www.afrology.com linking migration and microfinance global forum on migration and development –...
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www.afrology.com Linking Migration and Microfinance
Global Forum on Migration and Development – Contact : [email protected]
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Vienna Migration Group Conference
Linking Migration and Microfinance
5 October 2007
The Global Forum on Migration and Development:
Progressing from Brussels 2007 to Manila 2008 – Addressing a Millennium Challenge
Vienna International Center, Vienna, Austria,
Dr. Yves Ekoué Amaïzo(speaking in my personal capacity)
Director of “Afrology” Think Tank - Economist with UNIDO
Email: [email protected] - Internet: www.afrology.com
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Content
1. Global Migration: From poor to rich regions
2. Linking Migration, Development and Diaspora
3. Promoting Migration, Microfinance and Productive activities
4. Cosmopolite States: Towards Global, Regional and National Migration Charters
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1. Global Migration: From poor to rich regions
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15.97
-15.98
12.92
-12.95
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
1990-95 2000-05
Low & Middle income countries High income countries
Net Migration: People moving from LIC & MIC to HIC, 1990-95 and 2000-05 (in millions)
Source: WB, WDI 2007, p. 362.
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69.5
37.4
192.9
31.1
0
50
100
150
200
Low & middle income countries High income countries
1990 2005
Workers’ remittances transferred homeLIC & MIC versus HIC, 1990-95 and 2000-05 (in millions)
Source: WB, WDI 2007, p. 362.
Reduce poverty
Increase savings and improve well-being
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152.8
190.6
16.417.1
7
6.6
27.6
44.5
49.4
64.1
4.8
5
49.853.3
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200
World
Africa
Latin America and Car.
North America
Europe
Oceania
Asia
1990 2005
Migrants per regions, 1990 and 2005(in millions)
Source: ONU, Trends in Total Migrant Stock: the 2005 Revision.
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0.7
-0.3
16.9
14.7
0.3
3.5
-2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
Africa
Latin America and Car.
North America
Europe
Oceania
Asia
Increase of the number of Migrants per regions,1990 et 2005 (in millions)
Source: UN, Trends in Total Migrant Stock: the 2005 Revision.
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2. Linking Migration, Development and Diaspora
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Migration and Globalization: Panic or Increased control
Convergence in Migration Policy
Behaviour
Diffusion of threats
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Legal and Illegal Migration: No hope at home Lack of jobs, wealth creation, security and peace
Dr. Kessile Tchala, Minister of Health Benin, Member of the 10th best
Physicians/Surgeons on Prostata in France who decided to return home to
improve the health situation
H O P E
Illegal migrants searching desperately for better opportunities
N O H O P E
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Increasing interdependent economies and societiesFrom national to regional sovereignty on migration matters
Stimulation of Migration
o Transnational flows capital o Downwards trends of transportationo Information, media & communication produce new desires and renewed hopeso Interest for foreign workers (Two main areas: knowledge-intensive and low-cost for short term activities) o Offering jobs and resident documents in selected professional sectors in rich countries
Structuring the Migration Flows
Repressive migration policiesUnilateral controls of bordersSelection of immigrantsStructuring migration around fix-term contractsBilateral agreements with Governments (countries of origin of Migrants)
Ensuring cultural and language training paid by a tax (partly while delivering resident documents to migrants)
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Regional expatriation to OECD Countries in 2006*, (in %)Educated people: moving faster out from Poverty, searching for Security
* Sanjeev Gupta, Catherine Pattillo, and Smita Wagh, Impact of Remittances on Poverty and Financial Development in Sub-Saharan Africa, IMF Working paper WP/07/38, February 2007
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FREE MIGRATION DOES NOT EXIST
Globalization of job markets favor
qualified people
Developing countries need qualified people
Brain Drain towards rich countries contribute to delay wealth creation in
Poor Countries
Linking migration and development not questionable!
Migration charters
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Brain Drain and Terms of Trade:
1. New role of the Diaspora2. New role for Social Responsibility Actors
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New Economic Migration Challenges:BRAIN GAIN: Mobility of competences and work forces
Structuring access to Finance
Migration Saving accountSpecial conditions/facilities for equipment/technologies transfer A real effort to stop discrimination linked to “the origin of the migrant”
Why does Migration takes place ? Development deficits Looking for better working conditions Poor governance Corruption and failed legal system (inequalities) Lack of sanitary and education security Violation of human rights Information deficits on role of intermediates
Wealth distribution with Diaspora Integration of the Diaspora in the preparation and implementation of Migration solutions 23% of Doctors (Physicians) in New York are from Ghana, same average for Doctors from Benin in Paris New framework needed: Towards Interdependent Charter on Migration
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3. Promoting Migration, Microfinance and Productive
activities
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10.8
-7.3
-13
3.7
-2
25.3
16.4
-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30
European Union
Subsaharain Africa
North Africa andMiddle East
Latin America andCaribbean
Europe and CentralAsia
Asia East and Pacific
Asia South
Adjusted Savings* per regions, 2005 (in % of GDP)Inequality in wealth distribution
Source: World Bank, WDI 2007, p. 182;* Including following costs: education, losses in terms of energy, minerals, forests, various polluting substances, etc.
