gerd leonhard - digital transformation of society and business - budapest

www.futuristgerd.com

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The digital transformation of society – how to manage human-machine relationships in the near future,

and how jobs, life and business are changing 

It wasn’t raining when Noah built the ark

We’re at the pivot point of exponential technological change

10 90

2018

2020

2022

2024

2016

4

8

16

32

64

21

(Wo)man and machine are converging

Humanity will change more in the next 20 years than in the previous 300 years

Image via http://www.revelate.de/blog/01/2015/outsmarted-and-fully-monitored-our-bright-future-domestic-animals

But…really ?

But…really ?

Data is the new oil, but intelligent data is the new fuel

• Computing • Internet of

Things • Marketing • Transport • Health • Government

Cognitive Everything:

Yet we must also remember: “Cognition is embodied - you think with your body not just your brain” (Daniel Kahnemann)

Technology is exponential, but humans are not

The 10 ations: Hell and Heaven, both Digitization Mobilisation Screenification

Disintermediation Automation Intelligization Anticipation Virtualization Robotization Humanisation*

#HELLVEN

Source: giphy.com

#HELLVEN

Deep automation and robotization will be an irresistible temptation for most businesses

Deep automation and robotization will be an irresistible temptation for most businesses

Pretty much everything that can be digitised or automated… will be

Anything that cannot be automated will become extremely valuable

Humanity Ethics Creativity Imagination

STEM and HECI EducationHumanity Ethics Creativity Imagination

Science Technology Engineering Math

ALGORITHMS HUMARITHMS •Explicit, verified data feeds, facts

•Focus on STEM: Science, Technology, Engineering, Math

•Track and monitor everything

•Knowledge, data, information

•Unsaid, implicit and assumed things, (sub) conscious, holistic, sentient, embodied

•Focus on HECI: Humanity, Ethics, Creativity, Imagination

•Engage only with what matters

•Imagination, Intuition, Emotion

Source: www.nytimes.com/

Facebook and other social/mobile media: the new smoking? Pleasure traps? Digital feudalism?

TECHNOLOGY HAS NO ETHICS

The age of ‘digital ethics’ is beginning

Technology2 requires Humanity2

“The nihilism of technology lies not only in the fact that it is the most perfect expression of the

will to power, as Heidegger believes, but also in the fact that it lacks meaning. Why? and To what

purpose? …are questions that technology does not ask itself” (Octavio Paz)

Why Technology2 + Humanity2 ?

“When an activity raises threats of

harm to human health or the

environment, precautionary

measures should be taken even if

some cause and effect

relationships are not established

scientifically. In this context, the

proponent of the activity, rather

than the public, should bear the

burden of proof”

The Wingspread Declaration (1999)

Is the Precautionary Principle still useful?

Should Silicon Valley + DARPA et al really be

‘Mission Control for Humanity’ ?

Embrace technology - but don’t become it!

Technology is not what we seek but how we seek

2018

2020

2022

2024

2016 Stewardship!