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HEINEKEN FINANCIAL MARKETS CONFERENCE 2013 MEXICO CITY
Mexico City | December 5-6, 2013 | Heineken NV
MARC BUSAIN Managing Director, Cuauhtémoc Moctezuma
Winning in Mexico!
2
AGENDA
Winning in Mexico!
A SUCCESSFUL ACQUISITION
OVERVIEW OF MEXICAN BEER MARKET
OUR STRATEGY TO WIN
3
CUAUHTÉMOC MOCTEZUMA: A RICH HISTORY IN MEXICO
SCYF Serving consumer inspired brands for over 120 years
1910 1920 1940 1950 1970 1980 1990 2010 1890
FOUNDATION EMPAQUE TECATE MOCTEZUMA HEINEKEN 1890 Foundation of Ice Factory and Cerveza Cuauhtémoc Monterrey, N.L.”
Introduction of Carta Blanca to the national market
1918 Foundation of Sociedad Cuauhtémoc y Famosa, the pioneer institution for Mexican Social Security
Institution preceded Mexico’s IMSS and INFONAVIT
TEC DE MONTERREY 1943 Leading University in Latin America is founded by Don Eugenio Garza Sada
EXPORTS 1973 Exported to the USA since 1973
TECATE LIGHT 1992 Cuauhtémoc Moctezuma launches Tecate Light, the first light beer in Mexico
1920 CM creates “Fábricas de Monterrey” to have its own supplier of packaging materials, cans and bottles
1954 Cervecería Cuauhtémoc acquires Cervecería Tecate in Baja California
1985 Cervecería Cuauhtémoc acquires Cervecería Moctezuma
2010 HEINEKEN acquires FEMSA Cerveza
Heineken® launch in the Mexican market
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SUCCESSFUL INTEGRATION PROCESS
INTEGRATION PROCESS PLAN
Seamless integration of FEMSA Cerveza into HEINEKEN in 2010 whilst driving ongoing business growth
CULTURAL AWARENESS AS A CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTOR
IMPLEMENTED NEW RTM STRUCTURE
Heineken® LOCAL PRODUCTION
STRONG INVESTMENT BEHIND BRANDS
ROLL-OUT OF CM’S ‘SIX’ BEER ORIENTED RETAIL STORES
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STRONG DELIVERY OF COST SYNERGIES Expected cumulative cost savings of €320m by end 2016
~€220M OF COST SYNERGIES TO BE GENERATED BY END 2013
ACHIEVED SAVINGS PRIMARILY FROM SUPPLY CHAIN AND ROUTE TO MARKET RECONFIGURATION
CONTRIBUTING ~20% OF HEINEKEN TCM2 GLOBAL SAVINGS IN 1H13
FURTHER OPTIMISING COST BASE: ~€100M ADDITIONAL COST SAVINGS IDENTIFIED
EXPECT TO REALISE APPROX. HALF IN 2014 (PART OF PREVIOUSLY ANNOUNCED TCM2 TARGETED SAVINGS)
BALANCE OF SAVINGS IN 2015 AND 2016
COST SYNERGY PROGRESSION € MILLION
33
220
320
72
57
58
100
6
2010 2013F
CM DELIVERING IMPRESSIVE TOP-LINE AND PROFIT GROWTH
1 Includes domestic beer operations only 2 Includes domestic beer and export operations
Operating profit (beia) margin expansion of 520 basis points since 2010
OPERATING PROFIT (BEIA)1 2010-2013F €M
OPERATING PROFIT (BEIA) MARGIN2
2010-2013F €M
2010 2013F 2010 2013F
CAGR +6%
12.9%
18.1%
REVENUE1
2010-2013F €M
CAGR +21%
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Mexico 11%
Mexico 11%
Mexico 14%
MEXICO IS HEINEKEN’S LARGEST MARKET
1 Group beer volume and financials based on is consolidated business plus attributable share of joint ventures and associates; 2 Group operating profit (beia) excludes Head Office; Based on 2012FY proforma (including APB from 1 January 2012) Mexico includes both domestic and export operations
HEINEKEN GROUP REVENUE1 (2012)
HEINEKEN GROUP BEER VOLUME1 (2012)
HEINEKEN GROUP OPERATING PROFIT (BEIA)1,2 (2012)
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CUAUHTÉMOC MOCTEZUMA ORGANIZATION Local management team structure
18,000 EMPLOYEES
5 EXPATS
10 NATIONALITIES
30 MEXICANS EXPATRIATED
3 LOGISTICS AND CUSTOMER SERVICE FRANCISCO GARZA
1 MARKETING LEANDRO BERRONE
2 SALES JOSEP FERRER
4 SUPPLY CHAIN JORGE MEILLÓN
5 HUMAN RESOURCES JAVIER CASTAÑO
6 CORPORATE AFFAIRS ARNULFO TREVIÑO
7 GLOBAL INFORMATION SERVICES CICERO WILLIS
8 FINANCE MARC GOUMANS
CEO MARC BUSAIN
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AGENDA
Winning in Mexico!
