a low carbon future for the tees valley · 2015-11-05 · future for the tees valley mark lewis...
TRANSCRIPT
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A Low Carbon
Future for the Tees
Valley
Mark Lewis
October 2015
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Why worry?
Can we do it?
What are others doing?
What is UK doing?
What is Teesside doing?
What more could we do?
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MUIR GLACIER NOW: By 2005, Muir Glacier had retreated more than 31 miles. Although this
picture was taken from the same location as the early black-and-white photograph, the glacier is
completely out of view.
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UK contribution
2Degrees means global level of emissions in 2050 of
around 20-24 gigatonnes CO2e
A 50% reduction in emissions as against recent levels.
Projected global population in 2050 of around 9 billion,
Per capita emissions averaging around 2 tonnes CO2e.
Emissions of 2 tCO2e/capita in the UK = emissions
reduction target of 80% in 2050 relative to 1990.
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Lord Oxburgh of Liverpool, former Shell chairman:"The government has no room for complacency if it wants to deliver effective
decarbonisation at low cost. The Prime Minister has promised leadership in talks on
a new UN climate agreement, but leadership comes from what you do, not what
you say.
"Ministers need to come forward very soon with coherent policies on energy
efficiency, low-carbon transport, renewable heat and renewable electricity,
otherwise the UK will fall behind other nations and lose its moral authority on the
international stage."
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Why worry?
Can we do it?
What are others doing
What is UK doing?
What is Teesside doing?
What more could we do?
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“The UK can implement an
affordable 35-year transition to a low
carbon energy system (1-2% of GDP)
by refining, commercialising and
integrating known but currently
underdeveloped solutions.”
ETI
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Cement Manufacture
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Around 7-8MtCO2 is being
captured annually from
CCS in industry. Where
CCS is not cost-effective,
industrial emitters
increase the mix of
biomass in their energy
supply. Other industrial
users purchase hydrogen
Within heavy goods vehicles
(HGVs), liquid fuel remains
the dominant solution in the
medium term. In later
decades
more advanced gas-fuelled
hybrid vehicles become
increasingly competitive
By 2050 heat pumps and
district heating provide
the bulk of heat supply,
supplemented by direct
electric heating, with gas
relegated to a backup role
By 2050 the
capacity from
nuclear,
CCS and
renewables
is reasonably
balanced
Decarbonisation has to be balanced
against two other priorities:
minimising disruption to lifestyles
and facilitating economic growth.
These priorities create a focus on
solutions that are likely to be cheaper
from an overall systems perspective
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Failure to develop CCS in time
contributes to the decline of UK
industry. Offshoring industrial
activity
increases exposure to the higher
emissions embedded in imports
UK-based
refineries are
likely to shut
as petrol/diesel
use drops away,
but imports of
refined fuels
will still be
required e.g.
aviation fuels
In some locations the
local gas distribution
grid is decommissioned
entirely. Electric heating
becomes increasingly
important as a source of
back-up supply by 2050
Renewables
grow to
account for
the majority
of electricity
generation
In this scenario, affordable
carbon abatement is a priority,
but it is viewed through a
broader lens of sustainability
and social values
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Why worry?
Can we do it?
What are others doing ?
What is UK doing?
What is Teesside doing?
What more could we do?
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“We believe we as a country
can be a trailblazer for a new
age of renewable energy
sources. ...We can be the
first major industrialised
country that achieves the
transition to renewable
energy with all the
opportunities – for exports,
development, technology,
jobs – it carries with it.”
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“We believe we as a country
can be a trailblazer for a new
age of renewable energy
sources. ...We can be the
first major industrialised
country that achieves the
transition to renewable
energy with all the
opportunities – for exports,
development, technology,
jobs – it carries with it.”
Angela Merkel
Die Energiewende
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Transforming an energy system
Germany's government laid out its energy reform plans in 2010, looking
40 years ahead. The plan requires a radical overhaul of Germany's
electricity generation, heating systems, and energy efficiency standards.
The economics and environment ministries declared the Energiewende
would make Germany"one of the most energy-efficient and greenest
economies in the world while enjoying competitive energy prices and a
high level of prosperity."
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Renewables in Germany
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Emissions Cap-and-trade
•Capping emissions: The largest carbon polluters are
allocated, or buy, a pre-set number of “allowances” allowing
them to emit GHGs.
