american public opinion on immigrants & immigration policy

Upload: genericpersona

Post on 06-Apr-2018

218 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    1/21

    THE POLLSTRENDSAMERICAN PUBLIC OPINION ON IMMIGRANTS AND

    IMMIGRATION POLICY

    FRANCINE SEGOVIA*

    RENATTA DEFEVER

    Abstract Since the issue of immigration and its effects on the United

    States persists and discussions on the topic continue to intensify, this ar-

    ticle reviews public opinion trends on immigrants and immigration. We

    review Americans overall assessment of immigrants and immigration-

    related issues such as immigrant impact on the U.S. economy, percep-

    tions of elected officials performance on handling immigration issues,

    and preferred approaches to immigration policy. We draw our frame-

    work from Lapinski et al.s 1997 Public Opinion Quarterly review of

    public attitudes and beliefs regarding immigrants and immigration. This

    study updates the trends presented in 1997, beginning in many cases

    with the final time point presented in that earlier article and including

    current national public opinion trends of questions not previously docu-

    mented but which have become relevant to the current immigration

    debate. The current review reveals mixed attitudes, dualities in Ameri-

    cans thinking, and splits on immigration issues. In the current review,

    public opinion is at times ambivalent, espousing certain attitudes that

    challenge others. In addition, less extreme attitudes are revealed in the

    publics view of certain policies as compared with Lapinski et al.s piece.

    Spanning what will now be over a decade, public opinion indicates an

    increasing concern over immigration issues in addition to a lack of con-

    FRANCINE SEGOVIA is a U.S. Navy Research psychologist at the Robert E. Mitchell Center for

    Prisoner of War Studies, Pensacola, FL, USA. RENATTA DEFEVER is a graduate student in the

    School of Education, University of CaliforniaDavis, Davis, CA, USA. This project was sup-

    ported in part by the Public Policy Institute of California. The authors are especially thankful

    to Dr. Max Neiman, Associate Director of Research at the Public Policy Institute of California,

    Dr. Robert Sellers, University of Michigan Department of Psychology professor and Associate

    Chair, and Dr. James Jackson, professor and Director for the Institute for Social Research at

    the University of Michigan, for the comments and guidance provided on this project. The survey

    results reported here were obtained from searches of the iPOLL Databank and other resources

    provided by the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research, University of Connecticut. *Addresscorrespondence to Francine Segovia, Robert E. Mitchell Center for Prisoner of War Studies, 220

    Hovey Road Pensacola FL 32508 USA; e-mail: francine segovia@med navy mil

    Public Opinion Quarterly, Vol. 74, No. 2, Summer 2010, pp. 375394

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    2/21

    fidence in the ability of the countrys leaders to address them. More than

    half of todays immigrants came to the United States in the 1990s, and

    their share of the population is at historically peak levels. Estimates in-

    dicate that between 1990 and 2000, the U.S. foreign-born populationgrew by more than 11 million. As the rise in the immigrant population

    has increased, so have debates over how best to handle immigration is-

    sues. Although policymakers have suggested a variety of possible

    solutions, public opinion seems deeply divided on how best to handle

    immigration.

    The Current Study

    Since the issue of immigration and its effects on the United States persists anddiscussions on the topic continue to intensify, this paper reviews public opin-

    ion trends on immigrants and immigration. Our framework is drawn from

    Lapinski et al.s (1997) review of public attitudes regarding immigrants and

    immigration in Public Opinion Quarterly. The current study updates trends

    presented in 1997 in addition to recent national public opinion not previously

    covered in the earlier piece, but which has become relevant to the current

    immigration debate. Using the Roper Centers iPOLL Databank, researchers

    located datasets using the following key terms: immigrant/immigration,

    illegal/legal immigrants, and foreigners. Only questions with identical orsimilar wording to each other and which were appropriate for comparison

    across time were included in this report.

    Synopsis of Findings

    In the current review, the public appears conflicted and ambivalent about im-

    migration. Opinions on the governments ability to handle immigration issues,

    in addition, reveal extreme and clearly negative attitudes. However, an ambiv-

    alence is also reflected in the survey data, for instance, in public concernabout illegal immigrants and the belief that illegal immigrants contribute to

    the United States. In addition, although the majority of Americans espouse

    some form of policy allowing illegal immigrants the opportunity to become

    legal citizens, there is much variation in the particular mechanism through

    which this is to occur. The last review of American public opinion on im-

    migration revealed perspectives toward immigrants and immigration that

    were predominantly negative. This review, however, reveals mixed attitudes,

    dualities in American thinking, and even splits on immigration issues.

