2005 pan american health organization “the caribbean chronic disease epidemic: what we know… and...

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2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator, Chronic Disease Prevention and Control PAHO/WHO, Washington, DC

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Page 1: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

“The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and

what we need to know”

C. James Hospedales

Coordinator, Chronic Disease Prevention and Control

PAHO/WHO, Washington, DC

“The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and

what we need to know”

C. James Hospedales

Coordinator, Chronic Disease Prevention and Control

PAHO/WHO, Washington, DC

Page 2: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

OverviewOverview• Public Health Surveillance framework and Data Sources• Situation

– Mortality– Morbidity: obesity, hypertension, heart disease, diabetes,

cancer– Risk factors - physical activity, diet/nutrition, tobacco, alcohol– Determinants– Costs of the epidemic

• Response– Review of Port-of-Spain Declaration– Policies & Programs, from 2007 National NCD capacity survey– Coverage and quality of care

• Conclusions and way forward

• Public Health Surveillance framework and Data Sources• Situation

– Mortality– Morbidity: obesity, hypertension, heart disease, diabetes,

cancer– Risk factors - physical activity, diet/nutrition, tobacco, alcohol– Determinants– Costs of the epidemic

• Response– Review of Port-of-Spain Declaration– Policies & Programs, from 2007 National NCD capacity survey– Coverage and quality of care

• Conclusions and way forward

Page 3: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Complex interplay of risk factors or determinantsComplex interplay of risk factors or determinants

Underlying socioeconomic,

cultural, political,

environmental determinants

Diabetes

Chronic respiratory diseases

Cancer

Stroke

Heart disease

Non-modifiable

risk Factors

Common modifiable risk factors

Main chronic

diseases

Overweight / obesity

Abnormal blood lipids

Raised blood

glucose

Raised blood

pressure

Intermediate risk factors

DietPhysical ActivityTobaccoAlcohol

AgeSexRace

PovertyEducationAgricultureTradeAccess to health services

Private sector forcesUrbanisationBuilt environmentMass Transport

Page 4: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

It wasn’t always so …It wasn’t always so …

• ‘In 1952 I was appointed resident cardiologist in the new University College Hospital at Mona. I saw my first case of Coronary Artery Disease in a native Jamaican in 1956, four years after I arrived, though I had seen CAD in tourists – that was merely 50 years ago. What has happened?’….

Sir Kenneth Stuart, Dean Emeritus, UWI School of Medicine at Crowne Plaza, Port of Spain, Sept 15, 2007

• ‘In 1952 I was appointed resident cardiologist in the new University College Hospital at Mona. I saw my first case of Coronary Artery Disease in a native Jamaican in 1956, four years after I arrived, though I had seen CAD in tourists – that was merely 50 years ago. What has happened?’….

Sir Kenneth Stuart, Dean Emeritus, UWI School of Medicine at Crowne Plaza, Port of Spain, Sept 15, 2007

Page 5: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Public Health surveillancePublic Health surveillance

“… the systematic and ongoing compilation, analysis and interpretation of data of specific events used for planning, executing and evaluating of public health practice”.

Thacker, SB, Stroup DF. Future directions of comprehensive public health surveillance and health information systems in the United States. Am. J Epidemiology, 1994; 140:1-15.

• More than just counting cases and risk factors, public health surveillance includes monitoring policies, program performance, coverage, etc

“… the systematic and ongoing compilation, analysis and interpretation of data of specific events used for planning, executing and evaluating of public health practice”.

Thacker, SB, Stroup DF. Future directions of comprehensive public health surveillance and health information systems in the United States. Am. J Epidemiology, 1994; 140:1-15.

• More than just counting cases and risk factors, public health surveillance includes monitoring policies, program performance, coverage, etc

Page 6: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

SOURCES OF DATASOURCES OF DATA• Vital Statistics Mortality or death rates – Ministries, CAREC,

PAHO/WHO• Population and Demographic data – Ministries, CSOs• Risk Factors

– Pan Am STEPS: Risk factors and prevention practices surveys: Adults 20+ years – CAREC/PAHO & Ministries of Health

– Global School Health Survey (GSHS), Children 13-15 years; PAHO/WHO– Global Adult & Youth Tobacco Surveys (GATS, GYTS); PAHO/WHO– National food consumption patterns (CFNI)

• Morbidity– Administrative/Hospitalisation data, Amputations, Blindness, End stage

renal failure -- Ministries of Health– Registries

• Cancer Trinidad & Tobago, Jamaica• Diabetes and/or Hypertension (Some ministries, some NGOs• Stroke – Barbados CHRC/MOH

