YOUR COMPANY CAN BENEFIT FROM MULTI-BILLION DEVELOPMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN NORTHERN SCANDINAVIA NILS ARNE JOHNSEN, ARCTIC DIRECTOR, RAMBOLL GROUP

Photo: Kirkenes, Norway

PROVIDING ARCTIC SOLUTIONS AND LEADERSHIP

Independent advise and

multi-disciplinary services to

local and global clients

More than 450 ‘local’

experts at 17 offices across

the Arctic

13.000 consultants and

engineers throughout the

world in more than 300

offices in 35 countries

100 bn $

Minerals and ore

Russia

Energy

China

GLOBAL ARCTIC ECONOMY

• Circumpolar Arctic GNP: 1 trillion USD

• Norway: Arctic region has highest growth last two years

GROWTH FROM THE NORTH (JANUARY 2015)

• LNG and renewables

• Green mining solutions

• Increased tourism

• Ice and cold climate solutions

STILL: THE ARCTIC SOCIETY NEEDS TO DEVELOP

Examples for sharing:

• The challenges for the Arctic cities

• Where should Development come from?

• Better Transport infrastructure

• Decision-making and oranising for trans-

border economic development

The Arctic societies must develop to provide the right

framework conditions for its people and

environment, and the local and global businesses

and industries

Local benefits are necessary to improve

preparedness and to get permits for industrial

activity

Photo: Tromsø, Norway

Photo: Narvik, Norway

OUR ARCTIC SOLUTIONS

• We deliver solutions to three main Arctic challenges:

o Climate

o Environment

o Society

Photo: Vardø, Norway

CLIMATIC CHALLENGES

- Cold temperatures

- Strong polar wind

- Snow and ice

- Heavy precipitation

- Landslides

- Avalanches

CLIMATIC CHALLENGES

• Framework for technology:

o Transport

o Buildings

o Industry

o Mining

o Energy

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ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGES

- Vulnerability

- Risk

- Nature Values

ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGES

• Main tools

• Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA)

• NEBA – Net Environmental Benefit Analysis

• A process used by the response community for making the best choices to minimize impacts on oil spills on people and the environment

• Coordination between governments, industries and communities before, during and after a spill facilitates the least possible impact to environment and community resources.

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SOCIETAL CHALLENGES

- Remote areas

- Sparsely populated

- Lack of expertise

- Vulnerability

- Indigenous people

- Corporate challenges

- Authority and Governmental

expectations and requirements

- Slow decision making

SOCIETAL CHALLENGES

• Main tools

• Social Impact Assessment (SIA)

• Authority Management and Relations

• Stakeholders Relations and engagement

• Social economic feasibility analysis

• Financial cooperation private-public

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THE CHALLENGES FOR ARCTIC CITIES TO PROVIDE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT - COMPARISON OF ARCTIC CITIES IN THE NORDICS

Challenges

How can we create long-term sustainable urban and community development?

What dilemmas arise when the need for development meets the distinct arctic nature and culture?

Cities in 4 countries:

Oulu, Luleå, Gälleware, Narvik, Tromsø, Nuuk

What we did

Analysis of 6 arctic cities including Society, Economy, Urban Planning, Climate, Environment and Gover-nance through stakeholder analyses, surveys and policies assessments

Ramboll Round Table (Tromsø 2013) with key Arc-tic stakeholders discussing liveability and sustainability

Result

Tromsø is perceived as the forerunner among the arctic cities as regards to growth and trust in future.

Arctic cities need constantly to explore new opportunities for businesses and society.

Education and culture are driving forces behind societal developments.

This provides a basis for environmental stewardship.

Photo: Tromsø, Norway

WHERE SHOULD DEVELOPMENT COME FROM WITHOUT OIL & GAS? - GROWTH POTENTIAL IN GREENLAND 2015-2025

Challenges

In ten years, Greenland will lack 80m Euro in financing the public welfare.

But where can development come from in coming years and what possibilities hold the existing commercial sectors?

What we did

We baselined the turnover from existing commercial sectors and forecasted to 2025.

Based on an assessment of the different sectors we pinpointed 5 with growth potentials and valued possible policy choices.

Economic, Social and Environmental issues were covered

Result

Fishery, Tourism and Mining hold a potential to increase yearly growth from 0.6 pct. to 3.8 pct.

Agriculture and Products from seals may give (less) input.

Leadership and tough political choices will be necessary, as well as ensuring sufficient capacity of the public sector to support the development.

Photo: Nuuk port, Greenland

BETTER TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE - DEVELOPING AND FINANCING INFRASTRUCTURE

Challenges

Infrastructure is vital for the development of the Arctic.

Necessary investments are high and planning and permitting include many stakeholders.

Lead time for a major infrastructure project is today between 8 and 9 years.

What we do

Pre-studies on PPP for infrastructure projects, e.g. investigations for develop-ment of hydropower in Greenland.

Study of the development needs of Barents Region transport connections based on data and views offered by participating countries.

Ramboll Round Table with main Transport stakeholders (Oulu 2014)

Result

There is an urgent need to establish leadership within transport infrastructure in the trans-boundary Arctic.

New Rail, road, air, marine transport infrastructure are needed for the development of both the societies and the industry

Public private partnership could be the lever to provide investments

Background from Barents transport plan 2013

SOCIETY TRANSFORMATION DUE TO MINING INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT, JOKKMOKK, ARCTIC SWEDEN

Photo: Jokkmokk , Sweden

ORGANISING PUBLIC AND PRIVATE SECTOR FOR SCANDINAVIAN ARCTIC DEVELOPMENT

• Dilemma of scale

• Small communities

• Small local business communities

• Large investments needed and relatively high risk

• Infrastructure

• Industrial projects

• Large international players needed for both investments and financing

ORGANISING PUBLIC AND PRIVATE SECTOR FOR SCANDINAVIAN ARCTIC DEVELOPMENT

• Actions

• Stronger together: Development of a Scandinavian Arctic Business Community

• Cooperating Organisations

• Mergers into stronger Business Units

• Outsiders needed: Development of skills in attracting and handling multinational industrial players

• Expanding geographical: international Arctic Market

• ArcMaTe as an example

• Vauraste: Grab your bag and meet the client!

ARCTIC DEVELOPMENT REGION

• Interim board established 20.08.2015

• Chair: Peter Waara, City of Haparanda and Tornedalsrådet/Tornionlaakson neuvosto

• Objectives:

• Permanent structure for cross-border regional development organisation 2019.

• Competence and workforce

• Industrial Development and Joint Scandinavian Arctic Business Community

• Infrastructure

THANK YOU NILS.ARNE.JOHNSEN@RAMBOLL.NO

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