    GENERAL OPINION ON IMMIGRANTS AND IMMIGRATION

    Segovia and DeFever376

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    3/21

    migration should be decreased. Despite an increase in immigrants in the Unit-

    ed States (Camarota 2004), the percentage of people believing thatimmigration levels need to be decreased declined nearly 20 percentage points

    between 1995 and 2007 (table 1). Only once in the current decade did the

    percentage of Americans believing that immigration should be decreased ever

    reach levels comparable to those of the early 1990s. Indeed, between 2000

    and 2007, the percentage of Americans believing that immigration needed

    to be decreased stayed in the 40th percentile, indicating a consistent decrease

    from the earlier decade. This raises important issues regarding whether atti-

    tudes toward immigration are driven by the facts on the ground or whether

    some contextual factors such as the state of the economy, thepolitics

    of thetimes, or media coverage of the issue are actually the important determinants

    of how the public perceives immigrants and the immigration issue (Neiman

    Table 1. General Attitudes Toward Immigration. Should immigration bekept at its present level, increased, or decreased?

    GALLUP/

    CNN/USA

    Today GALLUP GALLUP GALLUP

    GALLUP/

    CNN/USA

    Today

    GALLUP/

    CNN/USA

    Today

    7/95 2/99 9/00 3/01 10/01 9/02

    (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)

    Present 28 41 41 41 30 26

    Increased 8 10 13 10 8 17

    Decreased 62 44 38 43 58 54

    DK/No

    opinion

    4 5 8 6 4 3

    N 801 1,013 2,000 1,024 1,006 1,003

    GALLUPa GALLUPa GALLUPa

    GALLUP/

    CNN/USA

    Todaya GALLUPa GALLUPa

    6/03

    (%)

    6/04

    (%)

    6/05

    (%)

    12/05

    (%)

    6/06

    (%)

    6/07

    (%)

    Present 37 33 34 31 42 35

    Increased 13 14 16 15 17 16

    Decreased 47 49 46 51 39 45DK/No

    opinion

    3 4 4 3 2 4

    N 1,385 2,250 2,264 1,003 2,032 2,388

    aData from these surveys were drawn from a national sample of adults including oversamples of

    Blacks and Hispanics. The results were weighted to be representative of a national adult population.

    Poll Trends Immigrants and Immigration Policy 377

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    4/21

    Concern over illegal immigrants: American concern over immigration

    reveals equal if not increased levels of concern as compared with the earlier

    decade. In 1993, when Time magazine asked Americans how concerned they

    were about illegal immigration, nearly half of Americans reported being

    greatly concerned (table 2a). A decade later, concern remained high. Public

    concern during the current decade increasingly escalated between 2001 and2007. While only 28 percent of Americans reported being greatly concerned

    b ill l i i i i 2001 b 2007 45 f A i d

    Table 2a. Attitudes Toward Illegal Immigrants. Now Id like you to con-centrate on those immigrants who are in this country illegallyin other words,immigrants who do not have the permission of the government to live in the

    United States and can be deported if they are caught. Does the presence of il-legal aliens in this country concern you a great deal, somewhat, or not at all?

    Time/YP Time/CNN/YP

    9/93

    (%)

    9/94

    (%)

    Great deal 48 49

    Somewhat 40 41

    Not at all 12 9

    Not sure 1 1

    N 1,108 800

    Table 2b. Personal Worry About Immigration. GALLUP: Next Im go-ing to read a list of problems facing the country. For each one, please tellme if you personally worry about this problem a great deal, a fair amount,only a little, or not at all. How much do you personally worry about illegalimmigration?

    4/01

    (%)

    4/02

    (%)

    4/03

    (%)

    4/04

    (%)

    4/05

    (%)

    4/06

    (%)

    4/07

    (%)

    A great deal 28 33 37 37 33 43 45

    A fair amount 24 25 26 22 23 29 23

    Only a little 29 26 23 25 29 18 20

    Not at all 18 16 13 15 14 10 12

    No opinion 1 * 1 1 1 * 1

    N 1,060 1,006 1,008 1,005 1,004 1,000 1,009

    *Less than 0.5 percent.

    Segovia and DeFever378

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    5/21

    Additionally, Lapinski et al.s review revealed a public split on the issue of

    illegal immigration. Since then, public concern over illegal immigration has

    increased. A survey conducted by the Pew Research Center in 2006 by Schul-

    man, Ronca & Bucuvalas, Inc., for instance, finds the American public

    making an explicit distinction between legal and illegal immigration.1

    It isapparently illegal, not legal, immigration that concerns Americans. As such,

    Americans report that illegal immigration is a bigger problem (60 percent) for

    the United States as compared to legal (4 percent) immigration. This finding

    parallels previous results reported in Lapinski et al.s (1997) review indicat-

    ing that Americans negative sentiment is directed primarily at illegal

    immigrants.