• National capacity and policy response survey; 2005, 2007 PAHO• Costs and economic impact, special studies – UWI and ?others • Coverage & quality of care; few special studies, CHRC, UWI, PAHO

but No System• NCD Knowledge and Attitudes ?NO SYSTEM

• Vital Statistics Mortality or death rates – Ministries, CAREC, PAHO/WHO

• Population and Demographic data – Ministries, CSOs• Risk Factors

– Pan Am STEPS: Risk factors and prevention practices surveys: Adults 20+ years – CAREC/PAHO & Ministries of Health

– Global School Health Survey (GSHS), Children 13-15 years; PAHO/WHO– Global Adult & Youth Tobacco Surveys (GATS, GYTS); PAHO/WHO– National food consumption patterns (CFNI)

• Morbidity– Administrative/Hospitalisation data, Amputations, Blindness, End stage

renal failure -- Ministries of Health– Registries

• Cancer Trinidad & Tobago, Jamaica• Diabetes and/or Hypertension (Some ministries, some NGOs• Stroke – Barbados CHRC/MOH

• National capacity and policy response survey; 2005, 2007 PAHO• Costs and economic impact, special studies – UWI and ?others • Coverage & quality of care; few special studies, CHRC, UWI, PAHO

but No System• NCD Knowledge and Attitudes ?NO SYSTEM

Page 7: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Biochemical – Glucose and Cholesterol

Anthropometry – Height, Weight, Waist Circumference

Behavioral Risks, e.g., tobacco & alcohol, diet, physical activity, and Demographics

1

1

2

3

Page 8: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Mortality and MorbidityMortality and Morbidity

Page 9: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Leading causes of death in CAREC countries, latest 3 years available, around 2005

Leading causes of death in CAREC countries, latest 3 years available, around 2005

1. Ischemic heart disease2. Cerebrovascular disease3. Diabetes4. HIV/AIDS5. Malignant neoplasm of

Prostate6. Hypertensive disease7. Land transport accidents8. Assault (homicide)9. Certain conditions

originating in perinatal period

10.Influenza and pneumonia

1. Ischemic heart disease2. Cerebrovascular disease3. Diabetes4. HIV/AIDS5. Malignant neoplasm of

Prostate6. Hypertensive disease7. Land transport accidents8. Assault (homicide)9. Certain conditions

originating in perinatal period

10.Influenza and pneumonia

1. Cerebrovascular disease2. Ischemic heart disease3. Diabetes4. Hypertensive disease5. HIV/AIDS6. Heart failure / complications

ill-defined heart disease7. Influenza and pneumonia8. Malignant neoplasm of

female breast9. Certain conditions

originating in perinatal period

10.Malignant neoplasm of uterus

1. Cerebrovascular disease2. Ischemic heart disease3. Diabetes4. Hypertensive disease5. HIV/AIDS6. Heart failure / complications

ill-defined heart disease7. Influenza and pneumonia8. Malignant neoplasm of

female breast9. Certain conditions

originating in perinatal period

10.Malignant neoplasm of uterus

Males Females

Page 10: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Potential Years of Life Lost <65yrs by cause, CARICOM countries, 2000 & 2004 (minus Jamaica)

0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000

Cancer

Heart Dis

Diabetes

Stroke

Chron Resp

All NCDs

HIV/AIDS

Injuries

Dis

ease

PYLL

Potential Years of Life Lost <65yrs by cause, CARICOM countries, 2000 & 2004 (minus Jamaica)

0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000

Cancer

Heart Dis

Diabetes

Stroke

Chron Resp

All NCDs

HIV/AIDS

Injuries

Dis

ease

PYLL

20042000

Source: CAREC, based on mortality data from countries

Page 11: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Age adjusted death rates/100,000 population - 2000 (PAHO / Alleyne)

0

50

100

150

Baham

as

Barbad

os

Guyan

a

Jam

aica

TRT

Canada

USA

Dea

th R

ate/

100,

000

Hypertension Isch. Heart Disease Diabetes

Page 12: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Caribbean trends in Diabetes Mortality

Caribbean trends in Diabetes Mortality

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Ra

te/1

00

,00

0

1985 1990 1995 2000

Male

Female

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Ra

te/1

00

,00

0

1985 1990 1995 2000

Male

Female

Page 13: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Country Years

Anguilla 1973-2006a

Antigua and Barbuda 1960-2004a

Aruba 1987-2006a

Bahamas 1964-2000a

Barbados 1960-2000a Belize 1960-2004a

Bermuda 1960-2002a

Cayman Islands 1973-2004a

Dominica 1960-2004a French Guiana 1960-2005a

Grenada 1960-2002a

Guadeloupe 1960-2005a

Guyana 1960-2005a

Country Years

Anguilla 1973-2006a

Antigua and Barbuda 1960-2004a

Aruba 1987-2006a

Bahamas 1964-2000a

Barbados 1960-2000a Belize 1960-2004a

Bermuda 1960-2002a

Cayman Islands 1973-2004a

Dominica 1960-2004a French Guiana 1960-2005a

Grenada 1960-2002a

Guadeloupe 1960-2005a

Guyana 1960-2005a

Country Years

Haiti 1977-2004a

Jamaica 1960-1991a

Martinique 1960-2005a

Montserrat 1960-2003a

St. Kitts and Nevis 1960-1972a,b

1973-2005a

St. Lucia 1960-2002a

St. Vincent andGrenadines 1960-2003a

Suriname 1961-2005a Trinidad and Tobago 1960-2004 Turks & Caicos 1973-2005a Virgin Islands (UK) 1960-2003a Virgin Islands (US) 1960-2005a