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… Poor people stay poor mainly not because they are lazy but because they do not have access to capital…
… Development supposed economy of scale, productivity for all and at all levels…
… Poor people and Migrants usually left out of a serious system of financial leverage…
Building social and financial value added through microfinance and financial intermediation
New priority on entrepreneurship Stopping working in isolation (building productive networks) Ensuring technology content Productivity Accessing credit with affordable interest rates Ensuring conducive business environment Organizing productive agglomeration Reducing cost of official transfer of remittances
Microfinance: a leverage system for Migrants
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73.9
101.1
29.7
28.8
27.8
35
39.9
24.238.7
41
64.8
77.9
110.5
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120
Asia East and Pacific
Europe and Central Asia
Latin America andCaribbean
North Africa and MiddleEast
Asia South
Subsaharan Africa
European Union
2005
1990
Credit to local private sector, per world regions1990 and 2005 in % of GDP
Source: World Bank, WDI, 2007, p. 266.
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Inflows to Subsaharan Africa countries, 1975 – 2004 (in millions of US $)*
Remittances are less volatile
* Sanjeev Gupta, Catherine Pattillo, and Smita Wagh, Impact of Remittances on Poverty and Financial Development in Sub-Saharan Africa, IMF Working paper WP/07/38, February 2007
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* Source: IMF Balance of Payment Yearbook, 2006 and in Sanjeev Gupta, Catherine Pattillo, and Smita Wagh, Impact of Remittances on Poverty and Financial Development in Sub-Saharan Africa, IMF Working paper WP/07/38, February 2007
Regional Shares of Remittances to Developing Countries, 2000-05* in Millions of US $
20.3
14.4
23.9
24.9
12.5
4.1
Latin America & Caribbean
East Asia and Pacific
Middle East & North Africa
South Asia
SubSaharan AfricaEast & Central
Asia
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1. Building domestic markets and new local financial intermediates based on “group solidarity” loans
2. Moving savings and remittances towards productive activities
3. Providing financial services to poor and marginalized communities (including migrants)
4. Attracting investors dedicated to social corporate responsibility
5. Securing access to credit at local level to reverse the poverty trap
6. Innovative micro-savings and micro-insurance products
7. Leveraging on less volatile migrants remittances8. Promoting microfinance and rating institutions9. Building local capital markets
Linking Microfinance and Migrants’ remittancesFrom Philanthropy to new profit-making businesses
Between 2000-2006 - From 78 to 420 microbanksEquivalent to 9.2 to 64 millions “poor” clients*
* The State of the Microcredit Summit Campaign Report, 2006
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Top Ten Recipients of Remittances in Subsaharan Africa, Total flows (in millions of US $)*
* Sanjeev Gupta, Catherine Pattillo, and Smita Wagh, Impact of Remittances on Poverty and Financial Development in Sub-Saharan Africa, IMF Working paper WP/07/38, February 2007
Pilot Projects
(microfinance and migration)
should start in those
countries
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4. Cosmopolite States: Towards new global, regional
and national Migration Charters
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Strategic Migration:Structuring Cosmopolites States
Understanding of People’ s and not simply Governments’ Concerns
Do not overlook the Visible and not-Visible Migrants issue (the case of Africa)
Win-win strategy: Promotion of Diversity
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TRANSPARENCY
CO-DEVELOPMENT
Borders Control Migration Policy
Selective MigrationPolicy
Negotiation of Migration Policy
Planning of MigrationPolicy
Migration as a Wealth Creation system: Towards Global, Regional and National
Charters
Divergence
Considering Africa as a variable of adjustment
Convergence
Considering Africa as a development partner
NATIONALISTSTATES
COSMOPOLITE NATIONS
ASSETSPromotion of Diversity
LiabilitiesIncreased control costs
Source: Adjusted from E. Reinert, Y.E. Amaizo, R. Kattel, “ The Economics of Failed, Failing and Fragile States: Productive as the Missing Link”, Working Paper, UN DESA, June 2007 (under consideration) .
Failed, Failing and Fragile Productive capacities and
capabilities
MIGRATION: Economic Growth
without Job Creation
Interdependency and cosmopolitism
Integration Policy required
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OLD
DEBATE
We need better Immigration laws
Profiling is politically incorrect. Besides, they pose no real threat to us…
Source: Ramirez
MIGRATION
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Thank You