    Assessment of immigrant residency status: The matter of legal versus illegal

    immigrants is made even more complex by the fact that Americans typically

    believe that immigrants are here illegally. More than a decade ago, seven in 10

    Americans believed that most of the people who had moved to the United

    Table 3. Illegality of Immigrants. CBS/NYT: Do you think most of the peo-ple who have moved to the United States in the last few years are here legally,or are most of them here illegally?

    6/93

    (%)

    12/01

    (%)

    5/07

    (%)

    Legal 17 29 16

    Illegal 68 53 75

    Half and half 5 3 2

    No opinion 9 15 7

    N 1,363 1,052 1,125

    Table 4. Evaluations of Personal Characteristics of Immigrants. Gener-ally, do todays immigrants work harder than people born here, not as hard, orisnt there much difference?

    CBS/NYT CBS/NYT CBS CBS/NYT

    6/93

    (%)

    1/04

    (%)

    10/05

    (%)

    5/07

    (%)

    Harder 45 46 46 46

    Not as hard 9 6 6 8

    Not much difference 37 39 43 39

    Depends/DK 9 9 5 7

    N 1,363 1,022 808 1,125

    Poll Trends Immigrants and Immigration Policy 379

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    6/21

    States in the past few years were here illegally (table 3). By 2007 the majorityof Americans continued to believe this. Although this percentage dropped to

    about 50 percent of Americans in 2001, by 2007 nearly eight in 10 Americans

    believed that most people who had recently moved to the United States were

    here illegally (table 3).

    Immigrants contribution to the United States: Complicating our understand-

    ing of Americans views of immigrants are the mixed attitudes expressed on

    the issue of immigrants and their impact on societal resources. While Amer-

    icans are generally concerned about the presence of immigrants in the United

    States, a duality is observed when inquiring into immigrants contribution tothe country. As reported in Lapinski et al. (1997), Americans distinguish

    Table 5. Perceived Impact of Immigrants/Immigration on the UnitedStates. Overall, would you say most recent immigrants to the United Statescontribute to this country, or do most of them cause problems?

    CBS/NYT CBS/NYT CBS CBS/NYT CBS/NYT

    6/86

    (%)

    6/93

    (%)

    1/94

    (%)

    12/01

    (%)

    5/07

    (%)

    Contribute 34 30 29 51 57

    Cause problems 44 50 53 31 28

    Both (vol.) 7 7 8 4 6

    Depends on origin (vol.) 2 2 2 1 1

    DK/No answer 13 11 8 13 8

    N 1,618 1,363 1,210 1,052 1,125

    Table 6. Immigration: Good or Bad for Country? GALLUP: On thewhole, do you think immigration is a good thing or a bad thing for this coun-try today?a

    6/01

    (%)

    6/02

    (%)

    6/03

    (%)

    6/05

    (%)

    6/06

    (%)

    6/07

    (%)

    Good thing 62 52 58 61 67 60Bad thing 31 42 36 34 28 33

    Mixed (vol.) 5 4 4 3 4 3

    No opinion 2 2 2 2 1 4

    N 1,004 1,360 1,385 2,264 2,032 2,388

    aAll data in this table are based on a national adult sample including oversamples of Blacks

    and Hispanics. The results are weighted to be representative of a national adult population.

    Segovia and DeFever380

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    7/21

    tion of Americans are greatly concerned about the presence of immigrants

    in the United States (table 2b), a plurality in 2007, as in the previous

    decade, believed that immigrants work harder than people born in the

    United States (table 4). This pattern is further reflected in the almost

    six in 10 Americans who believe that immigrants contribute to the United

    States, a clear increase from the roughly three in 10 Americans that believed

    this was so in 1986 (table 5). Additionally, six in 10 Americans believe that,

    in general, immigration is a good thing for the country (table 6).

    Perceived impact of immigrants on Americans and the American worker:Americans are anxious about immigrants impact on public service costs

    Table 7. Immigrants as Productive Citizens or Taxpayer Burden. GALL-UP: Which comes closer to your point of viewimmigrants in the long run

    become productive citizens and pay their fair share of taxes, or immigrants

    cost the taxpayers too much by using government services like public educa-tion and medical services?