Country Years

Haiti 1977-2004a

Jamaica 1960-1991a

Martinique 1960-2005a

Montserrat 1960-2003a

St. Kitts and Nevis 1960-1972a,b

1973-2005a

St. Lucia 1960-2002a

St. Vincent andGrenadines 1960-2003a

Suriname 1961-2005a Trinidad and Tobago 1960-2004 Turks & Caicos 1973-2005a Virgin Islands (UK) 1960-2003a Virgin Islands (US) 1960-2005a

Status of death registration data in the PAHO Regional Mortality System for Caribbean countries (30 August 2008)

a Incomplete series with data not available for some yearsb Includes Anguilla

Page 14: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

NCD Risk Factors in Caribbean (based on national STEPS RF studies on adults 25-64 yrs, 2006-

07)

NCD Risk Factors in Caribbean (based on national STEPS RF studies on adults 25-64 yrs, 2006-

07)

• Overweight (BMI>25) 45.1% - 80.9%• Obese (BMI>30) 20.2% - 53.0%• Alcohol consumption( daily) 28.7% - 55.7%• Smoking ( daily) 6.6% - 26.7% • Low levels of Physical activity 24.0% - 52.3%• Raised Blood pressure ( 160/100) 6.9% - 25.8%• Raised Blood glucose 7.2% - 14.9%

• Percentage with Low risk 0.6% - 2.8%• Percentage with raised risk 28.7% -67.5%

• Source PAHO/CAREC/Countries STEPs surveys

• Overweight (BMI>25) 45.1% - 80.9%• Obese (BMI>30) 20.2% - 53.0%• Alcohol consumption( daily) 28.7% - 55.7%• Smoking ( daily) 6.6% - 26.7% • Low levels of Physical activity 24.0% - 52.3%• Raised Blood pressure ( 160/100) 6.9% - 25.8%• Raised Blood glucose 7.2% - 14.9%

• Percentage with Low risk 0.6% - 2.8%• Percentage with raised risk 28.7% -67.5%

• Source PAHO/CAREC/Countries STEPs surveys

Page 15: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Pre

vale

nce

(%

)

1970s 1980s 1990s

YEARS

Trends in Adult Overweight/Obesityin the Caribbean

Male

Female

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Pre

vale

nce

(%

)

1970s 1980s 1990s

YEARS

Trends in Adult Overweight/Obesityin the Caribbean

Male

Female

Page 16: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Prevalence (%) of diabetes among adults in the AmericasPrevalence (%) of diabetes among adults in the Americas

6.16.3

7.27.27.37.67.67.98.28.48.68.799.3

10.711.812.412.612.7

16.4

Honduras

Chile

Urban Peru

Paraguay

Haiti

Brazil

Argentina

Costa Rica

Colombia

Guatemala

Bolivia

Suriname

Nicaragua

USA

Mexico

Cuba

Belize

Jamaica

Trinidad/Tobago

Barbados

6.16.3

7.27.27.37.67.67.98.28.48.68.799.3

10.711.812.412.612.7

16.4

Honduras

Chile

Urban Peru

Paraguay

Haiti

Brazil

Argentina

Costa Rica

Colombia

Guatemala

Bolivia

Suriname

Nicaragua

USA

Mexico

Cuba

Belize

Jamaica

Trinidad/Tobago

Barbados

Source: Pan Am J Public Health 10(5), 2001; unpublished (CAMDI), Haiti (Diabetic Medicine); USA (Cowie, Diabetes Care)

Page 17: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Prevalence of Hypertension in Adults 25 - 64 years

Prevalence of Hypertension in Adults 25 - 64 years

Barbados 27.2 % Jamaica 24.0 % St. Lucia 25.9 % The Bahamas 37.5% Belize 37.3%Trinidad TBD

Prevalence > age 40 yrs approximately doublesControl of blood pressure would reduce the

death rates from Cardiovascular Disease by about 15-20%.

Barbados 27.2 % Jamaica 24.0 % St. Lucia 25.9 % The Bahamas 37.5% Belize 37.3%Trinidad TBD

Prevalence > age 40 yrs approximately doublesControl of blood pressure would reduce the

death rates from Cardiovascular Disease by about 15-20%.

