000; Median age: 26
Age 65 and over: 7%Age 17 and below:
38%Hispanic: 96%
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Apache County, 2010
County total pop: 72,000
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La Paz County, 2010
County total pop: 20,000
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Paradise Valley, 2010
Place total pop: 13,000
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Surprise, 2010Place total pop: 118,000
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Tempe, 2010Place total pop: 162,000
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Florence, 2010
Place total pop: 26,000
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BackgroundState and county population projections were
prepared in accordance with Executive Order 2011-04.
Extensive engagement of stakeholders and experts. Multiple revisions made based on feedback. 16 Geographies (State + 15 Counties) 40-year projection horizon (base year = 2010)Released in December 2012. Sub-county projections to be released in
September
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HighlightsThe state is expected to grow at a slower pace than
in past decades, but still faster than the country Migration will account for ½ to ¾ of growth; share
of immigration dips then rises More concentration in the Phoenix Metro areaSignificant increase in 65+ age groupShare of school-age children stable Non-Hispanic White will no longer be the majority Share of Hispanic population increases in all
counties
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Arizona Population, 2010 and 2035
AZ 2010 US 2010 AZ 2010 Rank AZ 2035
Median age 35.9 37.2 9th youngest state 38.4
Percent under 18 25.5% 24.0% 6th 24.9%
Percent 65 and over 13.8% 13.0% 20th 20.9%
Percent 85 and over 1.6% 1.8% 35th 3.1%
% White non-Hispanic 57.8% 63.7% 43rd 46.9%
% Hispanic 29.6% 16.3% 4th 39.1%
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Jim Chang, State Demographer
Office of Employment & Population StatisticsArizona Department of Administration
[email protected](602) 771-1236
www.azstats.gov