    7/93

    (%)

    12/94

    (%)

    2/99

    (%)

    9/00

    (%)

    6/05a

    (%)

    Pay fair share of taxes 37 36 47 48 49

    Cost taxpayers too much 56 57 45 40 44

    Neither/Both (vol.)/No opinion 7 7 8 12 7

    N 1,002 1,016 1,013 1,008 2,264

    a

    National adult sample including oversamples of Blacks and Hispanics. Results are weightedto be representative of a national adult population.

    Table 8. Immigrants: Help or Hurt the Economy? GALLUP: Do youthink immigrants mostly help the economy by providing low-cost labor, ormostly hurt the economy by driving wages down for many Americans?

    7/93a

    (%)

    2/99

    (%)

    9/00

    (%)

    1/04a

    (%)

    6/05b

    (%)

    Mostly help 28 42 44 30 42Mostly hurt 64 48 40 65 49

    Neither (vol.) 2 3 7 2 3

    Both (vol.) 2 1 3 1 3

    No opinion 4 6 6 2 3

    N 1,002 1,013 1,008 1,003 2,264

    aAsked of Form B, half sample; 1,003 is the full sample.bSample included oversamples of Blacks and Hispanics. Results are weighted to be represen-

    tative of a national adult population.

    Poll Trends Immigrants and Immigration Policy 381

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    8/21

    have clearly decreased from those in 1993 (64 percent), 49 percent of Amer-

    icans in 2005 reported believing that immigrants mostly hurt the economy bydriving wages down for many Americans (table 8).

    Complicating these negative perceptions of immigrant impact on American

    wages and services are increasingly positive perceptions of immigrant impact

    on the United States in general. In 2007, for instance, 46 percent of Americans

    reported that immigration helps more than it hurts the United States, a clear

    increase from the 37 percent who believed this in 2005 (table 9). In addition,

    the majority of Americans today believe that immigrants take jobs Americans

    do not want (tables 1013). In fact, the percentage of Americans believing

    that immigrants take jobs away from American workers has notablydecreased. Data show that in 1994 the number of people believing that

    Table 9. Immigration Helps or Hurts the United States. NBC News/WSJ/Hart and McInturff Research: Would you say that immigration helps the Unit-ed States more than it hurts it, or that immigration hurts the United States

    more than it helps it?

    12/05

    (%)

    4/06a

    (%)

    7/06

    (%)

    6/07b

    (%)

    Helps more than it hurts 37 45 45 46

    Hurts more than it helps 53 45 42 44

    Not sure 10 10 13 10

    N 1,006 1,109 1,010 1,114

    aNational adult sample with an oversample of Hispanics. Results are weighted to be represen-

    tative of a national adult population.bSurvey by NBC, Wall Street Journal, and Hart and McInturff Research.

    Table 10. Perceived Impact of Immigrants on Jobs. HARRIS: Id like toread you a series of questions about immigration in this country (UnitedStates). For each statement, please tell me if you agree or disagree New im-migrants take jobs away from American workers?

    06/92a

    (%)

    12/94

    (%)

    Applies 62 64

    Does not apply 37 35

    Not sure/DK 1 1

    N 1,418 1,250

    aSample included an oversample of Blacks. The results were weighted to be representative of a

    national adult population.

    Segovia and DeFever382

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    9/21

    illegal immigrants took jobs Americans needed; by 2007, however, only

    27 percent reported believing this (table 13). It is worth tracking this into

    the future as the supply of higher-skilled workers is stressed and more

    employers are looking to import engineers and scientists to deal with

    looming shortages in such fields (Saxenian, 2002).

    Table 11. Immigrants: Jobs from Americans? Now Id like you to thinkspecifically about recent immigrants. What I mean are people who have cometo the United States to live and work in the past 10 years or so... Do you think

    recent immigrants take away jobs from Americans who want them or not?

    NPR/Kaiser/

    Harvard

    Foundation for

    Ethnic Understandinga

    5/04

    (%)

    9/05

    (%)

    Yes/Agree 46 35

    No/Disagree 52 58

    Neither agree nor disagree N/A 5

    Dont know 1 2

    N 1,888 1,388

    aNow I am going to read you some statements that people have made about immigration, and I

    would like you to tell me if you agree or disagree with that statement... Immigrants take away jobs

    from Americans. Sample included oversamples of Blacks, Hispanics, and Jewish Americans. The

    results are weighted to be representative of a national adult population.

    Table 12. Immigrants: Jobs Americans Dont Want? Do you think theimmigrants coming to this country today mostly take jobs away from Amer-

    ican citizens, or do they mostly take jobs Americans dont want?