Page 18: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Potential Impact for BP and Cholesterol Control

Potential Impact for BP and Cholesterol Control

• Barbados: (Hennis et al, 2002)>40 yrs, HBP prevalence = 55%Awareness = 63%Treatment = 54%Control = 19%

treatment of those with chronic disease with aspirin and simple drugs to lower blood  pressure and cholesterol (18 million deaths averted  at a cost of $1.10 per year)

• Barbados: (Hennis et al, 2002)>40 yrs, HBP prevalence = 55%Awareness = 63%Treatment = 54%Control = 19%

treatment of those with chronic disease with aspirin and simple drugs to lower blood  pressure and cholesterol (18 million deaths averted  at a cost of $1.10 per year)

Page 19: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Sedentary Activity by Area among Countries

Sedentary Activity by Area among Countries

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Urban Rural KMA

Trinidad

Jamaica

Page 20: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Relation of Fitness to Risk of Death, T&T, St. James Cardiovascular StudyRelation of Fitness to Risk of Death, T&T, St. James Cardiovascular Study

• 1,309 men had blood sugar, cholesterol, fitness measured at baseline and then followed up carefully for 7 years.

• Unfit men compared with fit men were: - 3.6 times more likely to die - 2.5 times more likely to have a heart

attack

• 1,309 men had blood sugar, cholesterol, fitness measured at baseline and then followed up carefully for 7 years.

• Unfit men compared with fit men were: - 3.6 times more likely to die - 2.5 times more likely to have a heart

attack

Page 21: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Trends in Fat Consumption in the Caribbean1961-2003

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

1961-63 1971-73 1981-83 1991-93 2001-2003

Calor

ies/ca

put/d

ay

Imported

Local

GOAL

Source: CFNI

Page 22: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Trends in Sugar Consumption in the Caribbean1961-2003

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

1961-63 1971-73 1981-83 1991-93 2001-2003

Calor

ies/ca

put/d

ay

Local Imported GOAL

Page 23: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Trends in Fruit and Vegetable Consumption in the Caribbean1961-2003

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

1961-63 1971-73 1981-83 1991-93 2001-2003

calori

es/cap

ut/da

y

Local Imported Goal

Page 24: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Tobacco Smoking in Adults in the Caribbean

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%

St. Vincent Jamaica Trinidad &Tobago

St. Lucia

Male Female

Page 25: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Tobacco PrevalenceTobacco Prevalence

Global Youth Tobacco Survey

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%

Baham

as

Surina

me

Guyan

a

Trinida

d & T

obag

oHait

i

Belize

Jam

aica

% c

urr

en

tly

us

ing

to

ba

cc

o Male Female

Page 26: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

$300

$450 200

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700

Current

Implementtax/otherpolicies

Revenue ($M USD) Lives saved (000s)

Tobacco control could save lives and raise revenue in CARICOM

Tobacco control could save lives and raise revenue in CARICOM

Source: Jha and Alleyne, 2007

Page 27: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

FCTC statusFCTC status

SIGNED, NOT YET RATIFIED

– Bahamas– Haiti– St Kitts and

Nevis– St. Vincent &

Grenadines– Suriname

SIGNED, NOT YET RATIFIED

– Bahamas– Haiti– St Kitts and

Nevis– St. Vincent &

Grenadines– Suriname

• SIGNED AND RATIFIED

– Trinidad & Tobago– Suriname– Guyana– Belize– Barbados– Jamaica– Antigua & Barbuda– Grenada– St. Lucia

• SIGNED AND RATIFIED

– Trinidad & Tobago– Suriname– Guyana– Belize– Barbados– Jamaica– Antigua & Barbuda– Grenada– St. Lucia

Page 28: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Source: Jha and Alleyne, 2007

Smoking deaths in CARCIOM (in thousands, indirect estimates)

Causes Men Women

Total

Due to smoki

ng

Total Due to smoking

Cancers 3.0 1.5 2.9 0.6

Vascular/diabetes

6.7 1.7 6.4 1.0

Respiratory 1.3 0.5 1.1 0.2

Other NCD 2.7 0.5 2.3 0.2

Tuberculosis 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1

TOTAL 14.1 4.4 13.0 2.1

30% of male deaths due to smoking? and 15% of females?

