cebu brt feasibility study

Cebu BRT Feasibility Study

Presentation to Movement for a Liveable Cebu

June 2012

Integrated Transport Planning Ltd.

Cebu BRT Development

Todays presentation

1. Background and History2. The BRT Pre Feasibility Study3. The BRT Feasibility Study4. BRT Route Choice5. BRT Infrastructure Design6. Fuente Osmeña Design Issues7. Next Steps

Cebu BRT development history

• 1992-94: Metro Cebu Mass Transport Study• 1996: Visit to Curitiba (Brazil)• 1996: Policy directives

• Land use planning & transport planning cannot be separated• Public transport comes first

• 2008: Request for World Bank funding for BRT development

• 2009-2011: DOTC Metro Cebu public transport strategy• 2009: Cebu City BRT Pre Feasibility Study• 2010: Cebu City Resolution to accept BRT• 2011-2012: BRT Detailed feasibility study

Cebu BRT Pre Feasibility Study• Contained within a single City• Establish physical, economic and institutional feasibility• Deliverability and expandability are key

Study Included:• Data collection and strategic analysis of trip patterns• Route appraisal - options• Concept definition:

• Segregation• Stations• Payment• Information

• Service & operational planning• Economic & financial analysis

Scheme DevelopmentBased on User Needs Focus groups with transport

users – all modes Mystery traveller surveys User interviews Walking survey of route Ethnographic study Policy and Technical Group Stakeholder meetings Transport groups Focus groups with PUJ

drivers

Pre FS: PassengerForecast

High Case (2020)

317,000 trips per day

Low Case (2020)

221,000 trips per day

PUJ/Taxi/Car mode shift

Revenue

$15m pa

(using same fare as PUJ)

Pre FS: Economic Appraisal

2010 – 2035 evaluation period

Users save 570 million hours by 2035 ($156m)Operators saving $54m

Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR) 2.45Net Present Value (NPV) $124.2 mInternal Rate of Return (IRR) 30%

Cebu BRT produces significant economic benefits

Pre Feasibility Study APPROVED June 2010

Cebu BRT Feasibility Study

• Builds upon Pre Feasibility Study• Commenced December 2011• Greater level of detail• Overseen by Technical Working Group• Companion studies examining:

• PUJ industry analysis• GHG reductions study• Institutional and regulatory restructuring study

• Complete August 2012• Independent Social & Environmental assessment

Cebu BRT Scope

Study Defines:• Segregated infrastructure (preliminary design)• On road bus priority where required• Terminals, stations and depots• Complimentary traffic management

• Junction improvements• Parking controls• Interchange improvements

• Area Traffic Control system• Partial restructuring of PUJ routes• Institutional & regulatory restructuring

Cebu BRT Feasibility Study

Cebu BRT FS Consultation

• Focus group discussions with PT and non PT users• Focus group discussion in 14 Barangays• Meetings with various interest groups• Rolling programme of meetings in City Hall• Concept testing in Ayala and SM malls• Press releases• Stakeholder meetings – government & non government• PUJ industry meetings and focus groups• Web site & Facebook• Still to come….

• Re-visit Barangays (End June)• Public exhibitions: City Hall, Ayala & SM (July)

New data collectionSurvey Type Number

Classified Vehicle/Occupancy Counts 14 locations

Classified turning counts/occupancy 20 major junctions

Licence plate surveys and classified counts

2 major junctions

Saturation flow measurements All major junctions

Travel diary 7,000 across 52 barangays mix mode

O-D survey of PUJ passengers 3,000 on-board 11 PUJ routes

Journey time surveys BRT corridor and 6 other routes

Mystery traveller survey BRT corridor – 11 PUJ routes

Stated preference surveys 400 mixed mode/location

Network Forecasting Model

The BRT Route and Network

Service Plan

Five services

Next stage: frequencies and operational issues

Services1. Bulacao – Talamban2. Bulacao – SRP3. Bulacao – IT Park4. Bulacao – Ayala5. Talamban - SRP

Osmeña Boulevard and V Rama Avenue

Osmeña Boulevard & V Rama Avenue

Osmeña Boulevard

2,800 vehs two way in peak hour

28% of theoretical capacity

Cars 34% but only 16% of total passengers

Jeepneys 16% but carrying 68% of passengers

V Rama

1,300 vehs two way in peak hour (46% of Boulevard)

3571 jeepney passengers (47% of Boulevard)

Total veh passengers 220% higher on Boulevard

Osmeña Boulevard & V Rama Avenue

In Favour of Osmeña Boulevard Route:

Major destinations of metropolitan significance

V Rama mainly residential – not serving destinations

Passes by Citilink, E-Mall and accesses Downtown

Property value increase and regeneration effects

Lesser road works required

Evidence of support of Barangays (Sambag 1, Sambag2, Santa

Cruz, San Antonio, Capitol Site and Camputhaw)

Cebu City Endorsement: June 2010

Osmeña Boulevard: Design

Historical and cultural significance

Functionally efficient, but,

Sympathetic in style and materials

Prime commercial street

Support and enhance

Recognise land value relationship

Parade route

Leisure and celebratory function of Fuente

Linearity of Boulevard

Infrastructure Design

Busway Typical Cross section

Busway: Typical Station Arrangement

Busway: Segregation

Capital – Fuente Vista

Capital – Fuente Vista

Draft perspective

Fuente Osmeña Circle

Fuente Osmeña Circle Issues

Leisure space

Part of ‘Grand Boulevard’ – Procession Route

Commercial activity

Focal point for BRT

Heavily trafficked intersection

Pedestrian crossing

Work with Beautification Proposals

Fuente Osmeña - Not an Option

Fuente Osmeña – An option?

Fuente Osmeña – Addresses Problems

Cebu BRT Next Stages

• August 2012: Feasibility study complete• October 2012: Detailed design commences• May 2013: Design complete• October 2013: Earliest construction commences• 2015 Operation!

Development & Implementation

• A national Government project developed and implemented by multiple agency JV

• Public Private Partnership for delivery• World Bank loan and oversight• This is a Feasibility Study – no detailed design• Study will define requirements to form a TOR for detailed

design• There will be on-going consultation• Stringent design, accessibility, environmental and social

safeguards• Need for close supervision

Salamat!