    CBS NYT CBS/NYT CBS/NYT CBS/NYT

    1/94

    (%)

    12/95

    (%)

    2/96

    (%)

    7/03a

    (%)

    1/04

    (%)

    Take jobs away 31 36 39 30 39

    Take unwanted jobs 52 55 51 59 53

    Both 10 N/A 7 6 4

    No opinion 7 10 3 5 4

    N 1,210 1,265 1,223 3,092 1,022

    aSample included an oversample of Hispanics. The results were weighted to be representative

    of a national adult population.

    Poll Trends Immigrants and Immigration Policy 383

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    10/21

    IMMIGRATION POLICIES AND POLITICAL FIGURES HANDLING OF IMMIGRATION

    ISSUES

    Policymakers have proposed a variety of possible solutions to the immigration

    controversy, including stricter border enforcement, stricter and more certain

    penalties for those who aid or employ immigrants, felony status for those con-

    Table 14. Identification Policies. Do you believe everyone in the UnitedStates should be required to carry an identification card containing, amongother things, his picture and his fingerprints?

    GALLUP ABC/WPaGALLUP/CNN/USA

    TODAYb

    1/42(%)

    10/01(%)

    01/02(%)

    Favor 69 66 54

    Oppose 25 32 43

    No opinion/DK 6 2 3

    N 1,500c 756 1,008

    aWould you support or oppose a law requiring all adults in this country to carry a national

    identification card that includes information such as their photograph and Social Security number?

    Interviews by TNS Research.bWould you support or oppose a law requiring all adults in this country to carry a national

    identification card that includes information such as their photograph and Social Security number?cSample size is approximate.

    Table 13. Immigrants Take Jobs from Americans Who Need Them. Doyou think illegal immigrants mostly take jobs that nobody wants, or do theymostly take jobs away from Americans who need them?

    LAT CBS/NYT LAT CBS/NYT LAT

    3/81

    (%)

    5/06a

    (%)

    6/06

    (%)

    5/07

    (%)

    6/07

    (%)

    Jobs nobody wants 48 53 51 59 56

    Jobs Americans need 40 36 27 30 27

    Both N/A 9 17 9 11

    Not sure/DK 12 2 5 2 6

    N 1,681 1,241 1,321 1,125 1,183

    a

    Sample included an oversample of those 65 years and older. The results were weighted to berepresentative of a national adult population.

    Segovia and DeFever384

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    11/21

    Table 16. Erecting a Wall Along the Border with Mexico. Please tell mewhether you would generally favor or oppose each of the following stepswhich have been proposed for reducing illegal immigration into the UnitedStates Erecting a wall along the border with Mexico?

    GALLUPa

    TIME/

    CNN/

    YPb GALLUPa

    FOXc

    Registered

    voters TIME/ SRBIb

    FOXc

    Registered

    voters

    7/93

    (%)

    9/93

    (%)

    7/95

    (%)

    10/05

    (%)

    3/06

    (%)

    4/06

    (%)

    Favor 21 29 35 51 56 50

    Oppose 71 68 62 37 40 43

    Depends * * * * * 3

    DK 2 4 3 12 3 4N 1,002 1,108 801 900 1,004 900

    NOTE.The asterisks indicate not applicable.aThere have been several proposals regarding how to deal with the issue of illegal immigration.

    Please tell me if you favor or oppose each of the following... Building a wall or security fence

    along the U.S./Mexico border to stop illegal immigration?bHere are some policies that have been suggested to deal with illegal immigrants. Would you

    favor or oppose... Building a security fence along the 2,000-mile U.S.-Mexican border to stop the

    flow of illegals across that border?cDo you favor or oppose a proposal to build a 2,000-mile-long security fence along the U.S./

    Mexico border to stop illegal immigration?

    Table 15. Military Personnel to Secure Borders. Im going to read you afew ways that have been suggested to increase our border security. For eachone Id like you to tell me if you would or would not be in favor of it... Use

    military personnel to patrol the borders?

    ROPER ROPER a TIME/SRBIb TIME/SRBIb

    4/90

    (%)

    4/92

    (%)

    1/06

    (%)

    3/06

    (%)

    Favor 80 65 57 62

    Oppose 17 32 39 35

    DK/No answer 3 3 4 3

    N 1,144 1,100 1,002 1,004

    a

    Sample includes an oversample of Californians. The results were weighted to be representa-tive of a national adult population. Survey sponsored by the Federation for American Immigration

    Reform.bDo you favor or oppose...stopping illegal immigrants from entering the United States by taking

    whatever steps are necessary to guard the border with Mexico, including using U.S. military forces?