Page 29: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

GSHS in progress

GSHS completed

Colombia

Uruguay

Argentina

Chile

Guyana

Mexico

Ecuador

Cayman Islands

St. Lucia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines

Trinidad and Tobago

Grenada

Dominica

Bahamas

Montserrat

Nicaragua

Saint Kitts and Nevis

Venezuela

Anguilla

GLOBAL SCHOOL HEALTH SURVEY13-15 YEARS OLD

Page 30: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Percentage of Students Who Had at Least 1 Drink in the Past 30 Days

Percentage of Students Who Had at Least 1 Drink in the Past 30 Days

62.056.8

59.2

52.6

54.6

55.4

39.0

41.4

38.9

46.9

31.132.0

57.759.7

52.2

53.5

49.1

49

41.7

36.9

37.7

25.9

3730.5

Boys

Girls

ECU (Quito, 2007)

CHI (Metropolitan, 2004)

GUY (2004)

VEN (Lara, 2003)

CAY (2007)

TRI (2007)

ARG (2007)

TOB (2007)

SVC (2007)

SLC (2007)

COL (Bogotá, 2007)

URU (2006)

Page 31: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

We know …We know …

• We have a very serious problem with Chronic diseases in the Caribbean, with worsening risk factors … but we need more timely info on mortality, risk factors, social determinants, espec links to poverty

• We have a very serious problem with Chronic diseases in the Caribbean, with worsening risk factors … but we need more timely info on mortality, risk factors, social determinants, espec links to poverty

Page 32: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Costs of Chronic Disease EpidemicCosts of Chronic Disease Epidemic

Page 33: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Costs of NCDsCosts of NCDs

• Household: hits working-age adults

– Direct: medical expenses, lost wages– Indirect: foregone time of caregivers,

diminished development of human capital• Firm: absenteeism, productivity• Public sector

– NCDs more complex and costly to treat– Drives costly technology and drugs

trajectory

• Household: hits working-age adults

– Direct: medical expenses, lost wages– Indirect: foregone time of caregivers,

diminished development of human capital• Firm: absenteeism, productivity• Public sector

– NCDs more complex and costly to treat– Drives costly technology and drugs

trajectory

Page 34: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Estimated Economic Burden($US Million, 2001)

Estimated Economic Burden($US Million, 2001)

BAH BAR JAM TRT

Diabetes 27.3 37.8 208.8 494.4

Hypertension 46.4 72.7 251.6 259.5

Total 76.7 110.5 460.4 753.9

Page 35: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

These data were provided by Dr. O. Abdullahi Abdulkadri These data were provided by Dr. O. Abdullahi Abdulkadri

Economic Burden of Diabetes and Hypertension in Selected Caribbean Countries

(2001)

0

2

4

6

8

10

The Bahamas Barbados Jamaica TRT

Per

cen

tag

e o

f G

DP

(%

)

DIABETES HYPERTENSION BOTH

Page 36: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

Complications of Diabetes and Hypertension

Complications of Diabetes and Hypertension

• Amputations?

• Blindness?

• End Stage Renal Disease?

• Largely avoidable, very expensive in human and economic terms – we need to know more

• Amputations?

• Blindness?

• End Stage Renal Disease?

• Largely avoidable, very expensive in human and economic terms – we need to know more

Page 37: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

A consequence of DiabetesA consequence of Diabetes

Page 38: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

2005

Pan AmericanHealthOrganization

We Know …We Know …

• The human and economic cost burden is very high, is increasing, and not sustainable …. we need more/better cost data to make the case; more about relationship of NCDs as cause of poverty

• The human and economic cost burden is very high, is increasing, and not sustainable …. we need more/better cost data to make the case; more about relationship of NCDs as cause of poverty

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HOW IS THE REGION RESPONDING?HOW IS THE REGION RESPONDING?

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Caribbean history of cooperation in health

The Caribbean Cooperation in Health Initiative (CCH) for health development through increasing collaboration and technical cooperation among countriesCCH2 for 1997-2001; CCH3 for 2008-2013

Caribbean history of cooperation in health

The Caribbean Cooperation in Health Initiative (CCH) for health development through increasing collaboration and technical cooperation among countriesCCH2 for 1997-2001; CCH3 for 2008-2013

Regional Strategy Regional Strategy and Plan of Action on and Plan of Action on an an Integrated Approach Integrated Approach to to Prevention and Prevention and Control Control of Chronic Diseasesof Chronic Diseases

Page 41: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

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CARICOM Heads of Government Summit 15 September 2007

Declaration of Port of Spain - Declaration of Port of Spain - “Uniting to Stop the Epidemic of “Uniting to Stop the Epidemic of

Chronic Non-communicable Diseases”Chronic Non-communicable Diseases”

CARICOM Heads of Government Summit 15 September 2007

Declaration of Port of Spain - Declaration of Port of Spain - “Uniting to Stop the Epidemic of “Uniting to Stop the Epidemic of

Chronic Non-communicable Diseases”Chronic Non-communicable Diseases”

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DECLARATION OF PORT-OF -SPAIN: UNITING TO STOP THE EPIDEMIC OF CHRONIC NCDs:

DECLARATION OF PORT-OF -SPAIN: UNITING TO STOP THE EPIDEMIC OF CHRONIC NCDs:

