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    1

    Chapter 3

    Demand Management and

    Customer Service

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 2

    Learning Objectives Understand the critical importance of

    outbound-to-customer logistics systems.

    Appreciate the growing need for effectivedemand management.

    Know the types of forecasts that may be

    needed, and understand how collaborationamong trading partners will help the overallforecasting and demand managementprocess.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 3

    Learning Objectives Identify the key steps in the order fulfillment

    process, and understand how effective order

    management can create value for a firm andits customers.

    Realize the meaning of customer service, andunderstand its importance to logistics andsupply chain management.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 4

    Learning Objectives Understand the difference between logistics

    and marketing channels, and understand that

    goods may reach their intended customer viaa number of alternative channels ofdistribution.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 5

    Logistics Profile:

    Dreyers Instituted scan-based trading.

    Manufacturer (Dreyers) is paid based on

    what is actually scanned at the checkoutcounter.

    Customer takeaway drives manufacturingand delivery.

    Freed resources for use elsewhere. Win-win partnership arrangement.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 6

    Outbound-to-Customer Logistics

    Systems To increase levels of customer service,

    significant emphasis is placed on outbound-

    to-customer logistics systems. These systems refer to the set of processes,

    systems, and capabilities that enhance thefirms ability to serve its customers.

    This topic also is of historical interest in thestudy of physical distribution, logistics, andsupply chain management.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 7

    Inbound-to-Operations Logistics

    Systems These systems refer to the set of processes

    that precede and facilitate value-adding

    activities such as manufacturing, assembly,and so on.

    This topic also is of historical interest in thestudy of the supply chain and includesmaterials management and physical supply.

    The study of inbound-to-operations logisticssystems will be presented in the next chapter.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 8

    Demand Management Defined as focused efforts to estimate and

    manage customers demand, with the

    intention of using this information to shapeoperating decisions.3

    Recent practice has been just the opposite,with the manufacturer determining the what,where, when, and how many of the sale.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 9

    Demand Management It is this disconnect between manufacturing

    and the demand at the point of consumption

    that attracts attention to demandmanagement.

    Any attention paid to demand managementwill likely result in benefits flowing throughthe supply chain.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 10

    On the Line:

    Ingram Micro

    Took leadership in creating a demand chainamong its supply chain partners.

    $22 billion sales of 200,000 products from1,500 manufacturers to 140,000 resellers in130 countries.

    Ingram Micro is using a demand chain,rather than a supply chain, to focus onmeeting consumer demand.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 11

    On the Line:

    Ingram Micro

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 12

    Demand Management Objectives Gathering and analyzing knowledge about

    consumers, their problems, and their unmet

    needs. Identifying partners to perform the functions

    needed in the demand chain.

    Moving the functions that need to be done tothe channel member that can perform themmost effectively and efficiently.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 13

    Demand Management Objectives Sharing with other supply chain members

    knowledge about consumers and customers,

    available technology, and logistics challengesand opportunities.

    Developing products and services that solvecustomers problems.

    Developing and executing the best logistics,transportation, and distribution methods todeliver products and services to consumers inthe desired format.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 14

    Demand Management:

    Related Issues Lack of communication between departments

    results in little or no coordinated response to

    demand information. Too much emphasis is often placed on

    forecasts of demand with little attention paidto collaborative efforts and strategic andoperational plans that need to be developedfrom the forecasts.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 15

    Demand Management:

    Related Issues Demand information is often used more for

    tactical and operations purposes than for

    strategic purposes. Primary emphasis should be on using demand

    information to create likely scenarios of thefuture as they relate to product supply

    alternatives. Resulting business successes will be a

    outcome of the better match of demand toproduct availability.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 16

    Traditional Forecasting:

    Demand Forecasting A major component of demand management

    is forecasting the amount of product that will

    be purchased by consumers or end users. In the integrated supply chain all other

    demand will be derived from the primarydemand.