    Poll Trends Immigrants and Immigration Policy 385

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    12/21

    Status checking: Stemming perhaps from the inability to distinguish between

    immigrants that are in the country legally and those here illegally, proposals

    for national identification cards have been generally favored. For example, the

    proposal to oblige everyone to carry identification cards containing their

    picture andfingerprints was strongly favored in 1942 (69 percent; table 14). In

    2001, nearly 66 percent of Americans approved of requiring all adults in the

    United States to carry a national identification card that included information

    such as their photograph and Social Security number. A year later, in 2002,

    54 percent of Americans continued to approve of such a policy (table 14).Securing the nations borders: Public opinion over government policies

    Table 17. Opinions Concerning a Fence Along the U.S./Mexico Border.Would you favor or oppose each of the following proposals... Building a 700-mile-long fence on the border with Mexico?

    CNN CBS CNN CNN PEW CNN/ORCP

    4/06

    (%)

    4/06

    (%)

    10/06

    (%)

    9/06

    (%)

    12/06

    (%)

    5/07

    (%)

    Favor 47 48 45 54 46 45

    Oppose 47 48 53 44 48 53

    DK/No answer 6 4 2 2 6 2

    N 1,012 899 1,031 1,014 2,007 1,028

    Table 18. Minutemen: Vigilantes or Concerned Citizens? FOX/ODP: Doyou think the citizen volunteers known as Minutemen, who are patrollingthe borders, are best described as vigilantes who should leave patrolling to

    professional law enforcement, or as concerned citizens doing what the gov-ernment is not doing?

    4/05

    Registered

    voters(%)

    5/06

    Registered

    voters(%)

    Vigilantes 34 34

    Concerned citizens 44 46

    Havent heard about (vol.) 10 9

    DK 12 11

    N 900 900

    Segovia and DeFever386

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    13/21

    borders has gained and lost popularity over time. As of 2006, a solid majority

    (62 percent) favored such proposals, a sizeable decline from the 80 percent that

    favored this policy in 1990 (table 15). In addition, during the 1990s, 68 percent

    of Americans opposed building a security fence along the United States/Mexico

    border (Time 1993, in table 16). By 2006, however, opposition to building such

    a fence decreased to 43 percent (in table 16). Similarly, the American public

    has been reliably split on whether to erect a 700-mile-long fence along the

    United States/Mexico border (table 17). In 2007, a slim majority of 53 per-

    cent opposed it (table 17) Along the veins of protecting the borders in

    Table 19. Policies for Handling Immigrants Already Here. GALLUP/USA Today: Which comes closest to your view about what government policyshould be toward illegal immigrants currently residing in the United States?

    Should the government deport all illegal immigrants back to their home coun-try; allow illegal immigrants to remain in the United States in order to work,

    but only for a limited amount of time; or allow illegal immigrants to remain inthe United States and become U.S. citizens, but only if they meet certain re-quirements over a period of time?

    4/06

    (%)

    5/06

    (%)

    6/06a

    (%)

    3/07

    (%)

    Deport all 18 21 16 24

    Remain in the U.S. in order to work 17 15 17 15

    Remain in the U.S. and become citizen 63 61 66 59 No opinion 2 3 1 2

    N 1,004 1,013 2,032 1,010

    aSample included oversamples of Blacks and Hispanics. The results were weighted to be

    representative of a national adult population.

    Table 20. Citizenship for Illegal Immigrants. GALLUP: Do you think theUnited States should or should not make it easier for illegal immigrants to

    become citizens of the United States?

    8/01

    (%)

    1/04

    (%)

    6/05a

    (%)

    Should 28 23 28

    Should not 67 74 70

    No opinion 5 3 2

    N 814 1,003 2,264

    aSample included oversamples of Blacks and Hispanics. Results are weighted to be represen-

    tative of a national adult population.

    Poll Trends Immigrants and Immigration Policy 387

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    14/21

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    15/21

    variation in the precise mechanisms involved in allowing illegal immigrants

    the option of remaining in the United States and becoming citizens, most

    Americans (59 percent) favor allowing illegal immigrants the option of

    remaining in the United States and becoming citizens (table 19).

    EVALUATIONS OF GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS HANDLING OF IMMIGRATION ISSUES

    Alth h A i f i i ti li th

    Table 24. Immigration Policy. Do you think immigration policy in thiscountry works pretty well and requires only minor changes, do you think itneeds major changes, or do you think it needs to be completely rebuilt?