A SUCCESSFUL ACQUISITION
OVERVIEW OF MEXICAN BEER MARKET OUR STRATEGY TO WIN
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WELCOME TO MÉXICO!
POPULATION: 115 MILLION
POSITIVE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
GROWING MIDDLE CLASS
4TH LARGEST BEER PROFIT POOL
+1 MILLION NEW CONSUMERS PER YEAR
#1 BEER EXPORTER IN THE WORLD
Attractive growth prospects for HEINEKEN
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591
699
393
639
779
868 883 911
2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F
3.9% 3.9%
0.9%
3.5%
4.7% 4.9%
5.2% 5.3%
2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F
A POSITIVE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
MEXICO GDP GROWTH
Source: Harbor International
FORMAL EMPLOYMENT GROWTH ‘000 Number of new employees
An acceleration in economic growth in Mexico to be underpinned by structural reforms
12
0.1
0.7
1.7
3.2
5.2
7.5
9.2
10.2
11.0
10.9
90+
80-89
70-79
60-69
50-59
40-49
30-39
20-29
10-19
0-9
0.1
0.6
1.5
2.8
4.7
6.8
8.2
9.6
11.3
11.4
DYNAMIC DEMOGRAPHICS
POPULATION +18 AND BEER CONSUMPTION
Source: Canadean and CONAPO
POPULATION PYRAMID Millions by age bracket
MALE FEMALE
Source: CONAPO, 2012
65 67 70
73 76
83
52 56
59 58 60 63
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2017F
Population +18 (LDA) (Millions) Per Capita (Liters)
By 2017, Mexico will have >7 million new consumers of legal drinking age
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RISING URBANIZATION & AN EMERGING MIDDLE CLASS
Source: INEGI
Demographic and Economic changes signal opportunities to develop the premium segment
MEXICO CITY IS THE SECOND LARGEST CITY IN THE WESTERN HEMISPHERE
11 CITIES WITH >1 MILLION PEOPLE
86% URBANIZATION LEVEL EXPECTED BY 2020 (VS. 61% IN 1980)
PURCHASING POWER AND CONSUMPTION OF MIDDLE CLASS HAS BEEN INCREASING OVER THE LAST 10 YEARS
TIJUANA 2m population
MONTERREY 4m population
GUADALAJARA 4.5m population
MEXICO CITY 20m population
PUEBLA 3m population 90-100%
80-90% 60-80% 50-60% 30-50%
Urbanization level
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Carbonates 58%
Water 15%
Alcoholic 18%
Non-alcoholic
9%
94%
3% 2% 1%
Beer Spirits Flavoured alcoholic beverages Wines & cider
BEER IS THE ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGE OF CHOICE IN MEXICO
TOTAL BEVERAGE CONSUMPTION DISTRIBUTION
Source: Canadean
Beer represents17% of total beverage consumption and 94% of alcoholic beverage consumption in Mexico 2013F
ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES DISTRIBUTION 2013F
15
50 52 55
61 64 64
67 71
75 78
82
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012F 2014F 2016F 2018F 2020F
ATTRACTIVE GROWTH PROSPECTS FOR MEXICAN BEER
BEER MARKET PROJECTIONS
Source: Plato
Mexican beer market projected to grow at an annualized rate of 2.6% through to 2020
€7.5BN BEER INDUSTRY VALUE
60K DIRECT EMPLOYMENT
800K INDIRECT EMPLOYMENT
4% OF GOVERNMENT TAX INCOME
>20 MHL EXPORTED
+2.5%
+2.6%
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AGENDA
Winning in Mexico!