    A key objective is to anticipate and respondto primary demand as it occurs in themarketplace.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 17

    Figure 3-1

    Supply-Demand Misalignment

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 19

    Traditional Forecasting An example of integrating forecasting with

    production is illustrated by Figure 3-2.

    Long-term (more than three years), midrange(one to three years), and short-termforecasting are each important contributors tothe forecasting process.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 20

    Figure 3-2 Integration of Sales

    Forecasting and Production

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 21

    Collaborative Planning,

    Forecasting, and Replenishment CPFR is recognized as a breakthrough

    business model for planning, forecasting, and

    replenishment. Uses available Internet-based technologies to

    collaborate from operational planning throughexecution.

    Developed by Wal-Mart and Warner-Lambertin 1995.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 22

    Collaborative Planning,

    Forecasting, and Replenishment The CPFR model is illustrated in Figure 3-3.

    Emphasizes a sharing of consumer

    purchasing data among and between supplychain partners.

    Creates a direct link between the consumerand the supply chain.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 23

    Figure 3-3

    CPFR Business Model

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 24

    Collaborative Planning,

    Forecasting, and Replenishment The plan and the forecast are entered by

    suppliers and buyers into an Internet

    accessible system. Within established parameters, any of the

    participating partners is empowered tochange the forecast.

    Only a few CPFR initiatives have been madepublic, but results are impressive.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 25

    Supply Chain Technology:

    Midwest Pharmaceuticals Using a statistically advanced demand-

    management system the company discovered

    that in one of its five 3,000 product families,72% of the products were in the maturephase and 14% were in decline.

    Management modified and improved its

    product investment strategy. In essence, demand management helped

    make the company more profitable andeffective.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 26

    Order Fulfillment and Order

    Management Collaborative planning improves the

    quality of the demand signal for the

    entire supply chain through a constantexchange of information from one endto the other.

    Goes beyond the traditional practice.

    Examine the three critical elements ofcollaborative planning in Figure 3-4.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 27

    Figure 3-4

    Collaborative Planning

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 28

    Order Fulfillment and Order

    Management Order fulfillment activities differ as a

    supply chain matures through

    transactional to interactive tointerdependent levels.

    Examine the four key stages of order

    fulfillment in Figure 3-5.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 29

    Figure 3-5

    Stages of Order Fulfillment

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 30

    Order Fulfillment and Order

    Management Order-management systems represent

    the principal means by which buyers

    and sellers communicate informationrelating to individual product orders andis key to operational efficiency and

    customer satisfaction. Examine the characteristics of order-

    management functions in Figure 3-6.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 31

    Figure 3-6

    Order-Management Functions

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 32

    Order Fulfillment and Order

    Management The order cycle traditionally includes

    only those activities that occur from the

    time an order is placed to the time it isreceived by the customer.

    Examine the four principal activities of

    the order cycle in Figure 3-7.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 33

    Figure 3-7

    Major Components of the Order Cycle

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 34

    Order Fulfillment and Order

    Management Order placement methods seem to be

    changing to accommodate new technologies.

    Examine order placement trends in Figure 3-8.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 35

    Figure 3-8

    Order-Placement Trends

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 36

    Order Fulfillment and Order

    Management: Other Issues

    Order processing

    Order preparation Order shipment

    Length and variability of the order cycle

    Examine the order cycle time analysis inFigure 3-9 and order cycle length andvariability in Figure 3-10.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 37

    Figure 3-9

    Example of Order Cycle Time Analysis

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 38

    Figure 3-10

    Order Cycle Length and Variability

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 39

    Order Fulfillment and Order

    Management: E-Commerce Success is just as much about designing and

    implementing the basic principles of logistics

    and supply chain management as it is aboutmarketing the latest technologies.

    According to Richer and Kalatora10, some ofthe critical decisions are related tothe evaluation of multiple fulfillmentplanning strategies.

    What are the reasonable alternativefulfillment strategies?

