afghanistan scenarios 2020 18 march 2013
DESCRIPTION
Here are four scenarios for Afghanistan in 2020 based on current debates and discussions wit a view to promote discussion and work towards the best case scenario and avoid the worst case depicted in the last slide AnarchyTRANSCRIPT
AFGHANISTAN POSSIBLE SCENARIOS - 2020
Futuristic Scenarios Based on Current Debate (March 2013) for Discussion & to
Facilitate Working Towards Stability in Afghanistan and the region
MUDDLING THROUGH
STEADY BUT INTERRUPTED PROGRESS TOWARDS STABILITY
POCKETS OF RESISTANCE
GENERAL STABILITY BUT LARGE POCKETS REMAIN UNDER CONTROL OF ANTI GOVERNMENT FORCES
NORTH VERSUS SOUTH
DIVISION ON ETHNIC LINES
ANARCHY
COLLAPSE OF THE STATE & GENERAL DISORDER