• burdens of NCDs can be reduced by

– comprehensive and integrated preventive and control strategies

– at the individual, family, community, national and regional levels

– through collaborative programmes, partnerships and policies

– supported by governments, private sectors, NGOs and our other social, regional and international partners;

• burdens of NCDs can be reduced by

– comprehensive and integrated preventive and control strategies

– at the individual, family, community, national and regional levels

– through collaborative programmes, partnerships and policies

– supported by governments, private sectors, NGOs and our other social, regional and international partners;

Page 43: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

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NCD Policy Directions: Summit Declaration

NCD Policy Directions: Summit Declaration

• Comprehensive, Inter Sectoral approach; 14 points

• Structure and coordination, legal affairs, finance and taxes, food & agriculture, trade & consumer affairs, education & schools, public information, tobacco control, physical activity, Caribbean Wellness Day, and HEALTH – only 2 direct points

• “… Ministries of Health, in collaboration with other sectors, will establish by mid-2008 plans for the screening and management of chronic diseases and risk factors so that by 2012, 80% of people with NCDs would receive quality care and have access to preventive education based on regional guidelines;

• That we will establish, as a matter of urgency, the programmes necessary for research and surveillance of the risk factors for NCDs with the support of our Universities and the Caribbean Epidemiology Centre/Pan American Health Organisation (CAREC/PAHO)”

• Comprehensive, Inter Sectoral approach; 14 points

• Structure and coordination, legal affairs, finance and taxes, food & agriculture, trade & consumer affairs, education & schools, public information, tobacco control, physical activity, Caribbean Wellness Day, and HEALTH – only 2 direct points

• “… Ministries of Health, in collaboration with other sectors, will establish by mid-2008 plans for the screening and management of chronic diseases and risk factors so that by 2012, 80% of people with NCDs would receive quality care and have access to preventive education based on regional guidelines;

• That we will establish, as a matter of urgency, the programmes necessary for research and surveillance of the risk factors for NCDs with the support of our Universities and the Caribbean Epidemiology Centre/Pan American Health Organisation (CAREC/PAHO)”

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We know …We know …

• We have high level political commitment from the CARICOM Heads of Government; a 5-10 year agenda … response/capacity in countries lags behind

• Our ability to measure coverage and quality of care urgently needs attention

• Good progress with finalizing regional plan, involvement of Private sector (CAIC), CWD very good, Ministers of Agriculture; some progress with National commissions, national summits

• Finance?

• We have high level political commitment from the CARICOM Heads of Government; a 5-10 year agenda … response/capacity in countries lags behind

• Our ability to measure coverage and quality of care urgently needs attention

• Good progress with finalizing regional plan, involvement of Private sector (CAIC), CWD very good, Ministers of Agriculture; some progress with National commissions, national summits

• Finance?

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Caribbean Responses SummarisedCaribbean Responses Summarised

Financial resources

Quality assurance of care

National standards and protocols for treatment

Demonstrative community-based programs

National system of Health reports, survey and surveillance

Implementation of DPAS

Implementation of FCTC

National Objectives

National law, legislation, decree

National focal point, Department or Unit

TRT

SUR

JAM

HAI

GUY

BAR

BAH

ANT

ANG

Financial resources

Quality assurance of care

National standards and protocols for treatment

Demonstrative community-based programs

National system of Health reports, survey and surveillance

Implementation of DPAS

Implementation of FCTC

National Objectives

National law, legislation, decree

National focal point, Department or Unit

TRT

SUR

JAM

HAI

GUY

BAR

BAH

ANT

ANG

Financial resources

Quality assurance of care

National standards and protocols for treatment

Demonstrative community-based programs

National system of Health reports, survey and surveillance

Implementation of DPAS

Implementation of FCTC

National Objectives

National law, legislation, decree

National focal point, Department or Unit

TRT

SUR

JAM

HAI

GUY

BAR

BAH

ANT

ANG

Financial resources

Quality assurance of care

National standards and protocols for treatment

Demonstrative community-based programs

National system of Health reports, survey and surveillance

Implementation of DPAS

Implementation of FCTC

National Objectives

National law, legislation, decree

National focal point, Department or Unit

TRT

SUR

JAM

HAI

GUY

BAR

BAH

ANT

ANG

Source: PAHO Survey of NCD National Response Capacity, 2005

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• The 2007 survey showed a greater number of countries reporting progress and several countries reported significant involvement of NGO and private sector organizations in many aspects of NCD prevention and control.

• The 2007 survey showed a greater number of countries reporting progress and several countries reported significant involvement of NGO and private sector organizations in many aspects of NCD prevention and control.