    PEW/PSRA CBS/NYTa

    2/06(%) 5/07(%)

    Only minor changes 23 8

    Major changes 41 41

    Completely rebuilt 27 49

    DK/R 9 2

    N 1,502 1,125

    aWhich of the following three statements comes closest to expressing your overall view of

    immigration policy in the United States? ... On the whole, our immigration policy works pretty

    well and only minor changes are necessary to make it work better. There are some good things inour immigration policy, but fundamental changes are needed. Our immigration policy has so

    much wrong with it that we need to completely rebuild it.

    Table 23. Is the Government Doing Enough with Respect to Illegal Immi-gration? ABC/WP: Do you think the United States is or is not doing enough tokeep illegal immigrants from coming into this country? (If doing/not doing

    enough, ask:) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

    1/05

    (%)

    8/05a

    (%)

    12/05a

    (%)

    4/06a

    (%)

    5/06a

    (%)

    Yes, doing enough, strongly 9 11 8 7 9

    Yes, doing enough, somewhat 11 9 12 14 11

    No, not doing enough, somewhat 18 18 20 19 19

    No, not doing enough, strongly 58 62 59 56 58

    No opinion 4 1 2 4 4

    N 1,007 1,006 1,003 1,027 1,103

    aInterviews were conducted by TNS Research.

    Poll Trends Immigrants and Immigration Policy 389

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    16/21

    to keep illegal immigrants from coming to the country, 77 percent in 2006

    said that it was not (table 23). In 2006, only 20 percent of respondents said

    they approved of the way Congress was handling the nations immigration

    policy (table 23). In fact, most Americans think that U.S. immigration policy

    is in need of major change or should be completely rebuilt. The changes in

    opinions regarding this issue are notable. When this question was asked in

    2006, only 27 percent of Americans thought that U.S. immigration policy

    needed rebuilding (table 24). A year later, perhaps as a reflection of the heated

    immigration policy debates in Congress after the introduction of the Sensen- brenner bill, 49 percent of Americans thought that this should occur

    Table 25. Political Parties: Right Decision. CBS/NYT: Regardless of howyou usually vote, do you think the Republican Party or the Democratic Partyis more likely to make the right decisions when it comes to dealing with im-

    migration issues?

    12/05

    (%)

    4/06

    (%)

    5/06a

    (%)

    5/07

    (%)

    Republican 32 31 29 32

    Democratic 38 43 45 44

    Both (vol.) 4 4 4 1

    Neither (vol.) 9 8 5 7

    DK 17 14 16 16

    N 1,155 899 1,241 1,125

    aSample included an oversample of those over 65 years of age. The results were weighted to be

    representative of a national adult population.

    Table 26. Party Politics: Better Job. NBC/WSJ/Hart and McInturff Re-search Companies: When it comes to...dealing with immigration, which partydo you think will do a better jobthe Democratic Party, the Republican Party,or both about the same? If you think that neither would do a good job, please

    just say so.

    11/05

    (%)

    6/06

    (%)

    1/07

    (%)

    Democratic 25 27 31

    Republican 19 24 21

    About the same 21 22 23

    Neither (vol.) 26 20 19

    Not sure 9 7 6

    N 1,003 1,002 1,007

    Segovia and DeFever390

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    17/21

    (table 24). Another interpretation for the percentage variation, however, might

    simply be a wording difference in the questions in table 24, which, although

    similar, were not identical.3

    Democrats and Republicans: Public opinion demonstrates consistent varia-

    tion across surveys in the trust Americans have that one party will more

    capably handle immigration issues (tables 25 and 26). Americans think that

    Democrats are more likely than Republicans to make the right decisions when

    it comes to dealing with immigration (table 25). Since 2006, public opinion

    has additionally rated the Democratic Party 12 percentage points higher thanthe Republican Party on this issue (table 25).

    Table 27. President Clinton and Immigration. CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP: Thinking about some issues, do you approve or disapprove ofthe way President Bill Clinton is handling...immigration?

    11/93

    (%)

    4/94a

    (%)

    Approve 33 28

    Disapprove 51 55

    DK/R 16 17

    N 1,003 1,246

    aSample included an oversample of Blacks. The results were weighted to be representative of a

    national adult population.

    Table 28. Rating of Clinton Administrations Handling of ImmigrationPolicy. GALLUP/CCFR: How do you rate the Clinton administrationshandling of the following problems? Would you say the administrationshandling of...immigration policy...has been excellent, good, fair, or poor?

    10/94

    (%)

    10/98

    (%)

    Excellent 2 6

    Good 13 22

    Fair 25 30

    Poor 53 29

    Not sure 7 13

    N 1,492 1,507

    NOTE.Based on personal interviews. Both studies also included separate samples of opinion

    leaders. The leaders were asked many of the same questions. These results are available from the

    Roper Center.