A SUCCESSFUL ACQUISITION
OVERVIEW OF MEXICAN BEER MARKET
OUR STRATEGY TO WIN
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CM STRATEGY TO WIN
1 BUILDING A WINNING NATIONAL PORTFOLIO
3 LEVERAGE STRATEGIC CHANNELS TO DRIVE VOLUME AND VALUE
2 CONSOLIDATE OUR SHARE IN STRONGHOLDS WHILST ADVANCING IN SELECTED CHALLENGER MARKETS
Capabilities Cost Leadership Culture Sustainability
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BUILDING A NATIONAL WINNING PORTFOLIO Consolidating our mainstream offering whilst developing premium
TECATE A LARGE AND GROWING BRAND WITH CLEAR LEADERSHIP IN LIGHT SEGMENT
IGNITING ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF GROWTH THROUGH DOS EQUIS AND INDIO
STRENGTHENING REGIONAL MARKET POSITIONS THROUGH INVESTMENTS IN CARTA BLANCA AND SOL
LEADING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE PREMIUM SEGMENT WITH Heineken®
ECONOMY
BELOW MAINSTREAM
MAINSTREAM
ABOVE MAINSTREAM
PREMIUM
SUPER PREMIUM
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EXCITING POTENTIAL FOR PREMIUM SEGMENT IN MEXICO % SHARE
OF UPSCALE BEER
Source: Canadean
Developing and winning in the premium segment
DOUBLED VOLUME IN SUPER PREMIUM AND DOUBLE DIGIT GROWTH IN ABOVE MAINSTREAM
STRONG INVESTMENT BEHIND Heineken® DELIVERING SOLID GROWTH FOR LONG TERM VALUE
PROMISING START TO STRONGBOW GOLD
STRONG INNOVATION PIPELINE FROM LOCAL / GLOBAL BRAND INITIATIVES
France
Italy
USA
Canada
Brazil
Mexico
India
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
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A TARGETED REGIONAL GROWTH STRATEGY
CM MARKET SHARE BY REGION
Source: Canadean
Growing our market share in stronghold regions, whilst advancing in key challenger cities
MEXICO BEER MARKET SHARE
58%
41%
1% >65%
35%-65%
<35%
OTHERS
GRUPO MODELO
Source: Company Information
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2.3%
6.2%
Total Domestic Challenger Markets
WINNING IN CHALLENGER MARKETS Sustainable market share gains in challenger markets through a strong brand portfolio, quality penetration and a passionate team
CM CHALLENGER MARKETS
STRONG OUTPERFORMANCE IN CHALLENGER MARKETS Volume CAGR (2011-2013F)
Challenger Markets
+2.7x
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A SEGMENTED CHANNEL APPROACH
Leveraging capabilities in strategic channels to drive volume and value growth
CM CHANNEL SPLIT (2012 VOLUME)
Develop quality numerical distribution
in the traditional off-trade
Win in mixed accounts in the modern and
traditional off-trade
On Premise: Develop premium and drive growth in profitable sub-segments
Deliver growth and value from CM’s SIX beer oriented retail stores
Capture market share leveraging OXXO expansion footprint in CM challenger markets
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5,563 6,374
7,374
8,400
9,543
10,568
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
STRONG STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIPS Strategic alignment with OXXO enabling brand penetration and growth as retail chain expands nationally
OXXO STORES GROWTH (NO. OF OUTLETS)
BENEFITTING FROM OXXO EXPANSION IN CHALLENGER MARKETS
BUILDING BRANDS
DEVELOP PREMIUM SEGMENT
INCREASED OUTLET PRODUCTIVITY
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SIX: OUR BEER ORIENTED RETAIL BUSINESS
SIX Beer oriented stores differentiated by service and a fun shopping environment
30-50 SQUARE METERS OFF-PREMISE OUTLETS
CM DETERMINES LOCATION AND FORMAT
BEER IS DESTINATION CATEGORY
LAND IS LEASED; ENTREPRENEURS MANAGE
THE STORE INCENTIVIZED BY COMMISSIONS
FOR BEER AND OTHER KEY CATEGORIES
TYPICAL CONSUMER - MALE 35-45 YEARS OLD;
MONTHLY INCOME OF US$500