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Coverage and Quality of careCoverage and Quality of care

• No system of measuring

• Some research studies, Mahabir & Gulliford, Andall, Barcelo

• No system of measuring

• Some research studies, Mahabir & Gulliford, Andall, Barcelo

Page 48: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

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Proportion of patients with good glycemic control* in clinics by country

25% 27% 27% 29% 30% 31% 36% 38% 39% 40% 42%

59%

Jam

aic

a

Mexic

o

St. L

ucia

Chile

Hondura

s

Guate

mala

El

Salv

ador

Nic

ara

gua

Baham

as

Trinid

ad &

Tobago

Costa

Ric

a

Unite

d

Sta

tes

•Fasting glucose<130mg dl or A1c<7%

Source: Bahamas, Costa Rica, Guatemala, Jamaica, Mexico, Nicaragua, St. Lucia: PAHO unpublished; Chile, Ministerio de Salud; United States: CDC; T&T: Gulliford MC

Page 49: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

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Foot Exam Reported

50%

97%

47%

23%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Baseline (p 0.667) End (p <0.001)

Cases (<0.001) Controls (<0.001)

Foot Exam Reported

50%

97%

47%

23%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Baseline (p 0.667) End (p <0.001)

Cases (<0.001) Controls (<0.001)

Eye Exam Reported

10%

74%

4% 5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Baseline (p <0.001) End (p <0.001)

Cases (<0.001) Controls (0.51)

Eye Exam Reported

10%

74%

4% 5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Baseline (p <0.001) End (p <0.001)

Cases (<0.001) Controls (0.51)

Nutritional Counseling

82%90%

37%46%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Baseline (p <0.001) End (p <0.001)

Cases (0.05) Controls (0.18)

Nutritional Counseling

82%90%

37%46%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Baseline (p <0.001) End (p <0.001)

Cases (0.05) Controls (0.18)

Documented Foot Care Education

32%

75%

20%

34%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Baseline (p 0.003) End (p <0.001)

Cases (<0.001) Controls (<0.05)

Documented Foot Care Education

32%

75%

20%

34%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Baseline (p 0.003) End (p <0.001)

Cases (<0.001) Controls (<0.05)

Page 50: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

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Conclusions & Way ForwardConclusions & Way Forward

• We have a very serious problem with Chronic diseases in the Caribbean, with worsening risk factors … but we need more timely info on mortality, risk factors, social determinants, espec links to poverty

• The human and cost burden is very high, increasing, and not sustainable …. we need more/better cost data to make the case

• We have high level political commitment, but the response/capacity in countries lags behind … we need to make them “walk the talk”

• We have a range of proven strategies and tools in PAHO, RHIs, countries, in other sectors and partners … we need to know monitor better the extent to which they are being implemented… a KEY PUBLIC HEALTH ISSUE for health services and health NGOs is the %coverage and quality of care… we need new systems of measuring

• We have a very serious problem with Chronic diseases in the Caribbean, with worsening risk factors … but we need more timely info on mortality, risk factors, social determinants, espec links to poverty

• The human and cost burden is very high, increasing, and not sustainable …. we need more/better cost data to make the case

• We have high level political commitment, but the response/capacity in countries lags behind … we need to make them “walk the talk”

• We have a range of proven strategies and tools in PAHO, RHIs, countries, in other sectors and partners … we need to know monitor better the extent to which they are being implemented… a KEY PUBLIC HEALTH ISSUE for health services and health NGOs is the %coverage and quality of care… we need new systems of measuring

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NCD Summit Declaration # 5: Screening and integrated

management: 80% by 2012

NCD Summit Declaration # 5: Screening and integrated

management: 80% by 2012

• Identification of target population to estimate undiagnosed

• Involvement of health NGOs and civil society

• Total Risk Approach recommended by CVD Experts Mtg

– (10 year risk of a fatal or non-fatal cardiovascular event, by gender, age, smoking status, diabetes status, systolic blood pressure and total cholesterol)

• Identification of target population to estimate undiagnosed

• Involvement of health NGOs and civil society

• Total Risk Approach recommended by CVD Experts Mtg

– (10 year risk of a fatal or non-fatal cardiovascular event, by gender, age, smoking status, diabetes status, systolic blood pressure and total cholesterol)

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AMR BCARICOM

Page 53: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

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Smoking cessation/PA/Diet

Smoking cessation/PA/DietLow dose thiazide / Aspirin (may be)

Smoking cessation/PA/Diet Aspirin, HCT/ACEI/Statins

Smoking cessation/PA/DietAspirin/ACEI/BB/StatinsReferral

Very low risk

Low risk

Medium risk

Very High/High risk

Stepdown

GL : Diagnose/grade risk with simple indicators & Rx

Simplified -Standardized care for heart attacks and Simplified -Standardized care for heart attacks and strokes preventionstrokes prevention

Page 54: 2005 Pan American Health Organization “The Caribbean Chronic Disease Epidemic: What We Know… and what we need to know” C. James Hospedales Coordinator,