    Poll Trends Immigrants and Immigration Policy 391

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    18/21

    Table 29. President Bush and Immigration. CBS/NYT: Do you approve ordisapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the issue of immigration?

    10/05

    (%)

    5/06a

    (%)

    5/07

    (%)

    Approve 21 26 27

    Disapprove 53 58 60

    DK/Refused 26 16 13

    N 808 1,125 1,125

    aSample included an oversample of those 65 years and older. Results are weighted to be rep-

    resentative of a national adult population.

    Table 30. Approval of President Bushs Handling of Immigration Policy.Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling thenation's immigration policy?

    ABCa PEW/PSRA PEW/PSRA PEW/PSRA

    1/04

    (%)

    10/05

    (%)

    2/06

    (%)

    4/06

    (%)

    Approve 34 24 23 25

    Disapprove 56 54 57 62

    DK/Refused 10 22 20 13

    N 1,036 1,003 2,006 1,001

    aInterviews conducted by TNS Research.

    Table 31. Approval of President Bushs Handling of Immigration Issues.ABC/WP: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is han-dling...immigration issues?

    1/05

    (%)

    8/05a

    (%)

    5/06a

    (%)

    5/07a,b

    (%)

    Approve 33 33 34 29

    Disapprove 54 57 56 64

    DK/Refused 13 10 10 8

    N 1,007 1,006 1,103 1,205

    aInterviews conducted by TNS Research.bSample included an oversample of Blacks. The results were weighted to be representative of a

    national adult population.

    Segovia and DeFever392

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    19/21

    Between 1993 and 1994, just over half disapproved of the way President

    Clinton handled immigration (table 27). Although President Clintons

    approval ratings on handling immigration policy significantly improved from

    1994 to 1998, less than one in three said he was doing an excellent or goodjob in this area in 1998 (table 28).

    When it comes to immigration issues, however, President Bush has among

    the highest disapproval ratings of any public servant (tables 2931). Sixty

    percent of the American population disapproves of President Bushs handling

    of the matter (table 29). The percentage of disapproval exceeds that of any

    other governmental official or political party. His disapproval rating on han-

    dling the nations immigration policy increased from 56 percent in 2004 to

    62 percent in 2006 (table 30). President Bushs disapproval ratings in handling

    immigration issues reached an all-time high in May 2007, with a solid majoritydisapproving of his performance (64 percent; table 31).

    Conclusions

    To date, less extreme attitudes are revealed in the publics opinion of certain

    policies as compared to the 1990s. The majority of Americans continue to

    espouse status-checking policies obliging everyone in the United States to

    carry identification cards. There has been a general decrease in the publics

    support of security measures entailing the building of fences and walls. Inaddition, the majority of Americans espouse some form of policy allowing

    illegal immigrants the option of remaining in the United States. There

    appears, however, to be increasingly extreme and clearly negative attitudes

    as to whether the government and public servants can effectively implement

    these policies.

    Spanning what will now be over a decade, public opinion on immigration

    indicates an increasing lack of confidence in U.S. leaders abilities to address

    immigration issues. To date, the Senate, unable to find common ground, has

    turned down an immigration bill that would have called for the biggest changein immigration laws in more than 20 years (Pear and Hulse, 2007). Supporters

    of the bill argued, among other things, for the necessity to immediately

    address the 12 million illegal immigrants already here. Opponents of the bill,

    however, called it a form of amnesty for lawbreakers. The debate in the Senate

    reflects the nations division over immigration. It is likely that debates about

    different policies will only intensify in the future, when a new effort to start a

    comprehensive reform is undertaken.

    References

    Poll Trends Immigrants and Immigration Policy 393

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    20/21

    Lapinski, John, Pia Peltola, Greg Shaw, and Alan Yang. 1997. Trends: Immigrants and Immi-

    gration. Public Opinion Quarterly 61:35683.

    Neiman, Max. 2007. Personal Communication. Public Policy Institute of California.

    Pear, Robert, and Carl Hulse. 2007. Immigrant Bill Dies in Senate; Defeat for Bush. New York

    Times, June 29, 2007.

    Saxenian, Anna Lee. 2002. Brain Circulation: How High-Skilled Immigration Makes Everyone

    Better Off. Brookings Review, Winter: 2831.

    Segovia and DeFever394

  • 8/3/2019 American Public Opinion on Immigrants & Immigration Policy

    21/21

    Copyright of Public Opinion Quarterly is the property of American Association for Public Opinion Research

    and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright

    holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use.