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9,289 9,270
10,225 11,289
2010 2011 2012 2013F
SIX IS A HIGHLY PROFITABLE RETAIL BUSINESS MODEL
SIX: NUMBER OF OUTLETS
A UNIQUE PLATFORM
TO DEVELOP THE BEER
CATEGORY
25% OF OUTLETS ARE LOCATED
IN CENTER AND WEST MEXICO
IN 2013, OTHER KEY
CATEGORIES ALSO
CONTRIBUTED TO INCREASED
PROFITABILITY
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FEDERAL TRADE COMMISSION AGREEMENTS
KEY COMMITMENTS
We are committed to full compliance of the resolution
HOW CUSTOMER AGREEMENTS WORK
1 Open exclusive on-premise accounts to local microbrewers
2 Use a new format of exclusivity agreements for traditional channel and restaurants
3 Allow exclusive clients without a written agreement in traditional channel to sell other beer brands
4 Limit exclusivity agreements to 25% of our total client base (with a 1% reduction per year until reaching 20%)
Written agreements in on- or off-premise clients for exclusive sale of beer
Most of the time through a pre-payment of the expected margin to be earned by the client
Not all exclusive arrangements are in writing or imply an exchange of money
High transactional costs sometimes create incentives for clients to carry brands from only one beer company without a formal agreement
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10,545
15,000
2010 2013F
BEST IN CLASS SUPPLY CHAIN World Class Brewery Footprint
MANUFACTURING FOOTPRINT
MONTERREY NAVOJOA
TECATE
GUADALAJARA TOLUCA
PRODUCTIVITY IMPROVEMENT OF 42% SINCE 2010 (hl/fte)
+42%
ORIZABA
28
84
75
2010 2013F
-10.7%
72.9
76
2010 2013F
3.73
3.55
2010 2013F
-4.8%
IMPROVEMENT ACROSS KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS
OPI1 PACKAGING (%)
1 OPI = Overall Performance Indicator
Excellence in Supply Chain management delivering value
WATER CONSUMPTION (Hl of water /hl produced)
THERMAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION (Mj/ hl produced)
+4.3%
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SUSTAINABILITY AGENDA
On our way to becoming Mexico’s most admired company
COMMUNITY
Educational Programs and partnership for progress (music, schools, gyms) impacting over 1.5 million people
Local supplier programs benefiting >13,500 suppliers
ENVIRONMENT
Source water Protection
Water stewardship
2020 target to achieve first Water Neutral Brewery
CO2 EMISSIONS
8% reduction in CO2 emissions through:
Green innovation on distribution
Energy savings from fridges across all clients
Eco packs
Green Production
RESPONSIBLE CONSUMPTION
Designated Driver positively impacting over 90,000 people
Responsible Waiter training program for over 7,500 people
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PEOPLE AND CULTURE
Winning through people in a high performance organization
CULTURE ALIGNING OUR ORGANIZATION TO BUSINESS PRIORITIES
MARKET FOCUS HEAD-OFFICE AND SALES PROGRAMS
A GREAT PLACE TO WORK TOP TIER CLIMATE SURVEY RESULTS IN ALL OF HEINEKEN
GLOBAL TALENT DEVELOPMENT 30 MEXICAN EMPLOYEES WORKING ABROAD
REWARD AND RECOGNITION 21% OF OUR MANAGERS HAVE BEEN PROMOTED IN THE LAST 3 YEARS
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SUMMARY
Key Takeaways GROWTH IN MEXICAN ECONOMY AND POSITIVE SOCIODEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS TO UNDERPIN BEER MARKET GROWTH
CM IS DRIVING SIGNIFICANT PROFIT AND MARGIN GROWTH WITH FURTHER UPSIDE POTENTIAL
A CLEAR BRAND PORTFOLIO STRATEGY FOCUSED ON CONSOLIDATING MAINSTREAM WHILST DEVELOPING PREMIUM FOR THE LONG TERM
WINNING SHARE IN CHALLENGER MARKETS THROUGH A TARGETED CHANNEL STRATEGY APPROACH
LONG TERM COMMITMENT TOWARDS THE MEXICAN COMMUNITY
ATTRACTING AND DEVELOPING A GLOBAL TALENT BASE