0002-ua004198-gdr-03 final forecasting...

Appendix A Stivichall Junction Improvements

Appendix B With Scheme Tollbar Improvements

Appendix C Core Scenario - TEMPRO Growth Factors

C.1: 2008-2016 TEMPRO Growth Factors



TEMPRO Zone AM IP PM

Origin Destination Origin Destination Origin Destination

Coventry 1.081 1.037 1.075 1.078 1.048 1.076

Rugby (rural) 1.064 1.076 1.112 1.106 1.083 1.072

Kenilworth 1.046 1.068 1.084 1.080 1.067 1.052

Warwick /

Leamington Spa

1.064 1.054 1.078 1.081 1.058 1.065

Great Britain 1.064 1.064 1.087 1.087 1.068 1.068



Coventry 1.159 1.087 1.142 1.148 1.104 1.149

Rugby (rural) 1.163 1.156 1.230 1.222 1.177 1.175

Kenilworth 1.077 1.110 1.130 1.125 1.106 1.085

Warwick /

Leamington Spa

1.102 1.093 1.122 1.126 1.095 1.149

Great Britain 1.111 1.111 1.152 1.152 1.118 1.118



Coventry 1.261 1.154 1.233 1.242 1.181 1.247

Rugby (rural) 1.245 1.243 1.354 1.341 1.273 1.266

Kenilworth 1.107 1.154 1.187 1.178 1.149 1.119

Warwick /

Leamington Spa

1.152 1.135 1.178 1.183 1.140 1.150

Great Britain 1.161 1.161 1.225 1.225 1.171 1.171




Coventry 1.396 1.250 1.339 1.353 1.282 1.372

Rugby (rural) 1.353 1.356 1.496 1.479 1.395 1.382

Kenilworth 1.164 1.223 1.254 1.243 1.214 1.178

Warwick /

Leamington Spa

1.231 1.202 1.249 1.255 1.206 1.222

Great Britain 1.234 1.234 1.316 1.316 1.247 1.247

Appendix D Core Scenario - NTM Growth Factors

D.1: 2008-2016 NTM Growth Factors




LGV

NTM 1.242

Coventry 1.262 1.210 1.228 1.232 1.218 1.251

Rugby (rural) 1.221 1.246 1.238 1.234 1.240 1.223

Kenilworth 1.242 1.256 1.270 1.264 1.259 1.247

Warwick / Leamington Spa 1.242 1.230 1.231 1.235 1.230 1.238

HGV

NTM 1.131

Coventry 1.149 1.102 1.118 1.122 1.110 1.139

Rugby (rural) 1.112 1.135 1.128 1.124 1.130 1.14

Kenilworth 1.131 1.144 1.157 1.151 1.146 1.135




LGV

NTM 1.508

Coventry 1.572 1.474 1.495 1.503 1.489 1.550

Rugby (rural) 1.461 1.505 1.479 1.472 1.491 1.463

Kenilworth 1.577 1.568 1.609 1.599 1.587 1.584


HGV

NTM 1.211

Coventry 1.263 1.184 1.201 1.207 1.196 1.245

Rugby (rural) 1.174 1.209 1.188 1.182 1.198 1.175

Kenilworth 1.267 1.259 1.293 1.285 1.275 1.273






LGV

NTM 1.802

Coventry 1.958 1.793 1.814 1.828 1.817 1.918

Rugby (rural) 1.719 1.793 1.747 1.734 1.769 1.723

Kenilworth 1.934 1.930 1.993 1.973 1.959 1.948


HGV

NTM 1.303

Coventry 1.416 1.296 1.312 1.322 1.314 1.387

Rugby (rural) 1.243 1.296 1.263 1.254 1.279 1.246

Kenilworth 1.398 1.395 1.441 1.427 1.417 1.409




LGV

NTM 1.954

Coventry 2.210 1.979 1.987 2.008 2.010 2.150

Rugby (rural) 1.843 1.936 1.862 1.846 1.903 1.846

Kenilworth 2.141 2.146 2.220 2.195 2.186 2.166


HGV

NTM 1.349

Coventry 1.526 1.367 1.372 1.387 1.388 1.485

Rugby (rural) 1.273 1.337 1.286 1.275 1.314 1.275

Kenilworth 1.479 1.482 1.533 1.516 1.510 1.496


Appendix E Core Scenario Trip Rates and Trip

Distribution

All trip rates and distributions are using the same assumptions as produced in Jan 2009.

E1: Ansty Park

Description: A new home for science, technology and innovation, Ansty Park has planning consent

to provide 140,000 square metres dedicated to research and development set in over 40 hectares.

Table E1: Trip Generation

Trip

Generation

AM Peak PM Peak

Arrivals Departures Arrivals Departures

Development 2,100 182 196 1,680

A46 (39%) 819 71 76 655

Trip Distribution: Use trip distribution as per zone 116.

E2: Stoneleigh Park

Description: Stoneleigh Park is one of the most convenient and flexible indoor and outdoor venues in the UK.