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Healthy Eating (POS # 6,7,8 9) Ministers of Agriculture of CARICOM, St. Ann Declaration, 9 October 2007

Healthy Eating (POS # 6,7,8 9) Ministers of Agriculture of CARICOM, St. Ann Declaration, 9 October 2007

• Implementing Agriculture and Food Policies to prevent Obesity and NCDs in CARICOM

• Use Regional and WTO agreements to ensure food security

• Support the CRNM to pursue fair trade policies • Policies that explicitly incorporate nutritional goals• Elimination of trans-fats from our food supply using

CFNI as a focal point • Labeling of foods to indicate their nutritional content • Public education for increased consumption of fruits

and vegetables • Food Security Plan for prevention and control of

NCDs

• Implementing Agriculture and Food Policies to prevent Obesity and NCDs in CARICOM

• Use Regional and WTO agreements to ensure food security

• Support the CRNM to pursue fair trade policies • Policies that explicitly incorporate nutritional goals• Elimination of trans-fats from our food supply using

CFNI as a focal point • Labeling of foods to indicate their nutritional content • Public education for increased consumption of fruits

and vegetables • Food Security Plan for prevention and control of

NCDs

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Promoting Physical ActivityPromoting Physical Activity

• Education, communication and Personal individual efforts

• Change the environment;

– Mass transport policies (good for health and environ)– Compulsory phys ed in schools– Car-free streets/Sundays, Ciclovias– Bike and pedestrain trails/zones (good for tourism

also)– Fiscal incentives– Workplace policies and programs– Constant communication on benefits (e.g., walk ½ hr

per day; reduce risk of heart attack by half”)

• Education, communication and Personal individual efforts

• Change the environment;

– Mass transport policies (good for health and environ)– Compulsory phys ed in schools– Car-free streets/Sundays, Ciclovias– Bike and pedestrain trails/zones (good for tourism

also)– Fiscal incentives– Workplace policies and programs– Constant communication on benefits (e.g., walk ½ hr

per day; reduce risk of heart attack by half”)

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The WHO Framework Convention on The WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (WHO FCTC)Tobacco Control (WHO FCTC)

The WHO Framework Convention on The WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (WHO FCTC)Tobacco Control (WHO FCTC)

UN treaty to re-invigorate tobacco control UN treaty to re-invigorate tobacco control effortsefforts

– Establishes tobacco control Establishes tobacco control as a priority on the public as a priority on the public health agendahealth agenda

– Provides an evidence-based Provides an evidence-based tool for adoption of sound tool for adoption of sound tobacco control measurestobacco control measures

– IntroducesIntroduces a mechanism for a mechanism for firm country commitment and firm country commitment and accountabilityaccountability

UN treaty to re-invigorate tobacco control UN treaty to re-invigorate tobacco control effortsefforts

– Establishes tobacco control Establishes tobacco control as a priority on the public as a priority on the public health agendahealth agenda

– Provides an evidence-based Provides an evidence-based tool for adoption of sound tool for adoption of sound tobacco control measurestobacco control measures

– IntroducesIntroduces a mechanism for a mechanism for firm country commitment and firm country commitment and accountabilityaccountability

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TobaccoActions to save 150 – 300,000

lives in CARICOM:• Implement the Framework Convention on

Tobacco Control (FCTC)• Focus on adults stopping as well as kids not

starting• Triple excise tax on cigarettes: double retail

price, 30% drop consumption and raise US$150M in taxes

• Other interventions: o big, local packet warnings o labels with tax stamp (to counter

smuggling)o absolute ad ban, o complete ban on public smoking

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Involvement of Private Sector, Media and Labor (POS #12)

Involvement of Private Sector, Media and Labor (POS #12)

• CAIC / PAHO meeting May 8&9 2008, POS•

– CAIC Statement in support of NCD prevention and control issued• Workplace Wellness program with all

components - HIV, NCDs and Injuries.• Healthy Products• Support for Caribbean Wellness Day

– Manufacturers want meeting with CROSQ to set healthy standards for foods

• CAIC / PAHO meeting May 8&9 2008, POS•

– CAIC Statement in support of NCD prevention and control issued• Workplace Wellness program with all

components - HIV, NCDs and Injuries.• Healthy Products• Support for Caribbean Wellness Day

– Manufacturers want meeting with CROSQ to set healthy standards for foods

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Involvement of the Civil SocietyInvolvement of the Civil Society

• Education and information• Advocacy• Screening and treatment services where

appropriate• Palliative care

• Health NGOs• Churches and faith based organizations• Labour unions• Consumer’s associations

• Education and information• Advocacy• Screening and treatment services where

appropriate• Palliative care

• Health NGOs• Churches and faith based organizations• Labour unions• Consumer’s associations

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THANK YOU