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 40

    Five Alternative Fulfillment

    Strategies for E-Commerce1. Distributed delivery centers

    2. Partner fulfillment operations

    3. Dedicated Fulfillment centers

    4. Third-party fulfillment centers

    5. Build to order

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 41

    Customer Service:

    The Logistics/Marketing Interface Customer service is often the key link

    between logistics and marketing.

    Examine the traditional logistics- marketinginterface in Figure 3-11.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 42

    Figure 3-11 The Traditional

    Logistics/Marketing Interface

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 43

    Customer Service:

    The Logistics/Marketing Interface A new vision of the interface is represented

    by National Semiconductor, whose re-

    engineering of the supply chain reducedoverall logistics cost.

    Required a more dynamic, proactiveapproach that recognized the value-added

    role of logistics supply chains in creating andsustaining competitive advantage andproviding win-win outcomes.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 44

    Customer Service:

    The Logistics/Marketing Interface Becton Dickinsons commitment resulted in

    the creation of a Supply Chain Services

    operating division of the company. This new perspective emphasizing value-

    added is providing the basis for othercompanies such as Sears, Proctor &

    Gamble, Nabisco, Hershey, and DellComputer to improve both efficiency andeffectiveness.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 45

    Customer Service:

    The Logistics/Marketing Interface Defining customer service

    In terms of levels of product

    In terms of types of customersupport/service

    In terms of levels of involvement

    In terms of complexity of customer service

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 46

    Customer Service:

    The Logistics/Marketing Interface Elements of Customer Service

    Time

    Dependability

    Cycle time

    Safe delivery

    Correct orders Communications

    Convenience

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 47

    Table 3-2 Customer Service Elements forthe Food Industry

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 48

    Figure 3-12 Example of the

    Frequency Distribution of Lead Time

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 49

    Customer Service:

    Performance Measures Traditional

    % availability in base units

    Speed and consistency Response time to special

    requests

    Speed, accuracy, andmessage detail of response

    Response and recovery timerequirements

    Response time, quality ofresponse

    New Orders received on

    time Orders received

    complete

    Orders receiveddamage free

    Orders filled accurately

    Orders billedaccurately

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 50

    Table 3-3 Elements and Measurement ofCustomer Service

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 52

    Customer Service: Overview If the basics of customer service are not in

    place, nothing else matters.

    Customers may define service differently. All customer accounts are not the same.

    Relationships are not one dimensional.

    Partnerships and added value can lock up

    customers.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 53

    Figure 3-13

    Customer Service Issues

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 55

    Expected Costs of Stockouts

    Event Probability CostsExpected

    Costs

    Back Order 70% $ 6.00 $ 4.20

    Lost Sale 20% $20.00 $ 4.00

    LostCustomer

    10% $200.00 $ 20.00

    Estimatedcost perstockout

    100% --- $ 28.20

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 56

    Channels of Distribution One or more companies or individuals who

    participate in the flow of goods and services

    from the producer to the final user orconsumer.

    Wide variety of firms comprise thesechannels.

    Examine Figures 3-14 & 3-15.

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 57

    Figure 3-14

    Distribution Channel Separation

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 58

    Figure 3-15Examples of Channels of Distribution for the

    Food Products Manufacturing Industry

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    Chapter 3 Management of Business Logistics, 7th Ed. 59

    Growth and Importance of

    Channels of Distribution Retail channels

    showing dramatic

    growth. Mass merchandisers

    such as Wal-Mart,Kmart, Sears, and

    Target squeezingsmaller retailers .

    Nature of logisticschanging to

    accommodatecustomized systems.

    Successful retailersbase efficiency on

    logistics systems.

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    60

    Chapter 3:Summary and Review Questions

    Students should review theirknowledge of the chapter by

    checking out the Summary and StudyQuestions for Chapter 3.

    This is the last slide for Chapter 3

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    End of Chapter 3 Slides

    Demand Managementand Customer Service