Table E2a: Total Trip Generation

Based on figures from Ove Arup Transport Assessment.

Hotel

(Existing)

Hotel

(future)

Innovation

Centre

Conference

Centre

Countryside

Zone

Total

Arr Dep Arr Dep Arr Dep Arr Dep Arr Dep Arr Dep

08:00-09:00 19 13 108 70 363 55 181 35 151 113 804 272

9.00-16.00

(Average) 21 24 59 58 101 93 48 34 235 207 442 392

17:00-18:00 25 15 78 68 51 285 10 119 192 182 331 654

Table E2b: A46 Trips

Trip

Generation

AM Peak Inter-peak PM Peak

Arr Dep Arr Dep Arr Dep

% A46 North 10% 29% 19% 21% 31% 14%

Trips 26 226 71 87 200 43


E3: Middlemarch Business Park

Description: Outline Planning Permission for 35,000sq ft (3,253m2) of B1/ B2 development.


Trip

Generation


Arrivals Departures Arrivals Departures Arrivals Departures

Middlemarch 57 5 17 2 9 43

Trip Distribution: All traffic from the development will route to / from Siskin Drive / Rowley Road

roundabout.

E4: Coventry Airport

Description: Coventry Airport passenger numbers as per Table 4.3


Trip

Generation



2016 0 0 0 0 0 0

2023 50 20 20 8 22 46

2031 101 41 41 16 43 93

2041 101 41 41 16 43 93

Trip Distribution: All traffic from the development will route to / from Siskin Drive / Rowley Road

roundabout.

E5: Binley District Centre

Description: North-west quadrant of A428 / A46 Roundabout. Development consists of:

• 13,899m2 – non food retail (A1)

• 1,951m2 – shopping (A1)

• 2,271m2 – fitness suite (D2)

• 42 – residential units (C3)


Trip Generation AM Peak PM Peak

Arrivals Departures Arrivals Departures

Non Food Retail 69 34 183 197

Shopping 154 110 104 140

Leisure 17 17 37 27

Residents 12 15 13 11

TOTAL 252 176 337 375


E6: Peugeot Ryton

Description: Site A - The HDNL development proposals are for a sorting centre (B8 Warehousing

land uses) of approximately 17,790m2 GFA and would occupy the northern end of the former

Peugeot works site. Site B - Development proposals are for a mix of B8 warehouse and B2

industrial land uses with ancillary offices. (TA undertaken by Faber Maunsell October 2007).

Table E6a: Site A Trip Generation

Trips Generated AM Peak PM Peak

Arrival Departure Arrival Departure

Car 449 112 88 384

HGVs 182 112 121 106

Table E6b: Trip Generation

Trips Generated AM Peak PM Peak


Car 1 183 5 20

HGVs 25 23 21 34

Trip Distribution: The trips were assigned onto the local road network as follows:

• 23% of traffic would have an origin/destination into Coventry City Centre and are assumed to all route onto the B4110 London Road;

• 35% of traffic would have an origin/destination along the M6 corridor and to the East and West Midlands, and are assumed to route via the A46 (N) Coventry Eastern Bypass;

• 16% of traffic would have an origin/destination to the M42 and South Birmingham and area assumed to route onto the A45 Stonebridge Highway;

• 8% of traffic would have an origin/destination to Leamington Spa and would route via the A445;

• 2% of traffic would have an origin/destination to the M40 South Corridor and are assumed to route via the A423 Oxford Road;

• 16% of traffic would have an origin/destination of the M45/M1 corridor and would route via the A45 (S).

HGV movements:

• 33% of HGV traffic would have an origin/destination from/to the A45 south towards the M1; • 33% of HGV traffic would have an origin/destination from/to the A45 west towards the M42; • 33% of HGV traffic would have an origin/destination from/to the A46 north towards the M6.

E7: Warwick University

Description: Expansion of Warwick University – TA undertaken by Ove Arup June 2007. All

development to be completed by 2018, therefore included in 2023 forecasts onwards.


AM Peak PM Peak


82 52 47 147


E8: Orchard Retail Park

Description: It is proposed to develop the land north of the Orchard retail park for mix of

employment uses. The developer has been in discussions with Royal Mail regarding their need for

a replacement sorting and delivery office to serve the Coventry and north Warwickshire areas,

which would occupy part of the site and would be classed as a B8 use.


Trip

Generation



Cars 6 13 10 34 12 12

LGV 4 6 8 16 10 5

HGV 1 6 2 16 2 5

Total 11 25 20 66 24 22


E9: Peugeot Stoke Aldermoor

Description: Redevelopment of Peugeot's Stoke Aldermoor 80-acre site, consisting of office space

and urban village up of housing, shops, bars and restaurants.


AM Peak PM Peak


137 137 152 128


E10: Summary Table E10: TOTAL Trip Generation



2016 2,158 869 124 138 876 1,964

2023 2,289 940 144 146 944 2,154

2031 2,338 959 164 153 965 2,198

2041 2,338 959 164 153 965 2,198

0002-ua004198-gdr-03 final forecasting...

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