•Driving decarbonisation: The total cap diminishes
progressively over time.
•Trading allowances: Companies that emit less than the
volume of allowances they hold may sell the allowances they
saved to companies who have emitted too much.
•Enhancing flexibility: Companies can bring “credits”
generated in international mitigation projects to “offset” some
of their emissions under the cap.
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Why worry?
Can we do it?
What are others doing ?
What is UK doing?
What is Teesside doing?
What more could we do?
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UK Policy
• to develop affordable and secure sources of energy
supply which also reduce greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions
• to integrate future demand and energy supply into
a flexible, secure and resilient energy system
• to reduce GHG emissions at point of use.
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Why worry?
Can we do it?
What are others doing ?
What is UK doing?
What is Teesside doing?
What more could we do?
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Why is Teesside a Low Carbon
target?
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Low Carbon
Transition
1
Resource
& Energy
Symbiosis2
Renewables
•Biomass
•Wind
•PV
•Nuclear
3
CCS& U
4
Unconven-
tional
Feedstocks
5
H2
Economy
6 Finance
&
Marketing
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Video
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Hydrogen for
Transport
Energy Storage
Gas
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Worlds Largest Electrolyser
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Low Carbon Energy in the Tees Valley
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Anaerobic
Digestion
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>3,000 billion tonnes (possibly as much as 23,000 billion tonnes of coal plus
more than 13,000 tcf of shale gas)
UK Coal Resource
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UCG – underground coal
gasification
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Biomass / Coal
Gasification
Syngas
Boiler
Power Gen
Steam&Power
Gas turbine
Combined Cycle
IC Engine
Fuel Cells
Refinery
Hydrotreating
Transportation
fuels
Fuel cells
Chemicals
Fertilizers
Hydrogen
Fischer-
Tropsch
Methanol
Ethanol
Formaldehyde Methyl Acetate Acetic Acid
DME
Ethylene
Propylene
Acetic Anhydride VAM
PVA
Ketene
Diketene & Derivatives
Acetiv Esters
Gasoline
Polyolefins
Oxy Chemicals
Wax
Diesel/
Kerosene
Gasoline Naphtha
Syngas Applications & Synergy For
Chemical/Process Industry
2nd generationbiofuel
Heat and Power application
(Bio)refineries
MTBE
Gas-to-Liquid Fuel
Gas-to-Chemicals
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Energy from Waste - gasification
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Heat Networks
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Industrial Symbiosis – Kalundborg Denmark
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Coal
INNOVATION CENTRES - CPI, NIBF, ADDC, TTC
(Supporting Advanced Technologies in the Tees Valley)
Existing Investment (CPI)
WATER MANAGEMENT
(Supporting Advanced Technologies in the Tees Valley)
Existing Investment (NWL)
GASIFICATION PLANTS
Planned/Potential Plants
Syngas
BIOREFINERY
Bio based Processing
Potential Investment
Renewable Fuel
ELECTRICITY
GENERATION
PLANT
Planned ProjectsElectricity GRID/ Industrial
Networks
Existing or Potential
Infrastructure
IGCC
GASIFICATION
Potential Investment
WASTE REFINERY
DEPOLYMERISATION PLANT
Plastics
Metals, Glass
Recycling & Reuse
CRACKER
Existing Investment
CO2
CCS
Potential Investment
Underground Storage
EOR
Biodiesel PLANT
Existing Investment
Bio Ethanol
Existing Investment
COMBUSTION PLANT
Existing Investment
Integrated Petrochemicals/Metals/Bio resources/Energy Cluster:
Ethane
Vegetable Oils e.g. Rape Seed, UCO, Tallow
High Starch Wheat/Maize
Chemicals/Materials
(inc from bio based recovery)
Woody Biomass - Various Local, UK
Waste Feedstock - Various Local, Imported
UCG
Potential Investment
Other FermentationProducts
Co/By productse.g. Animal feed
Iron/Steel
Existing Investment
AD Energy
Existing Investment
Gas
Process Plants
Existing/Future
Investment
Renewables –
wind, Solar
Heat
Feedstock ProductsKey
Gas grid
Residuals
Heat
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Why worry?
Can we do it?
What are others doing ?
What is UK doing?
What is Teesside doing?
What more could we do?
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What else?
Waste Hierachy
Behaviours
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Thank You